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UFC/MMA Gambling. **NO AFTER-TIMING**

17677798182114

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,649 ✭✭✭Whelo79


    Just gone for a long shot sub double for Waterson and Reis. €5 pays €450. Too good to not throw a couple of quid at it.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭dulux99


    dulux99 wrote: »
    Surprised to see so many picking Waterson to be honest. I don't necessarily disagree but I'm finding it very difficult to make a pick in this one. Rose (usually) improves hugely between fights so I think it's a coin toss, I'll probably just avoid that one altogether.

    Only the one bet for me tonight, a single on Robert Whittaker @ 7/4.
    Ding ding ding

    Good thing I didn't take the advice of the chap who said my decision to not back Waterson "didn't make sense"


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 7,269 ✭✭✭Gamebred


    dulux99 wrote: »
    Ding ding ding

    Good thing I didn't take the advice of the chap who said my decision to not back Waterson "didn't make sense"



    You said it was a coin toss, ie 50/50 who wins, there was a bigger price than even money available and you didnt back it so either you were talking scutter about your opinion on it being a coin toss or you dont understand value in a bet.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭dulux99


    Gamebred wrote: »
    You said it was a coin toss, ie 50/50 who wins, there was a bigger price than even money available and you didnt back it so either you were talking scutter about your opinion on it being a coin toss or you dont understand value in a bet.


    I've been an independent trackside bookmaker for the last 15 years pal you don't need to explain to me what value in a bet is. Value in a bet is a 7/4 underdog which I picked out days ago and went in big on. Not a razor tight fight which was accurately depicted by the bookmakers in which the favourite won.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 7,269 ✭✭✭Gamebred


    dulux99 wrote: »
    I've been an independent trackside bookmaker for the last 15 years pal you don't need to explain to me what value in a bet is. Value in a bet is a 7/4 underdog which I picked out days ago and went in big on. Not a razor tight fight which was accurately depicted by the bookmakers in which the favourite won.


    So you didnt actually think it was a coin toss then? so you admit posting something you didnt actually believe?


    anyways makes no odds happy easter nice winner.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭dulux99


    Gamebred wrote: »
    So you didnt actually think it was a coin toss then? so you admit posting something you didnt actually believe?


    anyways makes no odds happy easter nice winner.

    Fair enough I probably didn't think it was literally a 50/50 fight, if there was a gun to my head I would have backed Rose. Too close to call though. Don't mean to be getting sh*tty with you, I'm sure you're a sound fella :) happy Easter to you too.

    Whittaker is an animal, he beats everyone else in the top 5 in my opinion.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    dulux99 wrote: »
    Value in a bet is a 7/4 underdog which I picked out days ago and went in big on. Not a razor tight fight which was accurately depicted by the bookmakers in which the favourite won.

    he was much bigger in most places to be fair
    well done though on picking him, whittaker better than I gave him credit for


  • Registered Users Posts: 595 ✭✭✭justincasey


    Is swanson ko at 5/6 like buying money !!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,601 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    Is swanson ko at 5/6 like buying money !!

    No really. He'll probably stand a better chance of a huge dominating win with GnP and could take a sub


  • Registered Users Posts: 796 ✭✭✭Deadst4r


    Think I am putting a few quid on Lauzon by sub with Mike Perry round 1.

    And a couple of quid on Artem by KO of course. :D


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  • Registered Users Posts: 595 ✭✭✭justincasey


    Stuck €42 on swanson tko/ko at 4/5 and a insurance bet €8 on sub 11/2 ..if artem wins im f**** can see it tho


  • Registered Users Posts: 32 IronSteve


    I put 15 on Iaquinta to KO Sanchez. Stylistic nightmare for a shot and limited Diego.
    I put a huge 1.60 on Platinum Perry to win by KO in round 1. Ellenberger's chin is done...i hope


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    am thinking swanson ko looks pretty much nailed on, I think cub will take him for granted and try to get it done inside the first two


    it's a pretty sick card taking away the main event
    iaquinta sanchez could be fight of the year, could see these two trying to take
    the head of each other and both are pretty hard to stop

    jake v mike looks like a battle of the chins, jake been in there with the best and probably a better fighter but he's probably gonna stand with perry which means only one thing...perry wins this by chin

    leites alvey could be another dogfight if leites stands with sam, I reckon he takes sam down and do what he's best at

    lauzon ray another war possibly but for the life of me why is ray 4/7 and lauzon 13/8? what am I missing here?
    I see 9 of the 11 on junkie have gone for lauzon but sure 10/11 went for waterson last time :pac:


  • Registered Users Posts: 32 IronSteve


    I've never seen Ray fight so don't know if you're missing anything. Lauzon is inconsistent though


