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Storm Hannah : Fri 26 - Sat 27 April 2019

13567…24

Comments

  • #102
    aisling86
    Registered Users Posts: 589 ✭✭✭aisling86


    goat2 wrote: »
    Looking at Meteorites charts, Dingle is going to get an awful hit, right on the path of the worst of it

    Can't wait to see her reaction tomorrow! Well into cat1 strength.


  • #103
    Cork Boy 53
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭Cork Boy 53


    aisling86 wrote: »
    Can't wait to see her reaction tomorrow! Well into cat1 strength.

    I suggest you tell her to look up this thread. If she does she won`t be laughing at you after that.


  • #104
    uck51js9zml2yt
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,268 ✭✭✭✭uck51js9zml2yt


    goat2 wrote: »
    Looking at Meteorites charts, Dingle is going to get an awful hit, right on the path of the worst of it


    I wonder what the Connor Pass would be like ?:D


    If they do call a red warning tomorrow I hope its early to allow us get home from work.


  • #105
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,981 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    The 18z icon ups the ante even more.
    If the gfs shows similar I would be fairly certain a red warning will be issued before morning.
    It's getting serious for Kerry and Cork folks!!


  • #106
    Cork Boy 53
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭Cork Boy 53


    igCorcaigh wrote: »
    I wonder are businesses going to close early? It's going to hit at after work revelling time in the city. Pubs would be pressed to stay open.

    If a red warning is issued yes they will. Otherwise it will be up to each individual business whether to let staff go home early. Some may but the majority probably will not.


  • #107
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,186 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    JanuarySnowstor wrote: »
    The 18z icon ups the ante even more.
    If the gfs shows similar I would be fairly certain a red warning will be issued before morning.
    It's getting serious for Kerry and Cork folks!!

    What’s it showing?


  • #108
    Cork Boy 53
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭Cork Boy 53


    JanuarySnowstor wrote: »
    The 18z icon ups the ante even more.
    If the gfs shows similar I would be fairly certain a red warning will be issued before morning.
    It's getting serious for Kerry and Cork folks!!

    Would there not have to be a meeting of the National Emergency Coordination Council or,whatever they are called, before a red warning would be issued?


  • #109
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,981 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    munsterlegend wrote: »
    What’s it showing?
    A really tight gradient between 6pm and midnight across Kerry Cork and parts of Waterford. Potent for mid winter but in April with trees in leaf?...


  • #110
    Itssoeasy
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,338 ✭✭✭✭Itssoeasy


    aisling86 wrote: »
    goat2 wrote: »
    Looking at Meteorites charts, Dingle is going to get an awful hit, right on the path of the worst of it

    Can't wait to see her reaction tomorrow! Well into cat1 strength.
    If the way the great and the good are talking your friend could look like a blood donor who forgot to say stop. I hope the top shelf stuff is in good supply in dingle.


  • #111
    uck51js9zml2yt
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,268 ✭✭✭✭uck51js9zml2yt


    JanuarySnowstor wrote: »
    A really tight gradient between 6pm and midnight across Kerry Cork and parts of Waterford. Potent for mid winter but in April with trees in leaf?...
    I assume thats tomorrow!!


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  • #112
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,901 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Relax. It will all blow over.


  • #113
    uck51js9zml2yt
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,268 ✭✭✭✭uck51js9zml2yt


    Kermit.de.frog wrote: »
    Relax. It will all blow over.


    Easy for you to say. I'm 175m asl facing the atlantic:eek:


  • #114
    Itssoeasy
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,338 ✭✭✭✭Itssoeasy


    Kermit.de.frog wrote: »
    Relax. It will all blow over.
    Blow over garden furniture and other stuff.


  • #115
    Steopo
    Registered Users Posts: 239 ✭✭Steopo


    Expect Easter’s warm weather brought a lot of items out of hibernation so expect some reports from South tomorrow on flying trampolines, basketball nets, garden furniture ....


  • #116
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,069 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ICON 18Z Max Gusts.

    Even if it does just reach 130 km/h gusts it is still a severe wind event. Going through relatively quickly but it only takes a short time of high winds this time of year to cause damage.

    Enlarged Pic to see the colours and corresponding wind speeds a bit clearer.


