Aurora Prospects 2012

muckish · 09-09-2011 7:23pm #1

Current KP value is 7, which should produce visible aurorae over the Northern half of Ireland. So if the skies clear tonight have a look out to the north. 66% of aurora at mid latitudes.
http://www.spaceweatherlive.com/index.php?poollicht&lang=EN

zenno · 09-09-2011 7:32pm

well it's reasonably clear over dublin now but i'd doubt we'll see it here or I could be wrong ?.

muckish · 09-09-2011 8:00pm

zenno wrote: »

well it's reasonably clear over dublin now but i'd doubt we'll see it here or I could be wrong ?.

KP 7.33 now, maybe if you headed somewhere dark on the edge of the dublin hill with a view to the north there could be a chance

fizzycyst · 09-09-2011 8:01pm

muckish wrote: »

Current KP value is 7, which should produce visible aurorae over the Northern half of Ireland. So if the skies clear tonight have a look out to the north. 66% of aurora at mid latitudes.
http://www.spaceweatherlive.com/index.php?poollicht&lang=EN

Ye're getting all the action up north these days, hopefully that trend will change for winter

Harps · 09-09-2011 8:32pm

Lots of breaks in the cloud here all evening so might have a look later if I get the chance, haven't got a glimpse of them in years

muckish · 09-09-2011 8:32pm

fizzycyst wrote: »

Ye're getting all the action up north these days, hopefully that trend will change for winter

It's a great place to live!:D

John.Icy · 09-09-2011 8:34pm

Interesting few days ahead, these are the first of several CME's incoming, latter ones mostly glancing blows...I hope clear skies for ye Northern areas...so long as your share you storm monday

John mac · 09-09-2011 9:23pm

another site here http://www.gi.alaska.edu/AuroraForecast/2011/09/09/3

click on the top right of page to get the latest ..

looking good. (if only we could have a bit of clear sky )

Pangea · 09-09-2011 9:41pm

All cloudy here I'm afraid.

10-09-2011 2:09am

check out the Katla cam in Iceland the Aurora are shing through

Lighting up the whole sky at times, one came through as bright as the sun. Stunning

http://www.ruv.is/katla

PixelTrawler · 10-09-2011 8:31pm

In iceland on holidays since last saturday. Have had two strongs nights of northern lights so far. Took loads of photos so will post to flickr when i get back. Its clear skies again today so looking good again tonight. Last night it started at 9 and was bright enough to be seen very clear under street lights in Vik. Sun is setting now in an ash dust haze but its clear skies on the west - east line overhead where we seem to get strong streaks. Mainly green with a hint of red in places.

muckish · 10-09-2011 9:10pm

Solyad wrote: »

. Mainly green with a hint of red in places.

Mainly green with envy! Clouds damn clouds.

PixelTrawler · 10-09-2011 10:39pm

Strong aurora overhead right now. Green swirls and long curtain formations. Cold but very clear tonight. Like other nights starting in a north west direction.

muckish · 10-09-2011 10:44pm

Can see it here

Bawnmore · 10-09-2011 10:50pm

Solyad wrote: »

Strong aurora overhead right now. Green swirls and long curtain formations. Cold but very clear tonight. Like other nights starting in a north west direction.

Looking out, but can't see much here in Corrandulla area. Disappointed, would love to get a glimpse!

thetonynator · 10-09-2011 10:58pm

Bawnmore wrote: »

Looking out, but can't see much here in Corrandulla area. Disappointed, would love to get a glimpse!

That poster is on holidays in Iceland despite their location saying Galway, it's mentioned further up the thread!!!

Bawnmore · 10-09-2011 11:22pm

thetonynator wrote: »

That poster is on holidays in Iceland despite their location saying Galway, it's mentioned further up the thread!!!

Well that clears that up

up for anything · 10-09-2011 11:53pm

Live webcam in Reykjavik.

http://www.earthcam.com/cams/iceland/reykjavik/#

PixelTrawler · 11-09-2011 11:32am

Sorry to the poster who thought i was in Galway...

