Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

2013 Predictions Thread

Options
  • 28-03-2013 1:23pm
    #1
    jack presley
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,687 ✭✭✭✭


    Getting close to opening day so I suppose we need a thread to post our predictions - Division winners, wild cards and World Series teams. And maybe MVPs, Cy Youngs and Rookies? I'm going to do a bit of reading and stealing of writers ideas and will post mine in a bit.


Comments

  • Options
    #2
    8-10
    Registered Users Posts: 13,329 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    Did my win projections this week based on Pythagorean Expectation of 2012 run totals adjusted for opinion-based differences for 2013 in the areas of Offense, Rotation and Bullpen. My first year using this projection model and I did it on a team by team basis so not sure if overall totals are possible!

    But I'll be putting up a few of my calculations in the gambling forum later this week once I take a closer look at my projections versus bookies' win lines.

    I see Nats again having the best record in baseball, they could even top over 100 wins I think with a full year of Strasburg, Harper and an actual closer.

    However I'm backing Angels to win the WS, beating Washington 4-1. :)

    Predictions2013_zps673a2045.png


  • Options
    #3
    jack presley
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,687 ✭✭✭✭jack presley


    If the Mets win 76, I'll be over the moon!

    Anyway, my picks:

    NLE - Nats
    NLC - Reds
    NLW - Giants
    ALE - Rays
    ALC - Tigers
    ALW - Angels
    NL WCs -Braves, Cardinals.
    AL WCs - Blue Jays, Rangers

    AL MVP - Trout
    NL MVP - Harper
    AL Cy - Darvish
    NL Cy - Strasburg
    AL Rookie - Myers
    NL Rookie - No idea!

    World Series - Tigers beating the Nats in 6.


  • Options
    #4
    8-10
    Registered Users Posts: 13,329 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    jack presley wrote: »
    If the Mets win 76, I'll be over the moon!

    Anyway, my picks:

    NLE - Nats
    NLC - Reds
    NLW - Giants
    ALE - Rays
    ALC - Tigers
    ALW - Angels
    NL WCs -Braves, Cardinals.
    AL WCs - Blue Jays, Rangers

    AL MVP - Trout
    NL MVP - Harper
    AL Cy - Darvish
    NL Cy - Strasburg
    AL Rookie - Myers
    NL Rookie - No idea!

    World Series - Tigers beating the Nats in 6.

    I like the Myers call. Why is he not in the roster? He'll be called up on 2 weeks


  • Options
    #5
    Coeus
    Registered Users Posts: 1,296 ✭✭✭Coeus


    Ah the predictions thread. Here are my picks with teams in bold to make the playoffs.

    NL East - 1. Nats, 2. Braves, 3. Phils, 4. Mets, 5 Marlins
    NL Cent - 1. Reds, 2. Cards, 3. Pirates, 4. Brew Crew, 5. Cubs
    NL West - 1. Dodgers, 2. Giants, 3. Padres, 4. Dbacks, 5. Rox

    I agree with the consensus that the East will be a 2 horse race, it will be close but Nats have better pitching and I think they are more clutch. I think the Dodgers will just edge the Giants in the West. They have a better rotation this season and should have a full season of Matt Kemp.

    AL East - 1. Jays, 2. Rays, 3. Yanks, 4. Orioles, 5. Red Sox
    AL Cent - 1. Tigers, 2. Royals, 3. White Sox, 4. Indians, 5. Twins
    AL West - 1. As, 2. Angels, 3. Rangers, 4. Mariners, 5. Astros

    I think the Jays will score a tons of runs and win the East like the Yankees have done for years by outslugging allcomers. I see the West been very competative with the possibility of 4 teams finishing above .500 but none with more than 90 wins. Because of this a team from the central might sneak into the wild card spot.

    NLCS - Nats over Reds
    ALCS - Tigers over Jays

    WS - Nats over Tigers

    AL MVP - Miggy
    NL MVP - Harper
    AL Cy - Verlander
    NL Cy - Stras
    AL Rookie - Jackie Bradley Jr
    NL Rookie - Julio Teheran


  • Options
    #6
    smackbunnybaby
    Registered Users Posts: 2,335 ✭✭✭smackbunnybaby


    NL East - 1. Nats, 2. Braves, 3. Phils, 4. Mets, 5 Marlins
    NL Cent - 1. Cards 2. Reds 3. Brewers 4. Pitts 5. Cubs
    NL West - 1. Giants 2. Dodgers 3. DBacks 4. Rockies 5. Padres

