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Property Market 2020

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,036 ✭✭✭pearcider


    old_house wrote: »
    Yes, I did not dispute that. Just like gold is down 99.97% from its peak in bitcoin. The charts don't lie...

    Well you can certainly make the charts say whatever you like. The fact is there are BTC investors out there sitting on a 50% loss right now. Some lost 30% overnight. So you can pretend it’s the be all and end all but at this moment in time, it’s highly volatile and is therefore not a good store of value when compared with gold. I am not trying to disparage the underlying technology of bitcoin by the way. I just don’t think it can compete with gold until it solves its volatility problem.


  • Registered Users Posts: 60 ✭✭old_house


    GreeBo wrote: »
    It's value can disappear, just as happened with many other coins and tokens, take XRP for example.

    It's the wrong thread and I will not post anymore off topic after this. Just to make sure nobody gets this wrong:
    GreeBo and pearcider are absolutely right. The value of bitcoin and any other cryptocurrency can change greatly at any time and it is certainly not a safe investment to secure a house purchase with. Nobody should pretend otherwise and caution is always advised when managing funds that one cannot afford to lose.
    That being said: The fact that crypto is still being perceived as high risk by the masses means that the number of investors and the invested sums so far are relatively low in comparison to more established asset classes. With every passing day that bitcoin does not dissappear (10 years+ already) the confidence will grow and so will the userbase. How it will all end is still unknown, otherwise we wouldn't have this discussion. So if you want to try it out take a small amount that you can lose without risking your future. However small, it might still make a difference in the long run. But please don't bet your house on it.


  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,174 ✭✭✭hometruths


    old_house wrote: »
    Yes, I did not dispute that. Just like gold is down 99.97% from its peak in bitcoin. The charts don't lie...

    Very similiar to the Gold/Tulip Bulbs chart in the 1630s.

    In 1637 a single Viceroy tulip bulb would have cost you 365 ounces of gold.

    Today, those same 356 ounces would buy you 837,644 tulip bulbs.

    Chart's don't lie over the long term.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,110 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    GreeBo wrote: »
    It's value can disappear, just as happened with many other coins and tokens, take XRP for example.

    Oh right, OK. It's by far the best performing investment I have ever made, beating my Irish property by several country miles. I haven't bought into any other cryptos, like XRP, for example.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,785 ✭✭✭✭kippy


    cnocbui wrote: »
    Oh right, OK. It's by far the best performing investment I have ever made, beating my Irish property by several country miles. I haven't bought into any other cryptos, like XRP, for example.

    Good on you.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,560 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    There is a Cryptocurrency forum. Please use it


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,213 ✭✭✭Mic 1972


    gourcuff wrote: »
    what are the chances early 2020 becomes the 2006,2007 in terms of absolute worst time to have bought a house?...

    moved from a one bed to our first house, so felt fortunate with lockdown etc...

    but wonder could this be viewed in years to come as a huge blunder in timing?


    Looking at the market right now it doesn't seem like there will be a major change. I was hoping there would be but I'm making my peace with it
    The first half of the year was pretty strong so far, last reports suggest that there has been little activity during lock down but lots of online traffic on MyHome and Daft which means people are still very focused on buying
    Covid will be over eventually, probably sooner than we think


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,807 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    At the moment there is precious little reason to save in banks- and some banks are even charging for looking after your money.
    A minor reason why I am going ahead with my property purchase is basically to diversify into another non-cash asset class. BoI are still charging me fees even with €110k on deposit (AIB/PTSB/Ulster are a lot nicer..).


  • Registered Users Posts: 133 ✭✭dickface


    <MOD SNIP>


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,223 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    PommieBast wrote: »
    A minor reason why I am going ahead with my property purchase is basically to diversify into another non-cash asset class. BoI are still charging me fees even with €110k on deposit (AIB/PTSB/Ulster are a lot nicer..).
    You should not have more than 100k on deposit in the same bank.


    The only advantages to having cash on deposit are:
    -if less than 100k, covered by state guarantee
    -liquidity at the opportunity cost of no profit
    -looks good on a loan/mortgage application


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  • Registered Users Posts: 403 ✭✭Reversal


    Mic 1972 wrote: »
    Looking at the market right now it doesn't seem like there will be a major change. I was hoping there would be but I'm making my peace with it
    The first half of the year was pretty strong so far, last reports suggest that there has been little activity during lock down but lots of online traffic on MyHome and Daft which means people are still very focused on buying
    Covid will be over eventually, probably sooner than we think

    It has not been a strong start to the year. 2020 saw the weakest ‘new year bump’ since the CB rules came into effect. The Q1 daft report showed Dublin asking prices down ~ 5% YOY. The CSO shows S Dublin areas down around 3% on the late 2018 peak, in actual prices achieved. This was all pre covid.

