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01-02-2020, 12:45   #46
M.T. Cranium
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Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 10,848
Provisional scoring for January 2020

* minimum progression required for MIN scores, boost reduced by half due to raw scores of 18 (which went to 20).


FORECASTER _______ IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN___Max gust__TOTAL

Estimated values _____ 6.0_14.4_-6.1_081_110___73


Mrskinner ___________ 24 _ 15 _ 20*_ 12 _ 08 __ 08 _____ 87

Jpmarn _____________ 23 _ 20 _ 18*_ 07 _ 09 __ 10 _____ 87

Dacogawa ___________ 20 _ 20 _ 20*_ 02 _ 06 __ 06 _____ 74

Joe Public _____ (-2) ___16 _ 14 _ 17*_ 12 _ 10 __ 04 _73-2=71


___ Con Sensus ______ 24 _ 17 _ 09*_ 09 _ 07 __ 05 _____ 71

___ NormaL _________ 16 _ 16 _ 16*_ 09 _ 08 __ 06 _____ 71


M.T. Cranium ________ 17 _ 17 _ 09*_ 10 _ 10 __ 07 _____ 70

Sunflower3 __________ 23 _ 14 _ 08*_ 14 _ 06 __ 04 _____ 69

Tae laidir ____________24 _ 08 _ 10*_ 10 _ 06 __ 10 _____ 68

Rikand ______________20 _ 14 _ 04*_ 12 _ 08 __ 09 _____ 67

BLIZZARD7 ___ (-3) ___17 _ 11 _ 16*_ 07 _ 10 __ 09 _70-3=67

john mac _____ (-2) ___20 _ 13 _ 17*_ 07 _ 08 __ 02 _67-2=65

Pauldry _____________ 20 _ 18 _ 06*_ 09 _ 06 __ 05 _____ 64

Bsal ________________ 20 _ 07 _ 09*_ 12 _ 07 __ 08 _____ 63

Adam240610 __ (-2) __ 25 _ 09 _ 09*_ 09 _ 06 __ 07 _65-2=63

Kindred Spirit ________ 19 _ 11 _ 04*_ 10 _ 10 __ 08 _____ 62

DOCARCH ___________ 15 _ 03 _ 19*_ 12 _ 08 __ 02 _____ 59

JCXBXC ______ (-2) ___19 _ 14 _ 10*_ 07 _ 06 __ 05 _61-2=59

Artane2002 __________ 21 _ 13 _ 01*_ 14 _ 06 __ 02 _____ 57

mickger844posts ______22 _ 17 _ 02*_ 10 _ 04 __ 01 _____ 56

WesternStorm ________14 _ 16 _ 04*_ 11 _ 07 __ 03 _____ 55

esposito _____________22 _ 15 _ 00 _ 05 _ 05 __ 03 _____ 50

Dasa29 _____________ 15 _ 06 _ 04*_ 09 _ 10 __ 05 _____ 49

sryanbruen __________ 17 _ 13 _ 04*_ 07 _ 04 __ 03 _____ 48

200motels ___________16 _ 17 _ 04*_ 06 _ 04 __ 01 _____ 48


============================================

(actual forecasts)

FORECASTER _______ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN ___ Max gust (kn)

