147/1 - Snooker Betting Thread

spurshero wrote: »

Might come in yet !!

Can't write that one off for sure.... Wilson well ahead, and Selby 11/10 against Bingham @ 8/11... I suppose it's 'odds-on' the bet lands; though it aint looking good on one of the scoreboards

World Seniors' Semi-Finals (7)

Jimmy White v Igor Figueiredo
Paddy Wallace v David Lilley

Think Igor will hammer Jimmy.. I haven't seen Wallace play, but I figure he's value here on his scoring alone, with two breaks over 50 in both his matches; which is impressive enough at this grade, where a player is often granted/gifted several chances a frame..

Done a few for later on.

Singles: These on the White/FiguEIRE do match...

Igor (-1.5) 20/21 , Igor (-2.5) 21/10 , Figueiredo 4-0 @ 13/2 , Under 5.5 total frames @ 13/10.

2 doubles (feat both semis):

Igor (-1.5) v Jimmy @ 20/21 & Wallace win 11/8.
Igor (-2.5) v Jimmy @ 21/10 & Patrick win 11/8.

Hoping for an 'Irish' double , as tenuous as it may be, with the Brazilian having a partly Irish name

^^^ Appears that match is on this eve - 7 or 8 o'clock, going by the snooker website... Well, it says 8 o'clock, but sometimes they go an hour ahead (European Time I think) , so 7 o'clock kickoff I imagine. Was down (match-time) for 1 o'clock on oddschecker when I posted 😟.. Will most likely clash with the G Wilson/Selby match (due off at the same time) , so will probably be only viewable on the app....

I was watching the Shaun Murphy match last night (v Allan Taylor), and although he won; he was poor for most of it, so I said 'If Murphy wins, I'll back his opponent in the next match' , ... S Murphy v Tian Pengfei.. Will back TIAN PENGFEI @ 7/4 to beat spud.... It clashes with the Trump match, so I will be watching the scoreboard on that one methinks.... Due off at 9pm (that's European Time again, so could be closer to 8pm, or maybe later if the previous matches overrun.. Doubt any of the matches will be over in less than an hour)..

Done em both in singles... Even if I'm scoreboard watching...

3-0 now.. Not going to plan at all 😭

No joy in the Murphy match either... Tian was 3-2 up, and I think he was about 20pts up, and on the colours in frame 6 (judging by looking at the scoreboard) ... must have fluffed his lines, and he lost that frame.. Appeared to have plenty of chances in the decider as well, but The Magician wins that to win 4-3... ☹️

I'd be a good participant in an anti gambling ad... Cursing at a screen, and not even watching the action 😂 It's too stressful this scoreboard watching craic...

And Dave gets knocked out at the QF stage.. Didn't play any better or worse than Higgins. Higgins missed plenty, but he just had plenty more luck in the way the balls finished up than his opponent.. Been a very scrappy tournament so far.

UK Championship - Rd 4 . Matches played today (Dec 1) and tomorrow

Without looking at the prices, I'm thinking of doing all, or some of these players in the next round matches - round 3 matches all completed by now..

Noppon Saengkham v Ronnie Today Wednesday 1pm.. Leave this one out of calculations

Zhao Xintong v Peter Lines Today Wednesday 1pm

Jordan Brown v Anthony McGill Today Wednesday 7pm

Kyren Wilson v Ben Woolaston Today Wednesday 7pm

Anthony Hamilton v Luca Brecel Thursday ?time

Matthew Selt v Barry Hawkins Thursday ?time

David B Gilbert v Andy Hicks Thursday ?time

Jack Lisowski v Hossein Vafaei Thursday ?time

A lot of upsets so far, but getting to business end, they'll be less and less. Still, it's relatively early on in the comp, and the next round (QF) is where one would expect the more fancied players to prevail at a higher rate.. I'd say about half the picks above are marginal outsiders, and the rest, marginal favourites....... Probably none so big that warrants doing permutation doubles/multiples etc, but maybe a tenner apiece on singles...

I reckon the 'favourites' out of those selected matches will be Xintong (looks an obvious one that) , Anto, Wilson, Brecel , Bazza, Dave, and 'Jackpot'..

Pity it's best of 11 pretty much the whole way through this comp - only at the final stage does it go to a 'best of' that's higher than 11, where it's a possible 19 frames to be played..

Will have a look and update.

UK Championship Semi Finals - Today (Sat) 4th December

Luca Brecel v Kyren Wilson 1.00pm

Surely Luca is the most improved player in this comp. Ranked 40, and while talented, he's never done a lot, but that may well change. Aint seen much of him this week, as he's not been on the main table much - if at all. In the last three rounds, he's swiped aside McGill, Hamilton, and Maguire, by scores of 6-2, 6-1, and 6-0. He's only made one century so far, and that was in an earlier round match versus Tom Ford..

Wilson has had a few centuries, and is the deserved favourite based on his ranking, and having beaten Ronnie earlier..

Wilson is generally an 8/15 shot, but I think Brecel will put it up to him, and will have a go at him at a readily available 6/4, as I think it looks value.. Maguire is very hot and cold, so won't read much into the whitewash there, but Luca's thumping of two proper players in The Sheriff and McGill is definitely noteworthy.

Barry Hawkins v Zhao Xintong 7.00pm

I think Bazza will have too much for the Chinese here, but @ 8/11, I think I'll leave this one alone...

Outright

Hopefully Brecel can take care of Wilson, and Barry beats the Chinese lad, and I'm thinking that Barry Hawkins outright at 3/1 looks value, as I think he's the most likely of the 4 to get to the final, and it will be best of 19.. If it's a Hawkins/Brecel final; over that distance, Barry should be a very warm fav..

Bets: Luca Brecel to beat Wilson in 1st Semi 6/4... Barry Hawkins UK Championship winner 3/1....

done Willo at 4.7 just now for t'interest,, 3-0 down atm against Trump