UFC/MMA Gambling. NO AFTER-TIMING

mailburner · 29-12-2011 10:39pm

cerrone on points also looks big to me at 2s (lads only 6/4)
i think he'll be too good for diaz but when's the last time
anybody finished one of the diaz brothers?
also have singles on brock and anthony njokuani at 6/5+5/4

CageWager · 30-12-2011 2:46pm

Lads, I'm all over Jimy Hettes on this card, everyone seems to be going for Nam Pham but look at his recent record, he doesn't do a whole lot of winning and the people he does beat aren't high level competition. How can this guy be a 4/9 favourite?

Who has he beaten thats any good? Classic case of the guy with the "name" being made a big favourite. Jimy Hettes in a relative unknown and this is only his second fight in the UFC but I think he's way underrated. He looked awesome in his UFC debut (against Bruce Leroy! I know!!) but he looked like a guy that could handle a lot better opposition in the future. He's 9-0 with 9 submissions. I know Phan is a BJJ black belt and is probably unlikely to get subbed but Hettes is 4/1 to win by decision. He has awesome Judo (Known as "Judo Jim" at Greg Jacksons) and will take Phan down, hunt for submissions but Phan will defend. Top position for 3 rounds will earn Hettes the decision. At 4/1 (or 8/5 to win outright) thats major value in my book.

30-12-2011 3:11pm

Overeem-Diaz-Dong Yung Kim-Njoukuani-Volkmann.
2 euro gives 37. That's my money back if it works.

Other one is by method of victory.
Overeem by KO-Diaz by Sub-Kim by Decision and Jim Hettes by Sub.

mailburner · 30-12-2011 3:18pm

CageWager wrote: »

Lads, I'm all over Jimy Hettes on this card, everyone seems to be going for Nam Pham but look at his recent record, he doesn't do a whole lot of winning and the people he does beat aren't high level competition. How can this guy be a 4/9 favourite?

Who has he beaten thats any good? Classic case of the guy with the "name" being made a big favourite. Jimy Hettes in a relative unknown and this is only his second fight in the UFC but I think he's way underrated. He looked awesome in his UFC debut (against Bruce Leroy! I know!!) but he looked like a guy that could handle a lot better opposition in the future. He's 9-0 with 9 submissions. I know Phan is a BJJ black belt and is probably unlikely to get subbed but Hettes is 4/1 to win by decision.

forgot about hettes till now and i had him backed to sub leroy
he's 5/1 to sub nam phan which surely must be worth a few euro

El Guapo! · 30-12-2011 3:25pm

I have Phan in my accum but I just stuck a fiver on Hettes by sub. 5/1 is too good to pass up.

CageWager · 30-12-2011 4:59pm

Yeah I've taken the 5/1 on hettes by submission as well, i'd definitely recommend taking the 4/1 on a Hettes decision as well as Nam Phan has never been subbed so Id say his defence will be solid.

MrStuffins · 30-12-2011 5:41pm

Phan is being priced on his recent form where he's even been impressive in his losses and the odds-makers naievity.

This is one of those times where the value is definitely there.

Like Lesnar at 8/1 to sub Overeem. If they fought 9 times, the fight will end up on the ground 7-8 times and will finish in a sub more than 1 of these times IMO. I mean, he's won twice by sub as it is in his 7 MMA fights and it's not as if he doesn't know what a guillotine is.

chopperbyrne · 30-12-2011 9:21pm

30/12/2011 Single To Win Nathan Diaz by KO @ 14/1
Method of Victory
Donald Cerrone v Nathan Diaz Pending €5.00

30/12/2011 Single To Win Nathan Diaz To Win in Round 2 @ 17/2
Round Betting
Donald Cerrone v Nathan Diaz Pending €10.00

30/12/2011 Single To Win Brock Lesnar To Win in Round 2 @ 6/1
Round Betting
Alistair Overeem v Brock Lesnar Pending €10.00

Could be a nice return for me if they come up.

MrStuffins · 30-12-2011 9:24pm

chopperbyrne wrote: »

30/12/2011 Single To Win Nathan Diaz by KO @ 14/1
Method of Victory
Donald Cerrone v Nathan Diaz Pending €5.00

is this right?

chopperbyrne · 30-12-2011 9:24pm

I couldn't believe it either.

EDIT: Still the same odds on paddypower.com

El Guapo! · 30-12-2011 9:30pm

That's crazy odds.
€2 left in my paddy power account so I'll lash it on!

MrStuffins · 30-12-2011 9:34pm

chopperbyrne wrote: »

I couldn't believe it either.

EDIT: Still the same odds on paddypower.com

Jesus!

