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Donald Trump is the President Mark IV (Read Mod Warning in OP)

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  • Registered Users Posts: 11,342 ✭✭✭✭rossie1977


    The issue with the Dems is similar to the issues the Republicans faced circa 2009 right up to election day 2016. Remember all the internal strife among Republicans as late as the national convention https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/jul/13/republican-convention-cleveland-donald-trump-unity

    Yet once Trump was elected President the infighting and protests in the party stopped and everyone is now a big happy family.

    Yes there is a massive divide right now between the progressive wing of the Democratic party, the corporatists like Pelosi/Schumer and the conservatives like Manchin and Heidi Heitkamp. That will remain until a Democrat is in the oval office again as each side believes their political views is the correct one and only way to get a Democrat into the office of President.


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,775 ✭✭✭✭Gbear


    Yeah but the winning side is the one to make these decisions and they don't want to fix something that gives them an advantage.

    It's more than that.

    Here's an article breaking down gerrymandering in the US from fivethirtyeight:
    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/hating-gerrymandering-is-easy-fixing-it-is-harder/

    It's an in depth look at it with a series of different algorithms displayed and what sort of results they'd bring up, but it still works under the assumption that their current system of districts is in itself a valid and representative form of democracy, and it seems to be a fundamental failure on that level to me.

    Perhaps there are legal barriers to changing the system, and obviously the Republicans would oppose them because a representative system prevents minority-supported right wing parties from maintaining the unfair advantage they have, but it would be more difficult to fight politically than fighting against the Democrats' own gerrymandering.

    FPTP is making a balls of democracy on both sides of us.


  • Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 28,792 Mod ✭✭✭✭oscarBravo


    Really they need to make a constitutional change that sets it out that all districts are drawn up by an independent 3rd party (it'd still be imperfect, but at least it should take any extreme bias out of the equation)

    Part of why I believe the USA to be irredeemably broken is that there don't seem to be any independent third parties.

    Everything appears to be partisan. Even Judges are labeled with D or R - in what civilised country do you see that? Can you imagine someone predicting how a judge in Ireland will rule based on whether he or she is a FF or FG appointee?

    We don't have gerrymandering in Ireland because constituency boundaries are drawn by an independent commission. The problem with trying to do something similar in the USA is that the ruling party will try - probably successfully - to pack the "independent" commission with its cronies. And, remember, the conduct of federal elections is at the discretion of the states, so there's very little the federal government can do about it, even assuming it wanted to.


  • Registered Users Posts: 15,488 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    It is a major issue with trying to run a united gathering (be it the US or the EU etc) whilst giving plenty of free reign to the individual states. IMO, the thinking was that in overall terms it would be relatively balanced, but if a particular party can take over certain states, or indeed counties within certain states, it allows them almost free reign to do whatever they want.

    The idea, again IMO, was that each state would operate individually, yet the parties have driven certain actions across the states (so a federal management) whilst the actual federal bodies have no ability to stop it. So each state would make decisions based on what best suited them, but the reps in the Houses would compromise based on what was best for the country. What we now see is that the state reps are doing what they believe best suits the party and the reps in the Houses are doing the same.


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,243 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    oscarBravo wrote: »
    We don't have gerrymandering in Ireland because constituency boundaries are drawn by an independent commission. The problem with trying to do something similar in the USA is that the ruling party will try - probably successfully - to pack the "independent" commission with its cronies. And, remember, the conduct of federal elections is at the discretion of the states, so there's very little the federal government can do about it, even assuming it wanted to.

    It depends on how pissed off the population is. Citizen proposals can have great weight in the US, witness in California where the citizens got enough signatures to put a Constitutional Referendum on the ballot. It got support from Arnie, and whether the Democrats in charge of the State Legislature liked it or not, they were getting it. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_Citizens_Redistricting_Commission
    Plus, since such referenda do affect the Constitution, the method of makeup of the committee is out of the ruling party’s hands. Combine the independent redistricting with the open primary, and suddenly a lot of seats in California are no longer safe, even within the same party.


