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Friday 8th November

  • 08-11-2019 1:25pm
    #1
    MaxBet
    Registered Users Posts: 518 ✭✭✭


    2.45 Hexham -
    THE HORSECHESTNUT 20/1 PaddyPower


    Start off with the negatives ....
    Easy to back this morning so fitness may be an issue on first run since March and the trainer / jockey aren’t among the winners .

    On the plus side ....
    He won a chase over CD lto and a hurdle over 3m at Ayr the time before that . Those wins were off 94 , he runs off 100 today but he saw them out well enough to think 6lbs may not be the reason he doesn’t win . Won a hurdle off 120 a few years back , again on soft ground over 3m and won his point on soft ground too .

    Easy make a case for 3 or 4 others but none of them are 20/1 .


Comments

  • #2
    NaiveMelodies
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,172 ✭✭✭NaiveMelodies


    A Likely Story in the 6.15 a max bet for me. Ridiculous price imo


  • #3
    FLOOPER
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 824 ✭✭✭FLOOPER


    NaiveMelodies wrote: »
    A Likely Story in the 6.15 a max bet for me. Ridiculous price imo

    What price did you get it at?


  • #4
    NaiveMelodies
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,172 ✭✭✭NaiveMelodies


    FLOOPER wrote: »
    What price did you get it at?

    Not too far off current BP of 25s which is still way too big.
    Think he has a stone in hand and will be hard to beat if gets to a handy possy early on.

    Northern Surprise would be the main concern.


  • #5
    FLOOPER
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 824 ✭✭✭FLOOPER


    NaiveMelodies wrote: »
    Not too far off current BP of 25s which is still way too big.
    Think he has a stone in hand and will be hard to beat if gets to a handy possy early on.

    Northern Surprise would be the main concern.

    It seems to have started the day at 12s.

    Is there a reason for the drift.


  • #6
    NaiveMelodies
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,172 ✭✭✭NaiveMelodies


    FLOOPER wrote: »
    It seems to have started the day at 12s.

    Is there a reason for the drift.

    Yes, I backed it.


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  • #7
    FLOOPER
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 824 ✭✭✭FLOOPER


    NaiveMelodies wrote: »
    Yes, I backed it.

    :-)))))

    Ok I’m on too. Watch it hit 100s


  • #8
    SonOfGoat
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,190 ✭✭✭SonOfGoat


    Delayed 4.35 @ Newcastle, La Rav, around 8/11 not to be placed with bet365. I don't think it will be placed my best bet of the day. Had a nice bet with 365 and on the exchange for it not to be placed.


  • #9
    SonOfGoat
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,190 ✭✭✭SonOfGoat


    5.05 Newcastle, Trinity Girl, around 2/1. This is another strong lay bet for me. The best this horse will do is a place. I was going to back it for the place as not much in the race but I'm just sticking with laying it for the win. Can't see it winning.

    I'm out for the evening.


  • #10
    SonOfGoat
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,190 ✭✭✭SonOfGoat


    at the price I have to have a bet, I expected a lot shorted

    5.25 Chelms, Ottoman Court, around 6/4. Looks a banker to me, had a nice win bet on it.


  • #11
    mirwillbeback
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,016 ✭✭✭mirwillbeback


    Coward


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  • #12
    SonOfGoat
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,190 ✭✭✭SonOfGoat


    Delayed 6.55 @ Chelsford, the fav Rosarno, can't believe it's around 11/4 on the exchange. Should be about 10/1. I'll lay for the win to pay for a nice take away and a few beers. Can't see it being placed never mind winning. but just lay for the win. For the takeaway and beer


  • #13
    NaiveMelodies
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,172 ✭✭✭NaiveMelodies


    FLOOPER wrote: »
    :-)))))

    Ok I’m on too. Watch it hit 100s

    Sorry man!
    The more I watch the replay more I think he's going to win a furlong out. Completely folded in last 150.


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