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Anglo Tapes

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,138 ✭✭✭realitykeeper


    On the issue of a public inquiry - I am opposed. For the following reasons:

    1. In the case of an Oireachtas inquiry, - the Supreme court says they cannot make negative findings against an individual. So if there are negative findings to be found the Oireachtas inquiry would be of no use in that regard.
    2. TDs get paid extra for sitting on these committees. The country cannot afford to pay TDs extra for anything.
    3. We already know why banks collapsed. It was because of irresponsible speculation.
    4. We already know that the Regulator did not regulate.
    5. We already know that the central bank was conned.
    6. We already know the Fianna Fail policy was light touch regulation when the country needed strong regulation because of the booming economy during the naughties.
    7. We already have a criminal justice system for finding the truth and imposing criminal convictions/penalties when appropriate.
    8. Tribunal gravy trains cost too much and as already mentioned, we have the regular courts for dealing with these matters. Prosecuters/defendants can call expert witnesses if needed.
    9. The courts are not partisan. An Oireachtas inquiry would be cross party but still partisan because of the presiding politicians.
    !0. Politicians were charged with the task of running the country competently, they failed and consequently the banking crises happened on their watch.
    11. Politicians are not best placed in tasks which require competence or the search for truth.
    12. We the people rejected the referendum which would have given the Oireachtas extra powers of inquiry. At the end of the day Politicians are not trusted.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,101 ✭✭✭Rightwing


    Scofflaw wrote: »
    I'm pretty happy with the idea that the tapes show clearly that senior Anglo executives believed they hadn't the capacity to repay the debts they were contracting on behalf of Anglo, and believed that the business was no longer a going concern.

    Even if you cobble together a defence of "we could have made a go of it", the conversation about what would happen to the bank is pretty damning.

    cordially,
    Scofflaw

    I don't think there is any significance whatsoever to this.

    I would also imagine that the executives in AIB and a host of other banks worldwide didn't think they'd be able to pay debts either.

    The state thought Anglo was of 'systemic importance', that's why they didn't let the bank fail & contagion, so they also knew they wouldn't be getting their cash back.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,010 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    SpaceTime wrote: »
    I can only conclude that the electorate has some kind of self-persecution complex or has some S&M fetish of some sort because they keep re-electing the same people who abuse them over and over again.

    I don't think that's fair at all on the electorate. They elect different people too, who also abuse them over and over again. Who exactly should they elect that wont abuse them? Even the holier than thou Green Party happily colluded in preventing the people of Donegal from having basic rights like democratic representation. So the people quite rightly throw the Greens out of power (hopefully never to be heard from again for all our sakes) and elect FG and Labour. And the same cycle of abuse begins again - the new guys just pick up the last guys policies without skipping a beat. All change and no change.

    Fianna Fail was probably the most fiscally rational and responsible party entering the 2007 election. True story.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,101 ✭✭✭Rightwing


    Sand wrote: »
    I don't think that's fair at all on the electorate. They elect different people too, who also abuse them over and over again.

    Fianna Fail was probably the most fiscally rational and responsible party entering the 2007 election. True story.

    Is this a bad joke?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,648 ✭✭✭Cody Pomeray


    Scofflaw wrote: »
    there is nothing dishonest about the request for €7bn itself
    That isn't the issue.

    The issue is in the following exchange:
    "If they (Central Bank) saw the enormity of it up front, they might decide they have a choice. You know what I mean?"...

    "They might say the cost to the taxpayer is too high . . . if it doesn't look too big at the outset . . . if it looks big, big enough to be important, but not too big that it kind of spoils everything, then, then I think you have a chance. So I think it can creep up."

    If the authorities were to persuade a court that arising from this dishonesty, they were persuaded into embarking on a specific course of action upon which they would not otherwise have embarked in light of their public duties, then there may be a significant possibility of a successful prosecution. Obviously there are literally hundreds more factors to consider beyond the scope of this thread, that's just a broad point.
    the Central Bank retained the freedom not to throw good money after bad.
    Not necessarily, firstly, I don't know of any provision or case whereby a subsequent foolishness on the part of a victim of a conspiracy to defraud makes the initial conspiracy to defraud void ab initio.

