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Election 2020 - Carlow/Kilkenny. See Mod Note in post 1

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,480 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    Nokia6230i wrote: »
    Whatever about Helena Byrne at 40/1 or Melissa ONeill (IFP) @ 80/1 if I was Cllr. Wallace @ 66/1 I'd be embarrassed and on top of this they're all behind AR who's on 33/1; guessing her supporters're having quite the flutter?

    Wallace scraped into the council really. For all her “activism” she’s not within an arses roar of being a TD. Angie ray is also fishing in the same angry crazy pond. I reckon Murnane has Carlow town sewn up but she’d have to be ahead of Bobby Alyward to get in. Where would FF get transfers after two seats?


  • Moderators, Education Moderators, Regional South East Moderators Posts: 12,505 Mod ✭✭✭✭byhookorbycrook


    Interesting re crowd funding .


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,480 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    Caller for Pat Deering couldn’t answer as to any of his policies.Waste of time .

    Often canvassers are just Party people without an in-depth knowledge of party policy. I wouldn’t sweat it I’m sure it’s available online some where or other.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 177 ✭✭ScallionAyter


    Nokia6230i wrote: »
    Whatever about Helena Byrne at 40/1 or Melissa ONeill (IFP) @ 80/1 if I was Cllr. Wallace @ 66/1 I'd be embarrassed and on top of this they're all behind AR who's on 33/1; guessing her supporters're having quite the flutter?

    She probably took the 1,000 euros she raised on Paypal and put it on herself down the bookies.

    She's shaking the donations cup again today, looking for another 1,000 euros to pay for 86,000 leaflets lol. There's only 53,000 households in Carlow and Kilkenny :confused:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,480 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    She has posters up in Kilkenny anyhow. So maybe it is going to good use!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,861 ✭✭✭Nokia6230i


    Working during GE 2020 link here > https://carlowkilkennyreturningofficer.com/ (Unsure if too late but for future reference; polling station clerks, count staff etc.)

    KCLR Live in IT Carlow in morning from 10am-12 Noon; currently 13 out of 14 candidates confirmed to be present; an audience will be in attendance with questions permitted.

    KCLR The Farm Show; Matt O'Keeffe will be in the college too asking questions for his show of those who stick around; those who leave or don't answer will surely be noted in this constituency given how the "rurality" is so often referred to.?

    KCLRs The Way It Is with Sue Nunn from 6:15-7:15pm is doing 2nd of 3 Thursday Constituency Debates; last week it was Bobby, Helena, Melissa & Patk.; this one & Thursday the 6th will have 5 candidates but who will be on when hasn't been confirmed yet.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,480 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    I’m not bothered tuning in. I know who I’m voting for and absolutely nothing will convince me otherwise now. SF and to a lessor extent FF have very worrying manifestos that could potentially do enormous harm to the economic well being of the country and consequently all our livelihoods.
    In the last week of the campaign people would want to take a very hard look at the much vaunted “change” we hear about it. As a taxpayer it frankly terrifies me


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,715 ✭✭✭✭maccored


    road_high wrote: »
    I’m not bothered tuning in. I know who I’m voting for and absolutely nothing will convince me otherwise now. SF and to a lessor extent FF have very worrying manifestos that could potentially do enormous harm to the economic well being of the country and consequently all our livelihoods.
    In the last week of the campaign people would want to take a very hard look at the much vaunted “change” we hear about it. As a taxpayer it frankly terrifies me

    Right now, every extra penny I earn is taxed at 50%. "As a taxpayer [that] frankly terrifies me".


  • Moderators, Education Moderators, Regional South East Moderators Posts: 12,505 Mod ✭✭✭✭byhookorbycrook


    road_high wrote: »
    Often canvassers are just Party people without an in-depth knowledge of party policy. I wouldn’t sweat it I’m sure it’s available online some where or other.

    But why call at all, in that case ? Just shove the flyer through the letterbox .