    Then pause button was pressed on the market in March. Asking prices won’t drop yet as all EAs will do is base the asking prices off the most recent sales, all pre covid. So asking prices can’t drop in a frozen market. The UK reopened their housing market last month, and already they have seen a 2% decline in prices, the biggest monthly drop since the crash.

    There is a risk of false hope right now. The health emergency is easing, and the economic emergency has yet to bite. But unfortunately, it will, the damage is done, no going back.

    https://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/in-six-months-we-will-be-in-the-grip-of-a-1980s-style-recession-1.4268947
    Economically speaking, this is the quiet before the storm. In six months we will be in the grip of a 1980s-style recession in which about 300,000 workers will “permanently” lose their jobs. That’s not some dire warning from a Dracula economist, that’s the assessment of Minister for Finance Paschal Donohoe


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,108 ✭✭✭TheSheriff


    Don't doubt the data above / impending recession..... But god, If the start of the year wasn't that strong I can't imagine what it would be like during a 'strong' period.

    Every house we viewed in Jan/Feb was packed with buyers, outbid on every property etc. Some calming will be very welcome I'm sure.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,295 ✭✭✭Claw Hammer


    PommieBast wrote: »
    A minor reason why I am going ahead with my property purchase is basically to diversify into another non-cash asset class. BoI are still charging me fees even with €110k on deposit (AIB/PTSB/Ulster are a lot nicer..).

    Have you €110k o deposit with each of those banks as well?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,503 ✭✭✭✭Mad_maxx


    the market wont fall that much , you only have to look at the U.S stock market to see that covid 19 is not the threat we thought it was

    the U.S stock market is the best gauge of how the irish economy is going to go in the near future , we rely completely on american corporations for strong growth


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,352 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    Mad_maxx wrote: »
    the market wont fall that much , you only have to look at the U.S stock market to see that covid 19 is not the threat we thought it was

    the U.S stock market is the best gauge of how the irish economy is going to go in the near future , we rely completely on american corporations for strong growth

    The US stock market is off the rails. It has no connection with reality any more.

    They have COVID, massive unemployment, trade wars and riots all the while the stock market is bouncing along happily.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,616 ✭✭✭✭errlloyd


    Padre_Pio wrote: »
    The US stock market is off the rails. It has no connection with reality any more.

    They have COVID, massive unemployment, trade wars and riots all the while the stock market is bouncing along happily.

    It's like a huge Ponzi scheme that their government keeps buying shares in. It's hilarious.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,969 ✭✭✭Assetbacked


    errlloyd wrote: »
    It's like a huge Ponzi scheme that their government keeps buying shares in. It's hilarious.

    It's absolutely insane. The Fed's QE has just gone straight into fuelling the bubble even further, with corporate bond funds receiving mass inflows in the past few weeks as well as companies have sought to take on even more debt. Interest rates are going to go negative without doubt at this stage and we will be caught in a deflationary spiral once the economic correction is allowed to finally settle in.

    I mean, the Fed is piling into the whole thing which is just completely bonkers and throws the fundamentals out the window. It is pathetic to see companies crying out for cash from the Fed due to their own recklessness and seeing the Fed bail everything out like a rich dad who just underwrites his spoilt kid's lifestyle. It's also not sustainable but to be honest it's hard to see where the chips will fall once the Fed backs off from underwriting the supposed free market.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,969 ✭✭✭Assetbacked


    errlloyd wrote: »
    It's like a huge Ponzi scheme that their government keeps buying shares in. It's hilarious.

    It's absolutely insane. The Fed's QE has just gone straight into fuelling the bubble even further, with corporate bond funds receiving mass inflows in the past few weeks as well due to companies seeking to take on even more debt. Interest rates are going to go negative without doubt at this stage and we will be caught in a deflationary spiral once the economic correction is allowed to finally settle in.

    I mean, the Fed is piling into the whole thing which is just completely bonkers and throws the fundamentals out the window. It is pathetic to see companies crying out for cash from the Fed due to their own recklessness and seeing the Fed bail everything out like a rich dad who just underwrites his spoilt kid's lifestyle. It's also not sustainable but to be honest it's hard to see where the chips will fall once the Fed backs off from underwriting the supposed free market.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭wassie


    ELM327 wrote: »
    You should not have more than 100k on deposit in the same bank.

