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Storm Brendan Monday 13 Jan 2020 ** See Mod note in OP before posting**

1235732

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 1,525 ✭✭✭Hooter23


    It really is the calm before the storm...Light winds and sunny in Galway


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,321 ✭✭✭m17


    5Af9s6z.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,916 ✭✭✭✭Discodog


    Xenji wrote: »
    Can we have a technical thread please........please?

    Please. It's getting bad when you have to plead to the Gods :)


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,315 ✭✭✭nthclare


    Doolins going to get hammered and Lahinch will be bracing itself.
    The new automatic barriers along the promenade will hopefully stop the boulders from smashing into the carpark.
    It'll be interesting there tomorrow evening after 6, 19ft swell at 16 seconds.

    It won't be as bad as the last carnage but quit big all the same


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,473 ✭✭✭✭Super-Rush


    Xenji wrote: »
    Can we have a technical thread please........please?
    Discodog wrote: »
    Please. It's getting bad when you have to plead to the Gods :)

    Why don't either of ye start one?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 420 ✭✭Little snowy old me


    I relish the prospect that someday a storm will hit that will rival or exceed the big one of 1839. Many on here do too but unlike me, are afraid to admit it. Anyway, from what I can gather is that this will be a strong but not notable event on the west coast with a normal windy day inland. The centre is just to far west to really cause trouble for us. Its a wasted opportunity. I love storms. Will never apologise for that.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,346 ✭✭✭easypazz


    nthclare wrote: »
    Doolins going to get hammered and Lahinch will be bracing itself.
    The new automatic barriers along the promenade will hopefully stop the boulders from smashing into the carpark.
    It'll be interesting there tomorrow evening after 6, 19ft swell at 16 seconds.

    It won't be as bad as the last carnage but quit big all the same

    Coastal damage due to big swells and spring tides is the risk with this one.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,916 ✭✭✭✭Discodog


    I relish the prospect that someday a storm will hit that will rival or exceed the big one of 1839. Many on here do too but unlike me, are afraid to admit it. Anyway, from what I can gather is that this will be a strong but not notable event on the west coast with a normal windy day inland. The centre is just to far west to really cause trouble for us. Its a wasted opportunity. I love storms. Will never apologise for that.
    I relish the prospect that someday a storm will hit that will rival or exceed the big one of 1839. Many on here do too but unlike me, are afraid to admit it. Anyway, from what I can gather is that this will be a strong but not notable event on the west coast with a normal windy day inland. The centre is just to far west to really cause trouble for us. Its a wasted opportunity. I love storms. Will never apologise for that.

    ? Identical posts an hour apart


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 452 ✭✭Logan Roy


    Discodog wrote: »
    ?

    They turn up with their shtick every so often. Best to ignore.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    Ah no; then we would have to send rescue folk out for them; maybe send them ou tto assist the rescue workers....

    Gale forecasts always remind me of Orkney; of one 3 day storm with gusts of over 127 MILES per hour. I had livestock and had to feed them and it felt as if the skin was literally being flayed off your face. The noise was appalling,

    Should put the people who post that in a boat and send them out into the Atlantic. Let's see them update their status then.;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,133 ✭✭✭endainoz


    covey09 wrote: »
    Brendan not the only one around here full of bluster:D

    That ignore button is very handy!


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,315 ✭✭✭nthclare


    I relish the prospect that someday a storm will hit that will rival or exceed the big one of 1839. Many on here do too but unlike me, are afraid to admit it. Anyway, from what I can gather is that this will be a strong but not notable event on the west coast with a normal windy day inland. The centre is just to far west to really cause trouble for us. Its a wasted opportunity. I love storms. Will never apologise for that.

    Same here I love extreme weather, wouldn't wish anyone's lives interfered or anyone hurt.

    But there's nothing like standing in a safe place near a headland and hearing the boulders collide and that metallic sound when a huge wave explodes with an epic shore break.
    Dogfish getting tossed ashore is a common one, you'd see them wriggling back towards the waters edge, but usually the next wave pulls them back to safety.


  • Registered Users Posts: 486 ✭✭Duggie2012


    Is there a chance this will go red along the west coast? If so wont it have to be soon to give people time to adjust for tomorrow?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    But n serious injury and deaths are almost inevitable . as is serious damage to property so there is something very unsavoury about wishing so openly for a storm like that.
    It shows a disregard for reality.

    I doubt though that those who wish this would cope with bad weather! "Exiting and scared" they would be.

    So no it is not normal.
    I think that's normal. Exciting and scary. Seeing the elements show us what they can do. Doesn't mean enjoyment of others being harmed.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,354 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    I relish the prospect that someday a storm will hit that will rival or exceed the big one of 1839. Many on here do too but unlike me, are afraid to admit it. Anyway, from what I can gather is that this will be a strong but not notable event on the west coast with a normal windy day inland. The centre is just to far west to really cause trouble for us. Its a wasted opportunity. I love storms. Will never apologise for that.

