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Ethiopian Airlines Crash/ B737MAX grounding

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,277 ✭✭✭✭smurfjed


    Why didnt we get the 757 NEO? or OLE or any shortened version?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,201 ✭✭✭troyzer


    smurfjed wrote: »
    Why didnt we get the 757 NEO? or OLE or any shortened version?

    It still doesn't get around the issue that there are loads of airlines which only operate the 737 who need the range but can't afford to retrain or get new pilots. They want their existing fleet composition, which they're certified to fly, to go further.

    That's exactly what the 320neo gives them right now off the shelf. Assuming they already operate 320s.

    Or they don't operate 757s anyway, they're very niché. They haven't made any in 15 years.


  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators Posts: 9,933 Mod ✭✭✭✭Tenger


    smurfjed wrote: »
    Why didnt we get the 757 NEO? or OLE or any shortened version?
    As noted about the B757 isn’t/wasn’t the massive workhorse that the B737 is.
    In addition the B757 received a boost in popularity AFTER production actually ended. (i think it ended on 2003 with only 5-6 orders in the last year)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,072 ✭✭✭sunnysoutheast


    Often wondered why Boeing didn't do a wholesale redesign of the 737 main gear somewhere along the line. Low clearance has been a constraint since the -300.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,201 ✭✭✭troyzer


    Often wondered why Boeing didn't do a wholesale redesign of the 737 main gear somewhere along the line. Low clearance has been a constraint since the -300.

    Because it would be too significant a change for it to keep the current certification.

    They might as well design a new plane if they're going to have to recertify and retrain all the pilots.


  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators Posts: 6,522 Mod ✭✭✭✭Irish Steve


    The game changer for the 757 was the advent of the winglets, they both improved the range, and there were performance improvements as well. It wasn't a Boeing enhancement, it came from an external supplier, several years after Boeing closed the production line, and then when people realised the advantages, to coin a phrase, they went viral. The 757 has been very successful in recent years on longer routes that could not justify the use of a wide body aircraft, and they have continued in use in this role, the big problem for the airlines is that there are fewer airframes available, as a significant number of 757's have been converted for use as freighters, and a significant number have been scrapped, 1050 were built, and the active fleet is now 664, with somewhere over 200 of them being operated as freighters, the largest operator being Fedex, with over 100 in use.

    Shore, if it was easy, everybody would be doin it.😁



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,086 ✭✭✭Nijmegen


    The whole certification of pilots things seems like a regulatory construct driving poor behavior. Perhaps regulators should stipulate that you get x# of variations of your plane or years in service before new type certification is mandatory. That would create its own incentives for certain behavior and you could also argue regulators would then be setting the pace of new model development. Difficult one.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,201 ✭✭✭troyzer


    Nijmegen wrote: »
    The whole certification of pilots things seems like a regulatory construct driving poor behavior. Perhaps regulators should stipulate that you get x# of variations of your plane or years in service before new type certification is mandatory. That would create its own incentives for certain behavior and you could also argue regulators would then be setting the pace of new model development. Difficult one.

    Totally agree. It does seem like a very artificial and outsized influence on the aviation industry.

    Sort of like how everyone in Ireland with an extension has it built to 39 square metres instead of 40 to get away with not needing planning permission.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 493 ✭✭MoeJay


    Often wondered why Boeing didn't do a wholesale redesign of the 737 main gear somewhere along the line. Low clearance has been a constraint since the -300.

    It all boils down to the airline customers, all about keeping costs down...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,940 ✭✭✭✭banie01


    MoeJay wrote: »
    It all boils down to the airline customers, all about keeping costs down...

    Similar argument could be made that it all boils down to Manufacturers keeping margins artificially high.

    If the detail regarding Boeing having pre existing knowledge of the warning indicator fault is correct.
    I would have serious concern for Boeing surviving this in its existing corporate structure.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 493 ✭✭MoeJay


    banie01 wrote: »
    Similar argument could be made that it all boils down to Manufacturers keeping margins artificially high.

    I agree, the commercial imperative overrides everything. If the airline customer won’t pay X for a totally shiny new airplane, then the manufacturer will have to do something to reduce X and make their margin.

