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07-01-2020, 15:55   #1
jacool
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Euromillions 2020 - The George Benson Year

2017 +1100 points
2018 -160 points
2019 -530 points
2020 +or- points?

Happy New year everyone, in a land where hopes springs eternal!
I have a new website spewing out statistics, such as
Most overdue numbers
29 last seen 13Aug2019
04 last seen 23Aug2019
43 last seen 27Sep2019
06 last seen 04Oct2019
37/40 last seen 25Oct2019
Based on the history of being overdue previously, #04 is categorized as “really” overdue!

No lucky stars are thus categorised but #07 and #11 are two not seen since last November.

for overdue pairs the number #16 hasn’t buddied up with some friends for a while
#16,#17 last seen 30Apr2004
#16,#48 last seen 31Aug2012
#11,#16 last seen 26Apr2013

As regards democracy, this last decade of draws has been one of the most democratic in some time.
In those 10 draws, no less than forty unique numbers have been drawn.
If you buy into this stat, then you do doubles and trebles of those top six overdue numbers above.

The democratic falling of the numbers has tipped this army of the odds to show up tonight #01,#07,#09,#21,#31.


For me, I am starting this year off in the treble-mania that garnered me a profit on 2017.
Amazingly, looking at this table, I lucked out on the only three-in-a-row for that year, whereas 2018 had three, and last year had six!!
Tonight’s draw will be draw 32, with the average currently being at the 40 draw mark.
This policy will cost me 48 points each time, and the potential win is 1500, so I will have to hit this once in the next 31 draws to cover the stake.

1 0040 Friday 12 November 2004 40 11,12,13
2 0091 Friday 04 November 2005 51 36,37,38
3 0148 Friday 08 December 2006 57 16,17,18
4 0203 Friday 28 December 2007 55 20,21,22
5 0246 Friday 24 October 2008 43 15,16,17
6 0263 Friday 20 February 2009 17 12,13,14
7 0275 Friday 15 May 2009 12 18,19,20
8 0295 Friday 02 October 2009 20 22,23,24
9 0329 Friday 28 May 2010 34 31,32,33
10 0439 Tuesday 06 December 11 111 19,20,21
11 0482 Friday 04 May 2012 42 39,40,41
12 0533 Tuesday 30 October 2012 51 23,24,25
13 0594 Friday 31 May 2013 61 27,28,29
14 0609 Tuesday 23 July 2013 15 14,15,16
15 0650 Friday 13 December 2013 41 22,23,24
16 0731 Tuesday 23 September 14 81 12,13,14
17 0801 Tuesday 26 May 2015 70 05,06,07
18 0825 Tuesday 18 August 2015 24 10,11,12
19 0828 Friday 28 August 2015 03 29,30,31
20 0861 Tuesday 22 December 15 33 18,19,20
21 0864 Friday 01 January 2016 03 37,38,39
22 0927 Tuesday 09 August 2016 63 43,44,45
23 0959 Tuesday 29 November 16 32 26,27.28
24 1059 Tuesday 14 November 17 99 39,40,41
25 1135 Tuesday 7 August 2018 75 28,29,30
26 1167 Tuesday 27 November 18 31 16,17,18
27 1169 Tuesday 4 December 2018 02 19,20,21
28 1188 Friday 8 February 2019 19 11,12,13
29 1196 Friday 8 March 2019 08 17,18,19
30 1217 Tuesday 21 May 2019 21 32,33,34
31 1243 Tuesday 20 August 2019 26 22,23,24
32 1251 Tuesday 17 September 19 08 43,44,45

Tonight, I am going to have 2 bets, one on the three-in-a-row, and one based on the number #04. Bet one will cost me 48 points,
48 x1 point singles on three consecutive numbers
leaving me with 12 points to wager around #04 as follows
7 point single #04
Five x 1 point double #04,#16 #04,#23 #04,#39 #04,#43 #04,#50

good luck to us all 😊

2020 pre-draw bankroll -60 points
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07-01-2020, 19:47   #2
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As above, some good balls floating around, at least 11 hot balls available, and those two favourable 7-11 stars for picking.



Many more bad balls, which helps with the elimination process.
Expecting 3+Evens, good spread, with just a slightly heavy bias e.g. 27.5avg.