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  • Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 28,792 Mod ✭✭✭✭oscarBravo


    It depends on how pissed off the population is. Citizen proposals can have great weight in the US, witness in California where the citizens got enough signatures to put a Constitutional Referendum on the ballot. It got support from Arnie, and whether the Democrats in charge of the State Legislature liked it or not, they were getting it. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_Citizens_Redistricting_Commission
    Plus, since such referenda do affect the Constitution, the method of makeup of the committee is out of the ruling party’s hands. Combine the independent redistricting with the open primary, and suddenly a lot of seats in California are no longer safe, even within the same party.

    That's certainly a start, but it still manages to illustrate my point: the Commission selection process is explicitly designed to ensure equal representation of the two major parties in its membership, so that there are five Republicans, five Democrats, and four who are neither.

    Can anyone name the party affiliation or affinity of the members of the Irish Constituency Commission?


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,990 ✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    North Carolina going ahead with electoral boundaries deemed unconstitutional. Despite being told to fix them in January, the Republican government are going ahead with the gerrymandered boundaries.

    The State government in North Carolina is profoundly corrupt, The Depths that the majority Republican rulers will go to to rig things in their favor knows no shame


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,273 ✭✭✭UsedToWait


    Sarah Huckabee's Comical Ali statement on the Bob Woodward book was all I've heard as an attempt to downplay the significance of the fact that the USA is being ruin by a man-child with an 5th grade grasp of geopolitics.

    The Trumpists have been notable by their absence here, apart from the odd Republican studiously ignoring the issues raised.

    Has anyone ventured into the fetid depths of r/theDonald to see how the Basket of Deplorables are trying to put a brave face on things?


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,237 ✭✭✭mcmoustache


    UsedToWait wrote: »
    The Trumpists have been notable by their absence here, apart from the odd Republican studiously ignoring the issues raised.

    I think that this being a fact-based forum is part of that reason. People in here require evidence for claims. It's very difficult to defend Trump without lying or twisting the truth. It's easier to post about some other presidential candidate.

    I do miss the Hillary conspiracy theories that were posted here, though. I especially liked the Uranium One and Cloudfare conspiracies but those theories collided with reality and just sort of faded away.


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,775 ✭✭✭✭Gbear


    oscarBravo wrote: »
    Part of why I believe the USA to be irredeemably broken is that there don't seem to be any independent third parties.

    Everything appears to be partisan. Even Judges are labeled with D or R - in what civilised country do you see that? Can you imagine someone predicting how a judge in Ireland will rule based on whether he or she is a FF or FG appointee?

    We don't have gerrymandering in Ireland because constituency boundaries are drawn by an independent commission. The problem with trying to do something similar in the USA is that the ruling party will try - probably successfully - to pack the "independent" commission with its cronies. And, remember, the conduct of federal elections is at the discretion of the states, so there's very little the federal government can do about it, even assuming it wanted to.

    There's a very different requirement, and one could argue we have our own problems with the functions of our different houses of parliament.

    In Ireland, constituencies are something in the 100k person ball park, and there's varying levels of parochialism that go along with that.

    And that's not an issue in itself - someone needs to represent people at the local level, but the weakness of the Seanad perhaps means there's a lack of big picture thinking in our system.

    In the US, the constituencies are huge - millions of people - and there's only so much you can do for the local community at that stage. But there doesn't need to be, because there's so much devolved power to states that they can look after their own affairs to a large extent.

    So then the question is, why have constituencies at all? What purpose do they serve when representing an entire state at a federal level?

    It would be far easier to represent different types of people rather than different geographical groupings of people, which I would argue is more relevant in a federal house of government, if there was a communal pool of candidates.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 19,054 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    I think that this being a fact-based forum is part of that reason. People in here require evidence for claims. It's very difficult to defend Trump without lying or twisting the truth. It's easier to post about some other presidential candidate.