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,071 ✭✭✭Notmything


    But why call at all, in that case ? Just shove the flyer through the letterbox .

    By calling they might get an idea of what issues are of importance to people. That way they can go back and tell their candidate.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,480 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    But why call at all, in that case ? Just shove the flyer through the letterbox .

    Why not follow it up with the candidate or find out for yourself? Lift the phone or internet - there’s a world of info out there. I wouldn’t expect a canvasser to have huge knowledge of policy. Why would they?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,480 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    maccored wrote: »
    Right now, every extra penny I earn is taxed at 50%. "As a taxpayer [that] frankly terrifies me".

    Best we are a welfare state. That will only grow under SF et al. So you’ll continue to pay that and indeed potentially a lot more


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,861 ✭✭✭Nokia6230i


    Attended todays debate; AR & Melissa O'Neill were no shows.

    4 Chairs on stage; only ever 3 at a time mind; poor Alan Hayes was put up against Pat Deering & Sen. Murnane; he's out of his depth & I wonder what resources he has, how he's campaigning etc.; while we share a constituency & radio station I'd be shocked people would know who he is; I actually thought he'd been a previous IT Carlow SU President in recent years; turns out it's UCC SU President he was in last 2-3 years.....

    Questions were from "Vested Interests" in some cases; I'd imagine these were set up by producer/s or presenter to avoid anything defamatory or inflammatory?

    E.G. Financial Advisor from Kilkenny asked re mortgages and other similar matters.

    Was rather hoping for off the cuff questions from audience; have a feeling candidates may've been prepped if expecting certain questions though obviously stuff like student accommodation's gonna come up, health issues, homelessness, climate change etc.

    Got to know a bit more about Kilkenny Cllr. Patk. O'Neill FG who was also on The Way It Is Candidate Debate with Sue Nunn last Thursday (1st of 3) & while I read the KP (Lamberts on Dublin St.) I still think there's a serious split in constituency; it's quite large relatively speaking and FG & FF both carve different parts of it up; Bobby Aylward Sth. Kilkenny/McGuinness the City mainly, JP Co. Kilkenny full stop but mainly Sth. Kilkenny & Patk. O'Neill Bennettsbridge etc. while Pat's left to all of Carlow.

    Rest of 'em must row their own boat; Denis Hynes (SIPTU & Labour) is paddling well in Sth. Carlow since he's well got round Borris, Goresbridge & Gowran not to mention 'Comer where he secured a council seat in May; definite dark horse.

    Cllr. Noonan (KK/Green Party) is who I'm voting for; I'm a member, for now, til 1st of April (!) or so of Fine Gael so am voting outside of party lines; can't see myself renewing membership after about 5-6 years and amn't active in anyway; I'd hate to canvass for example; couldn't be dealing with abuse to face on doorsteps or, alternatively the nicey-nicey s**e to your face while as soon's door's closed it'd be "That PD is a right b******s".....

    Won't be joining the Green Party mind!

    Can't vote SF; they're a party lacking in ambition, who don't want to govern, who are hypocrites in terms of how they vote in Republic & share governance of Northern Ireland; their candidate here is failing to deliver & flatering to deceive in a constituency where she should be easily making it difficult for all; her retiring Cork North Central TD Jonathan O'Brien would wipe the floor with McGuinness et al. Plus there's the IRA connection; no bucking way.

    Wallace is too radical & her Summer 2017 & 2018 "Protests" were "up there" with the worst of water protests; she's dropped both cases like a hot potato......

    Would rather s**t on my hands & clap than vote FF; the 3 candidates tried deny democracy, however symbolically, by voting no to even holding a Repeal Referendum; it can't just be democracy when it suits a politician.

    Debate itself was bland enough; Carlow Chamber of Commerce & Love Carlow has a spokesperson there banging the Vote Carlow drum but when the candidates're not up to much then I'd much rather vote for someone who'll represent me, us, the constituency at a national level better than the current crop; of those JP's my preferred option to PD.

