The Football Tips Thread IV

Blatter · 25-03-2013 1:28pm

Shane St. wrote: »

I was thinking of going huge on Sunderland +1. As a Utd fan myself I think we can afford to lose this one and a draw is not a disaster. It's going to be a shadow side with the Chelsea game so close

The Sunderland +1 @ 2.4 won't last too long on 365 or lads, it has shortened everywhere else.

Bateman wrote: »

There is needle between Sunderland and United fans over some slagging on the last day of the season last year when City snatched it from them.

I know that doesn't/shouldn't affect what happens on the pitch but Ferguson was thought to have been extremely displeased with Sunderland's attitude at the time as well so I think some of it may have spilled over to be more than fans' stuff.

That is something to consider, however there's still no way Ferguson will in any way, shape or form do anything that may see him lose a slight edge in the Chelsea game to get one over on Sunderland.

I'd be slightly worried about the players that he actually picks playing with higher motivation after what happened there last season. Still, I don't think it'll change things too much. United good to back against here imo.

Avfctom · 25-03-2013 1:32pm

I would tend to agree sbout united having a game two days later not being at it but sunderland are so so poor atm and there defence of bramble and o shea is a laughing stock can still see uniteds second string winning with ease

Tomhere · 25-03-2013 1:36pm

Brazil v Russia Tonight at stamford Bridge. Any one fancying the Russians?

6.0 for the Win
2.37 Double Chance

Russia to score over 1.5 goals @ 3.75. This brazil defence is pretty leaky.

The Reservoir Dubs Anchorman · 25-03-2013 1:42pm

Bateman wrote: »

I just mean beat them, not hammer them. Spain losing this game would be a bit of a stuffing as it would make it very difficult for them to top the group. Spain in the playoffs, can you imagine. :eek:

They are making a big deal about Xavi and Alonso being back in the team but their fabled midfield went missing at the Calderon in the reverse fixture, if anything they aren't as worried about this one as they should be.

Very true if Spain dont win tomorrow they will get it very hard to top the Group. I do actually fancy France to get something, they've turned things around after a disasterous Euro's

Bateman · 25-03-2013 2:05pm

Tomhere wrote: »

Brazil v Russia Tonight at stamford Bridge. Any one fancying the Russians?

6.0 for the Win
2.37 Double Chance

Russia to score over 1.5 goals @ 3.75. This brazil defence is pretty leaky.

Just read a Jonathan Wilson preview on the betfair site there and decided to lay Brazil at 1.63.

Agree the prices look a bit odd - Brazil don't look good at the moment and Russia should be pumped.

FatRat · 25-03-2013 3:03pm

In the Russian games on today ....

In-game at the moment Petrotrest are at home to Spartak Nalchik, they seem very evenly matched so a home price of 5/2 is huge imo. Should be looked at.

As for later, Shinnik take on top of the league Tomsk. Tomsk are on a great run winning 8 and drawing 1 of their last 9 , while Shinnik are doing average enough, placing 12th in the league. Tomsk are evens to win, mostly because they're the away team. I cant see past them tbh so I'll take them for a small stake to keep myself entertained.

inforfun · 25-03-2013 3:35pm

If i recall correctly, which is easily checked anyway, Tom Tomsk at home scrong in both halves was kind of an epic bet before they had their winter break.

JonnyM · 25-03-2013 3:43pm

england u21's home to austria tonight in a friendly -1 @evens.

Just looking at their last few results and seem very strong at home.

21/03/2013 England 3 - 0 Romania Under-21s International Win
05/02/2013 England 4 - 0 Sweden Under-21s International Win
13/11/2012 England 2 - 0 Northern Ireland Under-21s International Win
16/10/2012 Serbia 0 - 1 England European Championship, Israel 2013, Regional Stages Win
12/10/2012 England 1 - 0 Serbia European Championship, Israel 2013, Regional Stages Win
10/09/2012 England 1 - 0 Norway European Championship, Israel 2013, Regional Stages Win
06/09/2012 Azerbaijan 0 - 2 England European Championship, Israel 2013, Regional Stages Win
29/02/2012 England 4 - 0 Belgium European Championship, Israel 2013, Regional Stages Win

Going to back them -1 @evens

UnknownSpecies · 25-03-2013 4:02pm

JonnyM wrote: »

england u21's home to austria tonight in a friendly -1 @evens.

