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Sat 12th feat Dewhurst, Cesarewitch

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  • 12-10-2019 10:36am
    #1
    supremenovice
    Registered Users Posts: 976 ✭✭✭


    I like Land of Oz for Prescott in the Ces. After a hurrendous season by anyones standards due to yard illness, and never having landed it, the stars have alligned for this one in the bottom of the weights. Prescott had to convince one of his owners to pull out their horse for Land of Oz to get in. Ill be jumping on.

    Two jockeys who seem to have good records on outsiders, particularly at Newmarket, are Wayne Lordan and Sean Levey. So Ill also go each way on monarch of Egypt in the Dewhurst and Chilean in the 520.


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    #2
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Cyprus Creek at 28/1 with 8 places on Skybet seems like finding money in the road. Strong stayer who ran well on soft last year. On a good mark. Collection time will be about 4:20 ;)



    Also went with unexposed Sovereign Duke at a huge price 80/1 8 places as well.


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    #3
    Andrew00
    Registered Users Posts: 2,484 ✭✭✭Andrew00


    Land of Oz has been tipped up everywhere you look


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    #4
    maximo31
    Registered Users Posts: 1,015 ✭✭✭maximo31


    Military Hill 2.30 Hexham. Donie McInerney gone over for the ride. Expected to go well. 5/2 best price.


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    #5
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Monarch of Egypt looks huge at 33/1 . Ew looks great value. I went for ew double with Cyprus creek .


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    #6
    HarshOstrich
    Registered Users Posts: 1,107 ✭✭✭HarshOstrich


    supremenovice wrote: »
    I like Land of Oz for Prescott in the Ces. After a hurrendous season by anyones standards due to yard illness, and never having landed it, the stars have alligned for this one in the bottom of the weights. Prescott had to convince one of his owners to pull out their horse for Land of Oz to get in. Ill be jumping on.

    Two jockeys who seem to have good records on outsiders, particularly at Newmarket, are Wayne Lordan and Sean Levey. So Ill also go each way on monarch of Egypt in the Dewhurst and Chilean in the 520.

    Why is luke morris on timoshenko since he gets the choice of prescotts.
    In the 1.50 at newmarket tomfre @ 10/1 is a great e/w bet.
    Should place at the very least


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    #7
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Also went with Cyprus Creek 8pl @26 (pending drift), or 7pl@29.
    Read somewhere it'll be won by 4yo carrying 10st, and this is the closest match (9-9).

    Few wildcards for the enhanced places, including (golf ball) mixed e/w accas,
    e.g. Graceful Lady going short but still available 100/1.


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    #8
    Morleystreet
    Registered Users Posts: 225 ✭✭Morleystreet


    Seinesatonal e/w for me in Ces at 66/1. Only neck or so with timoshenko few runs back so looks big price with timoshenko around 12s.

    Growl (York 15:50) drifting like a barge this morning from 11s to 16 but will have to have a bet at 16s.


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    #9
    NaiveMelodies
    Registered Users Posts: 3,172 ✭✭✭NaiveMelodies


    Stratum for me on the basis they were convinced he had a pot like this in him off a 2 pound higher mark last year.


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    #10
    BumperD
    Registered Users Posts: 5,681 ✭✭✭BumperD


    Great white shark and great tango for me. The first is totally unexposed on the flat and won a decent handicap in Ballybrit quite easily coming from way back and wide. The latter also ran in that race but was too far back to get involved, I expect a better showing today. GL


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    #11
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Just had a good look at the Dewhurst, and im beginning to think Year of the Tiger isn't completely out of this. He's just got something ive seen before in these well bred huge pried outsiders from the stable. Be rude not to have a poke ew at 150/1


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    #12
    madmoose
    Registered Users Posts: 1,022 ✭✭✭madmoose


    aidankkk wrote: »
    Just had a good look at the Dewhurst, and im beginning to think Year of the Tiger isn't completely out of this. He's just got something ive seen before in these well bred huge pried outsiders from the stable. Be rude not to have a poke ew at 150/1

    50/1 now, imagine another Beggy Group 1 stunner!!


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    #13
    madmoose
    Registered Users Posts: 1,022 ✭✭✭madmoose


    Ive backed Ballyandy 5 places ew 11/1 in the silver trophy, top weight but class act on old form and ground no issue seeing he won the betfair hurdle on soft a few years ago, his coral cup run was solid also.


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    #14
    madmoose
    Registered Users Posts: 1,022 ✭✭✭madmoose


    aidankkk wrote: »
    Just had a good look at the Dewhurst, and im beginning to think Year of the Tiger isn't completely out of this. He's just got something ive seen before in these well bred huge pried outsiders from the stable. Be rude not to have a poke ew at 150/1

    Did 365 let you do the extra place as came 4th

    Pinitubo battled well there and on the ground with plenty of runs it was a good win in my opinion.


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    #15
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    madmoose wrote: »
    Did 365 let you do the extra place as came 4th

    Pinitubo battled well there and on the ground with plenty of runs it was a good win in my opinion.

    Horse ran well . Tenderly handled in 4th. :-(. 4 place price wasn’t as good value unfortunately


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    #16
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Lancelot de luc seems value here 50/1 . Mark and likes soft ground . 6 places ew


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    #17
    Slattsy
    Registered Users Posts: 15,775 ✭✭✭✭Slattsy


    Time to Study each way for me.

    Form ties in closely with Mullins' mare who's 6/1. Will like ground and trip. Wary he's had a lot of races this year.


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    #18
    Slattsy
    Registered Users Posts: 15,775 ✭✭✭✭Slattsy


    NaiveMelodies wrote: »
    Stratum for me on the basis they were convinced he had a pot like this in him off a 2 pound higher mark last year.

    Shout.


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    #19
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    NaiveMelodies wrote: »
    Stratum for me on the basis they were convinced he had a pot like this in him off a 2 pound higher mark last year.


    Well in Sir!!


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    #20
    BumperD
    Registered Users Posts: 5,681 ✭✭✭BumperD


    NaiveMelodies wrote: »
    Stratum for me on the basis they were convinced he had a pot like this in him off a 2 pound higher mark last year.

    You’ve got the winning thread :pac:


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    #21
    NaiveMelodies
    Registered Users Posts: 3,172 ✭✭✭NaiveMelodies


    Hahahah thanks lads. f**king hell.


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    #22
    Slattsy
    Registered Users Posts: 15,775 ✭✭✭✭Slattsy


    Roger backed the winner too!


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    #23
    SonOfGoat
    Registered Users Posts: 1,190 ✭✭✭SonOfGoat


    5.25 Wolverhampton, Spirited Guest, around 11/8. Lay bet for me. I don't think it will win

    5.30 Limerick, Dare To Flare, around 2/1'ish I do think it will win I backed it to win.


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    #24
    RoyalAcademy2
    Registered Users Posts: 48 ✭RoyalAcademy2


    NaiveMelodies wrote: »
    Stratum for me on the basis they were convinced he had a pot like this in him off a 2 pound higher mark last year.

    A little note in a dog-eared copy book will sometimes outdo hours and hours spent on form and video study. Really well done!


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