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    UFC Matches Artem Lobov v Cub Swanson
    23-04-2017 05:45
    Double Chance
    Cub Swanson by KO or Submission @ 1/2
    UFC Matches Al Iaquinta v Diego Sanchez
    23-04-2017 05:10
    Method of Victory
    Al Iaquinta by KO @ 5/4
    UFC Matches Ovince Saint Preux v Marcos Rogerio De Lima
    23-04-2017 04:40
    Method of Victory
    Ovince Saint Preux by KO @ 7/5
    UFC Matches John Dodson v Eddie Wineland
    23-04-2017 04:10
    Match Betting
    John Dodson @ 2/9


  • Registered Users Posts: 595 ✭✭✭justincasey


    Stuck €42 on swanson tko/ko at 4/5 and a insurance bet €8 on sub 11/2 ..if artem 🙈🙉🙊


  • Registered Users Posts: 595 ✭✭✭justincasey


    Stuck €42 on swanson tko/ko at 4/5 and a insurance bet €8 on sub 11/2 ..if artem ......🀔 got that wrong


  • Registered Users Posts: 32 IronSteve


    IronSteve wrote: »
    I put 15 on Iaquinta to KO Sanchez. Stylistic nightmare for a shot and limited Diego.
    I put a huge 1.60 on Platinum Perry to win by KO in round 1. Ellenberger's chin is done...i hope

    Shame about getting the Perry round wrong.
    Made 33 euro on Iaquinta though so all good 😀


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 7,269 ✭✭✭Gamebred


    Maia is now underdog for the Masvidal fight, seriously wrong the market is, hes taking my namesake down and strangling him, Frankie will be underdog to beat Yair soon too and I'll be backing him to wrestle **** him.


  • Registered Users Posts: 32 IronSteve


    I think you could be right on Maia, I'll probably take a punt on that too.
    I wouldn't bet against Yair, too young,hungry and dangerous for Frankie. We'll see.

    Not MMA, but I think Joshua will KTFO Klitschko on Saturday. I threw 30 on that


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,386 ✭✭✭Wrongway1985


    IronSteve wrote: »

    Not MMA, but I think Joshua will KTFO Klitschko on Saturday. I threw 30 on that

    Always wary of betting on lads who sparred together meself.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 7,269 ✭✭✭Gamebred


    Personally think AJ has to land v early or I could see him being taken to school by the old pro.


  • Registered Users Posts: 735 ✭✭✭Django99


    Agreed, either an early finish from Joshua or a points won for Klitschko.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,601 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    Gamebred wrote: »
    Maia is now underdog for the Masvidal fight, seriously wrong the market is, hes taking my namesake down and strangling him, Frankie will be underdog to beat Yair soon too and I'll be backing him to wrestle **** him.
    The market is messed up right now.

    Maia to win by sub or points is a shorter price than to win any way at all.

    The shortest method overall is still Maia by sub. I'm hoping it increase out to 3/1 then I'll be all over it.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 7,269 ✭✭✭Gamebred


    Mellor wrote: »
    The market is messed up right now.

    Maia to win by sub or points is a shorter price than to win any way at all.

    The shortest method overall is still Maia by sub. I'm hoping it increase out to 3/1 then I'll be all over it.



    Yeah im doing the same holding out in hope, will probably only be priced up by a few other firms on fight week, but that said im happy to take maia sub at 5/2, Masvidals striking is being massively overated here because he bit cowboy who only fought a few weeks earlier, Maia has strangled better strikers with ease.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    IronSteve wrote: »
    I think you could be right on Maia, I'll probably take a punt on that too.
    I wouldn't bet against Yair, too young,hungry and dangerous for Frankie. We'll see.

    Not MMA, but I think Joshua will KTFO Klitschko on Saturday. I threw 30 on that

    all look pretty good to me
    happy to take the 5/2 on the maia sub also myself and a little surprised he's the underdog for the win
    frankie yair I'm struggling to call, think yair might be ready for this step up


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 7,269 ✭✭✭Gamebred


    Yair can win via ko maybe but doubt he wins a decision, he struggled to a decision win off Alex Careces there not long ago he turns up anyway like that he be eaten alive.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Gamebred wrote: »
    Yair can win via ko maybe but doubt he wins a decision, he struggled to a decision win off Alex Careces there not long ago he turns up anyway like that he be eaten alive.


    That's what worries me tbh then beating penn who would do well to beat a top 25 guy in that division, caceres would have beaten penn himself
    He has yet to beat a top 15 guy, too risky to back considering all this


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 7,269 ✭✭✭Gamebred


    The card will be ripped with injuries soon enough no doubt but, Sergio Pettis at bigger than 3/1 with Ladbrokes to beat Cejudo is crazy, a massive mistake.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 802 ✭✭✭KingJamsie


    Gamebred wrote: »
    The card will be ripped with injuries soon enough no doubt but, Sergio Pettis at bigger than 3/1 with Ladbrokes to beat Cejudo is crazy, a massive mistake.