From rough estimates 2018: break even point or very small profits, 2019: +3k approx. 2020: Primary focus is quads, so small profit not a priority or urgent.
Tonight's HotPicks 1T, 2Q. Also a rare full pair of EM tickets (due to €50m+ and 7/11 LS).
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08-01-2020, 16:31   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jacool View Post
Most overdue numbers
29 last seen 13Aug2019
04 last seen 23Aug2019
43 last seen 27Sep2019
06 last seen 04Oct2019
37/40 last seen 25Oct2019
Based on the history of being overdue previously, #04 is categorized as “really” overdue!
As regards democracy, this last decade of draws has been one of the most democratic in some time.
In those 10 draws, no less than forty unique numbers have been drawn.
If you buy into this stat, then you do doubles and trebles of those top six overdue numbers above.

Tonight, I am going to have 2 bets, one on the three-in-a-row, and one based on the number #04. Bet one will cost me 48 points,
48 x1 point singles on three consecutive numbers
leaving me with 12 points to wager around #04 as follows
7 point single #04
Five x 1 point double #04,#16 #04,#23 #04,#39 #04,#43 #04,#50
RESULTS: In draw order 08-37-12-05-43
Four balls in, I knew I was on a loser, with only 04 to save me for a single. Instead, out popped 43, a number I had in a double with 04, so no good there.
As it transpired, #37 put a twenty-one draw gap behind it, and #43 put an even longer twenty-nine draw gap behind it, to reward anyone who had gone for the six most overdue numbers with a 100/1 return.
In reality, as I called out the doubles (fifteen) and the trebles (twenty), it was really a 2/1 return on investment.
As I did not bet that way, I had a 0% ROI.
Now that #04 is rated as “even more overdue” I have a feeling my stake here this Friday will resemble yesterday’s stake, so the current bankroll of -60 should be doubled by then.
I may well end up doing a “supremenovice” on it, and chase 04 over a cliff, similar as he did with the number 21 last year!
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10-01-2020, 11:45   #4
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Tonight, I am going to have 2 bets, one on the three-in-a-row, and one based on the number #04.
Bet one will cost me 48 points, with 48 x1 point singles on three consecutive numbers (feeling good about the #38,#39 segment)
leaving me with 12 points to wager around #04 as follows
7 point single #04
Five x 1 point double #04,#16 #04,#23 #04,#39 #04,#43 #04,#50

good luck to us all ��

2020 pre-draw bankroll -120 points
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10-01-2020, 12:41   #5
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Only one hot (h-43) ball on previous draw, but luckily none of the bad (x) 13 balls, three zone (z) matches, but the (a) average spread was fairly well balanced if on low side, and only 2 evens (again), may means tonight 3/4E.



Worth noting one of the cold balls has reached the magic benchmark of t-150 (36 recently came out on this). Thus a trixie 29/17/40 (or another even ball instead of hot-due 17) would be ideal combo.
Our hot star 11 has been called which leaves 7 for anyone aiming at the jackpot, #1 star new replacement.

Other stats: warm triple now overdue is 25-36-38 (freq4) is 3034days ago, not as long ago (2495) but better selection is 2-10-22
Warm 'sequential' overdue is 20-21-22 at 4396 days with 15-16-17 not far behind.
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10-01-2020, 21:38   #6
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Getting very close to the new 30k quad targets (which should normally take 110.72115384615385 earth yrs with 8 quads per week).
Managed 3 from 4, was flirting with the 6ball also with it's circa t-100 (as shown per line D).

Fri 10 Jan: [06 17 32 44 46 ] + [ 02 06 ]



Next week it is then!
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13-01-2020, 11:45   #7
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06 - 17 - 32 - 44 - 46 1 / 4 2 / 3 20s 28 - 18 - 6 - 20 - 10 145 N

Just looking at Accumulator’s post there, where he hit the post on a 33,000/1 shot. Very unlucky.
Looking at my post, it looks as if I could have hit a 45/1 shot, but sadly, for both of us, that wasn’t true, as neither of us were “on a sweat” due to the way the numbers fell.
The actual draw order was 32-44-17-06-46, so what looked to me like “just missing out on a treble” wasn’t actually so, in the end.