    I do miss the Hillary conspiracy theories that were posted here, though. I especially liked the Uranium One and Cloudfare conspiracies but those theories collided with reality and just sort of faded away.

    Or the "chemtrails made my frog gay" one...


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,237 ✭✭✭mcmoustache


    everlast75 wrote: »
    Or the "chemtrails made my frog gay" one...


    It's a fun one for sure but I don't recall seeing it in here. Not that I would be too surprised if it did.


    In other news, Birther and former infowars "journalist" Jerome Corsi has been subpoenaed to appear in from of a grand jury this Friday by Mueller.

    The lawyer, David Gray, said that he anticipates that investigators for the special counsel, Robert S. Mueller III, plan to ask Mr. Corsi about his discussions with Mr. Stone, who appeared to publicly predict in 2016 that WikiLeaks planned to publish material damaging to Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign.
    “He fully intends to comply with the subpoena,” Mr. Gray said, adding that the subpoena was not specific about the topic but that he and his client anticipated “it has to do with his communications with Roger Stone.”




    I do wish he'd hurry up and indict Roger Stone, especially since he was identified in the last round. I'm sure that there's a good reason for Mueller taking his time, for example, allowing time for others who may by exposed to come to him.


    It's worth noting that Stone associate Randy Credico has also been subpoenaed and Andrew Miller, another associate is being chased down, legally speaking at the moment.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,676 ✭✭✭serfboard


    oscarBravo wrote: »
    Can anyone name the party affiliation or affinity of the members of the Irish Constituency Commission?
    I can't name their party affiliations, but the Dail and European boundary commission members are:
    • Mr. Justice Robert Haughton, of the High Court, who was nominated by the Chief Justice to be chairperson of the Commission
    • Mr. Peter Finnegan, Clerk of the Dáil;
    • Mr. Peter Tyndall, the Ombudsman;
    • Mr. John McCarthy, Secretary General of the Department of Housing, Planning, Community and Local Government; and
    • Mr. Martin Groves, Clerk of the Seanad
    and the members of the local electoral area boundary committees are:

    Committee No. 1:
    • Geraldine Tallon, former Secretary General at the Department of Environment, Community and Local Government, who will act as Chairperson;
    • Dr Theresa Reidy, Department of Government, University College Cork;
    • Ned O'Connor, former Manager, South Tipperary County Council;
    • Virginia McLoone, former Senior Executive Officer, Donegal County Council;
    • Seamus Boland, Chief Executive Officer, Irish Rural Link.
    Committee No. 2:
    • Tom O'Mahony, former Secretary General at the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport, who will act as Chairperson;
    • Peter Caulfield, former Director of Services, Fingal County Council;
    • Professor Tom Collins, Chair of the Governing Body, Dublin Institute of Technology:
    • Anne O'Keeffe, former Director, the Office for Local Authority Management;
    Most of the members are current or former civil servants, with a sprinkling of judges or academics.

    AFAIR, for the Dail elections the brief for the Constituency Committee was for representation to have one seat per 30,000 voters. A secondary consideration is to follow county boundaries in as far as possible - leakage being allowed to make up the numbers.

    It seems to be pretty independent, and doesn't result in many complaints AFAIK - it's certainly nothing like as horribly partisan as you have in the US, California notwithstanding.

