Snow watch II:Snow Harder

22-02-2005 4:19pm #1

All aboard our newly renovated snow train

22-02-2005 4:24pm

Yes Irish1 and Felix, the weather system the Beeb are on about would be towards late thursday and friday here.
In the meantime expect increased shower acticity later tonight and through tomorrow-with colder temps, this *may* come down as snow.

I've no more screenshots but the earlier version of the same forecast is here has that chart at the end- you will need realplayer to view it.

Guys I'd better warn you, they are talking about a bit of mild mixed in this but current indications suggest a return to pure cold early next week-tiz outside of what I would call a reliable timeframe yet though

Mothman · 22-02-2005 4:24pm

A few showers, but most missed here, Did get some hail. Temp has stayed above 4C all day, maxing out at 6.5C

Villain · 22-02-2005 4:31pm

That forecast is interesting, Friday could well be our best day for snow, but thats only if the temps stay down, at this stage I wouldn't bank on it but it is possible.

If thats what the beeb are saying god only knows what Weathercheck will say

22-02-2005 4:37pm

irish1 wrote:

If thats what the beeb are saying god only knows what Weathercheck will say

Villain · 22-02-2005 4:43pm

Very good, very good indeed.

22-02-2005 4:56pm

By the way from fantasy island but... its only next tuesday ie a week away and with no predicted implosion of actual warm air as opposed to just less cold air-not at all implausable
http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn16817.gif

temps on the East coast of 1 2 and 3 c only... by march 1

/ Grabs lots of salt

22-02-2005 4:59pm

and tomorrows picture as shown from todays analysis...
http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn242.gif

Translation... good bit colder than today... as the air we are getting starts speaking russian again and it aint the horrible linguafone beginers version we've had so far, it starts to get an accent....

Anyway the supreme ramper should be home from school shortly so he can continue the....

DapperGent · 22-02-2005 5:00pm

This thread could have had a far more interesting title for example:

Snow Watch II: The Return of Snow Watch

Snow Watch II: Snow Harder

Snow Watch II: Vengeance

22-02-2005 5:07pm

Done

super_furry · 22-02-2005 5:11pm

Anyone remember that awful band JJ72? Their song Snow seems appropriate right now.

ninebeanrows · 22-02-2005 5:13pm

Believe at your will!

A developing feature to the east of Scotland
will continue to develop trough the evening,
towards midnight it will through a fair wack of
prolonged snow showers to leinster north of
Wicklow and the east coast of Ulster, heavy snow
showers will then continue through to mid-afternoon
tomorrow.

So possibly a period of prolonges snow for some
eastern areas tonight

ninebeanrows · 22-02-2005 5:20pm

I may aswell say this now but i'll stick my neck out
and say that much of Dublin *should* wake upto a covering
tomorrow. Im pretty confident about a rash of more prolonged
stuff later tonight which will also drag in colder air

ninebeanrows · 22-02-2005 5:28pm

Heck not often you see snow reported in Valantia :eek:
http://www.met.ie/recentweather/

It's this damn breeze of the Irish sea that's
keeping it slightly milder here :rolleyes:

BigCon · 22-02-2005 5:34pm

As someone said earlier WC's forecast was more accurate than MetEireann (and don't forget the first mention of a white Christmas was here).

We had 2-4 inches here in Portlaoise this morning, just enough to do this before it melted:

full forward · 22-02-2005 5:41pm

I think it could be over for another year...

ninebeanrows · 22-02-2005 5:42pm

Tonights feature has the potential to leave as much snow
as we had on Monday here in the east, so if all that
lay we'd have 5-6cm's by morning or more

Should be good to see how it develops the model im using has
picked things up good so far with showers expected to dy
down towards 6-9pm and soemthing more prolonged to affect
in or around midnight

ninebeanrows · 22-02-2005 5:51pm

Some beefy goings on in the Irish sea now infact

ninebeanrows · 22-02-2005 5:59pm

Something more substantial to get your teeth into
after i noticed that the Dublin radar seems abit
coocoo..

