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The Daily bets, Banter & Accumulators thread III

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,583 ✭✭✭✭shmeee


    However Deportivo have only lost 2 of 10 home league games this season, while Rayo have only won 1 of 10 away leagues games.

    BTTS has hit in 6 of Depor's 10 homes, and in 7 of Rayo's 10 aways. 65% hit average hit rate. 3/4 seems a decent price, as you only need it to come in more than 4 out of 7 times (58% of the time) to make profit and it comes in 65% of the time.

    There has been a combined 6 draws between their last 7 home and 7 away matches respectively (6 draws from 14), they draw an average of 43% of the time so the 27/10 on the draw also seems quite large, as you only need it to come in 27% of the time to make profit.

    Hope that maths is right anyway! :D

    I'll test it out with small singles on both the draw @ 27/10 and BTTS @ 3/4.


    Had to wait only 20 mins for BTTS land, well in.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,160 ✭✭✭✭PopePalpatine


    And only 24 minutes for >2.5 goals too! :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 532 ✭✭✭xredmanlfcx


    shmeee wrote: »
    Had to wait only 20 mins for BTTS land, well in.

    Not bad haha. A draw would be nice!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,475 ✭✭✭✭Collie D


    Skybet treble of Arsenal, City and Utd max bet €32.94 @ 11/2. Best price elsewhere is less than 4/1. Despite United's form it's actually Arsenal I'm worried about.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,346 ✭✭✭Lamposts


    Lamposts wrote: »
    Double of Over 2.5 goals and over 4.5 corners for Rayo @2.20 or something.

    1 corner short. :(


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 532 ✭✭✭xredmanlfcx


    However Deportivo have only lost 2 of 10 home league games this season, while Rayo have only won 1 of 10 away leagues games.

    BTTS has hit in 6 of Depor's 10 homes, and in 7 of Rayo's 10 aways. 65% hit average hit rate. 3/4 seems a decent price, as you only need it to come in more than 4 out of 7 times (58% of the time) to make profit and it comes in 65% of the time.

    There has been a combined 6 draws between their last 7 home and 7 away matches respectively (6 draws from 14), they draw an average of 43% of the time so the 27/10 on the draw also seems quite large, as you only need it to come in 27% of the time to make profit.

    Hope that maths is right anyway! :D

    I'll test it out with small singles on both the draw @ 27/10 and BTTS @ 3/4.

    Full house! :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,583 ✭✭✭✭shmeee


    Full house! :D

    Great shouts!

    The corners were slow tonight. Not to be for me.

    At least some of us made a few quid.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,888 ✭✭✭9de5q7tsr8u2im


    Collie D wrote: »
    Skybet treble of Arsenal, City and Utd max bet €32.94 @ 11/2. Best price elsewhere is less than 4/1. Despite United's form it's actually Arsenal I'm worried about.

    full blast on it


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,863 ✭✭✭✭inforfun


    For those who want to put another 1/2 season bet together.
    STan James have PSV to win the league in Holland @2

    Currently on top already and despite still in the CL, cant see them lose first place anymore.
    Certainly when they get the last deal done, Van Ginkel on loan from Chelsea.
    By far the best squad if they add him too


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,351 ✭✭✭magherakid


    West Ham 10/11

    Remi Garde to consider his future after
    failing to sign any players in the transfer window


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,888 ✭✭✭9de5q7tsr8u2im


    Matchs on tuesday/wednesday looking good :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,837 ✭✭✭spurshero


    I think Chelsea will win . They look like a team finally getting their act together. Arsenal are hard to predict but gun to head would fancy them . Good luck with it


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,583 ✭✭✭✭shmeee


    Anyone else having trouble with Skrill? Can't access it all day and trying to move funds.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,103 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    magherakid wrote: »
    West Ham 10/11

    Remi Garde to consider his future after
    failing to sign any players in the transfer window

    Seems big, all over that
    Could see them winning by 2/3 clear goals


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 862 ✭✭✭unplayable


    yeah just lumped west ham @1.91 thanks for heads up.live on tv and all.payet should be back on form easy win


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 812 ✭✭✭clickerquicklic


    Skybet acca is on Betfair at 9/2 ish its huge ive 10k on it


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,583 ✭✭✭✭shmeee


    Norwich v Spurs

    Spurs over 5 corners is priced @ 1.8 with bet365, from 1.83 overnight. Powers go 1.72.

    Spurs did't hit this line in their last game, FA cup v Colchester but in their previous 5 games in all competitions it came in easily. They are becoming big fans of corners lately with counts of 10, 8, 11, 16 + 9. The worry here is Norwich, their opponents average only 4.5 corners at home.

