UFC/MMA Gambling. NO AFTER-TIMING

CageWager · 26-10-2011 10:04pm

Minowaman wrote: »

Your breakdown isn't bad, although I would disagree with that Japanese connection. I know that fighters often lose when they go to the UFC but
1. Kid Yamamoto hasn't been the same fighter since his injury and was given a very tough fight for his 1st fight in the UFC.
2. Gomi has been past his prime for years.
3. Fukuda won that fight
4. Omigawa won one of those fights
5. Hioki is in his prime and training in the US (I believe) and Roop isn't actually a very good fighter

Also, big accumulators are not the way to go in the long run.

Fair points, im not a fan of accumulators, usually do big singles but there was no one on this card id be willing to put €500-1k on to win at the odds available.

You make a good case for Hioki, he looks good alright, i'll be very interested to see how he gets on..

fightireland · 27-10-2011 3:50pm

For what it's worth my tip of the weekend is a €/£10 accumulator on Penn, Mitrione, Roop, Griffin, Cerrone, Jorgenson and Nijem wins you 250!

Skybet are doing a tenner free bet to new customers - HERE

Denners.ie · 27-10-2011 3:55pm

Diaz seems like the best value I have seen in a while tbh.

Diaz forces a relentless pace and the cardio lacking Penn will eventually wilt imo.

mailburner · 28-10-2011 12:48pm

Denners.ie wrote: »

Diaz seems like the best value I have seen in a while tbh.

been thinking that also since this fight was made

mailburner · 28-10-2011 6:33pm

went for the double of
mitrione and diaz at 5/7+21/20 (lads)

i've a big bet on by my standards
I'm quite confident but after schaub and more
recently guillard i'm not expecting anything anymore

really like mitrione and can see him taking everything
kongo throws at him and winning
i think diaz will frustrate penn with his reach and win
a comfortable points decision

was tempted by diaz points at 2s also

mailburner · 30-10-2011 2:07am

small bet with tiny stake for an interest

doubles and trebles on

crocop points 11/2
roop points 9/2
mitrione points 4/1

unlikely, but you never know

MrsStuffings · 30-10-2011 2:12am

20 notes on a diaz win at 2.08 on betfair. fingers crossed.

yesno1234 · 30-10-2011 4:14am

Lads anyone a stream for the fight, gonna watch my first UFC fight:D

Cheers, and apologies if it's against the charter.

CageWager · 03-11-2011 10:01pm

I know theres not much gambling excitement to be found on this card but I do fancy a punt on Brad Pickett at 11/10 to beat Renan Barao. Pickett always caught my eye when he fought in the WEC, especially when beating Demetrious Johnson.. Barao, although he's on a crazy 26 fight win streak hasn't really beaten anyone of note thus far.

Anyone have any inspiration for the other fights?

Mellor · 04-11-2011 5:55am

Munoz at 2/3 sounds good to me
Or 3/1 by decision sounds good too

loremolis · 05-11-2011 1:23pm

Mellor wrote: »

Munoz at 2/3 sounds good to me
Or 3/1 by decision sounds good too

I was just thinking the same thing about Leben at 15/8 (PP)

A Leben & Pickett double to win is just over 4/1.

I can't see Leben losing this. He's too good on his feet and he's not easy to take down.

themandan6611 · 15-11-2011 11:09pm

fancy a big punt on Rua against Hendo - 5/7 on b.f

scudzilla · 15-11-2011 11:13pm

themandan6611 wrote: »

fancy a big punt on Rua against Hendo - 5/7 on b.f

I've highlighted what i think's wrong here

Hendo is far too experienced and on a great run, putting a Big punt on him losing ain't the wisest of moves, especially after Shogun's last outing.

Is this a 5 rounder?

welchy · 16-11-2011 12:26am

Yup, 5 rounder.

I learned long ago not to bet against Henderson. A nice profit was made when he was 2/1 to beat Fedor

themandan6611 · 16-11-2011 12:29am

welchy wrote: »

Yup, 5 rounder.

I learned long ago not to bet against Henderson. A nice profit was made when he was 2/1 to beat Fedor

and i made some on that too, just fancy Rua to come really good. Think he will dominate Hendo.

Secretariat · 16-11-2011 12:44am

I love Rua but don't think he is beating Hendo.

There has been some value recently within the MMA markets with Diaz, Hendo and JDS all overpriced.

