[snowstorm445]

We are now 5 days away from meteorological Autumn, and therefore just within the reliable timeframe in terms of accurate weather forecasting. Time, I think, for an Autumn-related thread.

So what are your preferences/hopecasts for the coming season?

There are tentative signs of a traditional early September warm spell, which will be nice and a welcome change after the chilly August that we've had.

Beyond that, I'd like to see the warm weather continue until the end of the month. A bit of windy weather might be nice towards the end but not to the extent of last year's winter. I'd also hope for any colder weather to hold out until we're into winter proper, instead of it being wasted early on (as it was in 2010).

[tylercollins]

Why did I think Autumn started 22nd September?

[snowstorm445]

Originally Posted by tylercollins

Why did I think Autumn started 22nd September?

That's when astronomical Autumn starts. Meteorogically, September 1st through to November 30th is considered Autumn.

[EarnestH]

The autumnal equinox right>

[Gonzo]

Im hoping for a dry, calm autumn. After the upcoming warmish spell ends, I hope the rain stays away and the cold stays away till about mid November where I would like to see something more easterly starting!

[Aimsir]

crisp and dry with a drink on the side. no wind please. just thought that type of descrption may have been used before elsewhere...still like it though

[Oneiric 3]

I put together a couple of charts that show a few average daily data for Autumn based on the 5 year period 2009-2013. Data is based on the 'IMT' index which MTC uses in the forum's monthly competition. The stations used in the IMT index are all inland stations located in only in central belt of the country - but given their relatively good spread, their combined daily means are fairly good at inferring weather & climate trends on a more national scale.

These charts show the average trend (a small-scale 'singularity') in weather types over the last 5 years during the Autumn period. Not to be used as a forecast by any means (year on year variation will always occur) but might give very very very rough idea as to what to expect in typical modern Irish Autumn


Daily Max/Min temperature trends for the season. Fairy stable up to to first part of October; cooling down significantly during 2nd half.





Pressure, Wind & Rain trends. Atlantic depressions tend to become more vigorous and frequent during the 2nd half of the season. Lengthy dry spells more likely in 1st half.



All data used from:
Met Eireann
ERA Interim
Ogimet

[vickers209]

Il just leave this here



FI i know but looks like a monster

[Aimsir]

yes I have also heard a storm is due mid Sep around the 18th, but I'm no expert

[Harry Palmr]

A storm 10 days away? No one can know, I presume its suposed to be an ex Hurricane. Change 1 parameter by 1% and you'll get a completely different chart for 10 days.

[Iancar29]

Originally Posted by Harry Palmr

A storm 10 days away? No one can know, I presume its suposed to be an ex Hurricane. Change 1 parameter by 1% and you'll get a completely different chart for 10 days.

14 You mean ... and yes highly unlikely to happen . Though no doubt it'll be feckin plastered over the papers tomorrow id say.

[pad199207]

Just went passed Newlands Cross and there was a spectacular dust devil rolling across the construction zone. It had good height to it!

[Billcarson]

Saw the first Halloween stuff in a shop yesterday,wont be long until we are into Autumn proper.

[Lucreto]

Originally Posted by Billcarson

Saw the first Halloween stuff in a shop yesterday,wont be long until we are into Autumn proper.

Halloween!

I was told the Christmas stock will be on shelves by the end of the month where I work, before the Halloween stuff.

[Meteorite58]

Floods likely at Spanish Arch and Promenade warns city council from Tues 7th Oct through to Fri 10th Oct.

http://www.advertiser.ie/galway/arti...s-city-council