Autumn 2019 - General Discussion

Rock Lesnar · 17-10-2019 5:02pm

Gonzo wrote: »

was a lovely day here up to about an hour ago, been fairly dark, dismal and wet ever since.

Getting our 1st shower of the day now, otherwise its been bright and breezy

Kutebride · 17-10-2019 6:24pm

Some rain in Meath an hour ago. Clear now.
Not sure the radar is working well.

Gonzo · 17-10-2019 9:54pm

pauldry wrote: »

It will be cold at the end of October and start of November then milder

I dont forsee much out of the ordinary bar the cold end of this month and some storms in December. But every year is different but dont ya know if theres snow it will be the same as the record breaking Summer just gone and ignore Ireland and move to Britain and Europe

charts are backing away from that cold end to October already. Slight chance of something cooler in early November.

Oneiric 3 · 18-10-2019 9:38am

Latest run showing the potential for a bit of wintriness over Scotland next weekend:

SleetAndSnow · 18-10-2019 1:41pm

Threating clouds all day in cork city. Strong gusts of chilly enough wind aswell, didn't expect the strongish gusts.

RobertKK · 18-10-2019 2:59pm

Cold and wet in rural Kilkenny, Currently 8.3C and raining for an hour or more.

Darwin · 18-10-2019 3:12pm

Torrential rain on the Carlow side of Abbeyleix around 2.20, pretty badly flooded roads. Looks like it is very localised though.

Gonzo · 18-10-2019 6:08pm

I think we've got lucky here at Dunshaughlin, having missed most of the heavy showers, just a few light showers yesterday and today. Waterlogging from the past month is finally starting to go away.

Donegal Storm · 18-10-2019 6:16pm

Been a nice enough week in Letterkenny overall, plenty of sunshine and not much rain, went for a walk at lunch time today and actually felt quite warm

Oscar Bravo · 19-10-2019 8:47am

Torrential rain in Castlebar since about 4am. Lots of spot flooding. Met off the mark with the forecast

Gonzo · 19-10-2019 12:11pm

ens_image.php?geoid=64981&var=201&run=6&date=2019-10-19&model=gfs&member=ENS&bw=1

This mornings ensemble run shows the possiblity of 4 fairly dry days to come, perhaps the first mini dry spell since the deluge started a month ago. Looks increasingly mild too for the final week of October.

DOCARCH · 19-10-2019 1:50pm

A bit of an Ireland v New Zealand day here in Dublin 16.....

Dismal. Grey, cold and damp.

Gonzo · 19-10-2019 1:56pm

DOCARCH wrote: »

A bit of an Ireland v New Zealand day here in Dublin 16.....

Dismal. Grey, cold and damp.

similar here in Dunshaughlin, a wet, dull, damp and fairly cool day. Hopefully we get a small break from the wet conditions from tomorrow for a few days.

pad199207 · 19-10-2019 3:17pm

Torrential showers in Kildare

Donegal Storm · 20-10-2019 3:34pm

Nice bright day in Letterkenny again with plenty of sunshine, from reading on here I feel like we've been getting the best of the weather over the past month or so, has been far more nice days since early September than we got all summer

appledrop · 20-10-2019 5:31pm

Beautiful autumn sunshine in North County Dublin until about 2pm today.

DOCARCH · 21-10-2019 7:57am

Mt Dillon reporting -1c atm. First air frost of the season?

JCX BXC · 21-10-2019 11:45am

Kerry airport was also reporting -1°c at one stage this morning.

US2 · 21-10-2019 1:22pm

What a glorious day. Cold but not a cloud to be seen.

Billcarson · 21-10-2019 1:51pm

Lovely October day. My fav type of weather at this time of yr. Cool and sunny.

lolie · 21-10-2019 4:18pm

Beautiful day out, nippy in the shade but at least its dry.
Lovely frost display still on the car roofs at 9 o'clock this morning.

KingJeremy · 21-10-2019 5:52pm

Any thoughts on the talk of snow potential later this week?

Kermit.de.frog · 21-10-2019 6:11pm

Potential looks limited to high ground and some inland spots. Give it a couple of days.

