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GAA Betting

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    #9332
    The Rooster
    Registered Users Posts: 4,436 ✭✭✭The Rooster


    BandMember wrote: »
    Why would anyone listen to tips from a bookie?? :confused: I mean, they are hardly going to tell you how to win money from them..... Have you ever seen a poor bookie? ;)
    Don’t mention the war, but BetBright ran up losses of about 18m!


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    #9333
    BandMember
    Registered Users Posts: 1,703 ✭✭✭BandMember


    The Rooster wrote: »
    Don’t mention the war, but BetBright ran up losses of about 18m!


    I thought someone was going to say Ivan Yates to be honest. Ivan is a lot of things, but poor is not one of them.... ;)


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    #9334
    Premierpride
    Registered Users Posts: 31 ✭Premierpride


    Offaly 1/2 to beat Sligo, Offaly scrapping to stay in the league and have had a few narrow defeats, -11 points after 6 games, Sligo nothing to play for but have home advantage, -47 points after 6 games. Anyone any reason to go against Offaly? injuries, trouble in the camp or any other unknowns?


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    #9335
    akelly02
    Registered Users Posts: 3,133 ✭✭✭akelly02


    Premierpride wrote: »
    Offaly 1/2 to beat Sligo, Offaly scrapping to stay in the league and have had a few narrow defeats, -11 points after 6 games, Sligo nothing to play for but have home advantage, -47 points after 6 games. Anyone any reason to go against Offaly? injuries, trouble in the camp or any other unknowns?



    we are ****e

    we are bottlers, thrown away games already

    theres 2 reasons

    stay away or back sligo


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    #9336
    Premierpride
    Registered Users Posts: 31 ✭Premierpride


    akelly02 wrote: »
    we are ****e

    we are bottlers, thrown away games already

    theres 2 reasons

    stay away or back sligo

    Valid points:D

    Surely Sligo are a little worse and have zero motivation & John Maughan wont allow Offaly to go down. They are going into my accum anyway! if for nothing else other than allowing you to come back on Monday and say 'see, I told you we were s***e' :pac:


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    #9337
    akelly02
    Registered Users Posts: 3,133 ✭✭✭akelly02


    Premierpride wrote: »
    Valid points:D

    Surely Sligo are a little worse and have zero motivation & John Maughan wont allow Offaly to go down. They are going into my accum anyway! if for nothing else other than allowing you to come back on Monday and say 'see, I told you we were s***e' :pac:



    unfortunately i will be

    sligo are huge at 2/1, if i hadnt emotional investment in the game id be all over them


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    #9338
    mjp
    Registered Users Posts: 961 ✭✭✭mjp


    Premierpride wrote:
    Surely Sligo are a little worse and have zero motivation & John Maughan wont allow Offaly to go down. They are going into my accum anyway! if for nothing else other than allowing you to come back on Monday and say 'see, I told you we were s***e'

    Sligo playing at home in collooney and will be playing for pride and not want to loose every match this year. Offaly aren't a whole lot better than them so wouldn't be taking too short a price on them. Pressure is all on Offaly which can be a dangerous thing.


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    #9339
    Premierpride
    Registered Users Posts: 31 ✭Premierpride


    mjp wrote: »
    Sligo playing at home in collooney and will be playing for pride and not want to loose every match this year. Offaly aren't a whole lot better than them so wouldn't be taking too short a price on them. Pressure is all on Offaly which can be a dangerous thing.

    Thanks for the general negativity around this fixture lads!! I might stay clear.

    Considering the permutations in each group what do we think the bets of the weekend are? Fermanagh on the handicap with Meath as good as up when you take into account the scoring difference? (+20, 15 points to spare over donegal in 2nd on +5) Fermanagh will be pushing hard for 2nd.


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    #9340
    keane2097
    Registered Users Posts: 17,770 ✭✭✭✭keane2097


    'Playing for pride' is a meaningless statement in the context of sports betting IMO. These are intercounty footballers. They are competitive to the marrow of their bones. They have been trying to win every game they played.


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    #9341
    mjp
    Registered Users Posts: 961 ✭✭✭mjp


    keane2097 wrote:
    'Playing for pride' is a meaningless statement in the context of sports betting IMO. These are intercounty footballers. They are competitive to the marrow of their bones. They have been trying to win every game they played.