    Secondly, this pre-dates the Bank Guarantee by a couple of weeks. The Bank Guarantee may arguably have made a subsequent injection of liquidity via extraordinary operations by the NCB seem more reasonable.

    Although I really think the relevant, limiting response here is the previous one.
    The Central Bank is not being tricked into believing that Anglo needed €7bn when they didn't - they certainly did
    This misses the central question, which is what the NCB's position would have been if it had not been deceived as to the extent of the crisis in Anglo Irish Bank.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,010 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    Rightwing wrote: »
    Is this a bad joke?

    No, its true. The FG and Labour manifestos were just essentially "Oh god, please, please, please elect us - we'll give you whatever you want." It allowed Fianna Fail to run as stern defenders of the public purse despite out of control spending over the previous 5 years. That's how insane their manifestos were.

    Its why I get irritated everytime people say "Oh why didn't the Irish people elect the rational, stern, and soundminded politicians of the alternative party". What alternative?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,101 ✭✭✭Rightwing


    Sand wrote: »
    No, its true. The FG and Labour manifestos were just essentially "Oh god, please, please, please elect us - we'll give you whatever you want." It allowed Fianna Fail to run as stern defenders of the public purse despite out of control spending over the previous 5 years.

    The problem with FF is, they essentially bow to the unions, so they didn't even have a manifesto. They probably thought they had 1.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 876 ✭✭✭RiverOfLove


    Rightwing wrote: »
    Is this a bad joke?

    I don't think it is. Go back and read FGs 2007 manifesto. They were promising extra gardai, and teachers and nurses and hospital beds and gadgets of some sort like ipads to replace books for school kids.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1 earthship


    One form of protest is if we stop using the banks altogether or minimise our use. I'm looking into transferring my custom to a Credit Union, a lot of Credit Unions have their own sortcode so salary and bills can be handled by them in the same way as the mainstream banks.

    Doubtless there are downsides to being bank free, but I'd be willing to put up with the inconvenience knowing that I'm not feeding the nest of vipers that is our banking system.

    I would welcome others point of view on Bank Free living or is anybody living the life that could share their experience.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,654 ✭✭✭Noreen1


    earthship wrote: »
    One form of protest is if we stop using the banks altogether or minimise our use. I'm looking into transferring my custom to a Credit Union, a lot of Credit Unions have their own sortcode so salary and bills can be handled by them in the same way as the mainstream banks.

    Doubtless there are downsides to being bank free, but I'd be willing to put up with the inconvenience knowing that I'm not feeding the nest of vipers that is our banking system.

    I would welcome others point of view on Bank Free living or is anybody living the life that could share their experience.

    I've been doing that since 2008.

    Salary goes into the bank, but gets withdrawn, in its entirety, within a few hours.
    Bills are paid through the post office. Online purchases are with a debit card. All other transactions are cash.
    Sorted!:D

    It's probably no use to anyone with a mortgage - but if you're debt free, and don't have a fortune in savings to worry about losing interest on - it's surprisingly easy!

    I've had reason to be suspicious of banks for many years, since a retired bank manager explained to a bunch of us all about how bank services really work.
    Since 2008, I've had a pretty intense dislike, rather than just distrust, of Banks.

    Words can't describe what I think of them now - not without getting banned from Boards, anyway!:p


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,283 ✭✭✭✭Scofflaw


    This misses the central question, which is what the NCB's position would have been if it had not been deceived as to the extent of the crisis in Anglo Irish Bank.