    In relation to the Wikipedia article about California that was mentioned earlier, I picked out the following:
    Wikipedia wrote:
    In response to a series of legal challenges, the California Supreme Court ruled unanimously three times in favor of the Commission’s maps, finding them in compliance with the U.S. Constitution and California Constitution.
    and
    Wikipedia wrote:
    While the long-term results will bear out over time, independent studies ... have shown that California now has some of the most competitive districts in the nation, creating opportunities for new elected officials. For example, the uncertainty caused by the new districts combined with California’s “top two” primary system has resulted in half a dozen resignations of incumbent Congressional representatives on both sides of the aisle, a major shake-up of California’s Capitol Hill delegation.In addition, it has forced a number of intra-party races ... In the previous 10 years, incumbents were so safe that only one Congressional seat changed party control in 255 elections, due to bi-partisan gerrymandering after the redistricting following the 2000 Census


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,237 ✭✭✭mcmoustache


    This is mad. A senior official in the white house has published an op-ed in the New York Times. He/she is anonymous but the gist of it is that Trump is a thick cnut and that they're preventing his worst excesses.
    The root of the problem is the president’s amorality. Anyone who works with him knows he is not moored to any discernible first principles that guide his decision making.

    Although he was elected as a Republican, the president shows little affinity for ideals long espoused by conservatives: free minds, free markets and free people. At best, he has invoked these ideals in scripted settings. At worst, he has attacked them outright.

    In addition to his mass-marketing of the notion that the press is the “enemy of the people,” President Trump’s impulses are generally anti-trade and anti-democratic.
    Given the instability many witnessed, there were early whispers within the cabinet of invoking the 25th Amendment, which would start a complex process for removing the president. But no one wanted to precipitate a constitutional crisis. So we will do what we can to steer the administration in the right direction until — one way or another — it’s over.


    If Trump wasn't paranoid enough after the Woodward revelations, he sure will now.


  • Registered Users Posts: 21,142 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    The writer indicates that there is a core of resistance (numbers), within the WH.


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,237 ✭✭✭mcmoustache


    Water John wrote: »
    The writer indicates that there is a core of resistance (numbers), within the WH.


    And yet, his supporters love him. The whole thing is bonkers. He is so obviously unfit for the job and even his own staff think so. But some people look at this guy and think "This guy's good". It's baffling.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,273 ✭✭✭UsedToWait


    And yet, his supporters love him. The whole thing is bonkers. He is so obviously unfit for the job and even his own staff think so. But some people look at this guy and think "This guy's good". It's baffling.


    Rick Wilson's 'Everything Trump Touches Dies' does a great job of lifting the rocks to show the various crawlies that have been drawn to the Trump swamp.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,152 ✭✭✭26000 Elephants


    UsedToWait wrote: »
    Rick Wilson's 'Everything Trump Touches Dies' does a great job of lifting the rocks to show the various crawlies that have been drawn to the Trump swamp.

    I get the impression that Rick Wilson has no problem with the Swamp, he just doesn't like that its Trump who's in charge of it now. ;)


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,453 ✭✭✭Hande hoche!


    UsedToWait wrote: »
    Rick Wilson's 'Everything Trump Touches Dies' does a great job of lifting the rocks to show the various crawlies that have been drawn to the Trump swamp.
    I get the impression that Rick Wilson has no problem with the Swamp, he just doesn't like that its Trump who's in charge of it now. ;)


    I'm astonished Wilson hasn't gotten the full funding for his film of the above yet. It's been close to a year at this stage.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,342 ✭✭✭✭rossie1977


    The State government in North Carolina is profoundly corrupt, The Depths that the majority Republican rulers will go to to rig things in their favor knows no shame

    In 2016 a report found it was no longer a democracy and compared it's voting procedures to Cuba, Indonesia, and Sierra Leone.

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/north-carolina-not-democracy-elections-cuba-iran-venezuela-gop-a7494561.html


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,273 ✭✭✭UsedToWait


    I get the impression that Rick Wilson has no problem with the Swamp, he just doesn't like that its Trump who's in charge of it now. ;)


    Sure, he's a self-confessed Republican flim-flam merchant.


    But he neatly skewers the ragtag band of racists, chaos-mongers, incompetents and patsys that make up this administration.


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,019 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    This is mad. A senior official in the white house has published an op-ed in the New York Times. He/she is anonymous but the gist of it is that Trump is a thick cnut and that they're preventing his worst excesses.