200motels __________ 6.9 _ 14.1 _-4.0 _ 107 _ 080 ____ 55

BLIZZARD7 ___ (-3) __ 6.8 _ 15.3 _-7.0 _ 105 _ 110 ____ 75

sryanbruen __________6.8 _ 15.1 _-4.0 _ 105 _ 080 ____ 60

M.T. Cranium ________ 6.8 _ 14.7 _-4.5 _ 095 _ 110 ____ 78

JCXBXC ______ (-2) __ 6.6 _ 15.0 _-4.7 _ 105 _ 090 ____ 65

Pauldry _____________6.5 _ 14.2 _-4.3 _ 100 _ 090 ____ 65

Artane2002 _________ 6.4 _ 15.1 _-3.7 _ 085 _ 090 ____ 59

esposito ____________ 6.2 _ 14.9 _-3.6 _ 110 _ 085 ____ 60

mickger844posts _____ 6.2 _ 14.1 _-3.8 _ 095 _ 080 ____ 57

Tae laidir ____________6.1 _ 13.2 _-4.6 _ 095 _ 090 ____ 72

Adam240610 __ (-2) __ 6.0 _ 13.3 _-4.4 _ 100 _ 090 ____ 68

Mrskinner ___________ 5.9 _ 13.9 _-5.9 _ 089 _ 099 ____ 69


___ Con Sensus ______ 5.9 _ 14.1 _-4.4 _ 100 _ 095 ____ 65


Jpmarn _____________ 5.8 _ 14.4 _-5.5 _ 105 _ 105 ____ 72

Sunflower3 __________ 5.8 _ 13.8 _-4.2 _ 085 _ 090 ____ 62

Rikand ______________5.5 _ 15.0 _-4.0 _ 090 _ 120 ____ 75

Dacogawa ___________ 5.5 _ 14.4 _-6.3 _ 120 _ 092 ____ 67

john mac _____ (-2) ___5.5 _ 13.7 _-5.3 _ 105 _ 100 ____ 58

Bsal ________________ 5.5 _ 13.1 _-4.5 _ 090 _ 095 ____ 70

Kindred Spirit _________5.4 _ 13.5 _-4.0 _ 095 _ 110 ____ 69


NormaL _____________ 5.1 _ 14.0 _-7.0 _ 100 _ 100 ____ 67


Joe Public _____ (-2) ___5.1 _ 13.8 _-6.9 _ 089 _ 109 ____ 64

Dasa29 ______________5.0 _ 13.0 _-4.0 _ 100 _ 110 ____ 65

DOCARCH ____________5.0 _ 12.7 _-5.8 _ 090 _ 100 ____ 58

WesternStorm ________ 4.9 _ 14.0 _-4.0 _ 093 _ 097 ____ 60

______________________________________________________________

Will be confirming these scores or adjusting them on the 4th. Looks like MrSkinner and JPmarn have sprinted out to an early lead with Dacogawa and Joe Public managing to stay within sight. Scoring in general fairly good I would say, don't often see a month with no scores below 48. No advantage in hugging consensus or normal this time.
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04-02-2020, 18:51   #47
M.T. Cranium
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Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 10,848
So the monthly summary appeared today and eventually so did MTC (long day for me on Monday, slept in) ... all appears good with the provisional scoring except that SUN calculates to 115% instead of 110% as used. This will alter most scores by one point. Revised scoring will be posted soon. It looks like everyone loses one point except Rikand who goes up one point (he had 120% for SUN). Will still post the new table anyway.

Last edited by M.T. Cranium; 04-02-2020 at 19:00.
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04-02-2020, 19:07   #48
M.T. Cranium
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Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 10,848
Updated (final) scoring for January 2020

* minimum progression required for MIN scores, boost reduced by half due to raw scores of 18 (which went to 20).


FORECASTER _______ IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN___Max gust__TOTAL

