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UFC/MMA Gambling. **NO AFTER-TIMING**

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Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭dulux99


    Absolutely raging. Had three bets hinging on Porier and Herb Dean has had an absolute fkking shocker with the no contest call, which is completely wrong. It was a DQ no question. Ffs.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,135 ✭✭✭akelly02


    True but Eddie was finishing potter there so your bet still good?


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭dulux99


    akelly02 wrote: »
    True but Eddie was finishing potter there so your bet still good?

    Well I suppose that's one way of looking at it, but it was still the wrong call. Bets are still good but my treble is now a double and my two doubles are now singles. Annoying.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,601 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    I have a Masvidal/Edgar double.

    I hate BJJ so I'm praying Maia gets destroyed.
    Lol
    Get out


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 68 ✭✭MontoAddict


    We. will.see.

    BJJ is the great fight destroyer. :D


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 7,269 ✭✭✭Gamebred


    285807.jpg


  • Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 10,462 Mod ✭✭✭✭Axwell


    Maia KO/Sub
    Yair KO/Sub
    Joanna KO/Sub
    Stipe KO/Sub

    €10 @124/1 on B365


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,762 ✭✭✭bmcc10


    Gonna do Maia by sub but he's same price to win fight in rounds 1-3 be better of doing that in unlikely case of ko?


  • Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 10,462 Mod ✭✭✭✭Axwell


    bmcc10 wrote: »
    Gonna do Maia by sub but he's same price to win fight in rounds 1-3 be better of doing that in unlikely case of ko?

    Unlikely to be a KO, he hasnt won by one in the UFC (he has a TKO but it was due to Kim stopping the fight) but the fight going to a decision is always a concern.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,594 ✭✭✭smilerf


    Mods please delete if not allowed

    Lads I had a 5 fight accum

    Miocic
    Maia
    Jj
    Frankie
    Poirier
    Standing to win 400 but with Poirier nc I got 190
    Im a rookie at betting but is this right
    Seem a lot from 400 to 190


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,601 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    smilerf wrote: »
    Mods please delete if not allowed

    Lads I had a 5 fight accum

    Miocic
    Maia
    Jj
    Frankie
    Poirier
    Standing to win 400 but with Poirier nc I got 190
    Im a rookie at betting but is this right
    Seem a lot from 400 to 190
    If Poirier bet was included, that 190 would all go on him to win.
    190 @ 11/10 is 400, so looks spot on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,066 ✭✭✭thewheel2.0


    Couldn't resist BetVictor's price on Damien Maia a while back so signed up for an account. A clean sweep tonight would almost put me back in profit overall :pac:

    €10 on Demian Maia - To Win By Submission - 3.5

    Also two free bets from signing up (didnt quite research this one just went on gut of being impressed by Stipe):
    €10 on Stipe Miocic - To Win By KO TKO or Disqualification - 2.5

    €10 Accumulator returns €120.56
    Henry Cejudo To Win - Void
    Yair Rodriguez To Win
    Demian Maia To Win
    Joanna Jedrzejczyk To Win
    Stipe Miocic To Win

    Came out of the weekend up a fiver, could have been a lot more if I had believed in Frankie, feck.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,135 ✭✭✭akelly02


    Came out of the weekend up a fiver, could have been a lot more if I had believed in Frankie, feck.

    Yair let me down for 180. I wanted to see fireworks from yair but deep down I knew if frankie got him down it's game over


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    https://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma/mark-hunt-v-derrick-lewis/winner

    how on earth can hunt be 6/5 to beat lewis?
    his most recent losses have only been to the very top guys, miocic, overeem, werdum, jds and brock

    lewis will be put away here, hunt will do to lewis what he did to nelson imo


  • Registered Users Posts: 735 ✭✭✭Django99


    mailburner wrote: »
    https://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma/mark-hunt-v-derrick-lewis/winner

    how on earth can hunt be 6/5 to beat lewis?
    his most recent losses have only been to the very top guys, miocic, overeem, werdum, jds and brock

    lewis will be put away here, hunt will do to lewis what he did to nelson imo

    Yeah at first look that seems decent value, however the only thing I can see happening is the two lads walk to the centre and swing until someone falls over unconscious. Could be an absolute coin toss in my opinion.