    It devastated the country. It would devastate the country today.

    Would you settle for some wildfires, maybe a tsunami?

    Ffs.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    At these times always wise to "hope for the best but prepare for the worst. "

    Orange is bad enough to make full preparations surely?



    Duggie2012 wrote: »
    Is there a chance this will go red along the west coast? If so wont it have to be soon to give people time to adjust for tomorrow?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,346 ✭✭✭easypazz


    Duggie2012 wrote: »
    Is there a chance this will go red along the west coast? If so wont it have to be soon to give people time to adjust for tomorrow?


    I get the impression they have pretty much said exposed western areas may see red alert conditions but they won't be giving county wide red warnings, as that results in a complete shutdown of areas of a county that are unlikely to experience anything more than a blustery day.

    The warning system is seriously flawed, and need to be changed.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,101 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    easypazz wrote: »
    I get the impression they have pretty much said exposed western areas may see red alert conditions but they won't be giving county wide red warnings, as that results in a complete shutdown of areas of a county that are unlikely to experience anything more than a blustery day.

    The warning system is seriously flawed, and need to be changed.




    itlll be more than a blustery day but certainly not a red alert across the majority of the country. high end yellow/orange.


  • Registered Users Posts: 486 ✭✭Duggie2012


    easypazz wrote: »
    I get the impression they have pretty much said exposed western areas may see red alert conditions but they won't be giving county wide red warnings, as that results in a complete shutdown of areas of a county that are unlikely to experience anything more than a blustery day.

    The warning system is seriously flawed, and need to be changed.

    Just thinking about work tomorrow


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,537 ✭✭✭ldy4mxonucwsq6


    Graces7 wrote: »
    At these times always wise to "hope for the best but prepare for the worst. "

    Orange is bad enough to make full preparations surely?

    But red means there's no expectation to get to work/school etc and people know to stay indoors.

    Yellow and Orange means people are expected to go about their day.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,408 ✭✭✭secman


    I relish the prospect that someday a storm will hit that will rival or exceed the big one of 1839. Many on here do too but unlike me, are afraid to admit it. Anyway, from what I can gather is that this will be a strong but not notable event on the west coast with a normal windy day inland. The centre is just to far west to really cause trouble for us. Its a wasted opportunity. I love storms. Will never apologise for that.

    Repeat and rince...and rince .and repeat..repeat and rince..repeat... i think we know what you want...no need to be repeating... no amount of repeating yourself will make any diffetence to the storms.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,346 ✭✭✭easypazz


    Naggdefy wrote: »
    Not too many pensioner, grandad's, as you have stated you are many times, wish for the extremely of extreme weather events. This makes your personal on here incredulous.

    Wishing for a big storm is the same as the lads here wishing for snow. Nothing any of us wish for will change the weather that arrives.

    I never see people around here wishing for mass deaths because of extreme weather.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 399 ✭✭scooby77


    To my untrained eye the Harmione predication included with Evelyn Cusack's commentary, although severe, doesn't seem quite as bad as images from other models I've seen here. Worst winds seem offshore.
    2 quick questions for those more knowledgeable:
    Do Met Eireann rely solely/mainly on this Harmione model, or do they also use the others?
    Has Harmione been proven as more accurate?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭Naggdefy


    easypazz wrote: »
    Wishing for a big storm is the same as the lads here wishing for snow. Nothing any of us wish for will change the weather that arrives.

    I never see people around here wishing for mass deaths because of extreme weather.

    A pensioner ;)

    He felt a big storm was coming yesterday he told us :D Already in tantrum mode, 20 hours pre storm. Like when his 'promised' snow doesn't arrive to show the grandchildren. Something bizarre about Little Snowy Old Me aka Fraxinus.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,234 ✭✭✭sdanseo


    scooby77 wrote: »
    To my untrained eye the Harmione predication included with Evelyn Cusack's commentary, although severe, doesn't seem quite as bad as images from other models I've seen here. Worst winds seem offshore.
    2 quick questions for those more knowledgeable:
    Do Met Eireann rely solely/mainly on this Harmione model, or do they also use the others?
    Has Harmione been proven as more accurate?

    Harmonie and ECM seemingly with a little more emphasis on Harmonie for some reason.

    HIRLAM also used for short range although again I think most of what they have posted in the last couple of years has been Harmonie so probably a bias towards that on the short range side also.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 783 ✭✭✭Cork981


    Few counties removed from the orange warning.

    https://www.met.ie/warnings


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 11,645 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    Cork981 wrote: »
    Few counties removed from the orange warning.

    https://www.met.ie/warnings

    Are they updating the warnings?
    Always found it odd that they do this...