Gonzo · 21-10-2019 6:34pm

KingJeremy wrote: »

Any thoughts on the talk of snow potential later this week?

at best probably a mixture of rain and sleet to lower levels. If it's cold enough snow may stick on the mountain tops for a few hours. This is all happening at least a month before the season really begins. We're still only midway through Autumn so miracles can't be expected. It is likely to be cold and very wet for most of us. The roller coaster will be going through safety checks over the next month before tickets are available!

Artane2002 · 21-10-2019 7:39pm

At this point of year, sleet would be pretty interesting to see so I'll settle for that. Hopefully it's not our winter though!

lolie · 21-10-2019 11:41pm

esposito wrote: »

I remember Halloween 2008 vividly where we had a dusting of snow on the Dublin mountains. Could well happen again this year.

I remember i think it was October 30th 2008 there was about 2inches of snow at my sisters house in Meath.

Met Eir's 5 day forecast at 9.30 showed 16c for Friday.
I'd say plenty of confused people with all the talk of possible wintry weather Friday.

sryanbruen · 22-10-2019 11:01pm

Donegal Storm wrote: »

Nice bright day in Letterkenny again with plenty of sunshine, from reading on here I feel like we've been getting the best of the weather over the past month or so, has been far more nice days since early September than we got all summer

This October hasn't been that bad on the whole up to now in my part of Dublin, many nice enough days. Chilly max temperatures generally but good spells of sunshine a fair amount of the days. Not my favourite (2018 was easily that) but I've definitely seen worse Octobers like 2011 and 2012. Better than I thought it would be. Besides showers, a lot of the rain recently since Saturday 5th has come through overnight so days have tended to be fairly sunny.

Graces7 · 23-10-2019 7:00am

Loud, lusty gale out here. Hardly let up this last while and set to blow today. Bringing a chill bite.

Seems to have morphed into winter very swiftly this week..

west mayo offshore island

ksceniaonegina · 23-10-2019 7:06am

Think there'll be snow this year?

Artane2002 · 23-10-2019 7:18am

October has been pretty bad up until the Monday (I think) a week or two ago with the heavy rainfall in the morning. Since then it hasn't been bad so I guess I'll call it an OK month considering it's autumn and we were overdue an October worse than what we actually got.

Reckless Abandonment · 23-10-2019 7:55am

Stunning sunrise over Dublin this morning.

Graces7 · 23-10-2019 7:59am

Artane2002 wrote: »

October has been pretty bad up until the Monday (I think) a week or two ago with the heavy rainfall in the morning. Since then it hasn't been bad so I guess I'll call it an OK month considering it's autumn and we were overdue an October worse than what we actually got.

THis week is bad out here. There have been a couple of passable mornings when I could work in the garden pleasurably but always strong chill winds. Finding myself wearing the ashes I am taking out...I take it day by day.

Last night and now are very dark and very cold and VERY LOUD.

west mayo offshore

Graces7 · 23-10-2019 9:14am

Just braved the weather to put post out ( faith!) and bring turf in. Fierce out there; rare to hear the wind actually banshee howling close to you. Driving rain... icy cold.

Had a mail from An Post re the parcel I ordered; hot water bottle and electric heater therein! Still on the mainland. Ah well...This will happen all winter long now.

west mayo offshore

leahyl · 23-10-2019 9:49am

The word "cold" featuring quite a lot in MT's forecast this morning - even after this weekend

SleetAndSnow · 23-10-2019 3:25pm

Stopped posting for a while because it was the same weather for a while in cork city, wet.

Last two mornings though have been cold and last two days dry, today was a bit warmer in the morning though and its now raining again.

Graces7 · 23-10-2019 3:32pm

Easing out here at last. Even the sun emerging.. still windy but dry.

It has been a long, hard bitter and sodden day...

West mayo offshore

Meteorite58 · 23-10-2019 5:28pm

Had some nice mild weather in Germany the last few days, foggy mornings in the valleys and getting up to the high teens at times.

Mosel region :

fmA1YN4.jpg?1

Back to the rain earlier but has cleared up nicely now to blue skies and sunshine here in Kerry.

