Spring 2019 - General Discussion

My Spring 2019 forecast will be a short one due to a lack of research (thanks to the US government shutdown back in Dec/Jan which put a large debt into it) and more gut feeling or completely guessing than anything else. Of course, I'll be reviewing the Winter one when all stats come in (safe to say it was rather good outside of February for the UK but for Ireland, quite poor).

March is looking like a wetter than average month largely dominated by Atlantic depressions driven by a stronger than average jet stream which is the culmination of a very organised Polar Vortex. Maybe on the relatively cool side but nothing exceptional. Possibility of something warmer/drier later on could offset the fairly cool conditions.

I feel April will be a dry month for most with high pressure returning bringing warmer conditions too. Maybe not quite April 2017 dry standard but dry enough away from possibly the northwest where there could be some rain at times from the jet stream close by.

I feel May will be a cool and wet month. The last time we saw a cool and wet May was 2015. Nature has to balance out sometime with an unsettled May and I think May 2019 will be the one. Although, I do think there could be some notable warmth at one point in May similar to the previous two Mays despite being dominated by cool and wet conditions for the most part.

Overall, a rather average Spring temperature wise with a wet (maybe even very wet) March and wet May offsetting the dry April giving a rather wet Spring.

Just for fun (cannot emphasise this enough).