    If Trump wasn't paranoid enough after the Woodward revelations, he sure will now.

    You know what, if the administration are operating a mini coup d'etat because they think that is preferable to allowing the elected president use the powers that were vested in him, they need to assume responsibility for that and to hell with "precipitating a constitutional crisis". How is there not a constitutional crisis already if the president's staff are acting according to their own opinions to disobey him?

    And I'm not a fan of Trump - but I think this moral cowardice and dishonesty at all levels of US politics are a large part of the problem now, and possibly the reason he got there in the first place.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,273 ✭✭✭UsedToWait


    Trump rambling on about job figures and the failing New York Times (which he now says he saved) in front of a bunch of sheriffs.
    Clearly rattled.
    I don't think he'll survive the year now.


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,499 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog




  • Registered Users Posts: 39,511 ✭✭✭✭Itssoeasy


    So if the woodward quotes are correct and coupled with the anonymous NYT op ed then it's clear the administration and some members of his cabinet are working actively to protect Trump and the country from him, then how can the 25th amendment not be relevant to the discussion now ? That video above is not the sign of a guy who is in control.


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,237 ✭✭✭mcmoustache


    I get the impression that Rick Wilson has no problem with the Swamp, he just doesn't like that its Trump who's in charge of it now. ;)
    UsedToWait wrote: »
    Sure, he's a self-confessed Republican flim-flam merchant.


    But he neatly skewers the ragtag band of racists, chaos-mongers, incompetents and patsys that make up this administration.


    He's a pro-gun, small government, free market, free trade, low tax neocon from what I gather. He's a sane US conservative and there's nothing wrong with that. In fact, I'd agree with him on a lot of topics but I lean more to to the right when it comes to Irish politics.



    What makes Wilson and others such as Max Boot, Evan McMullen and other NeverTrumpers different from those on the Trump Train is that they at least live in the same factual reality that most sane people do. They have different ideas about how things should be done but they agree on the same facts as someone coming from the middle-left would.


    You can debate with people like that. You can't with people who get their facts from actual Fake News or with people who think actual news is Fake News.



    It's a shame really but here we are.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,751 ✭✭✭Thepoet85


    Surely if the WH staff don't deem him fit to act as president, then it's time to invoke the 25th Amendment and remove him from office.

    They are unelected officials making decisions at the top level, this whole thing is insane.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,676 ✭✭✭strandroad


    Thepoet85 wrote: »
    Surely if the WH staff don't deem him fit to act as president, then it's time to invoke the 25th Amendment and remove him from office.

    They are unelected officials making decisions at the top level, this whole thing is insane.

    WH staff are Republicans. They prefer to keep Trump on life support to introduce their Republican policies rather than walk out or dethrone him and risk losing the White House to Democrats. They make it clear in the NYT essay: they prefer him and to be able to cut taxes to the alternative.


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,150 ✭✭✭✭Hurrache




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  • Registered Users Posts: 23,838 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    strandroad wrote: »
    WH staff are Republicans. They prefer to keep Trump on life support to introduce their Republican policies rather than walk out or dethrone him and risk losing the White House to Democrats. They make it clear in the NYT essay: they prefer him and to be able to cut taxes to the alternative.

    What has been described in the essay and detailed in the Woodward book is basically a coup d'etat. A non-traditional one if you like, but a coup all the same.

    In that regard, it doesn't matter that Trump is a mentally unbalanced man-child and ignorant unworldly simpleton, he was elected to office and the constitutional duties and responsibilities of that office are very clear. The fact that staff are manipulating his information flow and intervening in his decisions so they become something other than his intent (for however long his intent lasts) is essentially a subversion of the office.

    The fact this may have been done in history with other presidents, for reason of mental or physical infirmity and never disclosed or prosecuted is irrelevant, whats going on now is a violation of the constitution and/or law and I guarantee you that some more noble people in Congress and the FBI are agonising whether to intervene on that basis.

    The White House is down folks.


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