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Convective/Thunderstorm Discussion : 2019 and Winter 2020

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Comments

  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,068 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    The main area of thunderstorms seems to be pulling away from N Ire towards Scotland , EUMETSTAT showing an area that might produce sparks moving into the W/ NW .

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    rarely seen as much lightning as these last days pre and during gareth. Also never seen bright blue lightning before either . Could hardly hear the thunder for the gale gusts.
    west mayo offshore outpost


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    dmc17 wrote: »
    Where are the pics? If on your computer, just need to click the attach file icon (paperclip icon) when composing your post.

    I have dozens of photos on my phone but this laptop it emerges ( google ) does not have the files it needs to send to computer.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,323 ✭✭✭highdef


    Graces7 wrote: »
    I have dozens of photos on my phone but this laptop it emerges ( google ) does not have the files it needs to send to computer.

    If you email the photos to yourself, then you can access the photos on your laptop.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,219 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Ridiculous Hail here in Naas from this. Set alarms off everywhere!

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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,068 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Tues shaping up to produce a fair share of convective weather it would seem. With the passage of an upper Low and quite cold uppers , plenty of moisture in the atmosphere and some shear available and with the sun getting stronger - all together looks like producing quite an amount of heavy showers of rain and hail and at this stage looks like a few could produce lightning. One to keep an eye on.

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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,068 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Not a huge amount of shear but Cape levels looking good enough for a fairly lively thunderstorm on Tues perhaps as diurnal heating takes effect during the day. Strong Jet nearby.

    Could be some locally very heavy gusty showers of rain and hail.

    Thunderstorms could occur anywhere but could see some maturing as they move well inland towards Ireland's 'Thunderstorm alley' :pac:.

    Maybe I am jumping the gun but thinking we could be seeing some good reports and Pics from highdef and Pad and others on Tuesday.

    ECM normally conservative showing increasing amounts of Cape and potential these last few runs.



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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,068 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Will be interesting to see what type of convective activity develops on Tuesday.

    Lapse rates look steep enough if there are enough breaks in the cloud perhaps .


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,891 ✭✭✭SlowBlowin


    I used to like lightening, until I moved to the mountains. We have had 2 direct strikes in 8 years, one of which was quite bizarre.

    I lost EVERY electrical item in the house, including a 2 month old 48 inch Samsung TV, now I buy the cheapest I can. Now when these is a storm the power get switched off at the box, but we have still heard arcs from the consumer unit.

    Please no more.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,428 ✭✭✭ZX7R


    SlowBlowin wrote: »
    I used to like lightening, until I moved to the mountains. We have had 2 direct strikes in 8 years, one of which was quite bizarre.

    I lost EVERY electrical item in the house, including a 2 month old 48 inch Samsung TV, now I buy the cheapest I can. Now when these is a storm the power get switched off at the box, but we have still heard arcs from the consumer unit.

    Please no more.

    Why don't you get a lightning conductor installed,not cheap but in your case worth the cost


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,181 ✭✭✭PukkaStukka


    ZX7R wrote: »
    SlowBlowin wrote: »
    I used to like lightening, until I moved to the mountains. We have had 2 direct strikes in 8 years, one of which was quite bizarre.

    I lost EVERY electrical item in the house, including a 2 month old 48 inch Samsung TV, now I buy the cheapest I can. Now when these is a storm the power get switched off at the box, but we have still heard arcs from the consumer unit.

    Please no more.

    Why don't you get a lightning conductor installed,not cheap but in your case worth the cost

    Unfortunately that wouldn't protect against mains-bourne lightning, only against a direct strike.

    In a past life, I used to repair brown goods and every time there was a significant electrical storm in our area, my bench would be full for the next week because mains-bourne lightning would've taken out a swathe of sets and appliances. Even worse, a third of the stuff would be binned because the cost of repair was uneconomic, or the damage too severe to repair. In one house, I found bits of a blown tuner stuck in the TV sets case because the outside aerial was struck. Mercifully nobody hurt and nothing else damaged.

    Anti surge protection devices would be a help, but mass disconnection of everything - as the OP has done here - is the best course of action.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,891 ✭✭✭SlowBlowin


    Its not just the immediate aftermath, anything that does not fail, WILL FAIL in the next month. I lost stuff that was not plugged in !

