A/R 5k TT 25th April ‘20.

Murph_D wrote: »

As promised, a version of the results including cagtegory age grading. Not everyone’s bag (and please feel free to ignore it if you object to AG). Just a bit of fun, to put some performances in more perspective and to allow at least a rudimentary (some would say meaningless) comparison between age categories and genders. (Because it's based on Categories, your actual AG, based on your actual age, may be slightly higher or lower than these numbers).

The table auto sorts by AG (descending) and can be re-sorted by clicking on the head of any column (maybe not on your smartphone).

For those not familiar, Age Grading expresses your time as a percentage of the world record for your age (or in this case, your age category). The ‘adjusted time’ (if I’ve done the sums right) expresses your result in terms of the equivalent performance by a senior male runner (ie 18-34 years) runner.

Again, just a bit of fun. Let me know if you spot any mistakes. The original spreadsheet is on Google Docs here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TMq_uqFNJlpbDZtTIFhIs6Xe8V7VnNP5ck9xPx8xg0s/edit#gid=1166895528

Name |Cat |Prediction|Actual|AG|Adjusted|Sandbag Factor
ReeReeG|F|22:30|21:56|67.2|19:08|00:34
blackbird86|F35|26:30|26:45|57.6|22:19|-00:15
Hannibal Smith|FS?|n/a|35:42|41.3|31:08|
Hedgehoggy|F35|20:30|20:34|74.9|17:10|-00:04
career move|F35|21:20|21:51|70.5|18:14|-00:31
laura_ac3|F35|n/a|26:30|58.1|22:07|
Laineyfrecks|F40|20:30|20:36|76.6|16:46|-00:06
Sussex18|F40|22:00|20:54|75.5|17:01|01:06
ariana’|F40|23:30|22:55|68.9|18:39|00:35
Bluesquare|F40|25:00|24:11|65.3|19:41|00:49
Younganne|F45|28:00|DNS|0|0|
Annie Get Your Run|F45|29:00|29:04|55.9|23:01|-00:04
juke|F50|n/a|28:40|58.1|22:07|

Crisco10|M|19:10|18:33|69.3|18:33|00:37
Damo2k9|M|n/a|DNF|0|0|
KSU|M|17:30|17:40|72.7|17:40|-00:10
deconduo|M|24:00|DNS|0|0|
pconn062|M|17:48|17:09|74.9|17:09|00:39
yiddo 1882|M|19:50|22:02|58.3|22:02|-02:12
token56|M|20:30|20:28|62.8|20:28|00:02

zico10|M35|17:10|16:24|82.2|15:38|00:46
Dudda|M35|18:00|18:24|73.3|17:32|-00:24
justdoit|M35|19:20|19:55|67.7|18:59|-00:35
duffyshuffle|M35|19:59|19:44|68.3|18:48|00:15
healy1835|M35|17:05|17:30|77.0|16:41|-00:25
djemba djemba|M35|18:00|18:22|73.4|17:30|-00:22
MY6.2/MYBAD|M35|17:59|17:13|78.3|16:24|00:46
Butterbeans|M35|n/a|DNS|0|0|
Swashbuckler|M35|18:15|18:06|74.5|17:15|00:09
Guill|M35|n/a|21:49|61.8|20:48|
Omeceron|M35|21:59|22:18|60.5|21:15|-00:19
racersedge|M35|21:30|DNS|0|0|
Lambay Island|M35|17:45|16:56|79.6|16:08|00:49
quick feet|M35|18:45|18:29|72.9|17:37|00:16
IvoryTower|M35|19:25|18:15|73.9|17:24|01:10
diego_b|M35|22:00|22:23|60.2|21:20|-00:23
Dubh Geannain|M35|17:59|18:10|74.2|17:19|-00:11
dickidy|M35|n/a|DNS|0|0|
Clash City Rocker|M35|17:59|17:27|77.3|16:38|00:32
MrMacPhisto|M35|18:10|17:48|75.7|16:58|00:22
Diablo Verde|M35|18:20|17:59|75.0|17:08|00:21
py|M35|24:00|22:14|60.6|21:11|01:46

OOnegative|M40|n/a|DNS|0|0|
shotgunmcos|M40|19:47|18:53|72.2|17:48|00:54
ComicBookGuy|M40|n/a|DNS|0|0|
average_runner|M40|21:20|DNS|0|0|
Zebra3|M40|22:30|22:22|61.0|21:05|00:08
Marty Bird|M40|n/a|17:27|78.1|16:27|
adrian522|M40|25:00|26:30|53.3|24:07|-00:35
66_Lad|M40|n/a|16:50|81.0|15:52|
dangerous quack|M40|18:45|DNS|0|0|
Treviso|M40|17:59|17:48|76.6|16:47|00:11
Lazare|M40|19:50|DNS|0|0|
mister paul|M40|19:48|23:26|58.2|22:05|-03:38
ofthelord|M40|21:00|19:56|68.4|18:47|01:04
Singer|M40|19:59|19:46|69.0|18:38|00:13
spc78|M40|17:45|DNS|0|0|
wookiesleep|M40|19:45|19:00|71.8|17:54|00:45
MisterJinx|M40|21:30|20:03|68.0|18:54|01:27
Ecoenergy|M40|19:45|20:09|67.7|19:00|-00:24
Woody1 |M40|21:55|DNS|0|0|