Anyway last nights lights were amazing. Huge arching bright green swirls dancing and filling in the sky. I was amazed how fast they moved. Very little red but some deep blue and purple light but mainly neon green. Think this is it now. Its clouded over and i see on spaceweather the kp values are dropping off the peak highs.

Got loads of photos again. It was still going when i hit the hay. Was out for three hours but the cold eventually won.

Ill post photos in a week when i get back. Currently staying near eaja... Eya... ah the Big E volcano... I wont attempt to spell it;)

John mac · 11-09-2011 3:43pm

Solyad wrote: »

Sorry to the poster who thought i was in Galway...
. Currently staying near eaja... Eya... ah the Big E volcano... I wont attempt to spell it;)

I was wondering myself. nothing but cloud here all last night .

lolie · 17-09-2011 9:03pm

Kp-6 at the minute so anyone up north head out and check. Probably cloudy as usual though.

PixelTrawler · 17-09-2011 10:42pm

Last night in iceland. We got two mild and one very strong displays mid week. Had a clear night thursday but nothing at all. Tonight in reykjavik is cloudy. You see prints and photos everywhere here of northern lights and some of the pictures are jaw dropping

muckish · 18-09-2011 9:16am

lolie wrote: »

Kp-6 at the minute so anyone up north head out and check. Probably cloudy as usual though.

Yep, cloudy as usual!

PixelTrawler · 20-09-2011 12:13am

Northern Lights, Hotel Anna, Iceland by Solyad, on Flickr

4 sets up on flickr, works well as slideshows since the black background is much better for viewing them. Got 320 photos in total over 6 nights so these are samples... this is my overall fav

fizzycyst · 20-09-2011 1:04am

That looks amazing, would love to go north and see a good show sometime.

PixelTrawler · 23-09-2011 2:54pm

Amazing clip of the Auroras taken from the ISS over the Indian ocean on spaceweather.com

http://spaceweather.com/

http://spaceweather.com/swpod2011/22sep11/media.mp4

Strangegravy · 26-09-2011 8:03pm

Kp of 8 in 25 mins, not sure what it would have to be to be seen from Ireland, but an 8 Kp is very strong. Only saw it once from Ireland years ago, would love to see it again... Any experts here?

http://www.softservenews.com/aurora.htm

ninebeanrows · 26-09-2011 8:32pm

Kp above 9Kp

We should see aurora if sky can clear.

Sun is going crazy

InvisibleBadger · 26-09-2011 8:40pm

Weathercheck wrote: »

Kp above 9Kp

We should see aurora if sky can clear.

Sun is going crazy

What time? How long does it take for solar particles to reach us?

muckish · 26-09-2011 8:56pm

Last night's sky was crystal clear. Tonight it's pouring down. Fecking typical.
Sunspot 1302 is really crackling at the moment. Will be an interesting next few nights and hopefully will get a break in the sky.

John.Icy · 26-09-2011 9:15pm

To think this impact wasn't even very geofective shows the power of an Xflare...hope 1302 throws a few more in the coming days.

Edit: It's actually pretty clear here...may aswell have a sconce from the roof.

Edit 2: Yeah, near perfect clear night, bit of cloud to the west. Athy is still too awake....orange sky to the north, I'd need a total beast of a flare to create aurora's that pierce further up the sky. I may get onto the council to turn the street lights off for me whenever the sun is in action

Mountainsandh · 26-09-2011 10:42pm

from Co Waterford should one look towards the North West for a better chance to see anything ? (assuming clear skies which we haven't atm)
I'm further down than you guys up the way, but light pollution is very low in my area. But I have a mountain to my North West

Aiel · 26-09-2011 10:55pm

Kp still at 8 but theres heavy cloud and some rain here in Galway.A few weeks ago it was at 9kp and i took a drive to the darker skies on the outskirts of the city but heavy clouds rolled in then aswell,so frustrating:(.

eskimocat · 26-09-2011 10:56pm

Had a look outside, too cloudy. Pity, cause last night was crystal clear!

Lumi · 26-09-2011 11:06pm

Aiel wrote: »

Kp still at 8 but theres heavy cloud and some rain here in Galway.A few weeks ago it was at 9kp and i took a drive to the darker skies on the outskirts of the city but heavy clouds rolled in then aswell,so frustrating:(.