    When we had the last strike, which I am sure was ball lightening, there were dull thuds though out the house as various electrical devices exploded. It lasted about 20 seconds, I was in the loo when it started, no sound, just an extremely bright light,, I remember the edge of the light as it came though the door, sharp edged, bright as anything I had ever seen. I walked into the kitchen and it was too bright to see anything, then an enormous explosion, later found a hole in the ground outside the kitchen window about a two foot wide and a foot deep.

    The neighbouring farmer came up and said he saw my place "full of sparks" and heard the bang so he came up. He lost his TV and phone etc. One by one I changed the satellite dish the LNB, the receiver and the TV, and it still did not work. After a lot of fiddling I found the inner conductor of the coax cable was gone, melted away, just little beads of copper left.

    Most of our issues come from the mains though, we are 80% off grid, but still have that connection, which is a major source of trouble. I have some jelly filled fast acting power filters, they are meant to be the best and the seem to help.

    So NO, I dont want lightening on Tuesday.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,891 ✭✭✭SlowBlowin


    I know someone is going to pull me up on the 80% off grid thing, let me clarify.

    In the summer we survive on renewables, in the winter we use the mains to charge the batteries, and run the freezer and fridge.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,970 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    Many years ago I worked in a City main telephone exchange in the UK, when ever there were thunderstorms in the local area we would place bets to see which of the local exchanges would get knocked out first by lightning strike.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,181 ✭✭✭PukkaStukka


    Storm 10 wrote: »
    Many years ago I worked in a City main telephone exchange in the UK, when ever there were thunderstorms in the local area we would place bets to see which of the local exchanges would get knocked out first by lightning strike.

    I spoke about mains borne lightning and anything metal can conduct it. Aerial down leads, satellite cables, phone lines and even metal pipes can be lethal.

    Lightning over a phone line is 100% lethal to anything plugged into it. The phone instrument itself, modems, fax machines were always guaranteed irreparable by lightning.

    Also saw the aftermath of a chimney breast ilightning strike n a house hit not far from the family homestead. The chimney stack outside was obliterated from the roof and the breast had a massive crack in the bedroom forged by the lightning heading to earth.

    It's an amazing phenomenon in the sky but a frightening one once it comes to.ground


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,891 ✭✭✭SlowBlowin


    I am planning to buy/make a field mill in the next year. I am hoping that will give me enough time to disconnect.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,970 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    SlowBlowin wrote: »
    I am planning to buy/make a field mill in the next year. I am hoping that will give me enough time to disconnect.

    Can I ask you where are you located


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,891 ✭✭✭SlowBlowin


    drive.jpg

    I am very high up in the Macgillycuddy Reeks in Kerry.

    Heres a shot from my drive CCTV earlier today.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,181 ✭✭✭PukkaStukka


    That looks a very beautiful place!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,891 ✭✭✭SlowBlowin


    That looks a very beautiful place!

    Thanks, its is, but you can probably understand why I always on the weather forums...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,323 ✭✭✭highdef


    A line of very heavy precipitation had developed in the past half hour, stretching from just south of portlaoise northeastwards to Balbriggan and out to the Irish sea. Recent sferic in North Kildare.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,219 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Thunder here in kildare


  • Registered Users Posts: 371 ✭✭Weather BOFH


    Torrential hail here near the Hill of Allen with 4 or 5 rumbles of thunder.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,219 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Stunning shelf cloud just went over here in Naas

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,467 ✭✭✭jimmynokia


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Stunning shelf cloud just went over here in Naas

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    Nice pic getting dark here in DN22 lets hope for some action might head out for a look with the camera


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,467 ✭✭✭jimmynokia


    Just got into Car heard rumble


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,068 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Tomorrow could be a fairly lively day with scattered thunderstorms and squally hail showers with a fair amount of instability in the atmosphere. Cold uppers with plenty of moisture and sunny internals, good low level shear but not so good deep level sheer , good lapse rates . Thunderstorms could occur anywhere but thinking the midlands / East could see a shot of them in the afternoon perhaps. Any other thoughts ?


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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,068 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Big convective gusts from those squally showers tomorrow.


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  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,151 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Distant rumble in Dublin 16.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 366 ✭✭kittyn


    DOCARCH wrote: »
    Distant rumble in Dublin 16.

