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Atlantic Storm Watch: December 2013

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    #1502
    vicwatson
    Registered Users Posts: 28,403 ✭✭✭✭vicwatson


    YouTookMyName wrote: »
    i'm flying bristol-dublin christmas eve at 6:30am, seriously worried about delays.


    Sure check with your airline and daa.ie nearer the time


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    #1503
    je551e
    Registered Users Posts: 440 ✭✭je551e


    Serious strong gusts here in Kerry


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    #1504
    Fear_an_tarbh
    Closed Accounts Posts: 89 ✭✭Fear_an_tarbh


    Crazy intense squall just by Knock Airport at 5pm, very difficult to see the road with the wind and rain, several cars pulled in to let it pass, another 10 miles down the road all calm now.


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    #1505
    aboyro
    Registered Users Posts: 261 ✭✭aboyro


    My gutters on one side of the house just attained lift off here!!!!!!!:eek:


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    #1506
    javagal
    Registered Users Posts: 2,236 ✭✭✭javagal


    Could bearly close my front door with the wind here in portlaoise!


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    #1507
    Weathering
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,101 ✭✭✭Weathering


    Note to self don't leave buying presents to the last minute on Xmas Eve

    ECM1-96.GIF?20-0


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    #1508
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Looks like the trend now is for Monday's low to turn north earlier and either mostly miss us or just give the west coast the usual brush of strong winds.

    ECM has an intense 939mb low at 72 hours but it looks too far northwest for the core of the winds to reach us.

    There may be a secondary low that could give strong winds on Tuesday, or the main low could loop around before going north. No way to know yet.


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    #1509
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Weathering wrote: »
    Note to self don't leave buying presents to the last minute on Xmas Eve

    ECM1-96.GIF?20-0

    Windier here today than it is on that chart. Severe for western Scotland though.


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    #1510
    Weathering
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,101 ✭✭✭Weathering


    It's not exactly going to be calm in Donegal tho ha


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    #1511
    Faustino
    Registered Users Posts: 170 ✭✭Faustino


    Absolutely wild here in Dublin 4 at the minute, i think i'll leave off taking the dog out to the Pigeon House Lighthouse for another evening :)


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    #1512
    dopolahpec
    Closed Accounts Posts: 510 ✭✭✭dopolahpec


    Looks liks damaging storm threat has receded on both the ECM and GFS models this evening


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    #1513
    Cuddled
    Site Banned Posts: 53 ✭✭Cuddled


    dopolahpec wrote: »
    Looks liks damaging storm threat has receded on both the ECM and GFS models this evening

    Well that's good news anyway


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    #1514
    Storm 10
    Registered Users Posts: 5,873 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    On the weather after the news now he said that Monday has the potential for a big storm


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    #1515
    aboyro
    Registered Users Posts: 261 ✭✭aboyro


    maquiladora wrote: »
    Windier here today than it is on that chart. Severe for western Scotland though.

    yeah i agree Maq, its unreal out here now. way worse than last saturday or wednesday. its sustained now since 3pm i reckon. whats the prognosis on it dying down. my caravans knees are trembling!!!!!


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    #1516
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Storm 10 wrote: »
    On the weather after the news now he said that Monday has the potential for a big storm

    That was this mornings model data though. Latest ECM just out now shifts the track of the low further away from us. Complex situation after that though, could be windier on Tuesday.


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    #1517
    redsteveireland
    Registered Users Posts: 3,033 ✭✭✭redsteveireland


    The makings of a squall line forming in Galway Bay, must stick the head out in a few minutes.

    http://www.met.ie/latest/rainfall_radar.asp


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    #1518
    hats199
    Registered Users Posts: 86 ✭✭hats199


    Its picked up massively in the last few minutes in Salthill


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    #1519
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    aboyro wrote: »
    yeah i agree Maq, its unreal out here now. way worse than last saturday or wednesday. its sustained now since 3pm i reckon. whats the prognosis on it dying down. my caravans knees are trembling!!!!!

    Overall winds should be easing later this evening, but keep an eye on the radar as you can get severe gusts coming down to the surface when intense precipitation passes over.


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    #1520
    Popoutman
    Registered Users Posts: 1,363 ✭✭✭Popoutman


    Just hit by a squall line here in Castletroy, Limerick. It looked as though someone had upended a bucket of water over the area! That and some pretty severe gusts of wind - I haven't seen the streetlights wobble as much in quite a while.


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    #1521
    Strangegravy
    Registered Users Posts: 356 ✭✭Strangegravy


    Serious squall passing over east Limerick at the moment... :eek:


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    #1522
    Oscar Bravo
    Registered Users Posts: 10,063 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Extremely windy in Castlebar for the past 20 minutes with heavy showers passing through.


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    #1523
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    ECM ensemble mean with a -50 pressure anomaly on day 4.

    EDM101-96.GIF?20-0

    Not often you see a 50 member ensemble with a mean pressure of 940mb 4 days out, in this part of the world anyway.

    EDM1-96.GIF?20-0


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    #1524
    ZX7R
    Registered Users Posts: 3,426 ✭✭✭ZX7R


    What does that chart mean maquiladora :confused:


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    #1525
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,702 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    ZX7R wrote: »
    What does that chart mean maquiladora :confused:

    Low pressure.


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    #1526
    ZX7R
    Registered Users Posts: 3,426 ✭✭✭ZX7R


    The first chart with -50 that would indacate low pressure correct ,would that always be a storm/wind or would it just an area of very low pressure
    second chart i understand


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    #1527
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    ZX7R wrote: »
    What does that chart mean maquiladora :confused:

    The average of 50 different model runs, all with tweaked initial conditions, yet still end up with a 940mb low, 4 days out. It shows very high confidence that it will happen and there would also have to be quite a few very deep lows within those variations too.


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    #1528
    John.Icy
    Registered Users Posts: 2,011 ✭✭✭John.Icy


    Trawling through some of the GFS ensembles...some crazy windy options being thrown out.

    EDIT: Check out perturbation 1 before it disappears later. Insane run out to +180.


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    #1529
    ZX7R
    Registered Users Posts: 3,426 ✭✭✭ZX7R


    One more question, do all storms we get spin anti clockwise,or can they spin clockwise or does it have anything to do with us been in the north hemasphere


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    #1530
    zenno
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,377 ✭✭✭zenno


    It was a bit nasty there in swords, it sounded like a mini tornado going by.


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    #1531
    notnumber
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,564 ✭✭✭notnumber


    Squall has announced itself battering the window with rain...would not like to be out in that..


This discussion has been closed.
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