Just looking at their last few results and seem very strong at home.

21/03/2013 England 3 - 0 Romania Under-21s International Win
05/02/2013 England 4 - 0 Sweden Under-21s International Win
13/11/2012 England 2 - 0 Northern Ireland Under-21s International Win
16/10/2012 Serbia 0 - 1 England European Championship, Israel 2013, Regional Stages Win
12/10/2012 England 1 - 0 Serbia European Championship, Israel 2013, Regional Stages Win
10/09/2012 England 1 - 0 Norway European Championship, Israel 2013, Regional Stages Win
06/09/2012 Azerbaijan 0 - 2 England European Championship, Israel 2013, Regional Stages Win
29/02/2012 England 4 - 0 Belgium European Championship, Israel 2013, Regional Stages Win

Going to back them -1 @evens

Cheers, I'm all over this. I have medium stakes on England -1 @ evens and England to win to nil @ 6/5.

Tomhere · 25-03-2013 5:06pm

Whelan and Sammon named in the Irish Team tomorrow night. Under 1.5 goals in the game at 2/1 looks a decent price.

ShamoBuc · 25-03-2013 6:06pm

Austria U21 results have been fairly good and have a fine player in Raphael Holzhauser - 10 goals at u21 level - hopefully he is missing.

International - Friendlies U-21
21st Mar 13 Austria U21 1:0 Slovakia U21
06th Feb 13 Malta U21 1:3 Austria U21
14th Nov 12 Greece U21 1:1 Austria U21
International - EURO U-21 qualification grp. 10
10th Sep 12 Austria U21 3:2 Scotland U21
07th Sep 12 Netherlands U21 4:1 Austria U21
International - Friendlies U-21
14th Aug 12 Norway U21 2:2 Austria U21
International - EURO U-21 qualification grp. 10
05th Jun 12 Austria U21 4:1 Luxembourg U2

That said, England -1 at evens is certainly a bet I will be doing. 20 on.

FatRat · 25-03-2013 6:41pm

Dzagoev to score and Russia to win is 10/1 with William hill... From nearly all the Russian games I've seen, Dzagoev is a fairly prolific scorer for them, he was joint top scorer in the euros I think ... Worth a few euro at 10/1 anyway

Edit: Looks like he doesnt even start for them anymore!!

PunterAssist · 25-03-2013 6:48pm

Having spoken to a few people about the France v Spain match there is no consensus among some decent handicappers.

What do boards.ie finest have to say on this one? Where does the value lie?

France:
Hugo Lloris (Tottenham Hotspur); Mathieu Debuchy (Newcastle United), Laurent Koscielny (Arsenal), Mamadou Sakho (Paris Saint Germain), Patrice Evra (Manchester United); Moussa Sissoko (Newcastle United), Yohan Cabaye (Newcastle United), Blaise Matuidi (Paris Saint Germain); Jeremy Menez (Paris Saint Germain), Karim Benzema (Real Madrid), Franck Ribery (Bayern Munich)

Spain:
Victor Valdes (Barcelona); Alvaro Arbeloa (Real Madrid), Sergio Ramos (Real Madrid), Gerard Pique (Barcelona), Jordi Alba (Barcelona); Xabi Alonso (Real Madrid), Sergio Busquets (Barcelona), Xavi Hernandez (Barcelona); Andres Iniesta (Barcelona), David Villa (Barcelona), David Silva (Manchester City)

cruais · 25-03-2013 6:54pm

cruais wrote: »

germany @1.11, belgium @1.70, croatia @1.72 and a bit of golf with mr woods @ 3.50

( the golf part was bet by accident so hoping it will bring me luck :-) )

accum 10 euro

And it payed off! 4 wins outta 4!

steveLFC24 · 25-03-2013 7:01pm

Good shout. I've thrown the -1 England in a treble with Scotland (u21) -2 against Luxembourg (beat them 3-0 last autumn) and Brazil v Russia over 2.5 goals (12 of Brazil's last 15 games gone over 2.5).

15 returns about 95. should keep me interested for the evening.