    Meteociel


    gwUjLHl.png?6


  • #117
    SleetAndSnow
    Registered Users Posts: 4,693 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    Looking at that the Cork City will have some strong winds aswell as West cork?


  • #118
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,186 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    Steopo wrote: »
    Expect Easter’s warm weather brought a lot of items out of hibernation so expect some reports from South tomorrow on flying trampolines, basketball nets, garden furniture ....

    I put a good few things away this evening where I am in north cork.


  • #119
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,901 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Steopo wrote: »
    expect some reports from South tomorrow on flying trampolines

    Aye!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UPKb9z4l7eM


  • #120
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,981 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    The 18z gfs is more or less the same as the previous run. Very localised event Cork city could be stormy while Charleville is calm.


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  • #121
    jasper100
    Closed Accounts Posts: 455 ✭✭jasper100


    Cork Boy 53 wrote: »
    If a red warning is issued yes they will. Otherwise it will be up to each individual business whether to let staff go home early. Some may but the majority probably will not.

    I don't think businesses are compelled to close if there is a red alert?

    I think we had a red a alert nationwide a couple of years ago when most of the country saw nothing of interest, and a pissing contest ensued as to who should pay for staff wages etc. when the business closed etc.


  • #122
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,069 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    EURO 4 was showing lower wind speeds this morning ( post 49 ) , higher on the 12Z .

    The main thing is that projected wind speeds have been maintaining if not rising slightly in most models for the last few runs.


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  • #123
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,981 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    The arpege 18z also looks like a slight upgrade this evening though I find it hard to view on mobile.
    I suppose, and rightly so Met Eireann will wait until the morning to make a final call between red and orange. It isn't an easy call but safety would probably sway them to red


  • #124
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,069 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    This is ICON - Flash 1 day Hi Res model said to ' adapt to rapidly changing weather situations ', just runs to 30 hrs so in this case 22.00 Fri night, will keep an eye on it to see how it fares.


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  • #125
    sdanseo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,234 ✭✭✭sdanseo


    Red not going to happen based on those. Met will just not issue based on such localised and brief potential for >130kmh at the surface

    Those 140 150 160 spot figures are mountain tops


  • #126
    uck51js9zml2yt
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,268 ✭✭✭✭uck51js9zml2yt


    sdanseo wrote: »

    Those 140 150 160 spot figures are mountain tops

    That's my house appearing in an episode of the wizard of Oz then!


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  • #127
    Jpmarn
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,484 ✭✭✭Jpmarn


    I wouldn’t like to be on top of Gaurrantohil at the height of the storm.


  • #128
    Itssoeasy
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,338 ✭✭✭✭Itssoeasy


    There seems to be people staying on the great blasket island for the next couple of months. I mean it’s a lovely spot but I wouldn’t like to be there on that island tomorrow evening.


  • #129
    pauldry
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,175 ✭✭✭pauldry


    A wild night tomorrow but no need for Red Alert. Its not in peak time for work or schools...

    High Level Orange very dangerous winds stay in bed and out of the pub!


  • #130
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,069 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ARPEGE 18Z just rolling out and would agree with JanuarySnowstor that it is another upgrade.

    Showing winds gusting 140 km/h widespread in Kerry and 140 km/h overland as part of the stripe of wind ( of which a large area showing to be gusting to 130 km/h ) running from roughly Kilrush area to around Middleton.

    Well , even if it is overestimating it a bit it is still showing serious severe wind gusts . ARPEGE one of the better models.

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  • #131
    Oscar Bravo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,207 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Cork airport TAF issued now and valid until midnight Friday giving max gusts of 60 knots between 8pm and 10pm. Certainly enough to disrupt flights. Winds increasing from 3pm onwards.


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  • #132
    Oscar Bravo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,207 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Shannon Airport forecasting max gusts of 62 knots between 8pm-10pm


  • #133
    Ultimate Seduction
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,464 ✭✭✭Ultimate Seduction


    Graces7 must be batting down the hatches no sign of her on this thread hope all's well


  • #134
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,069 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    I hope the AROME is wrong or I will be getting gusts 150 km/h+ just above sea level here in Kerry !

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  • #135
    igCorcaigh
    Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 11,647 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    Lovely heavy rainfall now


  • #136
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,981 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Well looking at the 00z icon looks like yet another small upgrade. We've had minor upgrades on almost every run which is remarkable so close to the event.