    The only advantages to having cash on deposit are:
    -if less than 100k, covered by state guarantee...

    I would suggest if he loses his 110K because BoI go bust, then the whole country is in trouble!


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  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Padre_Pio wrote: »
    The US stock market is off the rails. It has no connection with reality any more.

    They have COVID, massive unemployment, trade wars and riots all the while the stock market is bouncing along happily.
    Jobs are on the up when they were expecting 8 million redundancies. Hence the positivity. People rioting and protesting is not something that will dent the markets long/medium term. Life and the economy goes on for the vast majority of people. They dont have strict lockdown restrictions like we do.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,807 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    ELM327 wrote: »
    You should not have more than 100k on deposit in the same bank.
    I know, but Ireland only has a few banks :(


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,994 ✭✭✭Taylor365


    PommieBast wrote: »
    I know, but Ireland only has a few banks :(
    Plenty of other places to keep €€€€


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,383 ✭✭✭Deub


    Jobs are on the up when they were expecting 8 million redundancies. Hence the positivity. People rioting and protesting is not something that will dent the markets long/medium term. Life and the economy goes on for the vast majority of people. They dont have strict lockdown restrictions like we do.

    Yeah it was 2 something million......... because it was only for the 12 days of May. It is a joke.


  • Registered Users Posts: 7 missmed


    The property market is reopening this coming Monday, back to physical viewings. There is a lack to supply and pent up demand according to EA’s. Based on this can we expect bidding wars on houses currently on market? or will people hold off and wait for more houses to come to market or possible future price drops?


  • Registered Users Posts: 7 missmed


    The property market is reopening this coming Monday, back to physical viewings. There is a lack to supply and pent up demand according to EA’s. Based on this can we expect bidding wars on houses currently on market? or will people hold off and wait for more/new houses to launch to market or possible future price drops?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 255 ✭✭bluelamp


    missmed wrote: »
    The property market is reopening this coming Monday, back to physical viewings. There is a lack to supply and pent up demand according to EA’s. Based on this can we expect bidding wars on houses currently on market? or will people hold off and wait for more/new houses to launch to market or possible future price drops?

    I would imagine the next few weeks will be extremely busy after a couple of months of nothing happening.

    Estate agents are always going to talk up the market, buyers will always talk it down. The truth is always somewhere in the middle.

    Personally I dont think it will be clear how covid 19 has impacted the market until October / November or so.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,502 ✭✭✭q85dw7osi4lebg


    Have been talking to a friend who is an EA and they also reckon we won't see the impact of all this for a few months, supply is incredibly low in their area and there is bidding wars now on properties that nobody had an interest in 6 months ago before Covid.


  • Registered Users Posts: 7 missmed


    Thank you bluelamp and instaste for your opinions/views.
    Have been talking to a friend who is an EA and they also reckon we won't see the impact of all this for a few months, supply is incredibly low in their area and there is bidding wars now on properties that nobody had an interest in 6 months ago before Covid.

    Instaste you mentioned that there are bidding wars going on. This raises another question, are people going much over the asking price? I would have imagined covid affecting buyers mortgage approval/drawdown and therefore ability to buy/bid.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,502 ✭✭✭q85dw7osi4lebg


    missmed wrote: »
    Thank you bluelamp and instaste for your opinions/views.



    Instaste you mentioned that there are bidding wars going on. This raises another question, are people going much over the asking price? I would have imagined covid affecting buyers mortgage approval/drawdown and therefore ability to buy/bid.

    No he was still in the region of the asking price, but what he was saying that was most unusual was that these few properties have been on the market quite a while with little to no interest until now. They don't fully open until next week too.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,616 ✭✭✭✭errlloyd


    No he was still in the region of the asking price, but what he was saying that was most unusual was that these few properties have been on the market quite a while with little to no interest until now. They don't fully open until next week too.

    Out of curiosity can you say what region it is?

    I'm trying to buy an apartment adjacent to Dublin cc. Regardless of the economy etc, I think the biggest effect on value might be a decease in the number of professionals working in the city if companies change to allow more work from home. (nice suburban apartments will go up, city centre ones will drop as people choose quality of enviornment over quality of commute.)


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,502 ✭✭✭q85dw7osi4lebg


    errlloyd wrote: »
    Out of curiosity can you say what region it is?

