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Year Ahead Forecasting

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  • 04-10-2011 6:10pm
    #1
    WeatherOrWhich
    Registered Users Posts: 12 ✭


    A company called Weather Trends http://www.weathertrends360.com/ claim to be able to forecast the weather (temp) to a high degree degree of accuracy (>84% for Ireland) and claim that forecasting rain a year ahead is 'more difficult' but still claim a >70% rate of accuracy.

    Anybody heard of this company? Are they reputable?

    They claim their methods are different to the usual GFS/ECMWF type models and specialize in year ahead forecasts aimed at businesses but at time the same time time claim ">1 degree" improvement over the UK Met Office for > 4 day time horizon.

    I'm cynial to say the least but interested to hear views of more experienced weather people ...


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    #2
    Speak Now
    Registered Users Posts: 8,510 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    30 day forecast for Dublin

    hmmmm

    http://www.weathertrends360.com/Graph/30day/ST1459

    No air frost for next 30 days then :eek:


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    #3
    Speak Now
    Registered Users Posts: 8,510 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    Yikes i went out to the end of next August.

    rarely hits 20/21 degrees next summer and rarely hits 0c the long winter nights :pac:

    That's it i'm gone for the next 11 months :mad:

    Boring Boring Boring :D


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    #4
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 6,892 ✭✭✭pauldry


    if you forecast 13 to 14c and showery for Sligo for the next 12 months that is near 84% accurate!

    barring a major Winter freeze or Summer heatwave it is the case and even heatwaves in Sligo only last 3 or 4 days at best.

    Jeez its windy out there now


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    #5
    Mountainsandh
    Registered Users Posts: 6,700 ✭✭✭Mountainsandh


    I went as far as 24th August, really depressing... They grade everything in "Mid", "High", or "Low", so it gives them a pretty big bracket : "Mid 00s degrees celsius", "Mid 10s degrees C", "Low 00s", "Mid 00s", ....well obviously :rolleyes:
    Booring allright.


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