    That's Thursday nights briefing done!!!


  • Moderators, Education Moderators, Regional South East Moderators Posts: 12,505 Mod ✭✭✭✭byhookorbycrook


    road_high wrote: »
    Why not follow it up with the candidate or find out for yourself? Lift the phone or internet - there’s a world of info out there. I wouldn’t expect a canvasser to have huge knowledge of policy. Why would they?

    Well able to do both- but my question remains . Why canvass at all when you don’t know anything at all about the most basic of questions.
    We have noticed here that the only canvassers that even attempt to engage are women .
    Having a leaflet flung at me with without an even cursory show of interest us t going to get that candidate any vote.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,861 ✭✭✭Nokia6230i


    Can't recall a political canvass being done at Fairgreen til today; had thought they'd remain a-political?

    A certain "Independent" was there this afternoon & for quite a number of hours overall too.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 177 ✭✭ScallionAyter


    Nokia6230i wrote: »
    Can't recall a political canvass being done at Fairgreen til today; had thought they'd remain a-political?

    A certain "Independent" was there this afternoon & for quite a number of hours overall too.

    Two minutes walk from where she's living..she hardly had to get outa bed. Wasn't she making a nuisance of herself just a few months ago, inside the fairgreen with her placards, proud as punch, as if they had anything to do with Tusla :rolleyes:

    A seriously ill woman. Not crazy enough to sectioned, but crazy enough to be repeating the same nonsense ad infinitum. She has only proven how right Tusla were to keep her child far away from her. The angry rants have returned...the PayPal buzz must have worn off.

    Zero chance she'll just get a job and behave normally at any point in the future. If she's not mentally capable of holding down a job, she's not capable of minding a child.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,715 ✭✭✭✭maccored


    road_high wrote: »
    Best we are a welfare state. That will only grow under SF et al. So you’ll continue to pay that and indeed potentially a lot more

    not going by their manifesto (which to be honest is all we can go by in regards any party at this stage)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,861 ✭✭✭Nokia6230i


    Sweet. Baby. Jebus. Sen. Murnanes talking/shouting at you in this Vote Me No. 1 video > https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eUjl-2yL7g4&feature=share&fbclid=IwAR3qT8-UQbFRngbqthMDgodxk-7s6Jr2TXqRzPLjVKmN-bWCtuxgHbZc6bQ

    Stilted delivery; like she's been denied her script and the autocue's too far away so she's struggling to remember.

    You'd imagine along with Twitter/Facebook that politicians'd've a YouTube channel; clearly not in this case and the video title "business D1" is an odd one; D1 may be her result in GE 2020 though!

    Using someone elses channel's a bit amateur; even if she'd done it off of Fianna Fails channel (assuming they have one) it'd be more professional.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,480 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    That's because she is an amateur. To be blunt she sounds like an imbecile speaking/reading tbh. It's "our" not "are"! All fluffy words but no indication of what she will actually do- will she sit down with the IDA and Enterprise Ireland and devise a new plan??? There has been lots of good news stories in Carlow since the recession- Carlow IT, MSD, AutoLaunch have all exapanded considerably and the Live Register has dropped conderably also.

    The whole just "Carlow first" thing is a bit silly too as alieniates Kilkenny voters and both herself and Pat Deering did get some last time.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,861 ✭✭✭Nokia6230i


    Sen. Murnane has a post up advertising lifts to, and presumably from, polling stations for those with difficulties getting to one and advising re weather.

    Wonder will you be required to prove you voted for her to get a lift back home?


  • Registered Users Posts: 333 ✭✭Be well and win


    Nokia6230i wrote: »
    Sen. Murnane has a post up advertising lifts to, and presumably from, polling stations for those with difficulties getting to one and advising re weather.

    Wonder will you be required to prove you voted for her to get a lift back home?