Seems a low pressure is developing in association with
tonights precipitation...could be the business..keep watching

LFCFan · 22-02-2005 6:04pm

Weathercheck wrote:

Some beefy goings on in the Irish sea now infact

When can we expect showers to start in Dublin tonight? I swear, if we get sheds loads of snow in time for the weekend and then have it all clear in time for work on Monday, I'll do me nut

ninebeanrows · 22-02-2005 6:09pm

Looking later on in the swing of things, there are absolutely
now signs to the end of this cold spell, not this weekend
nor well into March :eek:

Winter and this cold spell are only beginning another 7 days
of the same and colder seems likely with the chance
of another push of extremely cold air next week :eek:

Re tonights feature is only a developing feature and
soo mesoscale that it will be hard to be pin pointed
by models so watch the satellite for developments

Danno · 22-02-2005 6:14pm

Hello folks, got the work done, so I am online till 6pm!

Danno · 22-02-2005 6:24pm

Have to say that last nights snow was awesome!

Loads of snow! 5 inches here in Durrow. No school day for the school-goers. Loads of kids out and they made a 7ft snowman in the middle of the road in my estate! I nearly drove in to it leaving for work! LOL!

Then the kids got up from behind the wall and pelted my car with snowballs

Danno · 22-02-2005 6:32pm

Oh, forgot to mention that it all thawed by 1pm, as it did in most other areas!

ninebeanrows · 22-02-2005 6:33pm

Continuing developments east of Scotland
http://www.meteoam.it/satellit/WWW/infrarosso4_2005-02-22%2017:00:00.jpg
With low pressure forming..

The main arc of the feature should reach southern NI by around mid night
with a big backwash of a trough

Danno · 22-02-2005 6:37pm

Have you that chart that you showed on monday with the satelite image, and superimposed trough lines with orange arrows???

highdef · 22-02-2005 6:40pm

Hey Weathercheck, do you reckon those fairly big blobs between the Isle of Man and Down will manage to get here in North Dublin - Looks a bit close but the band does appear to be developing. More importantly, will it just be sleet or snow/hail pellets? Just had a moderate shower in the past 15 mins and the ground is now saturated - Need snow - big fluffy flakes of it!!

Scubadevils · 22-02-2005 6:41pm

Weathercheck wrote:

Continuing developments east of Scotland
http://www.meteoam.it/satellit/WWW/infrarosso4_2005-02-22%2017:00:00.jpg
With low pressure forming..

The main arc of the feature should reach southern NI by around mid night
with a big backwash of a trough

sound like could be worth staying up for, what time do you reckon it will grace us with its presence?

highdef · 22-02-2005 6:44pm

Good news Weathcheck That last shower that just fell (not too sure if you got it too as I was near the northern limits of it) has left a deposit of snow at the very top of Howth hill - I'd imagine a little over 400ft. Can you see Howth from your location?

kleefarr · 22-02-2005 6:46pm

Earthman wrote:

:eek: Is that your back garden? :rolleyes:

Danno · 22-02-2005 6:50pm

Well, gotta go home.

Will be online later this evening, say 10-11pm.

Talk to you all then, hopefully a big snow event will be underway by then!!!

Gonzo · 22-02-2005 7:11pm

just home now and had a lil hail shower with some snow flakes mixed in it so looks like the temperatures are starting to drop well again:)

Villain · 22-02-2005 7:14pm

anyone in Laois online, some interesting clouds over that direction.

Weathercheck can you give a rough estimate of the areas that might see snow tonight?

the evil belly · 22-02-2005 7:25pm

any chance of snow in cork? tis ****ing cold here

ninebeanrows · 22-02-2005 7:27pm

Once things start to get going i'll post my thoughts

4.1c here :mad:

Scubadevils · 22-02-2005 7:28pm

Weathercheck wrote:

Once things start to get going i'll post my thoughts

4.1c here :mad:

What like, when its snowing out you will tell us its snowing?

are you going all met eireann on us?

super_furry · 22-02-2005 7:29pm

Raining here. Sack of arse, I'm officially giving up hoping now.

