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TS Philippe

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  • 25-09-2011 3:11pm
    #1
    Wertz
    Closed Accounts Posts: 11,909 ✭✭✭✭


    083358W5_NL_sm.gif

    vis-l.jpg

    All images copyright of the NHC.
    NOAA/NHC wrote:
    000
    WTNT32 KNHC 250832
    TCPAT2

    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ADVISORY NUMBER 5
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
    500 AM AST SUN SEP 25 2011

    ...PHILIPPE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...


    SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    LOCATION...12.0N 29.8W
    ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 29.8 WEST. PHILIPPE IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. A TURN
    TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
    EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON MONDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...
    WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
    48 HOURS...AND PHILIPPE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY LATE MONDAY.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    NONE


    NEXT ADVISORY
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

    Might be one for us to watch for early October as it turns extra tropical...assuming it even lasts that long. Looks nicely structured on the sat image.


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    #2
    dsmythy
    Registered Users Posts: 10,508 ✭✭✭✭dsmythy


    Azores might need to take an interest. I think it will die in the Atlantic. Too much ridging further north as it heads that way unless it tries to slip in to the east towards Spain but I doubt it.

    EDIT: Models seem to suggest the remains will hang around the Azores for a while. Could give the islands some prolonged rain if it happened.


  • Options
    #3
    200motels
    Registered Users Posts: 2,602 ✭✭✭200motels


    Philippe Slowly Gaining Strength
    Ophelia is nothing more than a post-tropical low. The moisture left from Ophelia could bring a period of heavy rain to Bermuda later this week, but otherwise the system is not expected to have any affect on land. Tropical Storm Philippe continues on a west-northwesterly track at this time. Environmental conditions remain favorable for strengthening and satellite imagery continues to indicate that Philippe is developing deeper convection near and around its center. The system is not expected to impact any land masses as it continues moving west-northwestward over the next few days. The rest of the Atlantic Ocean will stay quiet at this time with no tropical development in the near future. By AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Rob Richards


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    #4
    dsmythy
    Registered Users Posts: 10,508 ✭✭✭✭dsmythy


    If I'm reading the models right looks like Philippe's moisture remains will hook up with a low at Ireland around the 10th of October. This would be after a long trek around the atlantic ridge. Northerlies following behind. Seems the Azores will avoid any impact after all. Much will change on each run no doubt.


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    #5
    dsmythy
    Registered Users Posts: 10,508 ✭✭✭✭dsmythy


    Philippe made it as a hurricane. It will soon weaken as it heads north towards Iceland to combine with a low and hang about for a few days.


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    #6
    gbee
    Closed Accounts Posts: 6,388 ✭✭✭gbee


    Philippe made it as a hurricane. A bit unexpectedly too.

    http://www.stormpulse.com/atlantic

    Still has it a Hurricane by Monday, and a TS on Tues where it will veer east but maybe a bit more severely than Katia or Ophelia did ~ the almost forgotten Philippe


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