    Standard practise from all the main parties, it's been done for decades.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 817 ✭✭✭iano.p


    I had a conversation with Jennifer yesterday. I asked her tell me "what have you done for Carlow workers" she went on look at her Facebook she always puts pictures up I then said it's easy to show up for a picture and be fine in 2 minutes, she didn't know what to say and a man from her party jumped in and started saying everything she has done.

    This chap was young, had a bread I didn't get his name but by God he was a better speaker and seemed more down to earth than any other ff candidate. He had fire in his belly.

    Looking at all the videos of jmoc she is a dreadful speaker and clearly reads of a script. Someone else writes for her.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,071 ✭✭✭Notmything


    Looks like sf just might have good election and keep their seat.

    Am surprised at how many people have said they are voting for them even though they have misgivings and are not actually supporters of the party or its leadership


  • Registered Users Posts: 333 ✭✭Be well and win


    iano.p wrote: »
    I had a conversation with Jennifer yesterday. I asked her tell me "what have you done for Carlow workers" she went on look at her Facebook she always puts pictures up I then said it's easy to show up for a picture and be fine in 2 minutes, she didn't know what to say and a man from her party jumped in and started saying everything she has done.

    This chap was young, had a bread I didn't get his name but by God he was a better speaker and seemed more down to earth than any other ff candidate. He had fire in his belly.

    Looking at all the videos of jmoc she is a dreadful speaker and clearly reads of a script. Someone else writes for her.

    I saw her compere a charity event in the 7 Oaks last year and she good, witty and engaging, bright and bubbly at it. Maybe the issue here is that she had to read from a script??. Have to say, the night she called to my door as well (so far the only candidate who has- where are the rest of them?) she was easy to chat with.

    Anyway, does it altogether matter? After all, the 2 Healy Raes come across as the 2 biggest gombeens you could find but ask anyone in South Kerry and they'll tell you that they deliver. I'd much sooner a couple of those for Carlow then smoothies like Leo or Eoin Murphy who are well able to talk but look at the state of the country


  • Registered Users Posts: 860 ✭✭✭UDAWINNER


    I saw her compere a charity event in the 7 Oaks last year and she good, witty and engaging, bright and bubbly at it. Maybe the issue here is that she had to read from a script??. Have to say, the night she called to my door as well (so far the only candidate who has- where are the rest of them?) she was easy to chat with.

    Anyway, does it altogether matter? After all, the 2 Healy Raes come across as the 2 biggest gombeens you could find but ask anyone in South Kerry and they'll tell you that they deliver. I'd much sooner a couple of those for Carlow then smoothies like Leo or Eoin Murphy who are well able to talk but look at the state of the country
    Was that the fashion show where she gave up her free time for the IWA, she did quite well, was at it myself.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 333 ✭✭Be well and win


    UDAWINNER wrote: »
    Was that the fashion show where she gave up her free time for the IWA, she did quite well, was at it myself.

    No, Pres school band one.

    Again, another tick in her box if she turns up and supports these kind of charity events


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,931 ✭✭✭patrickc


    Jennifer has a woeful record of attendance at the seanad as at the housing committee meetings, when she was asked about it she said sure aren't I here in Carlow doing things for the locals. Dail Eireann is where change happens IMO not down here.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,624 ✭✭✭votecounts


    A vote and a pint:)

    OFF TO THE PUB: The polling station at Kildavin National School in Carlow is without electricity since this morning due to a power outage. It's understood the polling station, which has 1 booth, is being relocated to Conway's pub, also the village
    @rtenews
    #GeneralElection2020


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 345 ✭✭Tea Shock


    Final tally from CW KK. A huge result for Sinn Fein with Funchion almost doubling her 2016 percentage of first preference votes. Interesting that Murnane O'Oconnor has overtaken Aylward on first preference percentages compared to 2016 also. At best guess, it'll be as you were except for Murnane O'Connor replacing Deering who won't have much of a surplus to help him this time. Noonan has a chance but with all the FF transfers, he'd need a lot from Funchions transfers and I don't think he'll do it.