    Unless and until of course this commercial argument is overridden by a higher authority, or some event that forces the higher authority to act.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,435 ✭✭✭Shedite27


    MoeJay wrote: »
    I agree, the commercial imperative overrides everything. If the airline customer won’t pay X for a totally shiny new airplane, then the manufacturer will have to do something to reduce X and make their margin.
    99% of travelers don't know if they're on Airbus or Boeing


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 493 ✭✭MoeJay


    Shedite27 wrote: »
    99% of travelers don't know if they're on Airbus or Boeing

    When I say airline customers, I mean the airline itself buying the aircraft, not the passenger paying for the seat. Apologies for any confusion.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,905 ✭✭✭✭Bob24


    Shedite27 wrote: »
    99% of travelers don't know if they're on Airbus or Boeing

    Don’t agree with this as a general statement. Many passengers won’t know alright, but 99% is stretching it a lot.

    Not saying a lot of passengers will book a specific flight to get a Boeing or and Airbus of course, but once they are on the plane I am sure much more than 1% know what the maker is. At the very least because they will be a cabin announcement mentioning it or a safety card in front of them with that information.

    Also while it is not necessarily as relevant for the 737/320, for long haul flights I think passengers will on average be more savvy about what plane they are flying on including at time of booking: airlines will sometimes display the airplane type when you book - especially if it’s a new model, confort differences will be more pronounced on long flights depending on which plane you are flying, and I think you’ll get a higher proportion of “knowledgeable” travellers who might know which planes they prefer or consult specialised websites for planes/seats recommandation.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,361 ✭✭✭Man Vs ManUre


    Bob24 wrote: »
    Don’t agree with this as a general statement. Many passengers won’t know alright, but 99% is stretching it a lot.

    Not saying a lot of passengers will book a specific flight to get a Boeing or and Airbus of course, but once they are on the plane I am sure much more than 1% know what the maker is. At the very least because they will be a cabin announcement mentioning it or a safety card in front of them with that information.

    Also while it is not necessarily as relevant for the 737/320, for long haul flights I think passengers will on average be more savvy about what plane they are flying on including at time of booking: airlines will sometimes display the airplane type when you book - especially if it’s a new model, confort differences will be more pronounced on long flights depending on which plane you are flying, and I think you’ll get a higher proportion of “knowledgeable” travellers who might know which planes they prefer or consult specialised websites for planes/seats recommandation.

    I flew Dubai-Beijing with Emirates once and when I bought the tkt it was mentioned it was on the A380.
    It was the only A380 on the round trip Dublin-Dubai-Beijing, Hong-Kong-Dubai-Dublin. All others were Boeing 777.
    Before boarding I could see the plane was a 777. I was a bit disappointed and have still not flown on the A380. I even mentioned it to the cabin crew as I got on (in a friendly way).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,361 ✭✭✭Man Vs ManUre


    I flew Dubai-Beijing with Emirates once and when I bought the tkt it was mentioned it was on the A380.
    It was the only A380 on the round trip Dublin-Dubai-Beijing, Hong-Kong-Dubai-Dublin. All others were Boeing 777.
    Before boarding I could see the plane was a 777. I was a bit disappointed and have still not flown on the A380. I even mentioned it to the cabin crew as I got on (in a friendly way).

    Oh correction, think they were airbus 330 or whichever is the long single level plane, not Boeing.


  • Registered Users Posts: 130 ✭✭mikel97


    Oh correction, think they were airbus 330 or whichever is the long single level plane, not Boeing.

    Probably T7. 330 is medium length only got 6 more rows than Ryanair not long at all.


  • Registered Users Posts: 168 ✭✭Brennus335


    Oh correction, think they were airbus 330 or whichever is the long single level plane, not Boeing.

    I think that proves the previous posters point that most travellers haven't got a clue what kind of plane they're on.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,361 ✭✭✭Man Vs ManUre


    Brennus335 wrote: »
    I think that proves the previous posters point that most travellers haven't got a clue what kind of plane they're on.

    Lol it was a Boeing 777 so.
    I just got mixed up when writing the post as thought it strange that they had the A380 planned for 1 trip and Boeing for the others. I shouldn’t have replied to my own post!! The only purpose of my post was to put on record here my disappointment with missing out on the A380 when other poster mentioned the type of plane was referenced when booking.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,110 ✭✭✭Thirdfox


    Lol it was a Boeing 777 so.
    I just got mixed up when writing the post as thought it strange that they had the A380 planned for 1 trip and Boeing for the others. I shouldn’t have replied to my own post!! The only purpose of my post was to put on record here my disappointment with missing out on the A380 when other poster mentioned the type of plane was referenced when booking.

    Lufthansa use the a380 on dublin to beijing flights (the frankfurt leg of course).