Mr. Manager · 16-11-2011 3:53am

Secretariat wrote: »

I love Rua but don't think he is beating Hendo.

There has been some value recently within the MMA markets with Diaz, Hendo and JDS all overpriced.

I got JDS to win in the first round at 9/2. Way over priced IMO but wasn't complaining as I cashed out

CageWager · 17-11-2011 4:11am

I think Martin Kampmann is good value at 5/4, I don't see him as the underdog against Story at all.

Mr. Manager · 19-11-2011 4:17pm

Lost my marbles and went a bit mad on this one... Best case scenario is a return of €700

Worst case scenario, I lose €250

El Guapo! · 19-11-2011 10:47pm

I did these couple of bets just for fun. Only bet a couple of euro cause everytime I bet more than a tenner I usually lose horribly!

Ian Whelan · 02-12-2011 12:42pm

Overeem v Lesnar Odds are here.

Big difference of opinion between the bookies. I thin 6/4 Lesnar is a bit big myself.

http://www.oddschecker.com/other-sports/mma-ufc/brock-lesnar-v-alistair-overeem/winner

The Belcher · 03-12-2011 3:30am

I have a few quid on Dodson in the finale at 9/5 and some on Bisping to win on points at 9/4.

ciano316 · 04-12-2011 2:33am

Bisping
Dodson
Brandao
Ferguson

ciano316 · 04-12-2011 4:59am

ciano316 wrote: »

Bisping
Dodson
Brandao
Ferguson

Yay, although in my opinion Yves Edwards beat Tony Ferguson. Ah well money's money

CageWager · 08-12-2011 5:52pm

Lads, Frank Mir is 4/1 with Paddy Power to win by KO/TKO... that seems pretty damn likely to me if their last fight is anything to go by..

loremolis · 08-12-2011 8:01pm

CageWager wrote: »

Lads, Frank Mir is 4/1 with Paddy Power to win by KO/TKO... that seems pretty damn likely to me if their last fight is anything to go by..

Big Nog at 9/1 for a KO/TKO is even better IMO.

If he can KO Schaub then he can do it to MIR.

Both of these guys are too good on the ground to get submitted and I can't see it going the distance if they decide to stand and trade like they did last time.

My money is on a KO win for either of them.

Mellor · 09-12-2011 1:14am

Jones by TKO at evens is free money

Leeg17 · 09-12-2011 6:39pm

CageWager wrote: »

Lads, Frank Mir is 4/1 with Paddy Power to win by KO/TKO... that seems pretty damn likely to me if their last fight is anything to go by..

Are you sure it was 4/1 yesterday at the time of posting?

It's 9/4 here which is more towards what I would have said it might be..

deisedave · 09-12-2011 6:44pm

03:00 Antonio Rodrigo Noguiera v Frank Mir
2/1
4/11
5
03:00 Antonio Rogerio Nogueira v Tito Ortiz
4/9
7/4
P power have antonio rogerio nogueira down for two fights whats happening there

weemcd · 09-12-2011 6:52pm

deisedave wrote: »

03:00 Antonio Rodrigo Noguiera v Frank Mir
2/1
4/11
5
03:00 Antonio Rogerio Nogueira v Tito Ortiz
4/9
7/4
P power have antonio rogerio nogueira down for two fights whats happening there

They are brothers:cool:

CageWager · 09-12-2011 7:06pm

Leeg17 wrote: »

Are you sure it was 4/1 yesterday at the time of posting?

It's 9/4 here which is more towards what I would have said it might be..

They must have read my blog! Smart boyos

(im not sure when exactly the price changed, I placed my bet early yesterday but as far as I can remember I rechecked the price when I posted the original comment around 5pm yesterday so they must have changed it today)

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ieoin · 09-12-2011 9:16pm

What bookies were giving these odds?

Mr. Manager · 09-12-2011 11:15pm

EDIT: To add other bet slip

The long shot :pac:

CageWager · 10-12-2011 12:33am

ieoin wrote: »

What bookies were giving these odds?