    No, that question is directly addressed. Anglo felt that the CBI would baulk if faced with a request for the full amount they needed - but that does not make it fraud not to ask for the full amount up front. The amount asked for was what was asked for. If the CBI gave it on the basis that the amount given would "sort it out", as per Bowe's rendition of Neary, I think you'll find that there's nothing there but a rather vague verbal seeking of reassurance, to which the bank seems to have returned nothing more concrete than - at best - equally vague verbal reassurances. Anglo would argue, I'm sure, that for the reason given below, the CBI would be in a very good position to judge how likely it was to be the case.

    Because Anglo was not negotiating with someone off the street who knew little about the bank, or even a foreign bank who knew a bit about it, but with the Central Bank and the Financial Regulator, who according to law, knew all there was to legally be known about the bank's position, and it should not have been possible to deceive them to the tune of multiple billions.

    It would be an interesting dilemma to watch play out, because admission in a court of law that the Irish regulatory regime was so gravely defective would have interesting consequences. I don't see it as happening - but I'll duly eat crow here should it be what happens.

    Anyway, for now my basic point remains that the Anglo executives, in asking for €7bn, in no way by that act harmed the Central Bank, or deprived it of anything dishonestly, which leaves the 'conspiracy' without the 'defraud' in respect of that action. In addition, now I come to think about it, I'm not sure that the conversation between Bowes and Fitzgerald would ever qualify as conspiracy anyway, since Fitzgerald is not involved in the negotiations with the CBI, and is not conspiring with Bowes to do anything, but is being told by Bowes what Bowes' intentions had been in the negotiations.

    And now I feel like a defence lawyer for Anglo execs, which is not really somewhere I want to be, but ah well...

    cordially,
    Scofflaw


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,029 ✭✭✭shedweller


    Scofflaw wrote: »
    Or possibly not, because it seems we don't have that one:



    The summary of that is that we don't have a general offence of "conspiracy", and we don't have "Cheating the Public Revenue" either. The vital bits are highlighted above:

    1. The offence of conspiracy to defraud the public revenue does not correspond to an offence in Ireland.

    2. There is no general offence of conspiracy at common law, it is criminal only in the context of a specific agreement to commit a specific unlawful act.

    The act of asking for the €7bn itself would need here to be a fraudulent act, and while it could be, in the UK, considered as "cheating the public revenue", that offence doesn't exist here. If there is no specific criminal act in the request for money by Anglo, then logically there cannot be a conspiracy to commit any such criminal act.

    cordially,
    Scofflaw
    Well then we need to change the laws now, while the iron is still hot.

    Mr.Micro wrote: »
    Yes indeed and make some laws that cover what these types do that and get away with. Its 2013 and Ireland needs to have laws that are up to date. Too many corner boys in Ireland.
    +1000. Again, we need to put major pressure nationwide to change these very laws and have complete transparency on this in future. I know the horse has bolted but thats no reason to not change something.
    Scofflaw wrote: »
    It's not 2113 yet, I think. But, yes, we could do with an offence like "cheating the public revenue".

    cordially,
    Scofflaw
    "Could" is a major understatement. We need to. NOW!


  • Posts: 1,557 [Deleted User]


    This is all my own reading of the story so far, but the way I see it, the role of the regulator, the central bank, and the department of finance are key to the lack of progress here.

    Anglo management were shockingly, outlandishly reckless and clearly held the authorities in nothing but contempt and ran rings around them, but those same authorities (save for a few head men) are still pulling the strings in the civil service, central bank, department of finance etc in public sector jobs for life. The government is powerless to act without the will & support of the civil service, that same civil service has a lot to lose from the truth coming out, and furthermore I'm sure neither FF nor FG would want any new revelations to emerge under an investigation about their administration's chronic failures to properly oversee the banks.

    Seems to me that the politicians and civil servants at the helm have just as much if not more at stake reputation-ally than the bankers do should the truth come out. Anglo's reputation is already ruined, however these public service overseers jobs, reputation, and even liberty could be on the line next, depending on exactly how outmatched and asleep at the wheel they were. It would be an endless story of damaging revelations about incompetent public officials being led up the garden path for years by greedy but much smarter bankers.