    They also have a wonderful secret that you can sit on the upper level in economy (the last row is economy on upper level and similar to business class roominess though of course not the same seats/service). My wife and I flew with them and I managed to book myself into the rear seats and it was most enjoyable (it's also 2-3(?)-2 rather than 3-4-3 downstairs economy).

    Sorry for the off topic-ness but hope that's of some use to you.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,201 ✭✭✭troyzer


    Boeing had zero orders in April apparently.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,905 ✭✭✭✭Bob24


    troyzer wrote: »
    Boeing had zero orders in April apparently.

    Any source for this? Wouldn’t be a big surprise, but if confirmed that would give a clear indication about the trust level from airlines.


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,642 Mod ✭✭✭✭Graham


    It's being reported all over the place:

    New York (CNN Business)
    Boeing reported zero new orders for jets in April

    Could be a combination of things behind it.

    Loss of confidence.
    Hope of discounts to encourage sales.
    Saving sales announcements for the upcoming Paris Airshow


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,505 ✭✭✭ElNino


    The BBC have posted a good summary of the whole debacle
    What went wrong inside Boeing's cockpit?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,922 ✭✭✭GM228


    Oh dear this won't go down well accross the industry/pilot representative bodies:-

    After two faulty Boeing jets crash, the Trump administration blames foreign pilots

    Link may not open for some so here's the stand out quote
    The U.S. aviation system needs urgently to restore the world’s confidence after two crashes of Boeing 737 Max jets.

    Instead, the Trump administration’s top aviation official, goaded by some Republican lawmakers, informed the world Wednesday that the problem isn’t that Boeing put a faulty aircraft into the skies, nor that the Federal Aviation Administration’s lax oversight kept it flying. The trouble, they argued, comes from lousy foreign pilots — particularly the ones on Ethiopian Airlines and Indonesia’s Lion Air who died struggling to pull the Max jets from death plunges.

    “I’m trying to be respectful because they’re deceased,” Rep. Paul Mitchell (R-Mich.) said of the doomed crews. But, “do we not have concerns not only with the training of pilots in other nations, but the reliability of their logs?”

    The acting FAA administrator, Daniel Elwell, shared this skepticism and said he “absolutely” wants to “take a hard look at the training standards globally.”

    This in particular stands out:-
    “You have to know how to fly the plane!” Graves said, faulting “pilot error” and “a lot of misidentification” by the crew.

    An odd comment by Elwell to the House Transportation Committee considering it is well known pilots were unaware of some of the systems and how to correct issues with them through no fault of their own.

    Edit: Just noticed it has already been mentioned in another thread here.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,086 ✭✭✭Nijmegen


    Yeah as I said in the other thread on it, I reckon this will sow further distrust in the FAA alone and probably move pilots unions and airlines abroad to consider other options. However, and this is the fundamental thing buttressing Boeing's share price right now, there does not appear to be any considerable additional capacity in Airbus to meet the demand if airlines started trying to cancel their MAX orders for NEOs delivered in the same timeframe. And Airbus would naturally be hesitant about committing to a double quick investment to increase capacity I suspect.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,922 ✭✭✭GM228


    For anyone interested Daniel Elwelsl's (Acting Administrator, FAA) statement from May 15ths Aviation Sub-committee hearing on the current status of the 737MAX is available direct from the The House Committee on Transportation & Infrastructure here

    You can also read Robert Sumwalt's (NTSB) statement here.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,498 ✭✭✭cml387


    When Boeing first added the CFM56 to the aircraft, they had to modify the engine design so that it would fit under the wing.
    At that stage they didn't go for the simpler option of raising the whole engine.
    I wonder why this option was rejected?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,560 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    Above the wing? Doesn't work very well been done before - VFW614

    It was already pushed forward of the wing compared to the JT8 mounting position


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,922 ✭✭✭GM228


    L1011 wrote: »
    Above the wing? Doesn't work very well been done before - VFW614

    Works fine on the AN-72 and AN-74 though in fairness they have a high wing configuration.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,498 ✭✭✭cml387


    The point I didn't make very well was that Boeing chose not to raise the engine above the level of the leading edge as they did on the max.
    I have read "Wide-body" by Clive Irving and it deals with how the that wing mounted engine design evolved from the B-47, to the 707 and eventually the 747.
    The precise relationship between the podded engine and wing behaviour was extremely complex, and it strikes me that maybe Boeing were not willing to raise the engine higher on the next gen 737 for engineering reasons.

    I begin to wonder if MCAS was a "kludge" fix to an inherent instability problem which in previous incarnations of Boeing engineering would not be countenanced.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,110 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Boeing seem to have a death wish. There is talk of a new mid-range 797 that will have flight deck intended for a single pilot, with a 'second' pilot sitting in an office on the ground being the second pilot for a fleet of these things, being able to remotely pilot it in an emergency.