jamule|M45|17:45|DNF|0|0|
krusty_clown|M45|17:30|18:18|79.1|16:14|-00:48
coogy|M45|19:30|DNF|0|0|
MrSkinny|M45|20:00|21:42|66.7|19:15|-01:42
WubbleWubble|M45|21:30|21:11|68.4|18:48|00:19
Slow_Runner|M45|19:59|20:38|70.2|18:18|-00:39
AuldManKing|M45|17:49|17:56|80.8|15:55|-00:07
DeepBlue|M45|20:50|21:16|68.1|18:52|-00:26
Sideswipe|M45|19:29|DNS|0|0|
Kurt Godel|M45|21:00|DNF|0|0|
ultrapercy|M45|16:59|16:38|87.1|14:45|00:21
PaulieYifter|M45|18:45|17:42|81.8|15:42|01:03

Itziger|M50|18:30|18:36|80.6|15:56|-00:06
skyblue46|M50|20:00|19:13|78.1|16:28|00:47
snailsong|M50|20:00|20:55|71.7|17:55|-00:55
dna_leri|M50|17:30|17:40|84.9|15:08|-00:10
BeepBeep67|M50|17:30|DNS|0|0|
MisterDrak|M50|20:50|20:37|72.8|17:40|00:13
Speedy44|M50|21:59|21:43|69.1|18:36|00:16
TFBubendorfer|M50|20:00|19:44|76|16:54|00:16

EnPassant|M55|23:14|23:42|65.5|19:38|-00:28
Murph_D|M55|21:00|21:03|73.7|17:26|-00:03

Pherekydes|M60|32:00|31:36|50.9|25:13|00:24



By this measure, the top 3 AG performances are:

1. ultrapercy 87.1%
2. dna_leri 84.9%
3. zico10 82.2%

The three best female AG performances are:

1. Laineyfrecks 76.6%
2. Sussex18 75.5%
3. Hedgehoggy 74.9%

Other observations:

Biggest sandbaggers are:

1. py (01:46)
2. MisterJinx (01:27)
3. Ivory Tower (01:10)

Most optimistic predictors:

Anyone with a DNF (4),

Best predictors:
1. token56 (-2 secs)
2. Murph_D (+3 secs)
3. AGYR / /hedgehoggy (+4 secs)

(Didn't do the sums but in general women seem better at predicting their times than the lads.)

Median AG: 71.8%

Women are less likely to DNS (only 1) and DNF (0).

yido1882 wrote: »

Thanks for all the efforts on this, was good craic taking part and seeing all the results coming on the day. Good to do it for a cause too. Look forward to the next one!

Just if anyone is updating the table again, I ran 19:45 on the day but my time above is showing as 22:02

I'm not bothered about it though, honestly.........

Hannibal_Smith wrote: »

Ah jaysus :pac:. Knew I should have just taken me spot prize and ran*



* Though I still wouldn't have got out of here quick enough :pac:

Laineyfrecks wrote: »

Aren't women just great
And men seem to be the biggest sandbaggers:eek: (surprise, surprise)

Thanks for this D, looks like a lot of work & it's nice to see the run in regards to age/gender.

Laineyfrecks wrote: »

So 7 out of 54 men got 80% or more...not exactly brilliant;)

Yep that's my goal, 80% or more for my age, which may I add goes up again in the coming weeks:D

Laineyfrecks wrote: »

So 7 out of 54 men got 80% or more...not exactly brilliant;)

Yep that's my goal, 80% or more for my age, which may I add goes up again in the coming weeks

Laineyfrecks wrote: »

Perfect shouldn't be any problems there haha(at what age did you get this PB)

Murph_D wrote: »

58. You have time on your side!

Guill wrote: »

Can anyone explain the % column to me?

For those not familiar, Age Grading expresses your time as a percentage of the world record (road) for your age (or in this case, your age category). The ‘adjusted time’ (if I’ve done the sums right) expresses your result in terms of the equivalent performance by a senior male (ie 18-34 years) runner.

Annie get your Run wrote: »

Just catching up here, age grade time is 23.01??? Deadly. Does that mean if I was 18-34, that's the time I'd be running? That ship has unfortunately sailed .

Hope you're on the mend B.

OOnegative wrote: »

To those who wanted a bottle opener, i haven’t forgotten ye. They were returned to me yesterday for some unknown reason!! I’ll bang them in the post again Monday, apologies.

OOnegative wrote: »

I once more posted out the bottle openers to you folks who kindly requested them off me, and once again they were sent back!!! But this time I received a reason, because of the way they were designed(my fault) they are deemed as a weapon so they cannot be posted.

I’m sorry for this guys as many of you contributed to a worthy cause on the back of receiving a TT bottle opener. When I get back to Ireland I will get them to ye, again I’m sorry.