When I posted for the first draw of this year, I flagged the six most overdue numbers, and in this draw, #06, became the third of those six to oblige.
Sadly, for me, #04 has yet to surface, so I will keep after it.
This leaves the three most overdue then as
29 last seen 13Aug2019
04 last seen 23Aug2019
40 last seen 25Oct2019

In this draw, we had the most, and least, drawn numbers appear.
#44 surpassed both #23 and #50 in the race to 150 appearances, and on the complete other end of the spectrum #46 made its 101st appearance.
#44 took its time, as it hadn’t been selected in the last 20 draws, whereas #46 became the final centurion just 10 draws ago.

Back tomorrow with picks, but I think we all know where I’ll be heading!!
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14-01-2020, 13:40   #8
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Tonight, I am going to have 2 bets.
Bet 1: 3-in-a-row
48 x1 point singles on three consecutive numbers
Bet 2: #04
7 point single #04
2 point double #04,#29
2 point double #04,#40
1 point treble #04,#29,#40
Just to rope in all three overdue numbers!
2020 pre-draw bankroll -180 points
and we aren’t even half-way through the first month !
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14-01-2020, 19:18   #9
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Not sure it's hot enough for a lucky large quads after a recent close shave.
More likely just some double/treble agreed banker will show: 4+29, or also hot 29+40.

There are a few other warm (not hot) skirting about on the outside of charts also:
50 (was all time fav, but now overtaken by 44), 39, 19, 18. Long time poor performers still have so much ground to cover: 46, 33.
2 ball is also worth a watch, perhaps as a that niche overdue triple-repeater: 2-10-22.

From memory think 23 with some cross-over method expectation, but really all those odd variants from '2x' e.g. balls might be keen tonight, also includes: 27,21,25.

The jackpot itself is starting to look a bit tastey with the 7 star still due a visit, which helps narrow down the 139m/1 odds.

Random fact: The most overdue-warm (x3) triple is 7 21 44, hasn't been seen for 3567 days, since Apr 2010. For sequentials, it's 36-37-38 from way-way-back: 2005.
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14-01-2020, 21:28   #10
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29 drops i didnt have a chance to have a bet
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14-01-2020, 21:41   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Accumulator View Post
Not sure it's hot enough for a lucky large quads after a recent close shave.
More likely just some double/treble agreed banker will show: 4+29, or also hot 29+40.

There are a few other warm (not hot) skirting about on the outside of charts also:
50 (was all time fav, but now overtaken by 44), 39, 19, 18. Long time poor performers still have so much ground to cover: 46, 33.
2 ball is also worth a watch, perhaps as a that niche overdue triple-repeater: 2-10-22.

From memory think 23 with some cross-over method expectation, but really all those odd variants from '2x' e.g. balls might be keen tonight, also includes: 27,21,25.

The jackpot itself is starting to look a bit tastey with the 7 star still due a visit, which helps narrow down the 139m/1 odds.

Random fact: The most overdue-warm (x3) triple is 7 21 44, hasn't been seen for 3567 days, since Apr 2010. For sequentials, it's 36-37-38 from way-way-back: 2005.
Tues 14 Jan: [ 21 25 29 39 44] +08 +09

Namecheck on the 5main balls, just not at the same time, place, or ticket.
To be fair about 15 balls were mentioned.

Anyway c'mon the 4 ball (t-150 benchmark) for Friday, and long lost lucky star 7, if rollover should occur.
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17-01-2020, 11:41   #12
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When I posted for the first draw of this year, I flagged the six most overdue numbers, and in this draw, #29, became the fourth of those six to oblige.
Sadly, for me, #04 has yet to surface, so I will keep after it.
This leaves the two most overdue then as
04 last seen 23Aug2019
40 last seen 25Oct2019

21 - 25 - 29 - 39 - 44 4 / 1 2 / 3 00s 10s 10 - 8 - 46 - 11 - 1 158 Y
So, for the second draw in a row, I got one leg up of a double, but not the single I wanted.

So tonight, the 4th effort at the same strategy, sees these bets

Tonight, I am going to have 2 bets.
Bet 1: 3-in-a-row
48 x1 point singles on three consecutive numbers
Bet 2: #04
10 point single #04
2 point double #04,#40
2020 pre-draw bankroll -240 points


The actual jackpot tonight will be over €100m, so I’ll be wagering there also.