    Would that be why we now see recordings which presumably have been in the hands of an under-resourced Garda investigation for four years or so being made public by a journalist with long-proven links to sources within the Gardai? Is this the result of police frustration with the pace or resources being given to the investigation? A result of allowing the momentum of the enquiries to collapse? An unwillingness to allow major crime to go unpunished to protect criminally negligent public officials?

    Presumably it was not a government source who was responsible for leaking the tapes. They do nothing for the credibility of several of our most recent governments, who were backed all the while by the same civil service middle and upper management we still have in place. Presumably Drumm and co. could tell a few stories in the witness box about department of finance decisions which would make the general public's hair stand on end.

    We have been let down as much here by our public service and our officials as we have been taken advantage of by a small but powerful elite group of bankers. When there's a smell of a cover-up, it's often good to start with whoever it is that has the most to lose and work down from there.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 43,313 ✭✭✭✭K-9


    Sand wrote: »
    No, its true. The FG and Labour manifestos were just essentially "Oh god, please, please, please elect us - we'll give you whatever you want." It allowed Fianna Fail to run as stern defenders of the public purse despite out of control spending over the previous 5 years. That's how insane their manifestos were.

    Its why I get irritated everytime people say "Oh why didn't the Irish people elect the rational, stern, and soundminded politicians of the alternative party". What alternative?

    That is actually true. And it would have been a clear choice if Bertie hadn't upstaged Cowen during the election with tax cuts that Cowen did not agree with.

    Bertie succumbed to a tax cutting strategy from all parties in 07, even SF and Labour.

    FG in 02 under Noonan was the last sustainable big party alternative, after that FF in 07 pre the Bertie cop out. My guess is Cowen was trying to give a half way reasonable manifesto, Bertie wanted to make sure of the election win, as he knew what the people wanted to hear.

    Mad Men's Don Draper : What you call love was invented by guys like me, to sell nylons.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,283 ✭✭✭✭Scofflaw


    Rightwing wrote: »
    Scofflaw wrote:
    I'm pretty happy with the idea that the tapes show clearly that senior Anglo executives believed they hadn't the capacity to repay the debts they were contracting on behalf of Anglo, and believed that the business was no longer a going concern.
    I don't think there is any significance whatsoever to this.

    I would also imagine that the executives in AIB and a host of other banks worldwide didn't think they'd be able to pay debts either.

    The state thought Anglo was of 'systemic importance', that's why they didn't let the bank fail & contagion, so they also knew they wouldn't be getting their cash back.

    I think those are potentially separate issues. Here, in a sense, I'd side with Cody, and say that whether the State recognised that Anglo was no longer a viable concern wouldn't provide a defence against fraudulent trading on the part of Anglo, although it would potentially deprive the State of its recourse if it knowingly loaned money to an unviable business. That would not, though, I think, prevent the ODCE from prosecuting for fraudulent trading.

    cordially,
    Scofflaw


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,390 ✭✭✭clairefontaine


    Isnt there failure to disclose or something like that?

    My gut tells me this is not the only bank that did that.

    More bailouts on the way. Tighten your belts folks.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,635 ✭✭✭maninasia


    Rightwing wrote: »
    I've never really bought into the 'pay low wages and you get monkeys'. This is the proof, similarly over in AIB/BOI. Where are those tapes?

    But the tapes are a bit of a banter between these guys, not much else. They knew the ship was going down at that stage.

    This type of rough banter, while crude, is pretty common among senior management employees in large companies, especially among people who may have worked closely together for a considerable time. We have to understand how much **** was happening around that time, the ship was literally sinking under them. I know that this does not excuse their possibly criminal behaviour in the slightest.
    The other thing is that Irish people do swear a lot, its a common denominator from poorest to the richest.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,635 ✭✭✭maninasia


    There HAS to be prosecutable offences lurking in the den of inequity that was these banks at their height. If they can't be done for these obvious acts of fraud under current legislation the prosecutors dig into the records and find something they can be done with.
    A message needs to be sent. Otherwise what's the point of switching government every 4 years, a charade?

