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Dublin mid west election 2020

13»

Comments

  • #102
    average_runner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,855 ✭✭✭✭average_runner


    brick tamland wrote: »
    Hard to call now.

    I can see Curran losing out. Kenny and Higgins look good but gogarty will get a big green vote if he can stay in.

    Casserly will pick up the gogarty vote also


  • #103
    brick tamland
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,475 ✭✭✭brick tamland


    average_runner wrote: »
    I can see Curran losing out. Kenny and Higgins look good but gogarty will get a big green vote if he can stay in.

    Casserly will pick up the gogarty vote also

    FG will probably get a seat but which candidate im not sure. Can Gino get enough transfers to get past curran? Im not sure curran will transfer well


  • #104
    niallo32
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 619 ✭✭✭niallo32


    brick tamland wrote: »
    FG will probably get a seat but which candidate im not sure. Can Gino get enough transfers to get past curran? Im not sure curran will transfer well

    Curran has picked up 520 transfers to around 70 each from Higgins and Casserly

    Gino gaining fast on Higgins


  • #105
    average_runner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,855 ✭✭✭✭average_runner


    niallo32 wrote: »
    Curran has picked up 520 transfers to around 70 each from Higgins and Casserly

    Gino gaining fast on Higgins

    Yeah that was a ff candidate though, so was expected


  • #106
    antimatterx
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,996 ✭✭✭antimatterx


    Kenny now in 4th.

    Although Higgins *should* be safe after transfers


  • #107
    Nika Bolokov
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 651 ✭✭✭Nika Bolokov


    Poor Gino nearly gave up this morning but he's very much back in it the mix


  • #108
    average_runner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,855 ✭✭✭✭average_runner


    Nika Bolokov wrote: »
    Poor Gino nearly gave up this morning but he's very much back in it the mix

    Yep, but the big transfers from fg still to come


  • #109
    brick tamland
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,475 ✭✭✭brick tamland


    Does counting stop gor night at a certain point?


  • #110
    cherryghost
    Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 17,135 Mod ✭✭✭✭cherryghost


    I assume Gogarty and Kavanagh will have more Gino transfers though? Might still be close call


  • #111
    average_runner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,855 ✭✭✭✭average_runner


    cherryghost wrote: »
    I assume Gogarty and Kavanagh will have more Gino transfers though? Might still be close call

    Would expect gogarty to go to vicki.
    Very slow at the counting.

    Still think Kenny and higgins will get in. Gogarty could nag fifth. Think Curran is in real trouble


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  • #112
    duffman13
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,025 ✭✭✭duffman13


    average_runner wrote: »
    Would expect gogarty to go to vicki.
    Very slow at the counting.

    Still think Kenny and higgins will get in. Gogarty could nag fifth. Think Curran is in real trouble

    Curran should transfer well from Kavanagh I think but it's a toss up really, I think he'll scrape over with Higgins, Gino is transfer friendly with Casserly as will Higgins be, so might be close yet but still leaning Curran and Higgins at this point


  • #113
    brick tamland
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,475 ✭✭✭brick tamland


    average_runner wrote: »
    Would expect gogarty to go to vicki.
    Very slow at the counting.

    Still think Kenny and higgins will get in. Gogarty could nag fifth. Think Curran is in real trouble


    Not many between VC and PG. Gogarty may pass her with the green transfers


  • #114
    average_runner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,855 ✭✭✭✭average_runner


    brick tamland wrote: »
    Not many between VC and PG. Gogarty may pass her with the green transfers

    All over for the night now.


  • #115
    r93kaey5p2izun
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,962 ✭✭✭r93kaey5p2izun


    So did they complete the 6th count or not?


  • #116
    IvySlayer
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,190 ✭✭✭✭IvySlayer


    Count 6 is completed with Curran and Gino ahead of Casserly and Higgins

    John Curran - 5704
    Gino - 5115
    Higgins - 4879
    Casserly - 3835
    Gogarthy - 3784

    Would love if FG didn't get any seats, a clear message how incompetent they have been.


  • #117
    r93kaey5p2izun
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,962 ✭✭✭r93kaey5p2izun


    IvySlayer wrote: »
    Count 6 is completed with Curran and Gino ahead of Casserly and Higgins

    John Curran - 5704
    Gino - 5115
    Higgins - 4879
    Casserly - 3835
    Gogarthy - 3784

    Would love if FG didn't get any seats, a clear message how incompetent they have been.

