The Daily bets, Banter & Accumulators thread III

Dio On The Doubles · 28-12-2015 09:49PM

Lamposts wrote: »

You at least make some profit with your free in play dude?

Nah man just took a pot shot in play, Wasn't watching match at all so chanced a high odds for the lash.

ShamoBuc · 28-12-2015 09:59PM

ShamoBuc wrote: »

Everton, Arsenal , west Brom and Norwich at nearly 12/1 Damn you Stoke

Arsenal and over 2.5 at 21/20 Damn you Arsenal
Spurs game over 2.5 evens
Everton game over 2.5 evens

Treble just over 7/1

2 singles
Spurs win btts 10/3
Everton win btts 3/1

Small double over 16/1 Damn you Stoke again !

Plenty there to keep me interested.

Close to being a very good day. Only Spurs oblige.

clickerquicklic · 28-12-2015 10:39PM

Spent all day getting on Lukaku wincast at 3/1 and bigger , had to buy bets off a few people ended up with 4000 at just over 3/1 average , gutted by Stoke comeback.

I don't do Bet365 you's are talking about but worth remembering that they do refund on CS if 0-0
Probably best to back your 50 pre game on whoever team you fancy 1-0 , 2-0 , 2-1 , 3-1 kinda thing with an even split and you would end up with 2 refunds should it be 0-0

ShamoBuc · 28-12-2015 10:39PM

Main bet tomorrow will be over 2.5 btts at 5/6 for Leicester game.

3 smaller bets

Btts first half. 11/4
Btts second half 7/4
Btts both halves 10/1

3 bets I like in the Leeds game.

Over 2.5. 5/4
Btts Evens
Derby win btts 15/4

Bring on the goals !!!

clickerquicklic · 28-12-2015 10:43PM

ShamoBuc wrote: »

Main bet tomorrow will be over 2.5 btts at 5/6 for Leicester game.

3 smaller bets

Btts first half. 11/4
Btts second half 7/4
Btts both halves 10/1

3 bets I like in the Leeds game.

Over 2.5. 5/4
Btts Evens
Derby win btts 15/4

Bring on the goals !!!

Everyone playing leicester has been value the last month or so , Chelsea price was a gift at leicester .

spock. · 28-12-2015 10:58PM

clickerquicklic wrote:

Everyone playing leicester has been value the last month or so , Chelsea price was a gift at leicester .

Chelsea lost that game though?..

clickerquicklic · 28-12-2015 11:01PM

spock. wrote: »

Chelsea lost that game though?..

Yeah but they were 2.44 when the they should have been 2.10 or 2.05 can't remember exactly.
They where 3/1 when they should of been 5/1 v liverpool , apparently a big syndicate couldn't back Liverpool price down there was that much mug money going on Leicester.

ShamoBuc · 28-12-2015 11:20PM

clickerquicklic wrote: »

Everyone playing leicester has been value the last month or so , Chelsea price was a gift at leicester .

City at 17/20 , ( even though they should probably be less) with Kompany out and their topsy turvy away form, might be value but i wouldnt take them. Leicester at 10/3 look like they are over priced as they got their ' impending' loss out of the way v pool.

Staying away from an outright winner anyway, I simply want both teams to bang in the goals throughout the game :pac:

clickerquicklic · 28-12-2015 11:28PM

ShamoBuc wrote: »

City at 17/20 , ( even though they should probably be less) with Kompany out and their topsy turvy away form, might be value but i wouldnt take them. Leicester at 10/3 look like they are over priced as they got their ' impending' loss out of the way v pool.

Staying away from an outright winner anyway, I simply want both teams to bang in the goals throughout the game :pac:

I don't have the skills to price games accurately , I know a couple of guys who do it for a living and they help me out some times , for me it looks about right but meh I know nothing!

Colonialboy · 28-12-2015 11:30PM

clickerquicklic wrote: »

Yeah but they were 2.44 when the they should have been 2.10 or 2.05 can't remember exactly.
They where 3/1 when they should of been 5/1 v liverpool , apparently a big syndicate couldn't back Liverpool price down there was that much mug money going on Leicester.

I wouldnt call it mug money. Leicester sit near top of the Pl
Some people here dont bet using a mathematical system, some of us look at teamsheets, team style and form.