Confirmed values _____ 6.0_14.4_-6.1_081_115___73


Mrskinner ___________ 24 _ 15 _ 20*_ 12 _ 07 __ 08 _____ 86

Jpmarn _____________ 23 _ 20 _ 18*_ 07 _ 08 __ 10 _____ 86

Dacogawa ___________ 20 _ 20 _ 20*_ 02 _ 05 __ 06 _____ 73

Joe Public _____ (-2) ___16 _ 14 _ 17*_ 12 _ 09 __ 04 _72-2=70


___ Con Sensus ______ 24 _ 17 _ 09*_ 09 _ 06 __ 05 _____ 70

___ NormaL _________ 16 _ 16 _ 16*_ 09 _ 07 __ 06 _____ 70


M.T. Cranium ________ 17 _ 17 _ 09*_ 10 _ 09 __ 07 _____ 69

Sunflower3 __________ 23 _ 14 _ 08*_ 14 _ 05 __ 04 _____ 68

Rikand ______________20 _ 14 _ 04*_ 12 _ 09 __ 09 _____ 68

Tae laidir ____________24 _ 08 _ 10*_ 10 _ 05 __ 10 _____ 67

BLIZZARD7 ___ (-3) ___17 _ 11 _ 16*_ 07 _ 09 __ 09 _69-3=66

john mac _____ (-2) ___20 _ 13 _ 17*_ 07 _ 07 __ 02 _66-2=64

Pauldry _____________ 20 _ 18 _ 06*_ 09 _ 05 __ 05 _____ 63

Bsal ________________20 _ 07 _ 09*_ 12 _ 06 __ 08 _____ 62

Adam240610 __ (-2) __ 25 _ 09 _ 09*_ 09 _ 05 __ 07 _64-2=62

Kindred Spirit ________ 19 _ 11 _ 04*_ 10 _ 09 __ 08 _____ 61

DOCARCH ___________ 15 _ 03 _ 19*_ 12 _ 07 __ 02 _____ 58

JCXBXC ______ (-2) ___19 _ 14 _ 10*_ 07 _ 05 __ 05 _60-2=58

Artane2002 __________ 21 _ 13 _ 01*_ 14 _ 05 __ 02 _____ 56

mickger844posts ______22 _ 17 _ 02*_ 10 _ 03 __ 01 _____ 55

WesternStorm ________14 _ 16 _ 04*_ 11 _ 06 __ 03 _____ 54

esposito _____________22 _ 15 _ 00 _ 05 _ 04 __ 03 _____ 49

Dasa29 _____________ 15 _ 06 _ 04*_ 09 _ 09 __ 05 _____ 48

sryanbruen __________ 17 _ 13 _ 04*_ 07 _ 03 __ 03 _____ 47

200motels ___________16 _ 17 _ 04*_ 06 _ 03 __ 01 _____ 47


============================================

(actual forecasts)

FORECASTER _______ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN ___ Max gust (kn)

200motels __________ 6.9 _ 14.1 _-4.0 _ 107 _ 080 ____ 55

BLIZZARD7 ___ (-3) __ 6.8 _ 15.3 _-7.0 _ 105 _ 110 ____ 75

sryanbruen __________6.8 _ 15.1 _-4.0 _ 105 _ 080 ____ 60

M.T. Cranium ________ 6.8 _ 14.7 _-4.5 _ 095 _ 110 ____ 78

JCXBXC ______ (-2) __ 6.6 _ 15.0 _-4.7 _ 105 _ 090 ____ 65

Pauldry _____________6.5 _ 14.2 _-4.3 _ 100 _ 090 ____ 65

Artane2002 _________ 6.4 _ 15.1 _-3.7 _ 085 _ 090 ____ 59

esposito ____________ 6.2 _ 14.9 _-3.6 _ 110 _ 085 ____ 60

mickger844posts _____ 6.2 _ 14.1 _-3.8 _ 095 _ 080 ____ 57

Tae laidir ____________6.1 _ 13.2 _-4.6 _ 095 _ 090 ____ 72

Adam240610 __ (-2) __ 6.0 _ 13.3 _-4.4 _ 100 _ 090 ____ 68

Mrskinner ___________ 5.9 _ 13.9 _-5.9 _ 089 _ 099 ____ 69


___ Con Sensus ______ 5.9 _ 14.1 _-4.4 _ 100 _ 095 ____ 65


Jpmarn _____________ 5.8 _ 14.4 _-5.5 _ 105 _ 105 ____ 72

Sunflower3 __________ 5.8 _ 13.8 _-4.2 _ 085 _ 090 ____ 62

Rikand ______________5.5 _ 15.0 _-4.0 _ 090 _ 120 ____ 75

Dacogawa ___________ 5.5 _ 14.4 _-6.3 _ 120 _ 092 ____ 67

john mac _____ (-2) ___5.5 _ 13.7 _-5.3 _ 105 _ 100 ____ 58

Bsal ________________ 5.5 _ 13.1 _-4.5 _ 090 _ 095 ____ 70

Kindred Spirit _________5.4 _ 13.5 _-4.0 _ 095 _ 110 ____ 69


NormaL _____________ 5.1 _ 14.0 _-7.0 _ 100 _ 100 ____ 67


Joe Public _____ (-2) ___5.1 _ 13.8 _-6.9 _ 089 _ 109 ____ 64

Dasa29 ______________5.0 _ 13.0 _-4.0 _ 100 _ 110 ____ 65

DOCARCH ____________5.0 _ 12.7 _-5.8 _ 090 _ 100 ____ 58

WesternStorm ________ 4.9 _ 14.0 _-4.0 _ 093 _ 097 ____ 60

______________________________________________________________


So congrats to MrSkinner and JPmarn for their high scoring efforts in January, also well done to Dacogawa and Joe Public.

Last edited by M.T. Cranium; 04-02-2020 at 19:15.
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