    I'll wait till Boyles maybe open a book on it, they usually go top price when they do. Can't see much more movement on the line with bet365 anyway.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,198 ✭✭✭buckfasterer


    Skybet got Arsenal, City and Utd boosted from 7/2 to 11/2


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,303 ✭✭✭Lasagna Diarra


    Crystal Palace DNB @ 1.60

    they've lost their last 4 league games


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 508 ✭✭✭Mr. Green


    Liverpool in February

    2 February - Leicester (away), Premier League
    February 6 - Sunderland (home), Premier League
    Not selected date of the week - West ham (away), FA Cup
    February 14 - Aston Villa (away), Premier League
    February 18 - "Augsburg" (exit), UEFA Europa League
    20/21 February - the Fifth round of the FA Cup
    February 25 - "Augsburg" (home), UEFA Europa League
    February 28 - Manchester city (at Wembley), League Cup Final


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,863 ✭✭✭✭inforfun


    January didnt look much better.
    8 matches in 23 days i heard?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35 Charity10k


    Everton v Newcastle - Both Teams To Score - 1.7 Bet365


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 508 ✭✭✭Mr. Green


    ENGLAND: FA Cup
    30.01. 20:30
    Liverpool
    West Ham
    0 : 0

    ENGLAND: Capital One Cup
    26.01. 22:45
    Liverpool
    Stoke City
    1 : 1
    (0 : 1)

    ENGLAND: Premier League
    23.01. 15:45
    Norwich
    Liverpool
    4 : 5

    ENGLAND: FA Cup
    20.01. 23:00
    Liverpool
    Exeter
    3 : 0

    ENGLAND: Premier League
    17.01. 17:05
    Liverpool
    Manchester United
    0 : 1

    13.01. 23:00
    Liverpool
    Arsenal
    3 : 3

    ENGLAND: FA Cup
    08.01. 22:55
    Exeter
    Liverpool
    2 : 2

    ENGLAND: Capital One Cup
    05.01. 23:00
    Stoke City
    Liverpool
    0 : 1

    ENGLAND: Premier League
    02.01. 15:45
    West Ham
    Liverpool
    2 : 0


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 508 ✭✭✭Mr. Green


    Liverpool going for the record number of matches. So will fatigue and the priorities.


    PS I find it very difficult to go to the forum, the captcha and not the first time


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,863 ✭✭✭✭inforfun


    Mr. Green wrote: »
    Liverpool going for the record number of matches. So will fatigue and the priorities.


    PS I find it very difficult to go to the forum, the captcha and not the first time

    Boards.ie is a bit of a pain since that DDOS attack.
    Login issue i dont have as i never log out....

    But double posts all over the place, mostly when using "quick reply" which of course i keep doing.....


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,103 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    settled on this lot..all 888 (only slighly worse on the hcap)

    main bet
    west ham 28/29....couldnt wait around any longer for evens

    wham ht/ft 9/4
    wham -1 13/5
    payet anytime 40/17

    was gonna go payet motm but only a lousy 4s when next up is 8/1



    can't desert patrick
    van aanholt anytime 9.5/1


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 508 ✭✭✭Mr. Green


    The forum, on a white background.
    No more buttons, I can not say thank you.
    Can't copy and paste my message.
    No the "fat text"

    I Wish the forum quickly recovered :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,001 ✭✭✭Saint Sonner


    West Ham -1AH
    Man City -1AH
    Man Utd
    Arsenal
    Spurs Race to 5 Corners

    23/1


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,001 ✭✭✭Saint Sonner


    West Ham -1AH
    Man City -1AH
    Man Utd
    Arsenal
    Spurs Race to 5 Corners

    23/1


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,863 ✭✭✭✭inforfun


    Probably will be punished for doing a Lass bet, i.e i dont want things to happen but....

    Man Utd - Stoke > Under 1 GL first half @ 1.7

    MAn Utd has played 11 matches at home so far and at HT they were 2x in the lead, 1x behind and 8 draws.
    Considering the won and lost first halfs all have to be 1-0 with 2 goals scored an 1 conceded in those 11 matches that under GL 1 would be 8x a winner and 3x a void so far this season

    baf9d3443e02c155931f879d7af682b7.png

    The slightly highlighted grey numbers is the 1st half stats for them.
    If i was a Man Utd fan, i wouldnt even bother to go in the first half.

    or you can just take the 0-0 at HT @2.5


This discussion has been closed.
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