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 7,269 ✭✭✭Gamebred


    He got his head caved in only a few months ago wouldnt go near him although this match does suit him.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,507 ✭✭✭tinpib


    Have a treble of Hermansson 1.61 [who just won nicely in 1st rd, fighting in hometown], Taleb 1.25[his opponent is a late replacement], and Alhassan by KO 1.66 [to continue his crazy run]

    A double of Mischa by sub 1.9 and Gustaffson on pts 3.6


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    am on alhassan to win round one at 6/4 with a saver on round two at 6/1 and round three at 14/1

    cirkenov by sub in round one at 5/2 my only other one


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,066 ✭✭✭thewheel2.0


    This thread died on its arse, I wonder did anyone win big on Holloway?

    Seven quid on Dad-bod Dan Kelly at 2/1. I have been betting on favourites a lot and they keep letting me down, time to go for an underdog who I believe in.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,507 ✭✭✭tinpib


    Gone for 0.30c superheinz, total €36 to win €530.31:

    JJ Aldrich by dec 2.37 [boom!
    Damien Brown 1.9 [that other guy is out a long time] Goddamnit, got a bit worried when Brown kept drifitng
    Volkanovski by stoppage 2.5that Japanese guy had a head like Homer Simpson, he came within a whisker of being stopped in rd 1
    Tim Elliot 1.47completely wrong
    Cutelaba by stoppage 1.9Boom1 what a scary guy
    Dan Hooker 1.7 [think Ross is a warrior but past it] Poor Ross, gumshield flying n'nall
    Derek Lewis 1.66 [coin toss in many ways, if Hunt lands the right it's game over]Feck it, my logic was all wrong, plenty of guys on here were right. Although Hunt has lost a few recently they were all top notch opponents. Lewis wasn't beating a whole lot. I love Hunt as well :(

    Really enjoyable card as usual, if not great on paper. Looking forward to studying the form during the week for the Singapore card early Sat morning.


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  • Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 10,462 Mod ✭✭✭✭Axwell


    2 big odds accas for the craic

    Hunt by Ko/Sub
    Brunson by Ko/Sub
    Hooker by Dec
    Da Silva by Ko/Sub
    Elliot by Dec
    Hirota by Dec
    Kim by Ko/Sub
    @4000/1

    Hunt by Ko/Sub
    Brunson by Ko/Sub
    Cutelaba by Ko/Sub
    Elliot by Ko/Sub
    Volkanovski by Dec
    Steele by Dec
    Kim by Ko/Sub
    Aldrich by Dec
    @1000/1


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,507 ✭✭✭tinpib


    Gone for JJ Aldrich on pts and Kim for an early prelim double.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    hunt for me at 5/4 and hunt/ko round one 4/1 also

    cant see a whole lot else, tempted to take on moraga despite not knowing his opponent


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,523 ✭✭✭kwestfan08


    Hunt by No
    Brunson by Ko
    Elliot by Sub

    Treble about 26/1


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭dulux99


    Would absolutely lump on Hunt at the price, the only thing stopping me is that he was KO'd quite badly only in March. I think Lewis is useless. Still backing him @ 11/10


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    tinpib wrote: »
    Gone for JJ Aldrich on pts and Kim for an early prelim double.


    The night's opening fight has been cancelled following an announcement that Thibault Gouti was suffering with a last-minute illness.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,507 ✭✭✭tinpib


    mailburner wrote: »
    The night's opening fight has been cancelled following an announcement that Thibault Gouti was suffering with a last-minute illness.