    It also makes a mockery of the fact that we still don't know who said what and the background to the motivations for agreeing to the Bank Guarantee in Sept 2008. That's crazy but we know that suits the people in power just fine!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,390 ✭✭✭clairefontaine


    Are they going to ask for extradition?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,029 ✭✭✭shedweller


    Are they going to ask for extradition?

    That would imply they are going to do something about them.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,390 ✭✭✭clairefontaine


    shedweller wrote: »
    That would imply they are going to do something about them.

    No fraud charges or failure to disclose?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,635 ✭✭✭maninasia


    There's been an investigation ongoing for what, 5 years already, yet no charges have been brought against them yet. The only thing the Pols have been talking about is an Oireachtas Inquiry, they must be shaking in their boots at the prospect!
    Most of the politicians and civil servants would rather this would all go away...


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,390 ✭✭✭clairefontaine


    maninasia wrote: »
    There's been an investigation ongoing for what, 5 years already, yet no charges have been brought against them yet. The only thing the Pols have been talking about is an Oireachtas Inquiry, they must be shaking in their boots at the prospect!
    Most of the politicians and civil servants would rather this would all go away...

    Does that not make the government complicit in the fraud?

    I wonder if there were some political donations made.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,191 ✭✭✭foxcoverteddy


    Sorry about this but surely no one in official office bankers, politicians etc is permitted to act in a reckless manner, there must be a method where they can be removed from office/prosecuted.
    Anglo had auditors, it would also have had it's own internal audit, which should have been alerting the auditors to what was happening.
    It seems that these people covered up what was happening and therefore should be open to prosecution as are the directors.
    It has been suggested Anglo was giving out loans at very reasonable rates to certain people, I take it politicians who should be whiter than white, are they not in the same league of responsibility.
    The lack of willingness of the present administration to prosecute, so it would seem, surely comes under reckless behaviour with the financial running of Ireland Ltd.
    Noonan had to ask the bank who was earning over 500,000k, what had he been doing, sleeping?
    We need action, not next year, not next month, now, even if the help comes from Europe or UK's serious fraud squad.
    As for Drumm and anyone else who have left the jurisdiction, get them back by legal or illegal means.
    We can talk as much as we like but unless we get some action it will all be a waste of time.
    Our children and their children are depending on us to make Ireland a proud nation once again, if there is no action how will you look them in the face and say we done nothing for your future.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,283 ✭✭✭✭Scofflaw


    maninasia wrote: »
    There's been an investigation ongoing for what, 5 years already, yet no charges have been brought against them yet. The only thing the Pols have been talking about is an Oireachtas Inquiry, they must be shaking in their boots at the prospect!
    Most of the politicians and civil servants would rather this would all go away...

    There's been a Garda investigation since 2009, but it's a fraud investigation against a bank with a balance sheet the size of a country, so four years is hardly bizarre.

    And if we come out of it with no further prosecutions, that may not be anything political, I'm afraid. There may just be a lack of charges that will stick.

    cordially,
    Scofflaw


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,088 ✭✭✭SpaceTime


    I 100% agree. We need outside help, probably from the UK Serious Fraud Office. The EU have an agency called OLAF which could help too.

    I think though we probably need English speaking investigators who know how the common law system works.

    Scotland Yard or the FBI might be the best to ask to help. Even if it cost a fair bit in fees and wages it would be worth it.

    A small force like the Gardai aren't going to have the resources in terms of specialist personnel to deal with something this huge.

    A lot of this will be procedural donkey work and forensic accounting. Interviewing people and all that stuff could be left to the Gardai.

    They need serious help with getting through all the data!

    I'd volunteer myself, if I had any appropriate skills!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,635 ✭✭✭maninasia


    Scofflaw wrote: »
    There's been a Garda investigation since 2009, but it's a fraud investigation against a bank with a balance sheet the size of a country, so four years is hardly bizarre.