    Cancelled...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,881 ✭✭✭Easy Rod


    Gone for a treble of JDS, Maia and Alvarez


  • Registered Users Posts: 32 IronSteve


    Easy Rod wrote: »
    Gone for a treble of JDS, Maia and Alvarez

    Good luck with it.
    I think Eddie's chin is cracked though. I have Poirier by KO.
    Yair by KO
    JDS by KO
    Maia by Sub
    All single bets, few euros each


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,582 ✭✭✭Swashbuckler


    50 quid on Maia to win at evens.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    alvarez should beat poirier surely? if he goes head hunting I could see him taking out dustin...on the other hand if he goes in there playing it safe it could be a different story
    it'll be interesting to see where his head is at


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,054 ✭✭✭D.Q


    Alvarez
    Frankie
    JJ
    Maia sub

    20 returns 320


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2 thekingowl


    The King Owl Blogger Bets
    Stipe Miocic -130 (3un)
    Stipe Miocic by TKO/KO +160 (1un)
    Jéssica Andrade +135 (1un)
    Frankie Edgar -120 (5un)
    Demian Maia +110 (4un)
    Eddie Alvarez +110 (3un)
    Jotko -150 (1un)
    Knight +110 (1un)
    Sherman -130 (1un)


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    D.Q wrote: »
    Alvarez
    Frankie
    JJ
    Maia sub

    20 returns 320

    Frankie should win handy enough imo, JJ wins handy enough imo, Alvarez is questionable and Alvarez should do it. 20 returning 320 is crazy.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,601 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    Maia was 3/1 by sub at times, increases return by a factor of 4
    Without that the other 3 return about 80, (3/1 combined odds), which is pretty normal


    I for Maia match at 7/2 on betfair, only for pennies, will be happy if the rest matches at 3/1


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭dulux99


    Poirier @ 4/5 is my strong fancy for the weekend. So many other tough fights to call. I read somewhere that it's the closest main card, betting wise, since ufc 194.

    Only bet I've placed so far is Poirier & Edgar double @ 2/1


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,440 ✭✭✭califano


    PP have JDS 11/10 outright and 1/1 to win by KO or pts!


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  • Registered Users Posts: 280 ✭✭Johnny Drama_11


    Jotko
    Vick
    Poirier

    Treble


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,505 ✭✭✭but1er


    How is damien maia 15/8 sub on pp?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    but1er wrote: »
    How is damien maia 15/8 sub on pp?


    Sh1tty price when most are 9/4 alright :P


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    can't turn down 5/1 on the eddie ko (888) when most are only around 3/1/10/3

    hard part is guessing what tactics he may use, if he stands I think he could knock out dustin so I'm hoping he goes out there to put on a show after being blown away by conor


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,135 ✭✭✭akelly02


    Alvarez, maia, yair, Joanna, stipe. 21/1 thank you . Sounds so easy


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,710 ✭✭✭✭Paully D


    Demian Maia to win (21/20, Ladbrokes)

    Dustin Poirier to win (11/10, William Hill)

    Gabriel Benitez to win (3/4, William Hill)

    Jessica Aguilar to win (13/10, Bet 365)

    Four-fold on the above (14.5/1, Victor)


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭dulux99


    PP are doing an enhanced price of 5/1 treble Edgar JJ and Miocic. I fancy all three but I am a bit weirded out by JJ's temperament this week, she seems quite chummy with Andraje and I wonder could that be to her detriment


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,066 ✭✭✭thewheel2.0


    Couldn't resist BetVictor's price on Damien Maia a while back so signed up for an account. A clean sweep tonight would almost put me back in profit overall :pac:

    €10 on Demian Maia - To Win By Submission - 3.5

    Also two free bets from signing up (didnt quite research this one just went on gut of being impressed by Stipe):
    €10 on Stipe Miocic - To Win By KO TKO or Disqualification - 2.5

    €10 Accumulator returns €120.56
    Henry Cejudo To Win - Void
    Yair Rodriguez To Win
    Demian Maia To Win
    Joanna Jedrzejczyk To Win
    Stipe Miocic To Win


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 68 ✭✭MontoAddict


    I have a Masvidal/Edgar double.

    I hate BJJ so I'm praying Maia gets destroyed.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    already on sub outcome rare nake choke in maia fight 4/1 betv

    single on maia at evens

    treble of mioci ko/over 2.5 rns in jj and edgar fights 4/1

    joanna pts frankie pts maia sub 16/1


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