Also, relative to the actual Euromillions draw, I see changes are afoot, which, reading between the lines, might hit the smaller payouts.

As of February 4th, 2020, the rules regarding the EuroMillions jackpot are about to change. The previous cap of €190,000,000 is being increased, with a final top prize of €250,000,000 to become available, as set out below.

The new cap will be €200,000,000, but that will no longer be the largest amount that the first prize can reach.
If the jackpot gets to this amount the cycle can last for five draws. If there are no winners in this 5th draw the jackpot is paid out in the lower tier. The jackpot stays fixed during this five final draws of the cycle.
For the next cycle the maximum jackpot is set to €210,000,000 (an increase by €10,000,000).
Then again the jackpot payout in the 5th final draw of this cycle. The jackpot stays fixed during this five final draws of the cycle.
And so on....for the next cycles the maximum jackpot can reach 220,230,240 and maximum 250 million euros.

When will these changes come into effect? The changes will come into effect from February 1.
The first draw to include these game enhancements will take place on Tuesday, February 4.
What changes are being made?
There will be a change to the distribution of the overall prize fund for the game - meaning there will be more money allocated to the top jackpot prize.
The next bit, I don't actually understand !! I just copied it in here!
Instead of taking nine to ten draws to reach a jackpot of €100million, it’s predicted that the new jackpot will reach €100million in seven to eight draws in just four weeks.
The changes will also enable the EuroMillions community to have jackpot promotional event draws more often with guaranteed mega jackpots of around €130million in every draw.
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17-01-2020, 13:47   #13
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The 1st Feb changes to Euromills is yet another reason not to do it (full regular shop ticket that is).
In order to promote quicker (unrealistic) 'headline grabbing' (139m/1) jackpots, they essentially taking away from ALL the smaller common prizes.

e.g. 4 main balls in regular ticket sees prize reduced from 0.36% to 0.26% prizefund. Those recent x72 winners of 4main balls got just €72 on Tues, this will be further hacked down from February (€52 based on the planned % reduction). So EVERY SINGLE ONE of the 47,000 Irish players that won (small) prizes in Ireland would even be WORSE OFF, at all the expense of promoting a single (rarely won) headline jackpot.

Whereas my 4ball hotpickers (nearly landed) will still return 30k (x576.92 times more returns, than standard Feb1st ticket), and for less of an outlay.
It's a no brainer, unless you're i) Pretty sure (after data analysis or other methodology) of getting very close to the jackpots ii) Jackpot is 100m+ iii) Are in massive syndicate iv) feeling unusually lucky.
Thus Hotpicks still remains (even more) favourable.
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20-01-2020, 15:48   #14
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Quote :: "Tonight, I am going to have 2 bets.
Bet 1: 3-in-a-row 48 x1 point singles on three consecutive numbers
Bet 2: #04 10 point single #04 2 point double #04,#40
2020 pre-draw bankroll -240 points"

The draw result looks like another potential post hitter, when you see 08-19-20-29-44, and indeed it also sounds like one when you read them out in draw order , twenty, eight, twenty-nine,
but sadly that was 20,08,29 and 44 also popped out before 19 appeared, so, yet again, there was no sweat on.

#44 became a three-in-a-row for only the second time ever, previously occurring back in September 2012
#29 decided to re-appear immediately after it got its “shy” spell over with.
The actual €100m went to one winner in Portugal, so there’s someone who can join Ronaldo on the Rich List 2020.
I’m going completely the opposite direction, but now have the fear that if I abandon my plan it will drop that very draw, so expect this column to consist of a lot of Ctrl-C, Ctrl-V shortcuts!

Last edited by jacool; 20-01-2020 at 15:49. Reason: Caps lock LOCKED !!
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24-01-2020, 19:41   #15
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Don't think it's prime enough conditions for the usual quad tonight, a more rare and conservative triple type of thing may be the remedy.
#4 ball has pinged the all important t-150 marker, and #40 is showing due expectancy, among one or two additional others.

The jackpot has since been watered down for anyone still awaiting the 7 (and 1) luckystars.
Worth noting the recent Portugese winner will have a 20% tax bill on his/her new fortune. The Swiss are worse, something like 40% sliced off your euromillls-wins.
Always get your ticket before heading off to play golfball, or any cheese/watch shopping.
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