    I'm trying to buy an apartment adjacent to Dublin cc. Regardless of the economy etc, I think the biggest effect on value might be a decease in the number of professionals working in the city if companies change to allow more work from home. (nice suburban apartments will go up, city centre ones will drop as people choose quality of enviornment over quality of commute.)

    Their office covers everywhere from Naul to Drogheda / Dunleer afaik, commuter central.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,000 ✭✭✭Hubertj


    bluelamp wrote: »
    I would imagine the next few weeks will be extremely busy after a couple of months of nothing happening.

    Estate agents are always going to talk up the market, buyers will always talk it down. The truth is always somewhere in the middle.

    Personally I dont think it will be clear how covid 19 has impacted the market until October / November or so.

    I think it might take longer than that. People who were on wage subsidy will have to reapply for mortgage if/when they return to work. I presume that means they have 6 months to wait. It wont be until then will it be clear what demand remains. Added to that supply will have been reduced/delayed as construction stopped for so long. And the banks will need to get a handle on the mortgage arrears once the payment holidays stop.


  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,174 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Hubertj wrote: »
    I think it might take longer than that. People who were on wage subsidy will have to reapply for mortgage if/when they return to work. I presume that means they have 6 months to wait. It wont be until then will it be clear what demand remains. Added to that supply will have been reduced/delayed as construction stopped for so long. And the banks will need to get a handle on the mortgage arrears once the payment holidays stop.

    The rental market will lead the way. By October/November we should have a good idea of which way the wind is blowing for rents.

    If they are falling meaningfully we can expect purchase prices to follow suit.


  • Registered Users Posts: 252 ✭✭GocRh


    Have been talking to a friend who is an EA and they also reckon we won't see the impact of all this for a few months, supply is incredibly low in their area and there is bidding wars now on properties that nobody had an interest in 6 months ago before Covid.


    Could it be a combination of desirable properties going sale agreed quickly earlier in the year, and no new stock being added to the market since March, leaving only properties that attracted little interest a few months ago ?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,502 ✭✭✭q85dw7osi4lebg


    GocRh wrote: »
    Could it be a combination of desirable properties going sale agreed quickly earlier in the year, and no new stock being added to the market since March, leaving only properties that attracted little interest a few months ago ?

    Could very well be. Reckon it might be something to do with those who have approval not fancying reapplying in a few months too.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,807 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    missmed wrote: »
    The property market is reopening this coming Monday, back to physical viewings. There is a lack to supply and pent up demand according to EA’s.
    They would say the same thing had a meteor just hit the planet.


    Based on this can we expect bidding wars on houses currently on market? or will people hold off and wait for more houses to come to market or possible future price drops?
    I suspect things will be subdued, as the majority of people will have taken some sort of financial hit.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,807 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    errlloyd wrote: »
    I'm trying to buy an apartment adjacent to Dublin cc. Regardless of the economy etc, I think the biggest effect on value might be a decease in the number of professionals working in the city if companies change to allow more work from home. (nice suburban apartments will go up, city centre ones will drop as people choose quality of enviornment over quality of commute.)
    In all ironies I think the quality of the environment in the city centre has gone up with all the commuters gone :D


    More seriously the thing with apartments is what state the management company is in. The big discounts are going to be distressed MCs rather than an area falling out of favour.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,502 ✭✭✭q85dw7osi4lebg


    PommieBast wrote: »
    They would say the same thing had a meteor just hit the planet.



    I suspect things will be subdued, as the majority of people will have taken some sort of financial hit.

    Majority or minority? Majority of my friends and acquaintances have saved money this last few months, less opportunities to spend and most weren't furloughed.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭wassie


    No he was still in the region of the asking price, but what he was saying that was most unusual was that these few properties have been on the market quite a while with little to no interest until now. They don't fully open until next week too.

    I suspect a lot of 'interest' is also people who have been stuck at home over the last two months entertaining themselves on the interwebs....


  • Registered Users Posts: 953 ✭✭✭Ozark707


    wassie wrote: »
    I suspect a lot of 'interest' is also people who have been stuck at home over the last two months entertaining themselves on the interwebs....

    Last week was the first time in a long time where I saw quite a few properties being added to the myhome filters I have created. Nothing massive but will be interesting to see if that trend continues this week.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 403 ✭✭Reversal


    Am I the only one who cannot understand how the “saving a bomb during lockdown” effect will exert any real upward pressure on prices. It’s not like would be buyers had 15k euro luxury holidays planned that they’ve cancelled.