    Of course every emergency conceivable will happen in such a way that the second pilot won't be hindered from flying the plane as Boeing envision. The 737 is testament to Boeing's 20/20 vision for predicting all possible accident scenarios.

    Boeing need to look at Murphy's second law - When things do go wrong, they will go wrong in the worst possible way.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/20/boeings-new-797-could-be-built-to-fly-with-just-one-pilot-on-board.html


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,642 Mod ✭✭✭✭Graham


    fly-by-wireless

    What could possibly go wrong!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,110 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    There is a Youtube 'video' of the audio between ATC in and near Canberra Australia and a 737 freighter with just a pilot and co-pilot. The plane suffered a sudden depressurisation and the co-pilot lost consciousness and the pilot managed to get an oxygen mask on him and then flew to a safe landing at Canberra where the plane was met by an ambulance. The co-pilot remained unconscious for most of it. In Boeing's single seat cockpit, had the pilot been the one who had difficulties, he/she would be dead with no one there to get their mask on.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    cnocbui wrote: »
    Boeing seem to have a death wish. There is talk of a new mid-range 797 that will have flight deck intended for a single pilot, with a 'second' pilot sitting in an office on the ground being the second pilot for a fleet of these things, being able to remotely pilot it in an emergency.

    Of course every emergency conceivable will happen in such a way that the second pilot won't be hindered from flying the plane as Boeing envision. The 737 is testament to Boeing's 20/20 vision for predicting all possible accident scenarios.

    Boeing need to look at Murphy's second law - When things do go wrong, they will go wrong in the worst possible way.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/20/boeings-new-797-could-be-built-to-fly-with-just-one-pilot-on-board.html

    Michael O’Leary following this, no doubt, with enormous interest. Indeed why have any fully trained pilots on board at all. Maybe an upgraded PPL in captain’s uniform to be seen boarding and stepping into cockpit just for “passenger reassurance”. They could be the eyes and ears on board looking out front to confirm the various visuals and auditories, smell of burning etc going on in cockpit and in highly unlikely case all control and radio links are lost with ground/satellite a book of abc checklists on what to do.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    cnocbui wrote: »
    There is a Youtube 'video' of the audio between ATC in and near Canberra Australia and a 737 freighter with just a pilot and co-pilot. The plane suffered a sudden depressurisation and the co-pilot lost consciousness and the pilot managed to get an oxygen mask on him and then flew to a safe landing at Canberra where the plane was met by an ambulance. The co-pilot remained unconscious for most of it. In Boeing's single seat cockpit, had the pilot been the one who had difficulties, he/she would be dead with no one there to get their mask on.

    Maybe a mask would have to be worn by solo pilot with inbuilt microphone and automatic oxygen activation during a decompression. Darned uncomfortable to wear on an 11 hour flight, during which a feeding tube would be needed to supply fluids and nutrition and measures needed to negate visits to the washroom.


  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators Posts: 6,522 Mod ✭✭✭✭Irish Steve


    Hmmmmm. There are more than enough reports of pilot incapacitation to make this a very worrying scenario, and the thought of being dependent on a radio link for survival is one that does not appeal to me one little tiny bit.

    I can see so many potential issues with this, I am surprised that Boeing have even dared to suggest it at this point in time.

    Given the nature of the Max issues, I have grave doubts that a remote pilot would have even been capable of taking control, let alone being able to get it on to the ground safely.

    If it happens, I won't be travelling on one any time soon.

    Shore, if it was easy, everybody would be doin it.😁



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,435 ✭✭✭Shedite27


    Hmmmmm. There are more than enough reports of pilot incapacitation to make this a very worrying scenario, and the thought of being dependent on a radio link for survival is one that does not appeal to me one little tiny bit.

    Wasn't this the plot of Airplane


  • Registered Users Posts: 168 ✭✭Brennus335


    Shedite27 wrote: »
    Wasn't this the plot of Airplane

    Surely you can't be serious.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,589 ✭✭✭john boye


    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2019/may/23/boeing-737-max-crashes-american-airlines-pilots-union-mcas

    I must say, I did wonder how the American pilots who had complained about the max would feel about untrained foreign pilots being blamed. Fair play to them.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,207 ✭✭✭goingnowhere


    Even being tipped off in advance the sheer physical strength needed to trim the stabilizer while it is aerodynamically loaded is a challenge, the trim wheel on the max is smaller than the older 737 so requires more effort per turn, while you are holding onto the yoke to full elevator in.