I'll have €10 on that!

docdolittle · 30-12-2011 9:36pm

I got bored and put a few bets on for tonight.. If only some of my accumulators come in...

chopperbyrne · 30-12-2011 9:36pm

I put €50 into my PP account today and if that one bet comes in, I can lose all the rest and still make a profit.

MrStuffins · 30-12-2011 9:52pm

MrStuffins wrote: »

Jesus!

I'll have €10 on that!

Edit: got better odds on Boylesports

clancy wiggum · 30-12-2011 10:35pm

16/1 for diaz by knockout is actually insane! put 5 on him:pac:

pierrot · 30-12-2011 10:49pm

It's back down to 12s now, still put a fiver on though.

CageWager · 30-12-2011 10:51pm

Hopefully the bookies keep giving away these unreal odds while they clearly arent bothered to get someone in who knows anything about mma.. lolz at nate diaz ko 16/1!!

CageWager · 30-12-2011 10:54pm

pierrot wrote: »

It's back down to 12s now, still put a fiver on though.

Hello to the boylesports night watchman who's stalking this thread from HQ! keep up the good work!

MrStuffins · 30-12-2011 10:57pm

CageWager wrote: »

Hopefully the bookies keep giving away these unreal odds while they clearly arent bothered to get someone in who knows anything about mma.. lolz at nate diaz ko 16/1!!

I also lumped money on Lesnar at 8/1.

That bet up top, €1 returning €19,800......... is that right? That's mental!

horsemeat · 30-12-2011 11:47pm

i just cant see nate winning this fight. i just don't rate him.

ive a fiver double on liverpool win and john fitch, that'll be it for me, too hard to call the main event.

mailburner · 31-12-2011 12:08am

I think it'll be a comfortable points win for the cowboy

this thread has really come to life for this one
great to see

user2011 · 31-12-2011 12:23am

By no way a Lesner fan but got on at 11/8 and Fitch 2/5 double in barone fingers crossed Lesner's wrestling is 10/10 tonight

The Belcher · 01-01-2012 6:10pm

The Belcher wrote: »

I've got cerrone to win on points at 2/1 and a small double on Fitch and Matyushenko.
Fitch a cert in my opinion and while I'm not overly confident on Maty at 11/4 he is a bit overpriced I think.

Also did Lesnar at 13/10

Absoloute morto, 100% of my picks wrong. I didn't think John Fitch could be ko'd even if he got hit with a steel bar....:eek:
A stinky weekend for gambling between the ufc and premiership shocks!!(at least for me anyway)

loremolis · 01-01-2012 10:43pm

I am never betting on UFC fights again.

Who would have predicted the results from UFC 141.

Lesnar didn't even try for a takedown, Cerrone fought like a first timer and even good old reliable Jon Fitch didn't deliver a decision as usual.

While the favourites usually do win, there is no guarantee that any particular fight will go any particular way.

I guess that's what makes it so interesting and enjoyable to watch.

As another post said, when you put two guys in a cage, anything can happen on any given Sunday.

CageWager · 02-01-2012 5:03pm

loremolis wrote: »

Who would have predicted the results from UFC 141.

www.cagewager.co.uk

Easy Rod · 02-01-2012 5:27pm

CageWager wrote: »

www.cagewager.co.uk

Fair play. My only bet was a €10 stake on Diaz. Never bet against the Diaz brothers!

CageWager · 11-01-2012 4:30pm

Undercard Value for UFC 142:

Carlo Prater by Submission <versus Erick Silva> (6/1 with Paddy Power)

Yuri Alcantara by KO <versus Michihiro Omigawa> (11/2 with Paddy Power)

ShagNastii · 14-01-2012 3:51pm

What price is Belfort? With word of Johnson being sick I'm thinking of lumping a chunk of money on a Vitor win.

Stephen_King · 14-01-2012 5:48pm

ShagNastii wrote: »

What price is Belfort? With word of Johnson being sick I'm thinking of lumping a chunk of money on a Vitor win.

10/13 on boylesports down from 6/5. I was thinking of the same thing but don't have any chunks to spare

CageWager · 14-01-2012 6:32pm

I think there are too many unknows to back either belfort or johnson at this stage. Maybe AJ will be fooked from the weight cut, but if he can rehydrate and not be too badly hampered by the cut he's going to be huge. (he just weighed in at 204 a couple of hrs ago). I've already backed Belfort but I wont be putting any more on.

El Guapo! · 14-01-2012 9:43pm

Terry Etim at 2/1 is a great price in my opinion.
It's a pity I'm flat broke and can't bet on anything! But if I was betting I think that's where I'd be putting my money.

ben.schlomo · 14-01-2012 9:53pm

Dean09 wrote: »

Terry Etim at 2/1 is a great price in my opinion.
It's a pity I'm flat broke and can't bet on anything! But if I was betting I think that's where I'd be putting my money.