Ba_barbaraAnne · 22-02-2005 7:30pm

Send some snow down the West - my kids want a snow day!

Mothman · 22-02-2005 7:31pm

4.8C in Wicklow. Just had shower with some hail,

22-02-2005 7:37pm

And the temperature in the middle of the Irish sea is 5.8c which is warmer than last night...

kleefarr · 22-02-2005 7:41pm

Kilkenny city outskirts (E)

Clear skies, cold not quite freezing I think. Damp from a shower of rain we had around 3:30.

ninebeanrows · 22-02-2005 7:42pm

4.3c :eek: :mad:

Eeek...

ninebeanrows · 22-02-2005 7:46pm

1 plus is that every shower today has been of hail or sleet.
Hailing now

22-02-2005 7:48pm

Weathercheck wrote:

4.3c :eek: :mad:

Eeek...

Couldnt be anything else when its 6c out at sea I s'pose.

Ah well the rain and hail when it hits the shore will surely turn to snow on the high ground and maybe well inland...

Supercell · 22-02-2005 7:58pm

Is 2.3c on my trusty old thermometer in the back garden in Rathgar, which is pretty much on a par with last night.
The temp seems to be falling more rapidly inland (at least here) than yesterday evening, on my way home from work by the coast it was raining, 15 mins later near home it was sleet/snow ..though perhaps the shower had been falling longer here.
Think that on the Wicklow mountains and some inland areas, people might do well again tonight (comparitively - would say from about 8-10 miles inland there may be some accumulations).

Supercell · 22-02-2005 8:02pm

Just had a look on http://www.nra.ie/RoadWeatherInfo/Map/data/htm/WeatherTable.htm , seems that the lower temps in this area are mainly due to that heavy shower as other areas around Dublin and to the north are Warmer, Sandyford, just down the road from here, is reporting 0.6 c , while Dublin Airport is 4.4 c at ~18:00, a considerable difference.

ninebeanrows · 22-02-2005 8:18pm

Moderate accumalations

mmmm i smell sumting fishy

Very cold and frosty overnight with clear spells and occasional wintry showers. Showers fairly isolated in many Western areas, but more frequent elsewhere, with some heavy snow or hail showers at times. Coastal Counties of the North and East especially at risk, with moderate accumulations in places. Winds easing, lowest temperatures falling zero to -3 degrees, with a widespread sharp to severe frost and icy patches.

Looking at the latest NMM High Res charts they go for snow
tonight and into tomorrow morning too with a band working
into the midlands by midday. There usually very reserved
with snowfall etc..maybe hope yet.

If we were to get 10 minutes of hail the air temperature would fall
to around freezing and then snow would fall on top of the frozen
hail on the ground, certainly this feature is a talking about

Wouldnt start worrying about it until around midnight, cloud formations
are forming and echoes on the radar should shoot up when actvity
reaches the point where precipitation is going to fall.

3.9c here now :rolleyes:

Ray777 · 22-02-2005 8:21pm

Weathercheck wrote:

If we were to get 10 minutes of hail the air temperature would fall
to around freezing and then snow would fall on top of the frozen
hail on the ground, certainly this feature is a talking about

Here in North Wicklow, we've just had 10 minutes of hail. It's thawing quickly though

22-02-2005 8:25pm

Weathercheck wrote:

3.9c here now :rolleyes:

Well at least its dropping...
you're actually warmer than Dub airport which is now 3c and casement at 2c which is looking good for those areas later if they fall a bit further.

Darwin · 22-02-2005 8:31pm

2.2C in my part of Laois and still falling. Just had a light rain shower.

ninebeanrows · 22-02-2005 8:44pm

Down to 3.1c with variable cloud

Pleasantly surprised with the drop

Snow watch II:Snow Harder

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