    Boo-urns.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    dulux99 wrote: »
    Would absolutely lump on Hunt at the price, the only thing stopping me is that he was KO'd quite badly only in March. I think Lewis is useless. Still backing him @ 11/10

    That's what I was thinking also


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,601 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    My only bet so far is Lewis by KO in rd 1


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭dulux99


    mailburner wrote: »
    That's what I was thinking also

    I think we were correct. :D


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    dulux99 wrote: »
    I think we were correct. :D

    I backed ko in round one also at 4/1 with savers on round two at 8/1 and round 3 at 14/1
    I still can't believe this went four rounds (round four was 33/1)
    hunt hit 7/5 (7/4 with marathon sports who don't take irish customers)
    I'd have had hunt a narrow fav from the start myself, never really looked in any real danger of losing but the ko took a while


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 7,269 ✭✭✭Gamebred


    Going by American prices Stun gun appears to be decent priced underdog against Colvy Covington will be punting him soon as prices are up, has lost 2 fights in donkeys years against maia and Woodley, Covingtons coming off a win over Bryan Barberana no idea why hes 1/2, good wrestler muck striker.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 375 ✭✭Petermc83


    Arlowski to lose by KO 5/6. surely that buying money with his glass jaw!! on a 4 fight skid.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭dulux99


    Gamebred wrote: »
    Going by American prices Stun gun appears to be decent priced underdog against Colvy Covington will be punting him soon as prices are up, has lost 2 fights in donkeys years against maia and Woodley, Covingtons coming off a win over Bryan Barberana no idea why hes 1/2, good wrestler muck striker.
    Agreed, plus CC is an absolute tool on top of it all so i will gladly go against him on this.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,507 ✭✭✭tinpib


    Gone for a safe as houses quad of:

    Tuck, Dos Anjos, Tybura and Holm to win at 2.94

    A mystic tinpib €2 yankee of:

    Tuck by stoppage 1.66
    Dos Anjos pts 1.95
    Tybura Stoppage 1.66
    Holm pts 2.4

    Then topped up the quad of the above with an extra €8 to make it a tenner quad.

    Decided to leave out the CC match, seems a lot are opposing him on here and the guy John Morgan on MMAJunkie during the early weigh-ins couldn't believe the price, he thought Kim might be fav.

    Looking forward to it as always. People complaining about the quality of the card but often they have great fights.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭dulux99


    The more I think of it the more convinced I am of DHK over Covington, Covington is a slow grinding wrestler who wears people down but DHK is probably a superior grappler with his Judo, and on top of this has KO’d people stiff. DHK has way more in his locker for me, and his only losses are to Woodley Maia and Condit! Absolutely crazy pricing. The only thing I can see for Coby is his youth and perhaps he can have improved exponentially between fights, but not enough to warrant the price he is. 4pt bet on DHK for me.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    dulux99 wrote: »
    The more I think of it the more convinced I am of DHK over Covington, Covington is a slow grinding wrestler who wears people down but DHK is probably a superior grappler with his Judo, and on top of this has KO’d people stiff. DHK has way more in his locker for me, and his only losses are to Woodley Maia and Condit! Absolutely crazy pricing. The only thing I can see for Coby is his youth and perhaps he can have improved exponentially between fights, but not enough to warrant the price he is. 4pt bet on DHK for me.

    Can't figure it out at all, 13/5 seems mad for dhk


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,066 ✭✭✭thewheel2.0


    mailburner wrote: »
    Can't figure it out at all, 13/5 seems mad for dhk

    Could do with a bit of excitement, need something to shout for :) 20 quid on DHK at 3.5 on Bet Victor.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,739 ✭✭✭ASOT


    10r on dos anjos stungun double


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Could do with a bit of excitement, need something to shout for :) 20 quid on DHK at 3.5 on Bet Victor.

    snap :pac:


    Dong Hyun Kim 3.60
    Colby Covington v Dong Hyun Kim - 17/06/2017
    Stake 20.00
    Estimated Return:72.00

    smaller on the sub 12s and ko 8s

    he might try and put on a show here or he might play it safe and try to lay on colby for three also but he's largely been a finisher of late with only one of
    his last six going the distance


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 7,269 ✭✭✭Gamebred


    He wont be laying on Colby, good chance it happens to him excellent top pressure Colby has but not great striking.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 7,269 ✭✭✭Gamebred


    Yep done our money in here, overestimated Kim's IQ and td defence.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    was coming on here to post same

    frustrating when you know you've done your money as early as round two


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭dulux99


    Ah well, got that one wrong. Can't win em all.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,507 ✭✭✭tinpib


    tinpib wrote: »
    Gone for a safe as houses quad of:

    Tuck, Dos Anjos, Tybura and Holm to win at 2.94 [happy days

    A mystic tinpib €2 yankee of:

    Tuck by stoppage 1.66 Boom!!
    Dos Anjos pts 1.95 Boom!!
    Tybura Stoppage 1.66VUL there, was sure he was going to finish Arlovski int he 1st, was blessed to hold on in the end
    Holm pts 2.4 Shame the bet lost but delighted for Holly, nice finish too

    Then topped up the quad of the above with an extra €8 to make it a tenner quad.

    Decided to leave out the CC match, seems a lot are opposing him on here and the guy John Morgan on MMAJunkie during the early weigh-ins couldn't believe the price, he thought Kim might be fav.

    Looking forward to it as always. People complaining about the quality of the card but often they have great fights.

    Ended up with a small loss overall but enjoyed it. UFC is Sunday next week, Bellator on Saturday.

    Can you bet on Bellator anywhere btw?


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  • Registered Users Posts: 11,964 ✭✭✭✭PopePalpatine


    tinpib wrote: »
    Can you bet on Bellator anywhere btw?

    I've just had a look, Betway are offering odds, but only on Fedor vs Mitrione right now.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 7,269 ✭✭✭Gamebred


    https://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma/james-gallagher-v-chinzo-machida/winner


    This weeks ''value'' loser from me will be Machida to beat Gallagher, bit bigger than 6/4 but waiting for pp to price it up and a few other firms to see what price they go, big step up for Gallagher can see him getting his head kicked off here.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭dulux99


    Bj Penn is 13/8 to beat Siver at the weekend, I'm unashamedly a huge fan of Penn but even with my bias taken into consideration I feel that's a false price, granted it's been a long time since we've seen anything resembling an impressive performance from BJ, but if you look at his last few opponents ; Yair Rodriguez, Frankie Edgar, Rory Mcdonald and Nick Diaz.

    Denis Siver might be the worst active fighter in the UFC, I fancy Penn to batter him.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 7,269 ✭✭✭Gamebred


    dulux99 wrote: »
    Denis Siver might be the worst active fighter in the UFC, I fancy Penn to batter him.



    Betch begs to differ, but I agree can see BJ doing well here would love to see hi go out with a win,


    Not sure if Sonnen threw that fight last time against Tito but you'd be mad taking the odds on about him v Wandy.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    dulux99 wrote: »
    Bj Penn is 13/8 to beat Siver at the weekend, I'm unashamedly a huge fan of Penn but even with my bias taken into consideration I feel that's a false price, granted it's been a long time since we've seen anything resembling an impressive performance from BJ, but if you look at his last few opponents ; Yair Rodriguez, Frankie Edgar, Rory Mcdonald and Nick Diaz.

    Denis Siver might be the worst active fighter in the UFC, I fancy Penn to batter him.

    was thinking the opposite myself, penn is so far past it that I think he's close to being the worst active fighter in the ufc, saying that I am a bit disgusted at sivers price (1/2) I actually expected something close to 8/11 so will have to double him with someone now
    I wish to god bj would just retire


    mitrione's odds have been cut in the past 24 hours from evens to 4/5 but even at that I think he beats fedor handy enough


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