Ya i think hes good value too, have him at 9/4 in a treble with Ednaldo Oliveira and Alcantara.

loremolis · 14-01-2012 10:13pm

ben.schlomo wrote: »

Ya i think hes good value too, have him at 9/4 in a treble with Ednaldo Oliveira and Alcantara.

If you're only getting 9/4 for a treble ,why not bet on him on his own at 2/1?

ben.schlomo · 14-01-2012 10:20pm

loremolis wrote: »

If you're only getting 9/4 for a treble ,why not bet on him on his own at 2/1?

Meant Etim was 9/4, the treble is just over 9s.

Leeg17 · 14-01-2012 10:24pm

Stephen_King wrote: »

10/13 on boylesports down from 6/5. I was thinking of the same thing but don't have any chunks to spare

4/5 on PP. 13/10 to win by KO, nom nom

docdolittle · 15-01-2012 1:59am

My first one on accumulator came in :P

Bit of a long shot, but I'd be laughing if they came in :P

Mr. Manager · 15-01-2012 2:05am

docdolittle wrote: »

My first one on accumulator came in :P

Bit of a long shot, but I'd be laughing if they came in :P

Good luck with that one! :pac:

El Guapo! · 15-01-2012 2:14am

docdolittle wrote: »

My first one on accumulator came in :P

Bit of a long shot, but I'd be laughing if they came in :P

Well thats that fúcked!

Easy Rod · 19-01-2012 2:18pm

I put €10 on Sonnen @1/5, €8 on Demian Maia @5/4 and then an accumalator with Sonnen, Maia, Jim Miller and Pat Barry at 9/1.

I am very surprised to see Maia as the dog and Sonnen is going to steamroll Bisping. I rate Miller as a slightly better version of Joe Lauzon and he's never been ko'd and very confident in Pat taking Morecraft's head off.

CageWager · 25-01-2012 8:01pm

Just looking at the "method of victory" markets on Paddy Power-

The Maia Vs. Weidman submission odds are a little weird, Maia is 6/1 to win by sub while Weidman is 9/2... Weidman is no joke on the ground but Maia holds an advantage there IMO (we'll see on saturday how big an advantage that is)

Also Bisping is a massive 14/1 to submit Chael Sonnen, which isnt outside the relms of possibility given Sonnens well documented achilles heel. Certainly worth a punt at those odds.

Ian Whelan · 25-01-2012 9:41pm

CageWager wrote: »

Also Bisping is a massive 14/1 to submit Chael Sonnen, which ist outside the relms of possibility given Sonnens well documented achilles heel. Certainly worth a punt at those odds.

Bisping never submits people, hence the the odds. With the best will in the world I can only ever see Bisping winning as a result of his striking, he never wins this fight by submission in my opinion.

El Guapo! · 25-01-2012 10:00pm

Ian Whelan wrote: »

Bisping never submits people, hence the the odds. With the best will in the world I can only ever see Bisping winning as a result of his striking, he never wins this fight by submission in my opinion.

But if and when he finds himself on his back with Sonnen on top of him he may be left with no real option but to go for a submission. There's always a chance.
For the record I'll be having my money on Sonnen for the win but odds like that are too good too pass up.

CageWager · 25-01-2012 10:07pm

Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying he will submit him, just that 14/1 is worth a punt since he'll almost certainly spend the entire fight on his back and will hopefully throw up a few triangle and armbar attempts. On a personal level I hope Sonnen destroys him!

Fromvert · 27-01-2012 2:57am

Having some of Maia @ 5/4 and him to win by sub @ 6/1.

Weidman took the fight on short notice and still have to see what level he's at.

Ray Mond · 27-01-2012 12:15pm

Easy Rod wrote: »

I put €10 on Sonnen @1/5, €8 on Demian Maia @5/4 and then an accumalator with Sonnen, Maia, Jim Miller and Pat Barry at 9/1.

10 on sonnet at 1/5????to win €2 ha. But will defo have a double Evans and Maia and Maia for sub of the night

Ray Mond · 27-01-2012 12:44pm

16/1 for Maia 5/2 for double

Mellor · 28-01-2012 12:03pm

16/1 for Maia for what??

Ray Mond · 28-01-2012 3:55pm

Sub of the night

mailburner · 28-01-2012 5:07pm

decent bet on this double for me

reshad too short now for the win
i cant see davis beating reshad

Chael Sonnen by Submission or on Points 1/2

Rashad Evans by KO or on Points 8/13

UFC/MMA Gambling. **NO AFTER-TIMING**

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UFC/MMA Gambling. NO AFTER-TIMING