  • #137
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,981 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    The 00z gfs is a fraction further North but splitting hairs really with previous run.


  • #138
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,981 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Gem looks severe certain red for the southwest.
    Of course it's not one of the most prominent models. Ukmo hard to judge as it's first frame is 24hrs rather than 18.
    If it was me I would go red for Kerry and Cork as being the correct call. Particularly as trees are now in leaf and more damage is likely.
    Reading the morning text from Met Eireann they mention the word 'damaging gusts' quite a bit which tells me they are thinking red aswell

    EDIT: Changes now to the orange alert with Tipperary and Waterford added


  • #139
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,981 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    The local munster forecast on Met Eireann now updated and advising extreme caution for West of the province. That's got Red written all over it so would expect an updated warning very soon


  • #140
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,186 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    JanuarySnowstor wrote: »
    The local munster forecast on Met Eireann now updated and advising extreme caution for West of the province. That's got Red written all over it so would expect an updated warning very soon

    Thanks for the early updates. Forecast looks quite severe for Kerry/West Cork. Might be a warning update later this morning.


  • #141
    Graces7
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    Ultimate Seduction wrote: »
    Graces7 must be batting down the hatches no sign of her on this thread hope all's well

    i am here; listening to a wild fierce wind and deluging rain out here..
    What met says re Connaught is way off beam.

    "A damp or wet start to the day with outbreaks of rain but drying out for a time later this morning. Wet and breezy weather will develop this afternoon, in freshening southerly winds, strong to near gale on the west Galway and southwest Mayo coast. Cool, with top temperatures of 8 to 10 degrees."

    Seems to be way ahead here. Wet and breezy already; hoping this does not mean the storm is ahead of schedule .

    Have to bring seed trays in is all. Again! Stay safe folks.


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  • #142
    leahyl
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,322 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    Eh the warnings have disappeared from the met Éireann site....they are updating methinks!!


  • #143
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,186 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    leahyl wrote: »
    Eh the warnings have disappeared from the met Éireann site....they are updating methinks!!

    Well spotted so early in the day!

    Back up again and still orange.


  • #144
    leahyl
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,322 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    munsterlegend wrote: »
    Well spotted so early in the day!

    Back up again and still orange.

    Ah I was sure from reading the last few posts here that they were gonna go red!


  • #145
    aisling86
    Registered Users Posts: 589 ✭✭✭aisling86


    I have never seen met eireann produce anything with so many variants of extreme written on it!! Now the big question, stay in Macroom or head to the city.


  • #146
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,186 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    aisling86 wrote: »
    I have never seen met eireann produce anything with so many variants of extreme written on it!! Now the big question, stay in Macroom or head to the city.

    Yeah I think they will go red for Cork/Kerry. They usually update those warnings around 10am or might be waiting on their own latest model run.


  • #147
    blackwave
    Registered Users Posts: 832 ✭✭✭blackwave


    Hate to be one of those posters but I am driving home from Dublin to South Kilkenny tonight. Leaving Dublin around 8ish usually I go down the M9, am I best off to leave it till tomorrow morning or go down the coast road (M11)?


  • #148
    SeaBreezes
    Registered Users Posts: 1,525 ✭✭✭SeaBreezes


    Put up a trampoline Easter weekend. Have spent the last few days weighing it down and tying it to trees. Fingers crossed. Near Kinsale.


  • #149
    prunudo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,627 ✭✭✭prunudo


    Jpmarn wrote: »
    I wouldn’t like to be on top of Gaurrantohil at the height of the storm.

    Bar the obvious danger element I've always thought it be great to be on top of a mountain during a storm. Just to observe and feel the sheer power and rawness of nature.


  • #150
    Graces7
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    Been out to rescue seed trays. The sky to the south /west is dramatic. No mountains but a solid wall of deep dark blue clouds.
    Ominously shuddering..

    met ie are catching up a litttle

    But they keep changing the wind direction?

    west mayo offshore island


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  • #151
    Graces7
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    jvan wrote: »
    Bar the obvious danger element I've always thought it be great to be on top of a mountain during a storm. Just to observe and feel the sheer power and rawness of nature.

    we get that out here too; west mayo offshore and it is where we live and have to cope also with the everyday things of life.


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