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 11,645 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    Now nationwide orange it seems?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,219 ✭✭✭pad199207


    NATIONWIDE ORANGE NOW

    Status Orange - Wind warning for Leinster, Cavan, Monaghan, Clare, Cork, Limerick, Tipperary and Waterford

    Update: As Storm Brendan tracks to the northwest of Ireland, southerly winds will reach mean speeds of 50 to 70 km/h with gusts of 100 to 120 km/h, higher in exposed areas.

    There is a significant risk of coastal flooding due to the combination of high spring tides and storm surge.

    Valid: 08:00 Monday 13/01/2020 to 15:00 Monday 13/01/2020


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    igCorcaigh wrote: »
    Now nationwide orange it seems?[/QUOTE

    JAFFA IRELAND! !

    Never seen that before!

    Need a nap; back later...


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,219 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Good chance of Mayo, Galway, Sligo, Donegal going Red now


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,346 ✭✭✭easypazz


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Good chance of Mayo, Galway, Sligo, Donegal going Red now

    Don't forget Leitrim!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,219 ✭✭✭pad199207


    easypazz wrote: »
    Don't forget Leitrim!!

    Ofcourse and the “mile” long coast of Leitrim.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 420 ✭✭Little snowy old me


    Discodog wrote: »
    ? Identical posts an hour apart

    I accidentally posted that twice


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,354 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    igCorcaigh wrote: »
    Are they updating the warnings?
    Always found it odd that they do this...

    Aaaand that's Blockbusters!


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    I accidentally posted that twice

    Mod Note: Noted.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Good chance of Mayo, Galway, Sligo, Donegal going Red now

    That is what I thought was happening just now

    Came back as just seen BreakingNews .ie re coastguard warning … words fail


  • Registered Users Posts: 155 ✭✭watlantic


    Red Marine Warning now from Met Eireann:
    MARINE WARNINGS

    Status: Red
    Gale Warning
    Status Red - Gale Warning

    Gale force 8 to storm force 10 southerly winds will develop overnight and on Monday morning on all Irish coastal waters and on the Irish Sea. Winds will reach violent storm force 11 at times from Mizen Head to Slyne Head to Malin Head.


  • Registered Users Posts: 589 ✭✭✭aisling86


    I reckon kerry, donegal & connacht will go red after being split out


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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Harmonie, doesn't cover the W, SW coast on this site but good idea of gusts for the rest of the country.


    DFZH8dp.gif

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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,268 ✭✭✭✭uck51js9zml2yt


    A closer look at where might get some of the strongest winds, mapa bit crude but very useful.

    To note that the wind speeds in bold white are generally high ground.

    ud7AHZt.png
    Looks like the Conor pass is a no go zone...I'm on high ground. I'm in deep do-do.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Some close up gust predictions from the HARMONIE

    3qGmOPb.png


    IAAfSdp.png

    MvNnbAm.png


    x6oZSAQ.png

    EK7eWzc.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,748 ✭✭✭Flippyfloppy


    easypazz wrote: »
    I get the impression they have pretty much said exposed western areas may see red alert conditions but they won't be giving county wide red warnings, as that results in a complete shutdown of areas of a county that are unlikely to experience anything more than a blustery day.

    The warning system is seriously flawed, and need to be changed.

    County councils should really retain some responsibility in that regard.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Looks like the Conor pass is a no go zone...I'm on high ground. I'm in deep do-do.

    Yeah, looks like the Dingle peninsula could get a fair battering.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ICON 12Z bringing the storm in a bit lower on this run and clipping the W with the core. Showing extremely strong winds from Donegal down to Kerry, very strong along the S and SE.

    I saw the ECM 06Z and no great change from earlier. Would need to verify the ICON by comparing with other models, can overdo it sometimes.

    Either way very powerful storm.

    anim_fno5.gif

    anim_ajt2.gif


    iconeu_uk1-52-33-0_fub0.png

    yOZYe9a.png

    M1qgjr1.png

    6aNSONV.png


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,177 ✭✭✭Guffy


    Wish i could read the above models


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,996 ✭✭✭✭gozunda


    Looks like the Conor pass is a no go zone...I'm on high ground. I'm in deep do-do.

    Similar here. Just been out to tie things down before tmrw.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,301 ✭✭✭John Hutton


    Folks, am I right in saying that the east coast should be fairly ok? I rely on the train to get from Drogheda to Dublin and also cycle a fair bit on either end. Going to leave the bike at home tomorrow but do you think there is a probability the train line would be affected? Perhaps at the estury at malahide or donabate?


    (Thinking of just taking the day off if there's a decent chances trains would be cancelled from downed lines or trees)
    ,


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Guffy wrote: »
    Wish i could read the above models




    One guy in 12 is colour blind and diagrams like those are impossible or very difficult to read.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,411 ✭✭✭Icyseanfitz


    Do ye think this is going red for costal Kerry?


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