    Damn I missed it 🙈


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,502 ✭✭✭q85dw7osi4lebg


    Meath coast a little earlier.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,068 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Convective Weather


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    Day 2 Convective Outlook
    VALID 06:00 UTC Tue 02 Apr 2019 - 05:59 UTC Wed 03 Apr 2019

    ISSUED 20:25 UTC Mon 01 Apr 2019

    ISSUED BY: Dan

    Elevated showers may be ongoing across coastal parts of East Anglia and Kent at the beginning of this forecast period, posing a low risk of lighting. These will soon clear, and thereafter the attention turns to the post-frontal environment already over Ireland and western Scotland, and extending across the remainder of the British Isles through Tuesday.


    A potent upper trough will extend southwards across the British Isles, with notably cold mid/upper levels creating very steep lapse rates and a few hundred J/kg CAPE. Numerous wintry showers will develop, both in response to relatively warm SSTs and diurnal heating inland. The strongest cells may produce a few lightning strikes and some small hail.

    Beneath the trough axis, shear will tend to be weak due to both similar speed and direction with height. However, around the periphery stronger shear will be present, particularly across southern and western Ireland and also E/SE England. Tricky attempting to be more specific to areas with a greater lightning potential given the extensive nature of somewhat marginal instability, but perhaps the best overlap of favourable conditions will exist in S + E Ireland and across the Celtic Sea towards SW England - these areas may require an upgrade to a low-end SLGT if confidence improves.

    Showers inland will tend to become more isolated overnight as nocturnal cooling of the boundary layer commences, but some will likely persist aided by both upper forcing and relatively warm seas around western coasts.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Did get quite dark yesterday evening. The odd rumble of thunder.

    https://twitter.com/photographywx/status/1112970646143762432?s=21


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,467 ✭✭✭jimmynokia


    Over the Dublin mountains..


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,068 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Cork and Limerick had a fair few sferics detected today.

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,467 ✭✭✭jimmynokia


    jimmynokia wrote: »
    Over the Dublin mountains..

    Another one I got today, some epic cloud formations out there today

    https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=109834357&postcount=65


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,068 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Quite a few sferics showing up a while in Kerry tonight. Big squally showers of hail still going through here near Tralee. Still a chance of some thunder overnight .


    IMO Thurs a lot of CAPE available with diurnal heating , low level shear and cold uppers. Not much DLS but lapse rates steep. Less wind on Thurs coming from a NE /E direction with slow moving cloud perhaps giving more of a chance for cells to form. These could produce some heavy localised downpours with hail also perhaps and am wondering if a few places could experience a proper thunderstorm overhead for a time.

    Just trying to build a picture from the charts to better understand and for me personally hopefully to be better able to anticipate when the conditions are more favourable for thunderstorm development.

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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,068 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Watching out for thunderstorms tomorrow . Will see what happens.


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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,068 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Nice sunny day in Tralee, dry so far but huge convection going up, wonder will it spark ?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Some beautiful convection around Galway with a few hail showers.

    Scene from NUIG just now :

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 150 ✭✭Gary Owen


    Couple of claps of thunder here in Limerick now .


  • Registered Users Posts: 419 ✭✭Tacklebox


    Thunder near minister's cross, Sixmilebridge area now, very loud


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Shannon Airport reporting light thunderstorm hail (-TRGR), temperature 4°c dewpoint 0°c


  • Posts: 5,311 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    JCX BXC wrote: »
    Shannon Airport reporting light thunderstorm hail (-TRGR), temperature 4°c dewpoint 0°c

    Vicious thunderstorm just passed through Ennis with hailstones up to 1cm & frequent lightning. Surface a carpet of white.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,693 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    high topped clouds in Cork, Just had a hail shower aswell. Light but very big stones. Sleeting now


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,039 ✭✭✭redsteveireland


    Lightning overhead and large teardrop shaped graupel in Monivea in the last 20minutes, heading towards the east of Galway city.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,068 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Todays crop of detected sferics , clouds matured and became weakly electrified as they crossed the country in clearer less messy air aided by the bit of diurnal heating it would seem.

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,039 ✭✭✭redsteveireland


    Todays crop of detected sferics , clouds matured and became weakly electrified as they crossed the country in clearer less messy air aided by the bit of diurnal heating it would seem.

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    Some missing from Galway and Clare on that. How many detectors do we actually have?


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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,068 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Yeah the Met office is showing more including Galway but they dont pick them all up , I believe they might miss around a third of sferics from lightning discharges. Often notice when reports come in that they might not show up on the radar or not as intense as being reported.


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