The 4/1 on a Mir KO was with paddy power

El Guapo! · 10-12-2011 1:31am

Here's mine:

(I did the Tito bet just for a bit of fun :pac:)

dave1982 · 10-12-2011 12:01pm

Felt like a gamble:D emptied the paypal acc

Mir, Frank @ 4/11

Ortiz, Tito @ 19/10

Jung, Chan Sung @ 16/5

Soszynski, Krzysztof @ 4/11

Jones, Jon @ 1/5

Total stake € 16.43
Estimated return € 446.54
Full stake € 16.43
Full estimated return € 446.54

babymanval · 10-12-2011 2:27pm

What would happen if you put:

Jones
Antonio R. Nogueira
Soszynski

... on a docket in a bookies? It would most likely be taken in by on of the doddery women behind the counter, and not queried for it's ambiguity. Then, Jones/Soszyncki win, as well as one or another of the Nog's, and you claim that was the Nog you bet on when it's time to collect??

I am presuming bookies have last say in cases of dispute and could sever the ambiguous bet - and you can escalate the issue if you feel hard done by - but how strong a case would you have? I guess it would be akin to writing "Sheffield" or "Bristol" on a football docket.

ben.schlomo · 10-12-2011 2:43pm

babymanval wrote: »

What would happen if you put:

Jones
Antonio R. Nogueira
Soszynski

... on a docket in a bookies? It would most likely be taken in by on of the doddery women behind the counter, and not queried for it's ambiguity. Then, Jones/Soszyncki win, as well as one or another of the Nog's, and you claim that was the Nog you bet on when it's time to collect??

I am presuming bookies have last say in cases of dispute and could sever the ambiguous bet - and you can escalate the issue if you feel hard done by - but how strong a case would you have? I guess it would be akin to writing "Sheffield" or "Bristol" on a football docket.

The bookies tend to have a rule for every possible eventuality so id be guessing you would never get away with it.

Mellor · 10-12-2011 3:14pm

It's not clear who you are betting on so its a void bet
You are supposed to but down the odds, which would clarify which fighter

callaway92 · 10-12-2011 8:08pm

My bet for the night

UFC Matches Antonio Rogerio Nogueira v Tito Ortiz
11-12-2011 02:15
Match Betting
Tito Ortiz @ 7/4

UFC Matches Mark Bocek v Nik Lentz
10-12-2011 21:30
Match Betting
Nik Lentz @ 5/4

UFC Matches Jon Jones v Lyoto Machida
11-12-2011 03:00
Match Betting
Jon Jones @ 1/5

Spanish La Liga Matches Real Madrid v Barcelona Money-Back Special
10-12-2011 21:00
Win-Draw-Win
Real Madrid @ 8/5
Your Bets

Accumulator (4)
1 line at €19.07 per line
Total stake for this bet: €19.07
Potential returns: €368.15

Mr. Manager · 11-12-2011 2:12am

Well, there goes that.

El Guapo! · 11-12-2011 2:16am

At least ya still have your treble!

Mr. Manager · 11-12-2011 2:40am

Dean09 wrote: »

At least ya still have your treble!

Yea, in fairness, it was just something to make the prelims a bit more interesting. 0/2 now

Let's hope it turns around for the real money fights.

dave1982 · 11-12-2011 2:42am

fcking 0.35 rd 1 :mad:

docdolittle · 11-12-2011 4:13am

My first online bet and I won :pac:

El Guapo! · 29-12-2011 6:10pm

So how's everybody parting with their money on this one??!

I did this accumulator to make it interesting. The main one I'd be worried about is the Junior Assuncao bet. But I just don't like Ross Pearson so I couldn't bring myself to bet on him!

Not the best way to gamble I know but sure it's just a bit of fun.

MrStuffins · 29-12-2011 7:36pm

Lads, if you're looking for value then Paddy Power are giving 8/1 on Brock via submission!

That's shocking! I've stuck €20 on.

My main bet is €25 to return €98.01 on a double of Brock via TKO & Cerrone to win.

I'll stick a proper accumulator on when I get the chance.

The Belcher · 29-12-2011 9:41pm

I've got cerrone to win on points at 2/1 and a small double on Fitch and Matyushenko.
Fitch a cert in my opinion and while I'm not overly confident on Maty at 11/4 he is a bit overpriced I think.

Also did Lesnar at 13/10

Shazbot · 29-12-2011 10:08pm

I've put a small amount on Cerrone by ko and Lesnar by ko. it's something in the range of 20/1 but they both have the ability to stop their opponents.

I also put an accumulator on Pham, Fitch, mathushenko, Cerrone and Lesnar.

ieoin · 29-12-2011 10:24pm

ladbrokes were given these crazy odds last night....there half now

UFC/MMA Gambling. **NO AFTER-TIMING**

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UFC/MMA Gambling. NO AFTER-TIMING