    Gogarty's transfers will help Casserly and FG will get one in. Unfortunately. I'm very sorry for Gino but I don't think he'll make it.


  • #118
    Pherekydes
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,190 ✭✭✭✭Pherekydes


    I still think Kenny can overtake Curran, and I don't think Casserly will catch Higgins.

    It'll be very tight in the end.


  • #119
    r93kaey5p2izun
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,962 ✭✭✭r93kaey5p2izun


    Hold on - what about Kavanagh?


  • #120
    Dodge
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,308 ✭✭✭✭Dodge


    Vivian Ashy Attic wrote: »
    Hold on - what about Kavanagh?

    Kavanagh has just been eliminated. His transfers are up next


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  • #121
    r93kaey5p2izun
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,962 ✭✭✭r93kaey5p2izun


    I think Curran will get a good chunk of Kavanagh's transfers. It may also help Gogarty pass Casserly, but that will just ensure Higgins comes in on her elimination.


  • #122
    Pherekydes
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,190 ✭✭✭✭Pherekydes


    I missed Kavanagh when reckoning the transfers. Gogarty should leapfrog Casserly, which will eliminate her. Her transfers won't elect Higgins, so the next elimination will be one of Curran, Kenny or Gogarty. If Kenny can overtake Curran on Kavanagh's or Casserly's transfers then Curran could lose out.

    Then, Curran benefits
    who?
    . :D


  • #123
    average_runner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,855 ✭✭✭✭average_runner


    Pherekydes wrote: »
    I missed Kavanagh when reckoning the transfers. Gogarty should leapfrog Casserly, which will eliminate her. Her transfers won't elect Higgins, so the next elimination will be one of Curran, Kenny or Gogarty. If Kenny can overtake Curran on Kavanagh's or Casserly's transfers then Curran could lose out.

    Then, Curran benefits
    who?
    . :D




    Casserly gone, think Gogarty will go next, gino in third so looks safe. Higgins and Curran in a fight off


  • #124
    ShyMets
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,469 ✭✭✭ShyMets


    average_runner wrote: »
    Casserly gone, think Gogarty will go next, gino in third so looks safe. Higgins and Curran in a fight off

    You would expect Casserly to transfer heavily to Higgins


  • #125
    brick tamland
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,475 ✭✭✭brick tamland


    average_runner wrote: »
    Casserly gone, think Gogarty will go next, gino in third so looks safe. Higgins and Curran in a fight off

    Depends on where VC transfers go. Gogarty may get more from VC than higgins. Gogarty not dead tet


  • #126
    ShyMets
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,469 ✭✭✭ShyMets


    brick tamland wrote: »
    Depends on where VC transfers go. Gogarty may get more from VC than higgins. Gogarty not dead tet

    Good point. I forgot that both are Lucan based. Might play a role in the transfer pattern


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  • #127
    Dodge
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,308 ✭✭✭✭Dodge


    Curran 152 votes ahead of Kenny for that last seat

    Gogarty’s 5,000+ votes to be distributed


  • #128
    cherryghost
    Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 17,135 Mod ✭✭✭✭cherryghost


    Ginos got it! Curran is out.


  • #129
    cherryghost
    Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 17,135 Mod ✭✭✭✭cherryghost


    unkel wrote: »
    Link?

    Here. Just announced on RTE there also.


  • #130
    unkel
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 65,705 ✭✭✭✭unkel
    Chauffe, Marcel, chauffe!


    Found it. Jaysus SF, SF, FG, PBP

    My ads on adverts.ie

    https://www.adverts.ie/member/5856/ads



  • #131
    average_runner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,855 ✭✭✭✭average_runner


    Delighted Curran is out. Not a fan of SF but the people have spoken so best of luck to them


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  • #132
    SEPT 23 1989
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 43,028 ✭✭✭✭SEPT 23 1989


    Well done Emer


  • #133
    brick tamland
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,475 ✭✭✭brick tamland



    Bit of a shock that, I’d imagine this time last week Curran was possibly in line for a senior government post



    Cant say I’m a fan of Curran either TBF


  • #134
    r93kaey5p2izun
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,962 ✭✭✭r93kaey5p2izun


    Well, I'm not sorry for Curran, but I'm very sorry Higgins got in. I'm surprised and delighted for Gino.


  • #135
    Thrashssacre
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,269 ✭✭✭Thrashssacre


    What an awful bunch of public representatives were sending.