PunterAssist · 25-03-2013 7:04pm

Brazil v Russia - Under 9 corners @ 2.7 (Ladbrokes)

FatRat · 25-03-2013 7:24pm

Ok this is it, make or break... if i lose this I'm giving up betting for a while. I've been doing a lot of research on the u21 games and this is the treble I came up with:

Spain -1 vs Germany
over 2.5 in Belgium vs Cyprus
England to win.

Spain -1 the obvious big one @6/4. but I'm confident if their game sin the past year are anything to go by. Right... Heres hoping.

Headshot · 25-03-2013 7:36pm

anyone have team news for Brazil v Russia match please

PurpleSt4in · 25-03-2013 7:40pm

will Zaha be starting for England u21?

jebus84 · 25-03-2013 7:47pm

brazil line up

Brazil XI v Russia: César; Alves-Thiago Silva-Luiz-Marcelo; Fernando, Hernanes-Oscar; Kaká; Fred-Neymar.

jebus84 · 25-03-2013 8:06pm

PurpleSt4in wrote: »

will Zaha be starting for England u21?

no zaha in squad https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BGOYuAeCMAA9sSX.jpg:large

PurpleSt4in · 25-03-2013 8:26pm

he scored against romania so was just wondering.. I see he's not even on the bench! Palace must have called him back or something

MonkstownHoop · 25-03-2013 8:28pm

PurpleSt4in wrote: »

he scored against romania so was just wondering.. I see he's not even on the bench! Palace must have called him back or something

its a friendly and pearce wants to use the squad

inforfun · 25-03-2013 9:18pm

Wednesday evening at 22.30 in Chile

Union Espanola - U de Chile

Going on the home win @2.87/DNB @1.97

First of all because Union Espanola had the better start of the season.
Second and the most important reason: This
Not less than 6 U de Chile players are in the Chile squad to face Uruguay (hello card bet!!) tomorrow evening.
3 of them played on friday against Peru so they are not all starters for Chile.

bradlente · 25-03-2013 10:00pm

Apparently earlier Powers had 1.5(1/2) for both teams to score-no in the Poland San Marino game.:eek:

Thinking of taking a France result in some form tomorrow,But not sure yet.Also interested in under 2.5 in Ukraine Moldova.2.45(29/20) is a fairly big price.Their game in October was 0-0.5/7 Ukraine competitive games have gone under and 6/10 for Moldova.Ukraine 1-0 @8.5(15/2) looks ok too IMO.

Will take that unders price but not really sure about France Spain.

Lasagna Diarra · 25-03-2013 10:12pm

Juvisy double chance @ ~1.60 (Women's Champions League)

The odds on Juvisy have dropped from 5.00 to 2.95 so I did a lil bit of research...
- Juvisy won the first leg 1-0 in France
- in that game they had 11 shots on target, Goteborg had only 1
- Juvisy missed a penalty
I'm only taking double chance cuz a draw is enough for them to qualify for the semi final

Check out the video of the missed penalty LOL

(the 2nd video)
http://www.eurosport.fr/football/uefa-women-s-champions-league/2012-2013/juvisy-s-impose-dans-la-douleur-face-a-goteborg-%281-0%29_sto3676222/story.shtml?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+eurosport%2FIljw+%28Eurosport+-+Top+des+infos%29
edit: reading the comments it seems she did it on purpose cuz she was offside, not sure...

SteelyDanJalapeno · 25-03-2013 10:20pm

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Juvisy double chance @ ~1.60 (Women's Champions League)

The odds on Juvisy have dropped from 5.00 to 2.95 so I did a lil bit of research...
- Juvisy won the first leg 1-0 in France
- in that game they had 11 shots on target, Goteborg had only 1
- Juvisy missed a penalty
I'm only taking double chance cuz a draw is enough for them to qualify for the semi final

Check out the video of the missed penalty LOL (the 2nd video)
http://www.eurosport.fr/football/uefa-women-s-champions-league/2012-2013/juvisy-s-impose-dans-la-douleur-face-a-goteborg-%281-0%29_sto3676222/story.shtml?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+eurosport%2FIljw+%28Eurosport+-+Top+des+infos%29
edit: reading the comments it seems she did it on purpose cuz she was offside, not sure...