    Yes it may be meaningless in your eyes but im always wary of a team who on paper have nothing to play off as they often throw off the shackles and put in a performance when least expected. My biggest negative on Offaly as a bet would be that they playing at a club grounds in collooney and not their county grounds markevicz. Away team win rates in secondary grounds are much lower in league when compared to county grounds so just a point to be wary about.


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    #9342
    Whiteshorts1
    Registered Users Posts: 20 ✭Whiteshorts1


    Waterford are a bet today @ 11/4 their in excellent form if Leitrim play the team hyland is saying they should be close to 1/1s for this game


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    #9343
    Same As
    Registered Users Posts: 1,548 ✭✭✭Same As


    Same As wrote: »
    Jennings -7.27 yesterday. Mulvihill faired better +3.82.

    Current profit and loss for RP tipsters excluding outright selections in Post #9176

    Jennings -32.09
    Mulvihill: -0.66

    Surely be to god there's a better Football tipster around than David Jennings? They're pretty appalling numbers so far.

    Current profit and loss for RP tipsters excluding outright selections in Post #9176

    Jennings -32.09
    Mulvihill: -0.66


    Jennings Selections 24/03/2019


    Over 31.5 points (Roscommon vs Kerry)
    4pts Evs BoyleSports

    Over 2.5 goals (Roscommon vs Kerry)
    2pts 13-8 general

    Over 3.5 goals (Roscommon vs Kerry)
    1pt 9-2 general

    Roscommon-Kerry double result (Roscommon vs Kerry)
    1pt 6-1 BoyleSports


    Monaghan -1 (Mayo vs Monaghan)
    2pts 13-5 Betfair, Paddy Power

    Monaghan over 13.5 points (Mayo vs Monaghan)
    3pts Evs Paddy Power


    Cavan +8 (Cavan vs Dublin)
    2pts 8-11 Betfair, Paddy Power


    Tyrone -1 (Tyrone vs Galway)
    2pts 5-6 general

    Tyrone to win Division 1
    2pts 15-2 Betfair, Paddy Power


    Meath -1 (Meath vs Fermanagh)
    5pts 8-11 Coral, Ladbrokes

    Meath over 13.5 points (Meath vs Fermanagh)
    3pts Evs BoyleSports, Ladbrokes

    Meath over 1.5 goals (Meath vs Fermanagh)
    2pts 7-2 BoyleSports



    Mulvihill Selections 24/03/2019


    Limerick over 25.5 points (Limerick vs Dublin)
    2pts 8-11 BoyleSports

    Dublin +4 (Limerick vs Dublin)
    1pt 6-5 Hills



    Waterford (Waterford vs Galway)
    3pts 6-5 general

    A draw or either team to win by one, two or three points (Waterford vs Galway)
    2pts 4-5 Coral, Ladbrokes


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    #9344
    DDC1990
    Registered Users Posts: 10,362 ✭✭✭✭DDC1990


    Same As wrote:
    Over 3.5 goals (Roscommon vs Kerry) 1pt 9-2 general

    Same As wrote:
    Over 2.5 goals (Roscommon vs Kerry) 2pts 13-8 general


    ? Can't understand these calls. Has he watched Kerry at all?

    It'll probably be a goalfest and I'll look silly now.


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    #9345
    The real mccoy 91
    Registered Users Posts: 2,126 ✭✭✭The real mccoy 91


    Fúck me he's at it again an outlay of 29 points when he's already sitting at -32

    What is going on with the rp at this stage like who is he answering to or are they just happy to be making the bookies a few pound from the regular joe soaps who decide to follow the 'expert ' in the paper


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    #9346
    Rasputin11
    Registered Users Posts: 1,350 ✭✭✭Rasputin11


    365 have no goal in Limerick game at 28/1 and 25/1 for the Galway game. The Irish firms around 14s on the same bet. 365 also have a bit of value on the under 2.5 market.


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    #9347
    Clippett
    Registered Users Posts: 46 ✭Clippett


    29 points invested in a desperate bid to try and turn around a poor run. Ridiculous!


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    #9348
    passremarkable
    Registered Users Posts: 4,509 ✭✭✭passremarkable


    Stevecw wrote: »
    Carlow footballers to be relegated from Div 3 is somehow 7/1 on PP, don't think they have done their research on this one right at all. Offaly are 1/5.
    I'll try explain!


    As it stands Carlow are on 5 points with games v Down (top of the table) and then away to Laois who we just can't seem to ever beat ( lost 3 times to them last year) So very likely to end on 5 pts.