+1

Deatr · 26-09-2011 11:08pm

Got a great view of the Aurora tonight flying back from Manchester.

Iancar29 · 26-09-2011 11:54pm

Cant believe i missed this!!!... DID ANYONE SEE ANYTHING!!!!?

DickBunce · 27-09-2011 1:16am

Has the Aurora ever been seen from Counties below Galway to Wicklow?

Mountainsandh · 27-09-2011 6:56am

according to this site, the probability of it being seen from Paris is of 1 night per year, and Dublin 10 nights per year. So I guess Southern countries probability of seeing is something between <10 and 1 night per year.

But the further you are from it, and the lower it will appear in the horizon, meaning that if, like me, you have mountains/an obstacle to the side where it should be, you probably won't see a thing anyway. Pity I can't just head off in the car to a good watch out point.

muckish · 27-09-2011 9:29am

I saw the aurora last night through the few breaks in cloud cover we had last night around midnight. Having trouble downloading images from the camera at the moment. will post if I can get them downloaded.
Basically all that was visible was the green glow through the clouds, nothing spectacular but nice to see all the same.

Elmer Blooker · 27-09-2011 9:39am

DickBunce wrote: »

Has the Aurora ever been seen from Counties below Galway to Wicklow?

Yes. In October and November 2003 spectacular aurora were visible ALL over the country.
http://www.met.ie/climate/monthlyBulletins/nov03.pdf

muckish · 27-09-2011 10:14am

The only gaps in the clouds we had. But still a glimpse.:)

Strangegravy · 27-09-2011 11:00am

Elmer Blooker wrote: »

DickBunce wrote: »

Has the Aurora ever been seen from Counties below Galway to Wicklow?

Yes. In October and November 2003 spectacular aurora were visible ALL over the country.
http://www.met.ie/climate/monthlyBulletins/nov03.pdf

Brilliant... thanks for this, I remember seeing them a good few years ago but never knew exactly when or if it was widely reported. The timing of this would be about right..

Iancar29 · 27-09-2011 12:34pm

muckish wrote: »

The only gaps in the clouds we had. But still a glimpse.:)

Wish i could see them!

Was that an exposure shot btw?

muckish · 27-09-2011 1:19pm

Photo details: iso800 20seconds @ f4.0 17-40mm f4L lens. Shot in RAW format. White balance set to 2500K afterwards. Canon Rebel XTi (400d)
Clouds were reflecting light from everywhere around eventhough I was at a relatively dark site.
It's a pity it didn't happen the night before as it was a crystal clear night sky. I havn't seen a night as clear in ages.

4gun · 29-09-2011 2:26am

sorry..meant to change this last night, first i am not suceptable to flights of fancy by last noght when I looked at the northern Horizon there was an unusual glow that i had not noticed before( I do spend a bit of time sky watching on a clear night) unfortunately my Aurora was nothing more that low level cloud illuminated by some very distant town lights

:o

sparrowcar · 29-09-2011 5:48am

4gun wrote: »

the whole northern horizon is glowing to nignt seen a 2:20 red to tne north with a blue-green tint to the west It is quite lo in the sky but the most substantial I have ever seen from here in north kerry

Hi 4gun,

Are you sure, the KP for last night was very low as I checked myself and they gave 0% chance?

PixelTrawler · 04-10-2011 9:24pm

Prepare to be stunned...

http://vimeo.com/21419634

muckish · 04-10-2011 10:42pm

Solyad wrote: »

Prepare to be stunned...

http://vimeo.com/21419634

Beautiful Video. I love the part where the aurora reflects off the sea in the fjiord. Heading to Sweden next month so hopefully it coincides with some aurora activity.

jdee99 · 06-10-2011 7:56am

I'm stunned!

Thank you

JD

muckish · 25-10-2011 10:17am

Geomagnetic storm in progress at the moment. As it's dark in Alaska at the moment, watch it here live. (image refreshed every 5 minutes)
http://salmon.nict.go.jp/live/aurora_cam/live_aurora_cam_e.html

Aurora Prospects 2012

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