  • #136
    Dodge
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,308 ✭✭✭✭Dodge


    Thrashssacre wrote: »
    What an awful bunch of public representatives were sending.

    What you mean is ‘the people don’t think the same as me’

    Because O Brion and Kenny are excellent public representatives. Ward has been decent at local level and Higgins is a new comer. Let’s see what she’s like now

    and I say that as someone who didn’t give any of them their first preference


  • #137
    Pherekydes
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,190 ✭✭✭✭Pherekydes


    duffman13 wrote: »
    The bookies have it

    Curran 1/50
    O'Brioin 1/14
    Ward 3/10
    Higgins 4/6
    Gogarty 7/4
    Gino 7/4

    :pac:


  • #138
    Sir Oxman
    Closed Accounts Posts: 8,492 ✭✭✭Sir Oxman


    Vivian Ashy Attic wrote: »
    Well, I'm not sorry for Curran, but I'm very sorry Higgins got in. I'm surprised and delighted for Gino.
    Agree.
    I do.not.like.Higgins.


    Didn't Curran survive the cull of 2011?


    If so, LOL>
    Delighted Kenny got in.


  • #139
    ShyMets
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,469 ✭✭✭ShyMets


    Sir Oxman wrote: »
    Agree.
    I do.not.like.Higgins.


    Didn't Curran survive the cull of 2011?


    If so, LOL>
    Delighted Kenny got in.

    No lost it in 2011. Won in back in the last election.


  • #140
    Dodge
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,308 ✭✭✭✭Dodge


    Curran in Dublin Mid West since the constituency was created

    2002 - topped poll
    2007 - topped poll
    2011 - 6th - unelected
    2016 - 3rd - elected
    2020 - 3rd - unelected


  • #141
    ShyMets
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,469 ✭✭✭ShyMets


    Dodge wrote: »
    Curran in Dublin Mid West since the constituency was created

    2002 - topped poll
    2007 - topped poll
    2011 - 6th - unelected
    2016 - 3rd - elected
    2020 - 3rd - unelected

    Bit of a roller coaster there. He's only 59 so fully expect him to make another run come next election


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  • #142
    JimsAlterEgo
    Registered Users Posts: 1,917 ✭✭✭JimsAlterEgo


    do we ever get to see a breakdown of what areas vote for each cantidate?


  • #143
    killbillvol2
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,178 ✭✭✭killbillvol2


    JimsAlterEgo wrote: »
    do we ever get to see a breakdown of what areas vote for each cantidate?

    Somebody posted it earlier in the thread. It was based on tallies I think but they're very accurate.


  • #144
    a very cool kid
    Closed Accounts Posts: 504 ✭✭✭a very cool kid


    Now the government is formed and 3/4 TDs elected wanted nothing to do with it, do we think these representatives are a benefit to the area?


  • #145
    Dodge
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,308 ✭✭✭✭Dodge


    a very cool kid wrote: »
    Now the government is formed and 3/4 TDs elected wanted nothing to do with it, do we think these representatives are a benefit to the area?

    A better way of asking that question is what can members of a government do for an area and what examples can you give of it working in the past


  • #146
    average_runner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,855 ✭✭✭✭average_runner


    Dodge wrote: »
    A better way of asking that question is what can members of a government do for an area and what examples can you give of it working in the past




    The last 10 years we got alot of sport facilities out of it. Fitzgerald pushed for alot of it with the Councillors from various parties or independents.


  • #147
    a very cool kid
    Closed Accounts Posts: 504 ✭✭✭a very cool kid


    There is f*** all going there in the next five years. I guess I suppose it was worth it to give the "establishment" a bloody nose.

    A posh careerist champagne socialist without a clue, a dope who tried to scam a homeless house and a stoner. Great choices.


  • #148
    r93kaey5p2izun
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,962 ✭✭✭r93kaey5p2izun


    I didn't vote for SF or FG. I gave Gino a preference, not #1. I do not feel Higgins will bring any more benefit to the constituency, directly or indirectly, than the others. Nor did Fitzgerald before her.

    I did not feel confidence in any candidates based on combination of party and individual ability, and found voting difficult this time. Overall I think we have exceptionally weak GE candidates in the constituency, apart from Eoin O'Broin. Some very good local reps, but I don't personally see them performing effectively in the Dail either if elected. I have low expectations of the current lot, but not really much more confidence that those who lost out would be any better, even the ones I voted for.


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