Alot of money put on the big name teams is money from punters who support that team. So a big teams supporters have always skewed their teams odds.
this is the year for more upsets. 2nd tier teams are now doing the same diet,fitness conditioning programs as the best and they possibly have a bit more desire to get stuck in , which in the PL will get you points.
i think theres some money to be made before the end of the year backing on more upsets. you can stick to your mathematical modeling and everyone cash'es out their chips May 15th

btw I was shouting for Everton and palace to come thru for you on your big stake even though I was waiting on Stoke among others for my own mug money bet.:)

clickerquicklic · 28-12-2015 11:34PM

Colonialboy wrote: »

I wouldnt call it mug money. Leicester sit near top of the Pl
Some people here dont bet using a mathematical system, some of us look at teamsheets, team style and form.

Alot of money put on the big name teams is money from punters who support that team. So a big teams supporters have always skewed their teams odds.
this is the year for more upsets. 2nd tier teams are now doing the same diet,fitness conditioning programs as the best and they possibly have a bit more desire to get stuck in , which in the PL will get you points.
i think theres some money to be made before the end of the year backing on more upsets. you can stick to your mathematical modeling and everyone cash'es out their chips May 15th

btw I was shouting for Everton and palace to come thru for you on your big stake even though I was waiting on Stoke among others for my own mug money bet.:)

I don't mean to offend anyone saying "mug money" that is my money included its just the phrase that is passed on to me - the "mug money" is on leicester liverpool are over priced etc, I think mug money is any amount of non syndicate or asian money that is moving markets inefficiently.

clickerquicklic · 28-12-2015 11:45PM

Just cause I bet big doesn't make me any better at gambling that others , a large percentage of people here would be better gamblers and a lot smarter , I've built my stakes up over the years but that means nothing i'm no where near as shrewd as a lot here , hence why i visit and read the forum.

PopePalpatine · 28-12-2015 11:56PM

G-Osaka host Hiroshima in the Emperor's Cup at 6:05am tomorrow. Both teams last played two days ago, but Hiroshima have also had FIFA Club World Cup games to deal with, and G-Osaka's second last game was on the 5th of December. G-Osaka are around 8/5 right now.

retalivity · 29-12-2015 01:22PM

^great shout!

Moreirense are 2.2 away to oriental in portugal in the Portuguese league cup at 3. Moreirense are 14th of 18 in the premier league and in ok form, oriental are bottom of the division below them. Purely in stats, will take that 2.2.

Also in a double with ross co/kilmarnock btts yes @3.96

Chuppa Siopa · 29-12-2015 04:12PM

retalivity wrote: »

^great shout!

Moreirense are 2.2 away to oriental in portugal in the Portuguese league cup at 3. Moreirense are 14th of 18 in the premier league and in ok form, oriental are bottom of the division below them. Purely in stats, will take that 2.2.

Also in a double with ross co/kilmarnock btts yes @3.96

Followed u on Moreirense and already 1 upðŸ˜႒ fingers crossed

Mr. Green · 29-12-2015 05:24PM

Leicester City -vs- Manchester City, Leicester City +0.5 @ 2.040
Leicester City -vs- Manchester City, Leicester City 0.0 @ 3.110

City without Kompany and Zabaleta.
These are very important players protection.
I think Lester will take 1 point at least

Loafing Oaf · 29-12-2015 05:45PM

On 3-2 both ways, at longish odds...

shmeee · 29-12-2015 05:55PM

Tonights bets will be based on Vardy starting or not. Will be waiting for team news patiently. City @ 10/11 tempting if not.

Ipswich look big tonight @ 23/10 bet365 and +1 8/13 Ladbrokes.

Ipswich Town scored at least one goal in 82% of their away games.
Ipswich Town have won their last 4 away games.
Ipswich Town have been undefeated in their last 5 away games.
Ipswich Town scored at least one goal in each of their last 5 away games.

And also BTTS Fulham v Rotherham @ 4/6 bet365, 82% Fulham home games have hit BTTS.

Will hopefully be making a nice double/trebles out of the above later.

Kinexus · 29-12-2015 07:32PM

Leicester City vs. Man City.
First Half Corner Match Bet.
Man City @1.61.

Man City have had over 2.5 first half corners in 11/18 of their league games this season, while Leicester have had under 2.5 first half corners in 14/18 of their games. Leicester have had under 1.5 first half corners in 7/8 of their home games, while Man City have had over 1.5 corners in 6/8 of their away games.

xredmanlfcx · 29-12-2015 07:45PM

shmeee wrote: »

Tonights bets will be based on Vardy starting or not. Will be waiting for team news patiently. City @ 10/11 tempting if not.

Ipswich look big tonight @ 23/10 bet365 and +1 8/13 Ladbrokes.

