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01-05-2020, 15:55   #61
DOCARCH
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A couple of recent strikes near Enfield (Co. Meath).
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01-05-2020, 16:30   #62
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Hail in Naas

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07-05-2020, 02:24   #63
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From Convectiveweather


Day 2 Convective Outlook
VALID 06:00 UTC Thu 07 May 2020 - 05:59 UTC Fri 08 May 2020

ISSUED 21:28 UTC Wed 06 May 2020

ISSUED BY: Dan

Upper ridge will gradually retreat to the Continent, allowing the flow aloft to veer round to the southwest. This will advect a moisture plume of relatively high ThetaW, stretching from Ireland to SW England first thing on Thursday morning, northeastwards across the British Isles through the day. Initially, some modest elevated instability will be present, with subtle impulses aiding in the development of pulses of showery rain drifting N/NE-wards through the day. As a result, there will be a low (but non-zero) risk of isolated lightning, hence the broad LOW threat area.

Diurnal heating will yield 300-600 J/kg CAPE by late morning, and more especially into the afternoon. The slack surface pattern will encourage areas of low-level convergence to form, and these (in conjunction with orographic forcing) will provide the primary focus for lift in order to develop a few scattered showers. CAM guidance suggests surface-based convection may initiate around 12-1pm, particularly across parts of Ireland and SW England, with additional development then likely through the afternoon and evening hours in other parts of Ireland / England and Wales. Some sporadic lightning seems likely over parts of the Republic of Ireland into Northern Ireland (30-35% chance) during the afternoon and early evening where convection will be deepest (but dependent on sufficient cloud clearance),
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07-05-2020, 20:45   #64
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Not surprised there was no sferics showing up in the S /SW last night ( seemed like very weak parameters for any real convection to get going ) but there did seem a bit more of a chance today in the NW /N. Looking at the temperatures and Sat pic it would suggest a lot of cloud cover and not much heating got through. Shear was always looking very low and the surface convergence was very weak it would seem. Ireland being so benign in general really does need more instability in the atmosphere with good temperature contrasts . Just not enough umph I suppose. There was a couple of good storms last year during the summer that headed up form Biscay on warm moist plumes into the S and SE and moved up the country, will be interesting to see if some develop this year.






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07-05-2020, 20:56   #65
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Had to do a double take when I saw this come over the ridge, looks like a cartoon tornado !!

tornado.jpg
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07-05-2020, 21:16   #66
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Originally Posted by SlowBlowin View Post
Had to do a double take when I saw this come over the ridge, looks like a cartoon tornado !!

Attachment 512123
Lovely. Saw loads of Lenticulars over this side of the Slieve Mish mountains also today.
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07-05-2020, 23:48   #67
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Saturday looks like it could get quite warm, possibly up to 21C or 22C in places. Fairly high theta E reading coupled with the days heating looks like setting off some convective showers, heavy in places, with perhaps sporadic lightning possible .





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08-05-2020, 10:50   #68
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Met Éireann forecast this morning gunning for isolated heavy showers tomorrow, the regional forecasts also mention thunder.
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08-05-2020, 20:29   #69
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Could be a lively day in Munster tomorrow .

Met Eireann ' Warm sunny spells tomorrow, with scattered afternoon showers, some heavy, with the potential for slow-moving thundery downpours, which could lead to localised flooding.'


Heat looks to build early, could be hitting 19 - 20C by around 13.00 , high theta E, convergence, topographical lift, high Dp up to 13 or 14C.












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08-05-2020, 20:39   #70
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Other models showing widespread heavy showers and thunderstorms breaking out towards late afternoon / early evening












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08-05-2020, 20:46   #71
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OK thats my mind made up, everything is going to be unplugged by 10, as always its right on top of me I cant afford another strike.

Thanks for the heads up..
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08-05-2020, 20:50   #72
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OK thats my mind made up, everything is going to be unplugged by 10, as always its right on top of me I cant afford another strike.

Thanks for the heads up..
Yeah looks like there could be storms over the mountains all right , will be watching out for your reports !
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08-05-2020, 22:34   #73
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https://twitter.com/convectivewx/sta...272107009?s=20
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08-05-2020, 22:51   #74
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Pileus Cloud here today

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08-05-2020, 23:56   #75
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Yeah looks like there could be storms over the mountains all right , will be watching out for your reports !
Will we get rain North of Tralee?
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