Video not available in Irlande....

inforfun · 25-03-2013 10:23pm

Merde

Lasagna Diarra · 25-03-2013 10:25pm

oops lol this one should work:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qyrd1gSLjGA

penalty @ 1:16

bradlente · 25-03-2013 10:28pm

Why didn't she take the rebound!?

inforfun · 25-03-2013 10:29pm

bradlente wrote: »

Why didn't she take the rebound!?

Clever girl actually, she knows the rules.
Ball of the post cant be taken again by the penalty taker.
Would mean same player touching the ball 2x in a row.

MrMischief · 25-03-2013 10:30pm

Treble of Belgium, Croatia & Holland @ 2.49 on Betfair.

Belgium should steamroll Macedonia at home after winning 2 zip against them on Friday. They have 4 wins from 5 and have only dropped points against Croatia who are joint top of the group.

Croatia should have too much away to Wales although this could be a banana skin if Wales get lucky. On paper, Croatia should win.

Holland with 5 wins from 5 should beat Romania with home advantage.

Not a huge stake on this one but seems like decent value compared to ridiculous value on other games.

JonnyM · 25-03-2013 10:43pm

JonnyM wrote: »

england u21's home to austria tonight in a friendly -1 @evens.

Just looking at their last few results and seem very strong at home.

21/03/2013 England 3 - 0 Romania Under-21s International Win
05/02/2013 England 4 - 0 Sweden Under-21s International Win
13/11/2012 England 2 - 0 Northern Ireland Under-21s International Win
16/10/2012 Serbia 0 - 1 England European Championship, Israel 2013, Regional Stages Win
12/10/2012 England 1 - 0 Serbia European Championship, Israel 2013, Regional Stages Win
10/09/2012 England 1 - 0 Norway European Championship, Israel 2013, Regional Stages Win
06/09/2012 Azerbaijan 0 - 2 England European Championship, Israel 2013, Regional Stages Win
29/02/2012 England 4 - 0 Belgium European Championship, Israel 2013, Regional Stages Win

Going to back them -1 @evens

the 2 sendings off really helped

Headshot · 25-03-2013 10:48pm

4 am ko

New Zealand & Under 3.5 @8/5

I was going to do the over 3.5 goals but I read this
http://www.nzfootball.co.nz/index.php?id=11&tx_ttnews%5Btt_news%5D=2212&tx_ttnews%5BbackPid%5D=10&cHash=1d90a5a6fe

bradlente · 25-03-2013 10:48pm

inforfun wrote: »

Clever girl actually, she knows the rules.
Ball of the post cant be taken again by the penalty taker.
Would mean same player touching the ball 2x in a row.

Oh

Lord TSC · 25-03-2013 11:16pm

So being unpatriotic here, but why are Austria 11/4 to beat Ireland tomorrow?

Looking at results so far in comparison to each other, both teams are on 7 points, both on 2 wins, one draw, one loss. Ireland has scored 7, conceded 8. Austria have scored 11, conceded 2. Bit of a difference there, and given Keane isn't playing, Ireland are a tad short on goal scoring options.

But then I'm basing all this on stats rather than having watched either team, so can someone explain if 11/4 is right, wrong or etc?

Fitzcal · 25-03-2013 11:37pm

Teamshadowclan wrote: »

So being unpatriotic here, but why are Austria 11/4 to beat Ireland tomorrow?

Looking at results so far in comparison to each other, both teams are on 7 points, both on 2 wins, one draw, one loss. Ireland has scored 7, conceded 8. Austria have scored 11, conceded 2. Bit of a difference there, and given Keane isn't playing, Ireland are a tad short on goal scoring options.

But then I'm basing all this on stats rather than having watched either team, so can someone explain if 11/4 is right, wrong or etc?

Austria have drawn away 0-0 to Kazakstan as well as besting them 4-0 at home.
Also beat the Faroes 6-0 at home.
Their only real test so far has been a 2-1 loss at home.
So the stats are deceiving Austria are the outsiders although 11/4 seems a touch generous

Shane St. · 25-03-2013 11:46pm

JonnyM wrote: »

england u21's home to austria tonight in a friendly -1 @evens.

Just looking at their last few results and seem very strong at home.