3.0mm

12.8C

Graces7 · 23-10-2019 11:58pm

Total utter silence out here now. The gale has blown itself out; rain has paused, and a chill, still night. Love the night hours.... a deep . deep solitary peace nestles and soothes. Gone is the tumult. The ocean calmed. Just the harbour and buoy lights flashing their advice and orientation lights. An absence of sound and disturbance. Peace in sky and ocean, spreading over land.

west mayo offshore

SleetAndSnow · 24-10-2019 11:20am

Cold and foggy morning today in cork city

Graces7 · 24-10-2019 3:24pm

Until just a few minutes ago when rain started, it has been a sheerly lovely day. Bright sun warming the dwelling through the glass, blue skies. Bitter cold wind out there but a pleasure else. Still bright. Been picking flowers etc.

West Mayo offshore

Artane2002 · 24-10-2019 4:05pm

Mixed rain and hail shower in Dublin 5. I haven't seen hail in a long time.

Graces7 · 25-10-2019 7:44am

Wildly wet and bitterly cold out here and I know we are going to get off lightly in this episode compared with the rest of the country.

It started as I was getting ready to go for a short walk. Not any more... A day to hunker down and get warm.

west mayo offshore

hatrickpatrick · 25-10-2019 2:04pm

Another feckin' wet Halloween on the cards unless pretty much all the models shift their FI projections. ECM somewhat less pessimistic, but UKMO and GFS on board for wet LP throughout the day. After last year's washout, this just isn't right dammit! :mad:

Artane2002 · 25-10-2019 3:18pm

It's wet and 6c but it feels milder. 6c is impressive for this time of year though.

Graces7 · 26-10-2019 7:59am

A clear and silent dawning and utterly still. A lazy, slender moon lying on its back gazing up at the heavens.. strangely shaped dark clouds in a pale sky and a visible shower on the horizon dropping blackly ..

Above all, a deep stark coldness. Chill and bitter.

west mayo offshore

and later, a loud attack of hailshowers ( as we called them up in Scotland, "hailiboys" that turned the ground white for a while..

Oneiric 3 · 26-10-2019 12:24pm

With the mean average national maxima coming in at just 7.5c yesterday, it proved to be 2nd coldest October day in at least 45 years, and is second only to the 7.4c that was recorded on October 27th just last year.

Oneiric 3 · 26-10-2019 12:33pm

Artane2002 wrote: »

It's wet and 6c but it feels milder. 6c is impressive for this time of year though.

I was out for much of the day yesterday, and despite the 7c temp, it didn't feel all the cold, despite heavy cloud and damp air. I think this was down to the sheer lack of any sort of breeze. It was unnervingly calm to be honest.

Gonzo · 26-10-2019 12:54pm

South-East England probably one of the warmest places in Europe last night, with temperatures holding up around 16 or 17C throughout the night. The quick transition from 16C to 6C is not more than 30 or 40 miles. The very cool air is slowly making it's way further south.

Yesterday was certainly very chilly for us and was a reminder just how inaccurate the GFS is at forecasting snow, I don't think there was wintry falls on the highest peaks yesterday, just cold rain everywhere. The next few days look chilly and mostly dry, but there is a warming trend from the 30th of October. Temperatures look like they may recover or even go slightly above normal from 1st of November and that first week of November is also looking very unsettled with plenty of rain. The very cool first two weeks of November looks like it's changed and we could be in store for a mild and Atlantic/zonal pattern.

sryanbruen · 26-10-2019 12:58pm

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

With the mean average national maxima coming in at just 7.5c yesterday, it proved to be 2nd coldest October day in at least 45 years, and is second only to the 7.4c that was recorded on October 27th just last year.

Where does 28th/29th October 2008 stand in this series?

sryanbruen · 26-10-2019 1:01pm

Gonzo wrote: »

South-East England probably one of the warmest places in Europe last night, with temperatures holding up around 16 or 17C throughout the night. The quick transition from 16C to 6C is not more than 30 or 40 miles. The very cool air is slowly making it's way further south.

Yesterday was certainly very chilly for us and was a reminder just how inaccurate the GFS is at forecasting snow, I don't think there was wintry falls on the highest peaks yesterday, just cold rain everywhere. The next few days look chilly and mostly dry, but there is a warming trend from the 30th of October. Temperatures look like they may recover or even go slightly above normal from 1st of November and that first week of November is also looking very unsettled with plenty of rain. The very cool first two weeks of November looks like it's changed and we could be in store for a mild and Atlantic/zonal pattern.

GFS is on crack right now pulling a Greenland High out of nowhere whilst low pressure remaining over Ireland throughout, real washout if it were to verify.

Autumn 2019 - General Discussion

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