    The Ethiopian pilots followed the procedure but could not recover and then started to look at alternatives and switched the trim back in. Ethiopian is a highly regarded outfit and don't deserve even a suggestion that they didn't meet FAA or EASA training standards.

    The escape is to trade height to unload the stabilizer, counter intuitive deliberately lose altitude in a aircraft that wants to plant itself in the ground, scramble to trim manually as fast as you can and then level off and try to get some climb and repeat. This was in the 737-200 manual (and 707) but not in the classic or NG.

    Do you have enough altitude? Its basically the AF crash in reverse, the stabilizer gets to a place where aerodynamically you can't get back to a safe attitude without a fairly aggressive and non standard recovery (hard bank over?) which is limited by available altitude, not forgetting a rapid attitude change risks stall or overspeed depending on circumstances or worse a structural overload.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,223 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    https://www.msn.com/en-ie/money/news/ryanair-secures-compensation-deal-from-boeing/ar-AABPmbS

    RYANAIR has struck an agreement with Boeing worth hundreds of millions of euro to the Irish company in compensation for the worldwide grounding of the US aircraft-maker's 737 Max jet, the Irish Independent has learned. The agreement involves money already owed by Ryanair to Boeing, it's understood. Ryanair is one of Boeing's biggest customers and the main operator in the world of its 737-800 aircraft.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators Posts: 9,933 Mod ✭✭✭✭Tenger




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,380 ✭✭✭STB.


    john boye wrote: »
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2019/may/23/boeing-737-max-crashes-american-airlines-pilots-union-mcas

    I must say, I did wonder how the American pilots who had complained about the max would feel about untrained foreign pilots being blamed. Fair play to them.


    Just as well they recorded it!


    That is all going to come back and haunt them at Boeing.



    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/boeing-737-max-audio-reveals-pilots-confronting-official-about-features-suspected-in-deadly-crashes-2019-05-14/


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,622 ✭✭✭flexcon


    Tenger wrote: »

    The end paragraph suggest the system is going back to what it was initially set up to do - Make the plane feel like a a 737NG.

    Does this mean that the Pilots will now have to have expensive training as they are basically now back to flying a plane that acts differently to a 737NG

    I do remember reading somewhere that even if the pilots disabled the MCAS permanently for the rest of the flight - the pilots were left with a plane that they had never flown before.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,031 ✭✭✭✭murphaph


    Tenger wrote: »
    And imagine at the start of this thread those who said they would avoid the 737 Max were told by some that they were completely overreacting, despite the signs pointing to an issue with the aircraft.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,762 ✭✭✭✭Inquitus


    More 737 NG and Max related issues:
    WASHINGTON — The Federal Aviation Administration said on Sunday that some Boeing 737 Max planes might have parts that were improperly manufactured, requiring replacements, the latest issue to hit the world’s largest plane maker.

    The F.A.A. said up to 148 “leading edge slat tracks” manufactured by a Boeing supplier were affected and cover 179 Max aircraft as well as 133 of Boeing’s 737 NG jets, for Next Generation, the model before the Max. The agency said a complete failure of a leading edge slat track would not bring down an aircraft, but a failed part could damage the plane in flight.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/02/business/boeing-faa-737-part.html


  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators Posts: 9,933 Mod ✭✭✭✭Tenger


    I’m wondering if this manufacturing issue is connected to the labor issues they had around Q3 last year? I have mates in Seattle, they were telling me that there were staffing issues last year, Boeing had to shuffle workers around to keep the line moving , this resulted in less experienced ppl working on unfamiliar areas.

    Was talking to them last month, they said that the connection hadn’t yet been made by the media but was well known in the region. Obviously Boeing woes over the MAX have a huge impact on the population.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,999 ✭✭✭Tenzor07


    Tenger wrote: »
    I’m wondering if this manufacturing issue is connected to the labor issues they had around Q3 last year? I have mates in Seattle, they were telling me that there were staffing issues last year, Boeing had to shuffle workers around to keep the line moving , this resulted in less experienced ppl working on unfamiliar areas.

    Part was supplied by a external supplier, so the fault would be with them.

    Also I believe the part had been replaced on a number of RA's NG's by now..


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,999 ✭✭✭Tenzor07


    Further woes for the 737, Icelandair has let 45 of it's MAX pilots go as the issues continue...


    Also I see the 787 has a recall out on the wheels and tyres which could cause loss of braking..


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