21/03/2013 England 3 - 0 Romania Under-21s International Win
05/02/2013 England 4 - 0 Sweden Under-21s International Win
13/11/2012 England 2 - 0 Northern Ireland Under-21s International Win
16/10/2012 Serbia 0 - 1 England European Championship, Israel 2013, Regional Stages Win
12/10/2012 England 1 - 0 Serbia European Championship, Israel 2013, Regional Stages Win
10/09/2012 England 1 - 0 Norway European Championship, Israel 2013, Regional Stages Win
06/09/2012 Azerbaijan 0 - 2 England European Championship, Israel 2013, Regional Stages Win
29/02/2012 England 4 - 0 Belgium European Championship, Israel 2013, Regional Stages Win

Going to back them -1 @evens

wasnt planning on doing anything but you made a good case... good job

Headshot · 26-03-2013 12:18am

Headshot wrote: »

4 am ko

New Zealand & Under 3.5 @8/5

I was going to do the over 3.5 goals but I read this
http://www.nzfootball.co.nz/index.php?id=11&tx_ttnews%5Btt_news%5D=2212&tx_ttnews%5BbackPid%5D=10&cHash=1d90a5a6fe

A slight shortening of the odds on this

Gives me a bit more confidence

mrdmb · 26-03-2013 12:45am

for the asian world cup qualifications.. a treble of Australia, South Korea, Japan all to win at 2.42

Bateman · 26-03-2013 10:13am

Australia currently pissing on the chips, losing at home to Oman!

inforfun · 26-03-2013 10:48am

Holland - Romania tonight:

Hollands last 16 WC qualifiers at home (Going back to April 2001):

P16 W15 D1 L0 GS 45 GC 1(3-1 win vs Finland)

Which means 15 clean sheets, 14 of those were won matches.

According to the Dutch newspapers, the Romanian coach announced they will have a careful approach and try to get a draw.

Just like against Estland a Dutch win to nil with a HT result of 0-0 is very much possible.

JonnyM · 26-03-2013 10:55am

Japan vs Jordan over 2.5 goals 11/10

http://www.latinospost.com/articles/15207/20130325/world-cup-2014-qualifiers-afc-jordan-vs-japan-live-score.htm

Japan beat Jordan in the reverse fixture 6-0 and if Japan win they will qualify for the world cup finals. Im sure Jordan dont want to concede so many again but i think there are goals in this.

Headshot · 26-03-2013 11:01am

Headshot wrote: »

4 am ko

New Zealand & Under 3.5 @8/5

I was going to do the over 3.5 goals but I read this
http://www.nzfootball.co.nz/index.php?id=11&tx_ttnews%5Btt_news%5D=2212&tx_ttnews%5BbackPid%5D=10&cHash=1d90a5a6fe

Gtfi

Shane St. · 26-03-2013 11:25am

No time for a write up today. Got this double from bettingzone, just over evens
Holland 3/10
Serbia 6/10
50 on that.
And 10r on Ireland Austria draw 9/4
England 20/23
works out at 5/1

Dio On The Doubles · 26-03-2013 11:45am

Expecting a comfortable South Korea win against Qatar today. South Korea to win both halves at 17/10 seems ok. -1 handicap at 8/11 should be achievable too hopefully.

Game starts in 15 minutes at 11 am our time.

JonnyM · 26-03-2013 12:00pm

My double for later

Belgium -1 @ 13/5 (home to Macedonia)

Finland -1 @ 8/5 (away to Luxembourg)

Pays just over 8's

squirrelohara · 26-03-2013 1:05pm

Paddys special:
Holland, Belgium and England 9/4.
With Holland and Belgium at home expecting easy wins, is it worth taking this price as it seems to be down to England who are 10/11 to win the game.
Just wondering what ye thought of it.

jkelly85 · 26-03-2013 1:08pm

JonnyM wrote: »

My double for later

Belgium -1 @ 13/5 (home to Macedonia)

Finland -1 @ 8/5 (away to Luxembourg)

Pays just over 8's

Belgium -1 at 13/5 ???
That has to be wrong. 4/5 -1 in most bookies. Could be -2 you have done

The Reservoir Dubs Anchorman · 26-03-2013 1:09pm

squirrelohara wrote: »

Paddys special:
Holland, Belgium and England 9/4.
With Holland and Belgium at home expecting easy wins, is it worth taking this price as it seems to be down to England who are 10/11 to win the game.
Just wondering what ye thought of it.

Seems value in the 9/4 alright

The Football Tips Thread IV

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