    Say a couple have been saving 3500 pm instead of 2000, maybe some have benefited more, but you have imagine for the majority the difference is probably less. So an extra 1500 pm for 4 month, 6K. So that’s a buying power increase of 1~2%, not exactly earth shattering against a backdrop of less approvals, lower earnings and job losses.

    Anyone who had enough disposable to benefit from the lockdown savings effect by the magnitude stated above probably would have qualified for an exemption. Which is now gone, decreasing their buying power by 25%. So overall their buying power is down 23~24% in the example above.

    That’s before we even get into, wage cuts, no bonuses, postponed salary increases. With so many cuts to people’s buying power, and a lot of buyers taken out of the market all together, I just don’t see how a small bit of cash in some peoples pockets will fight the tide. It might feel like a lot, but when you do the maths the argument does not stack up.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 119 ✭✭Brianmwalker


    https://m.independent.ie/irish-news/politics/pension-funds-proposal-for-first-time-buyers-and-reopening-of-hairdressers-coalition-talks-down-to-wire-as-lockdown-lifts-39265825.html

    Any thoughts on how the pension fund proposal will impact the market before it comes in to force (if it does at all)? To me looks like damage will drop a little with many waiting for it.
    Longer term the government are just propping up the market. If prices fell it would become more affordable for first time buyers


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,273 ✭✭✭combat14


    https://m.independent.ie/irish-news/politics/pension-funds-proposal-for-first-time-buyers-and-reopening-of-hairdressers-coalition-talks-down-to-wire-as-lockdown-lifts-39265825.html

    Any thoughts on how the pension fund proposal will impact the market before it comes in to force (if it does at all)? To me looks like damage will drop a little with many waiting for it.
    Longer term the government are just propping up the market. If prices fell it would become more affordable for first time buyers

    looks like an overt measure to prop up the housing market (maintain high prices) while at the same time ticking a box that the new government did "somerhjng" for housing ... while in reality housing is again dropping way down the govt agenda behind..

    - lowering green emissions (more taxes)
    - cutting the national herd / agriculture (more taxes)
    - cutting transport (more walking and cycling everywhere)
    etc.

    way more is needed from the new govt. on housing (and expected by young voters - anyone under 45) than just emptying already very sparse looking pension pots ...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,000 ✭✭✭Hubertj


    combat14 wrote: »
    looks like an overt measure to prop up the housing market (maintain high prices) while at the same time ticking a box that the new government did "somerhjng" for housing ... while in reality housing is again dropping way down the govt agenda behind..

    - lowering green emissions (more taxes)
    - cutting the national herd / agriculture (more taxes)
    - cutting transport (more walking and cycling everywhere)
    etc.

    way more is needed from the new govt. on housing (and expected by young voters - anyone under 45) than just emptying already very sparse looking pension pots ...

    The article is behind a paywall so can’t read it in full. Does it go into any detail on how it would work or is it just a headline?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,273 ✭✭✭combat14


    Hubertj wrote: »
    The article is behind a paywall so can’t read it in full. Does it go into any detail on how it would work or is it just a headline?

    read in previous article that you could potentially draw down something like up to 20000 tax free
    but it would affect your pension entitlements later ...
    may be set up in conjunction with help to buy scheme
    pension industry be delighted as prob more fees for them too


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,100 ✭✭✭Browney7


    Reversal wrote: »
    Am I the only one who cannot understand how the “saving a bomb during lockdown” effect will exert any real upward pressure on prices. It’s not like would be buyers had 15k euro luxury holidays planned that they’ve cancelled.

    Say a couple have been saving 3500 pm instead of 2000, maybe some have benefited more, but you have imagine for the majority the difference is probably less. So an extra 1500 pm for 4 month, 6K. So that’s a buying power increase of 1~2%, not exactly earth shattering against a backdrop of less approvals, lower earnings and job losses.

    Anyone who had enough disposable to benefit from the lockdown savings effect by the magnitude stated above probably would have qualified for an exemption. Which is now gone, decreasing their buying power by 25%. So overall their buying power is down 23~24% in the example above.

    That’s before we even get into, wage cuts, no bonuses, postponed salary increases. With so many cuts to people’s buying power, and a lot of buyers taken out of the market all together, I just don’t see how a small bit of cash in some peoples pockets will fight the tide. It might feel like a lot, but when you do the maths the argument does not stack up.