    Offaly are on 3 points, but have a home game v Laois and then an away game to already relegated 0 points Sligo. Whatever about the Laois game, Offaly should beat Sligo.

    That leaves Carlow & Offaly on 5 points each, and because Offaly beat Carlow they would finish 6th and Carlow would be relegated in 7th place.

    1/5 & 7/1 are crazy and will be soon rectified i'd say. I am from Carlow so hope i am wrong but stuck a decent bit on at 7/1. If i lose my money then it means we will have somehow stayed up. Its a win/win!

    Great shout
    Cheers


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    #9349
    Boom__Boom
    Registered Users Posts: 3,101 ✭✭✭Boom__Boom


    Boom__Boom wrote: »
    Cork are 5/1 to be relegated from Division 2.

    I think those odds fall into the category of value too big to ignore.

    Last year in the league they ended up on the same number of points as Down and only stayed up on score difference. They did beat Tipp in the championship but got hammered by Kerry and Tyrone.

    You look at their panel of players and it just looks like a panel just chock to the gills of ordinary players. Combine that with their record over the last few years between league and championship and it's hard to see anything improving any-time soon.

    On the sideline, 2 selectors have quit from last year and there is no plan to replace them, one of them in the last few weeks (serious red flag imo)

    They have 4 away trips - to Enniskillen, Ennis, Thurles and Armagh - none of those are easy spots to pick up points at.

    It's not a cert but I definitely can see it being a good value runner.

    Got good value out of this, even if it just got home. :D:D:D
    Hope some others were on it as well.
    I'm still baffled at the notion that Cork were available at 5/1


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    #9350
    Same As
    Registered Users Posts: 1,548 ✭✭✭Same As


    Same As wrote: »

    Jennings Selections 24/03/2019


    Over 31.5 points (Roscommon vs Kerry)
    4pts Evs BoyleSports +4

    Over 2.5 goals (Roscommon vs Kerry)
    2pts 13-8 general -2

    Over 3.5 goals (Roscommon vs Kerry)
    1pt 9-2 general -1

    Roscommon-Kerry double result (Roscommon vs Kerry)
    1pt 6-1 BoyleSports -1


    Monaghan -1 (Mayo vs Monaghan)
    2pts 13-5 Betfair, Paddy Power -2

    Monaghan over 13.5 points (Mayo vs Monaghan)
    3pts Evs Paddy Power +3


    Cavan +8 (Cavan vs Dublin)
    2pts 8-11 Betfair, Paddy Power +1.45


    Tyrone -1 (Tyrone vs Galway)
    2pts 5-6 general +1.67

    Tyrone to win Division 1
    2pts 15-2 Betfair, Paddy Power -2


    Meath -1 (Meath vs Fermanagh)
    5pts 8-11 Coral, Ladbrokes +3.64

    Meath over 13.5 points (Meath vs Fermanagh)
    3pts Evs BoyleSports, Ladbrokes +3

    Meath over 1.5 goals (Meath vs Fermanagh)
    2pts 7-2 BoyleSports +7


    Mulvihill Selections 24/03/2019


    Limerick over 25.5 points (Limerick vs Dublin)
    2pts 8-11 BoyleSports -2

    Dublin +4 (Limerick vs Dublin)
    1pt 6-5 Hills +1.20


    Waterford (Waterford vs Galway)
    3pts 6-5 general +3.60

    A draw or either team to win by one, two or three points (Waterford vs Galway)
    2pts 4-5 Coral, Ladbrokes +1.60

    +15.76 for Jennings; his native Meath sorted him out! Solid from Mulvihill, +4.4


    Current profit and loss for RP tipsters excluding outright selections in Post #9176

    Jennings -16.33
    Mulvihill: +3.74

    I'll update the totals outrights once the finals have all been completed.


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    #9351
    Stevecw
    Registered Users Posts: 5,133 ✭✭✭Stevecw


    passremarkable wrote: »
    Great shout
    Cheers

    Worked out well just about! But having over €1000 in my PP account for 1st time ever eased the pain of relegation a bit for sure!
    Hopefully some of you got on it at the time, 7/1 was a serious error by them, so nice to take advantage for a change.


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    #9352
    Browney7
    Registered Users Posts: 3,098 ✭✭✭Browney7


    Stevecw wrote: »
    Worked out well just about! But having over €1000 in my PP account for 1st time ever eased the pain of relegation a bit for sure!
    Hopefully some of you got on it at the time, 7/1 was a serious error by them, so nice to take advantage for a change.