    Funchion, Kathleen SF 23.72%
    McGuinness, John FF 14.47%
    Murnane O'Connor, Jennifer FF 12.50%
    Aylward, Bobby FF 10.42%
    Phelan, John Paul FG 8.65%
    Deering, Pat FG 8.13%
    Noonan, Malcolm GP 6.63%
    O'Neill, Patrick FG 4.67%
    Hayes, Alan IND 3.09%
    Hynes, Denis LAB 3.06%
    Wallace, Adrienne PBP 2.09%
    Byrne, Helena REN 1.35%
    O'Neill, Melissa IFP 0.87%
    Ray, Angela IND 0.33%


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,649 ✭✭✭✭fits


    Apparently 2500 first preference votes from Carlow went to mcguinness and aylward. Disclaimer: Third hand information.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,071 ✭✭✭Notmything


    fits wrote: »
    Apparently 2500 first preference votes from Carlow went to mcguinness and aylward. Disclaimer: Third hand information.

    Happens every election. But depends on which boxes they came from.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,861 ✭✭✭Nokia6230i


    5 or 6 Ballot Papers were added to valid poll count out of 500 according to a KCLR Facebook Live this afternoon; out of about 500......

    200 were deliberately spolied cos, ye know, "sticking it to the man" or sending out a message that nobody really cares about or wants to hear.

    300 then were accidentally spoiled; the person making the comment (not a KCLR staffer) indicated they'd like to see more of Politics included in CSPE/SPHE & to get voting taught; what this person (can't recall name) seems to ignore is that it's as likely to be a seasoned voter as a novice!


  • Registered Users Posts: 60 ✭✭borrisboy


    Great to see Kathleen Function topping the poll and having a republican T.D. representing the proud people of Carlow and Kilkenny AGAIN !


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 88 ✭✭HanFiredFirst


    How many of elected Kilkenny TD's have a constituency office in Carlow or how many times a year do they pop down to Carlow to hear from the voters of Carlow and their concerns.

    Function, McGuinness, Aylward & Phelan have no interst in Carlow or it's people.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,861 ✭✭✭Nokia6230i


    How many of elected Kilkenny TD's have a constituency office in Carlow or how many times a year do they pop down to Carlow to hear from the voters of Carlow and their concerns.

    Function, McGuinness, Aylward & Phelan have no interst in Carlow or it's people.

    Funchion had one on Dublin St.; beside Jennings Opticians/Carlow Cabs (that premises + flats is up for sale) where Fussy Galore is now.

    Moved to Bagenalstown; rent & rates're cheaper there.

    So she does have a presence in both CW & KK; it doesn't have to be in Carlow town for me; Tullow & Bagenalstown're just as important.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,861 ✭✭✭Nokia6230i


    Hard luck to the Ray of Shlte. At least she got a new car outa it.

    I see she got a nice spacious Audi Estate - handy for sleeping in when she's back on the streets.

    214 1st PVs; her, Melissa O'Neill & Helena Byrne all eliminated after 2nd Count.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 60,907 ✭✭✭✭Agent Coulson


    Wallace out after count 6


  • Registered Users Posts: 860 ✭✭✭UDAWINNER


    How many of elected Kilkenny TD's have a constituency office in Carlow or how many times a year do they pop down to Carlow to hear from the voters of Carlow and their concerns.

    Function, McGuinness, Aylward & Phelan have no interst in Carlow or it's people.
    She had a office on dublin street for a good while.
    Beaten to it by nokia.


  • Registered Users Posts: 333 ✭✭Be well and win


    No surprise votes from Carlow went to McGuiness and Alyward, plenty of KK people in Carlow and I would have thought in and around the county bounds (Paulstown for example) there would be a degree of overlap.

    Funchin obviously is the big surprise with the scale of her vote. It'll be interesting to see if SF can maintain that across the country long term,especially given SF failed to manage their councilers over the last number of years and the amount in in-party fighting that went on (Carlow being a case in point). A lot of the new ones failed to get elected to the council over the summer so they were not expecting this. A lot of it was a vote for a brand and for something different rather then for the candidates themselves IMO. Interesting times ahead.