Ipswich Town scored at least one goal in 82% of their away games.
Ipswich Town have won their last 4 away games.
Ipswich Town have been undefeated in their last 5 away games.
Ipswich Town scored at least one goal in each of their last 5 away games.

And also BTTS Fulham v Rotherham @ 4/6 bet365, 82% Fulham home games have hit BTTS.

Will hopefully be making a nice double/trebles out of the above later.

Also waiting on Leicester team news. If Aguero starts and Vardy doesn't, I go City. If they both start I go BTTS. If Vardy starts and Aguero doesn't, I'll back Fernandinho to be booked!

Will follow your above tips, but won't oppose Brighton so will back a draw there. Will also go BTTS on Fulham.

shmeee · 29-12-2015 07:49PM

xredmanlfcx wrote: »

Also waiting on Leicester team news. If Aguero starts and Vardy doesn't, I go City. If they both start I go BTTS. If Vardy starts and Aguero doesn't, I'll back Fernandinho to be booked!

Will follow your above tips, but won't oppose Brighton so will back a draw there. Will also go BTTS on Fulham.

Vardy starts.

Leicester City XI v Manchester City: Schmeichel; Simpson, Huth, Morgan (c), Fuchs; Inler, Drinkwater, Kanté; Mahrez, Vardy, Albrighton.

Aguero starts.

Manchester City XI vs. Leicester: Hart; Sagna, Mangala, Otamendi, Kolarov; Fernandinho, Toure; De Bruyne, Silva, Sterling; Aguero.

spock. · 29-12-2015 07:52PM

Mahrez AT @ 3.75
Mahrez wincast @ 8.5
Mahrez hat trick @ 101

lamoss · 29-12-2015 07:57PM

Leeds +1 @ 1.83

xredmanlfcx · 29-12-2015 07:59PM

shmeee wrote: »

Vardy starts.

Leicester City XI v Manchester City: Schmeichel; Simpson, Huth, Morgan (c), Fuchs; Inler, Drinkwater, Kanté; Mahrez, Vardy, Albrighton.

Aguero starts.

Manchester City XI vs. Leicester: Hart; Sagna, Mangala, Otamendi, Kolarov; Fernandinho, Toure; De Bruyne, Silva, Sterling; Aguero.

Gone fairly big on BTTS @4/7. May cash out if City score early. Also taking Aguero anytime @ 6/5 with Coral and De Bruyne MOTM @ 7/1 Coral, Man City win and BTTS 3/1 William Hill.

shmeee · 29-12-2015 08:01PM

shmeee wrote: »

Tonights bets will be based on Vardy starting or not. Will be waiting for team news patiently. City @ 10/11 tempting if not.

Ipswich look big tonight @ 23/10 bet365 and +1 8/13 Ladbrokes.

Ipswich Town scored at least one goal in 82% of their away games.
Ipswich Town have won their last 4 away games.
Ipswich Town have been undefeated in their last 5 away games.
Ipswich Town scored at least one goal in each of their last 5 away games.

And also BTTS Fulham v Rotherham @ 4/6 bet365, 82% Fulham home games have hit BTTS.

Will hopefully be making a nice double/trebles out of the above later.

Vardy and Aguero start so my bets have changed.

Treble of

BTTS Fulham
Ipswich +1

Man City over 5.5 corners @ 4/6 Boyles/bet365

Man City last 7 away games corner counts as follows, 8, 6, 8, 4, 9, 4, 7.
Chelsea and Man Utd got 8 corners each to against Leicester at home in their last 2 games.

Treble pays 4.33 boyles. Have had a decent size bet on.

Small single on Ipswich win @ 23/10 Boyles also.

PopePalpatine · 29-12-2015 08:05PM

I've just gone for Man C RT3 & BTTS in a double, it pays out about 1.46/1.

xredmanlfcx · 29-12-2015 08:09PM

PopePalpatine wrote: »

I've just gone for Man C RT3 & BTTS in a double, it pays out about 1.46/1.

RT3? Corners is it?

PopePalpatine · 29-12-2015 08:12PM

Yep, that's what I mean by RT3.

fuzzydunlop85 · 29-12-2015 08:30PM

De Bruyne Wincast 11/2 enhanced on pp will do for me.

29-12-2015 08:36PM

Treble on Boylesports;

Leicester v City; City +5.5 corners
Leeds v Derby; Derby - Draw No Bet
Brighton v Ipswich; Goal in each half - yes

total odds - 5.00

The Daily bets, Banter & Accumulators thread III

Comments