    Have you been limited now? Great spot and fair play on the lumping on. You owe that Offaly lad a pint with the late point


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    #9353
    Browney7
    Registered Users Posts: 3,098 ✭✭✭Browney7


    Rasputin11 wrote: »
    365 have no goal in Limerick game at 28/1 and 25/1 for the Galway game. The Irish firms around 14s on the same bet. 365 also have a bit of value on the under 2.5 market.

    Definite future potential on this bet for championship games. The only goal in the Galway game was a fluke aswell so it was unlucky


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    #9354
    manafana
    Registered Users Posts: 3,484 ✭✭✭manafana


    Browney7 wrote: »
    Definite future potential on this bet for championship games. The only goal in the Galway game was a fluke aswell so it was unlucky

    365 seem take an opinion on the goals prices which is great i played those no goals with u2.5/u3.5 also


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    #9355
    Pogue eile
    Registered Users Posts: 2,862 ✭✭✭Pogue eile


    Browney7 wrote: »
    Definite future potential on this bet for championship games. The only goal in the Galway game was a fluke aswell so it was unlucky
    manafana wrote: »
    365 seem take an opinion on the goals prices which is great i played those no goals with u2.5/u3.5 also

    Don't really see an angle here at all lads, to be honest B365 are right and the other firms are screwing you! A very quick search through the last 2 years shows that in the last 55 championship matches there has only been two blanks, so based on that alone 25/1 is spot on.


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    #9356
    Browney7
    Registered Users Posts: 3,098 ✭✭✭Browney7


    Pogue eile wrote: »
    Don't really see an angle here at all lads, to be honest B365 are right and the other firms are screwing you! A very quick search through the last 2 years shows that in the last 55 championship matches there has only been two blanks, so based on that alone 25/1 is spot on.

    Maybe on the blanks alright! Both games involved Limerick which could be interesting in itself! It's something I'll be keeping a watching brief on anyways especially with teams that are showing a propensity to play defensive and shoot from distance. You could probably hone the strategy to exclude games where one team is significantly stronger than the other. Could be worth a 1/4 or a 1/2 point stake per game with 1 point on the under 2.5 market.

    Another one I'm going to track is a draw in all Munster championship games. There was three draws last year in 10 games.


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    #9357
    Rasputin11
    Registered Users Posts: 1,350 ✭✭✭Rasputin11


    Browney7 wrote: »
    Definite future potential on this bet for championship games. The only goal in the Galway game was a fluke aswell so it was unlucky

    Over 0.5 was around evens in the Limerick game after 60 minutes. Didn't bother laying anything off as I'd very small money on. There probably should have been 3 or 4 goals in the Galway game but a few good chances went missing. The odds on under 2.5 were 12/5 and 2/1 on 365. The double was nearly twice the next best price available.


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    #9358
    Shanee.
    Registered Users Posts: 1,203 ✭✭✭Shanee.


    I think Dublin are a lay at 4/6 this year for the Football. Opinions?


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    #9359
    The real mccoy 91
    Registered Users Posts: 2,126 ✭✭✭The real mccoy 91


    Shanee. wrote: »
    I think Dublin are a lay at 4/6 this year for the Football. Opinions?

    Bit of a joke of a price at this stage im not buying that they didn't care about the league id expect Connolly to return which will add alot though. Might be more profitable to back against them come the last couple of super 8 games and semis and final?


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    #9360
    Stevecw
    Registered Users Posts: 5,133 ✭✭✭Stevecw


    Browney7 wrote: »
    Have you been limited now? Great spot and fair play on the lumping on. You owe that Offaly lad a pint with the late point

    I bet 100 that evening and then threw on another 25 later that night. Geeze yeah but i'd rather he'd missed it to be honest and we had stayed up instead!
    No I'm not limited yet anyway, won another 140 off them yesterday and put on a couple more bets today which lost. I doubt they'd limit me because of 1 big win.


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    #9361
    manafana
    Registered Users Posts: 3,484 ✭✭✭manafana


    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=
    Pogue eile wrote: »
    Don't really see an angle here at all lads, to be honest B365 are right and the other firms are screwing you! A very quick search through the last 2 years shows that in the last 55 championship matches there has only been two blanks, so based on that alone 25/1 is spot on.

    As mentioned 2 blanks in 55, but we are not saying no goal in every game u peak your situation, but yes as mentioned i prefer the u2.5/3.5 angle its much easier to get the reward of in the right spot.


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