    Pleased for JMOC, lot of effort over the years. Andrea can go back to getting her name in the Nationalist moaning about everything


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 817 ✭✭✭iano.p


    Pat deering lost his seat, just been knocked out. Bobby alward could be in bother. The greens might just sneak in.


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 345 ✭✭Tea Shock


    I didn't vote for her, I didn't want it to happen, but congratulations to her



    Now lets see how she manages the difficulty Pat Deering had - trying to make a racket in the back-benches of the governing party (probably)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,071 ✭✭✭Notmything


    Malcolm Noonan gets the final seat.

    So we have 2 ff, 1 sf, 1 fg, and 1 green.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,732 ✭✭✭BarryD2


    Good to see Malcolm Noonan elected. Wouldn't agree with Greens on everything but my vote would have transferred to him and helped him on the way. Aylward gone is a plus. But once again Carlow is the bridesmaid in terms of representation.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 345 ✭✭Tea Shock


    There have been Dail terms in the not too distant past when Carlow had no TD at all. There are many factors why Carlow usually gets 1 TD.

    Population wise, Carlow has around 36% of the population of the constituency which translates to under 2 seats. This combined with the generally poor standard of Carlow candidate, and the resultant effect that some Carlow voters do not vote for Carlow based candidates, combined with some of the county not even being in the constituency in some past elections, combined with Carlow being closer to Dublin which possibly gives it a higher percentage of non-native voters than Kilkenny has, then one seat is what you'd expect.

    But some other constituency borderline is going to have to be drawn before the next election. The rule is that a TD cannot represent more than 30,000 people - and Carlow/Kilkenny now has 5 TDs representing over 156,000 citizens - or 1 TD per 31,200+ people.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,732 ✭✭✭BarryD2


    Tea Shock wrote: »
    There have been Dail terms in the not too distant past when Carlow had no TD at all. There are many factors why Carlow usually gets 1 TD.

    Population wise, Carlow has around 36% of the population of the constituency which translates to under 2 seats. This combined with the generally poor standard of Carlow candidate, and the resultant effect that some Carlow voters do not vote for Carlow based candidates, combined with some of the county not even being in the constituency in some past elections, combined with Carlow being closer to Dublin which possibly gives it a higher percentage of non-native voters than Kilkenny has, then one seat is what you'd expect.

    But some other constituency borderline is going to have to be drawn before the next election. The rule is that a TD cannot represent more than 30,000 people - and Carlow/Kilkenny now has 5 TDs representing over 156,000 citizens - or 1 TD per 31,200+ people.

    Agree with you about Carlow candidates - found it hard looking down the ballot paper to pick one I'd particularly care to see elected.

    Interesting re population and boundaries, wonder what can be done. Could end up worse for Carlow if carved up again but more substantially and added to Wicklow or Laois Offaly? By rights, they should cut up Kilkenny and add to Waterford etc. That'd really get them going:)

    Not that the 30,000 seems to make much difference? I've written at various times to elected representatives and think I've only ever received one reply.


  • Registered Users Posts: 333 ✭✭Be well and win


    Most constituencies are breaking the 30000 rule, a report in the Indo in 2017 identified 24 of them. I presume there is some legal loophole to get around it


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,480 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    Never thought I’d say this but Jennifer murnane is growing on me. I’ve been impressed with her energy, natural demeanor and general
    Positivity I’ve seen and heard in the debates and in radio. I can see why she reels in the votes - comes across as a definite hard worker


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 60,907 ✭✭✭✭Agent Coulson


    Deering wants to stay on the gravy train and get a seat at the Seanad.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,988 ✭✭✭OptimusTractor


    Deering wants to stay on the gravy train and get a seat at the Seanad.

    Obviously the bank balance didn't take into account he might not get back in.


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