    AL East - 1. Jays, 2. Rays, 3. Yanks, 4. Orioles, 5. Red Sox
    AL Cent - 1. Tigers, 2. Indians, 3. Royals 4. White Sox 5. Twins
    AL West - 1. Angels 2. As 3. Rangers, 4. Mariners, 5. Astros

    NLCS - Cards over Giants
    ALCS - Tigers over Jays

    WS - Cards over Tigers

    AL MVP - Trout
    NL MVP - Harper
    AL Cy - Verlander
    NL Cy - Wainwright
    AL Rookie - Some lad mystery guy from the Yankees will get called up and save them...
    NL Rookie - Travis D'arnaud


  • Advertisement
  • Options
    #7
    Footoo
    Registered Users Posts: 392 ✭✭Footoo


    Ok will give this a whirl. Disclosure - Blue Jays fan

    NLE - Braves (have them on a par with the Nats)
    NLC - Reds
    NLW - Giants


    ALE - Rays
    ALC - Tigers
    ALW - Angels
    NL WCs -Nats, Cardinals.
    AL WCs - Blue Jays, Rangers

    AL MVP - Longoria
    NL MVP - Votto
    AL Cy - Darvish (I think he's gonna have a monster year)
    NL Cy - Hamels
    AL Rookie - Myers (would like to say Profar but not sure he'll play everyday when called up)
    NL Rookie - Tavares (well becaues everyone else seems to think he will)

    WS- Tigers over Braves in 6


    The obivous ommision being the Dodgers. i just don't see them having the offensive production to win enough games.


  • Options
    #8
    8-10
    Registered Users Posts: 13,329 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    8-10 wrote: »

    Predictions2013_zps673a2045.png

    Did my kind-of half year totals from actual standings versus my predictions posted above out of interest.

    So far the following teams I had predicted under .500 but are currently above:

    Pirates
    Orioles
    Indians (though I had them in 2nd in division where they are)

    And the following I predicted over .500 but currently below:

    Blue Jays
    Angels
    Phillies
    Dodgers
    Giants

    And in percentage terms, I have all teams trending pretty well. Out of the 30 predictions, 27 of them are currently less than .100 (ie 10%) variance from where I predicted them.

    I only have 3 teams that are trending more than 10% from where I said they'd end up:

    Red Sox (.609 currently I had them at .500 even)
    Pirates (.629 I had .481 - I'm going to be wrong on this one they'll definitely finish above .500)
    Nationals (.506 I had been very bullish on them at .611 - still think they'll win the division)

    Still a long way to go but I'm happier with my Central and Eastern predictions so far rather than the Wests' which I think will both end up way off.


  • Options
    #9
    jack presley
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,687 ✭✭✭✭jack presley


    jack presley wrote: »
    If the Mets win 76, I'll be over the moon!

    Anyway, my picks:

    NLE - Nats
    NLC - Reds
    NLW - Giants
    ALE - Rays
    ALC - Tigers
    ALW - Angels
    NL WCs -Braves, Cardinals.
    AL WCs - Blue Jays, Rangers

    AL MVP - Trout
    NL MVP - Harper
    AL Cy - Darvish
    NL Cy - Strasburg
    AL Rookie - Myers
    NL Rookie - No idea!

    World Series - Tigers beating the Nats in 6.

    The reason why I'm not making predictions for the post-season can be seen above. Only 1 out of 6 on division winners and only 5 out of 10 playoff teams. Pathetic!

    And of my player predictions, only Myers is probably in with a shout.


  • Options
    #10
    8-10
    Registered Users Posts: 13,329 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    8-10 wrote: »

    Predictions2013_zps673a2045.png

    Only 2 out of 6 division winners but I did get 7 out of 10 playoff teams. Pirates and Red Sox surprised me. Had a feeling Indians would finish second in their division but only really expected 1 team to get out of there.


  • Options
    #11
    MoyVilla9
    Registered Users Posts: 1,072 ✭✭✭MoyVilla9


    8-10 wrote: »
    Only 2 out of 6 division winners but I did get 7 out of 10 playoff teams. Pirates and Red Sox surprised me. Had a feeling Indians would finish second in their division but only really expected 1 team to get out of there.

    Bang on for the Yankee's number of wins.


  • Advertisement
  • Options
    #12
    8-10
    Registered Users Posts: 13,329 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    MoyVilla9 wrote: »
    Bang on for the Yankee's number of wins.

    Twins, Reds and Dodgers too. Was bound to get a couple randomly correct I guess! Good fun anyway


Advertisement