    Agree with all this.

    The only converse is that if you are able to save an extra 1k a month for example and you were on a 20k lump sum saved and needed 30k to get your deposit together in full you are much closer to your target now so there is the potential acceleration of more people having their deposit together in the first place.


  • Registered Users Posts: 359 ✭✭Experience_day


    Reversal wrote: »
    Am I the only one who cannot understand how the “saving a bomb during lockdown” effect will exert any real upward pressure on prices. It’s not like would be buyers had 15k euro luxury holidays planned that they’ve cancelled.

    Say a couple have been saving 3500 pm instead of 2000, maybe some have benefited more, but you have imagine for the majority the difference is probably less. So an extra 1500 pm for 4 month, 6K. So that’s a buying power increase of 1~2%, not exactly earth shattering against a backdrop of less approvals, lower earnings and job losses.

    Anyone who had enough disposable to benefit from the lockdown savings effect by the magnitude stated above probably would have qualified for an exemption. Which is now gone, decreasing their buying power by 25%. So overall their buying power is down 23~24% in the example above.

    That’s before we even get into, wage cuts, no bonuses, postponed salary increases. With so many cuts to people’s buying power, and a lot of buyers taken out of the market all together, I just don’t see how a small bit of cash in some peoples pockets will fight the tide. It might feel like a lot, but when you do the maths the argument does not stack up.


    I would say that a fair few (and bearing in mind Ireland is a small place where it doesn't take a lot to make a meaningful percentage) have been able to save far more than that.


    Take a colleague for example. Good salary granted but no longer has creche fees, commute fees, pub most days, lunches, dinners, breakfasts, coffees etc. I would genuinely say he's saving thousands a month.



    And what I would also say it's doing is empowering a class of people that have never bothered to save......to save involuntarily. The ones that are now out of credit card debt for first time, maybe those who didn't think they could save for a house and now found themselves (even by your conservative estimates) 6k richer. Doesn't take a lot to extrapolate a few people that now see it as something attainable.



    For myself, I've saved nearly my entire paycheck since March on top of my modest savings. It means I have a fair substantial deposit now and I'm genuinely considering buying another house. :)


    Something I wouldn't have considered even a few months ago....


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,805 ✭✭✭accensi0n


    empowering a class of people that have never bothered to save.......

    Hope so, but seems a bit optimistic. I think it's more likely that people who are now saving accidentally and who were historically sh*te at saving, will revert and maybe even make up for it a bit by splashing out.


  • Registered Users Posts: 359 ✭✭Experience_day


    accensi0n wrote: »
    Hope so, but seems a bit optimistic. I think it's more likely that people who are now saving accidentally and who were historically sh*te at saving, will revert and maybe even make up for it a bit by splashing out.


    See now this is particularly interesting to myself as well. Will people have weaned themselves off the likes of Mcdonalds, Starbucks etc. Fundamentally useless **** that keeps them poor or will they go straight back to it?


    Personally I've always been a big fan of the pub. But after a few months without it now, will I simply revert back to how I was before? I know I shouldn't.........but will I?


    I do think there must be at least a reasonable percentage that have gotten themselves away from toxic behaviors and habits and that might translate into more savings for houses?


    I think the biggest percentage though will be the likes of the "low middle class" eg the ones working at the FAANG companies, financial services etc. They have secure employment greatly reduced costs and for people in a relationship must surely have them close to a deposit for somewhere in the 300-350k category? A 325k place is only 4k a month each for 4 months for a couple...


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  • Registered Users Posts: 403 ✭✭Reversal


    See now this is particularly interesting to myself as well. Will people have weaned themselves off the likes of Mcdonalds, Starbucks etc. Fundamentally useless **** that keeps them poor or will they go straight back to it?


    Personally I've always been a big fan of the pub. But after a few months without it now, will I simply revert back to how I was before? I know I shouldn't.........but will I?


    I do think there must be at least a reasonable percentage that have gotten themselves away from toxic behaviors and habits and that might translate into more savings for houses?


    I think the biggest percentage though will be the likes of the "low middle class" eg the ones working at the FAANG companies, financial services etc. They have secure employment greatly reduced costs and for people in a relationship must surely have them close to a deposit for somewhere in the 300-350k category? A 325k place is only 4k a month each for 4 months for a couple...

    Ah here, a couple who can save 4K a month, each, aren’t buying a terrace in Drimnagh. Combined yearly income would nearly be the price of the house you quoted.


This discussion has been closed.
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