Originally Posted by firemansam4
I didn't think they were that far out. In 2009 they predicted the cycle peak to be in May 2013with a maximum sunspot number of 90.
The peak actually happened in April 2014 with maximum sunspots of 114.
I guess we will know more about this cycle when we get close to maximum, but we may not find out if another Maunder type minimum is likely for maybe another 10 or 11 years.
NOAA actually predict that solar cycles will start going up in intensity again after this one so it will be very interesting to see how it pans out, we are just going to have to wait many years for it.
yeah. She predicted this last solar cycle at 1/2 strength in 2000 and was laughed at. Her reply, we just have to wait and see. Shes been bang on so far, but under fierve attack as she is predicting temp drop.
Silverharp, yes in her latest editorial she says:
This, in turn, can lead to a drop of the terrestrial temperature by up to 1.0°C from the current temperature during the next three cycles (25–27) of grand minimum 1. The largest temperature drops will be approaching during the local minima between cycles 25 − 26 and cycles 26–27 when the lowest solar activity level is achieved using the estimations in Figure 2 (bottom plot) and Figure 3. Therefore, the average temperature in the Northern hemisphere can be reduced by up to 1.0°C from the current temperature, which was increased by 1.4°C since Maunder minimum. This will result in the average temperature to become lower than the current one to be only 0.4°C higher than the temperature measured in 1710. Then, after the modern grand solar minimum 1 is over, the solar activity in cycle 28 will be restored to normal in the rather short but powerful grand solar cycle lasting between 2053 and 2370
....so who knows? But my moneys on her. Shes been ahead of the game all along, and only one of 2 world wide who correctly predicted the last 1/2 strength solar cycle.