    And if we come out of it with no further prosecutions, that may not be anything political, I'm afraid. There may just be a lack of charges that will stick.

    cordially,
    Scofflaw

    You have outlined well the issues around Ireland's current legislation with regard bringing charges against the executives for their behaviour and actions prior to the bailout.

    However I believe the real problem is a lack of interest among the establishment in digging into the Anglo story more deeply, there must be a lot of skeletons buried in that banks vaults.

    I don't believe MInisters and other top level civil servants were not aware of the existence of these tapes and had never listened to them. Something rotten there.

    I think that some people had some things to hide. I also feel that the government was afraid about this embarrassing them during bailout negotiations with the troika so they hushed it up. We can see the reaction of Germany already.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,283 ✭✭✭✭Scofflaw


    maninasia wrote: »
    You have outlined well the issues around Ireland's current legislation with regard bringing charges against the executives for their behaviour and actions prior to the bailout.

    However I believe the real problem is a lack of interest among the establishment in digging into the Anglo story more deeply, there must be a lot of skeletons buried in that banks vaults.

    I don't believe MInisters and other top level civil servants were not aware of the existence of these tapes and had never listened to them. Something rotten there.

    It would have been completely inappropriate for the Gardai to flag these tapes to any member of the government before the investigation was finished. Crime is not a matter for Ministers, but for the law.
    maninasia wrote: »
    I think that some people had some things to hide. I also feel that the government was afraid about this embarrassing them during bailout negotiations with the troika so they hushed it up. We can see the reaction of Germany already.

    If they "hushed it up" to avoid embarrassment, their failure to keep it hushed up comes at a very poor time, given the current negotiations for retrospective ESM bank recapitalisation and the closing period of the Presidency. A couple of years ago would have been much better for them. So, no, not seeing that one.

    Not really seeing the whole idea that there are juicy scandalous skeletons in the Anglo closet, either, at least in the sense of 'improper linkages' and corruption. Anglo weren't one of the old banks that grew up entwined with the State, never had the kind of local power that AIB/BOI wielded around the country that would make them attractive bedfellows and social partners for our political clans. They were just Gordon Gekkos out to make a killing, playing big boys on the international scene, and with a level of disdain for the Irish establishment that comes across quite clearly. The impression from all the interviews and from the tapes is of people who didn't bother with politicians because they thought of themselves as a cut above them - throwing themselves on the mercy of the Irish establishment must have been a huge blow to their egos.

    What there is in the way of skeletons isn't, I think, in Anglo's cupboards, but in the cupboards of the Department of Finance. Sure, we've had reports that describe our regulatory ineptness, but they were couched in general terms of prevailing culture, regulatory capture, process issues, groupthink problems and so on. If it becomes personal, courtesy of the tapes, then some civil servants will find themselves personally in the spotlight. In general, I'm opposed to that kind of personalisation of systemic issues, but given that there's been no apparent reaction to the systemic reports, maybe it's time to move on to the personal.

    cordially,
    Scofflaw


  • Posts: 1,557 [Deleted User]


    Scofflaw wrote: »
    There's been a Garda investigation since 2009, but it's a fraud investigation against a bank with a balance sheet the size of a country, so four years is hardly bizarre.

    And if we come out of it with no further prosecutions, that may not be anything political, I'm afraid. There may just be a lack of charges that will stick.

    cordially,
    Scofflaw

    It's all very well announcing an investigation to get headlines and seem like you're taking swift action to handle a problem, but realistically that can be used as a way of burying a story you don't want to give any air to depending on how you allow the investigation to run. There are probably hundreds of thousands of hours of recorded conversations in question here, maybe millions of files and years worth of transactions requiring very specialist knowledge. Its sn unprecedented logistical exercise in tge hostory of our state. How many officers have been assigned to this "investigation", what is their level of expertise in financial matters? What external supports and access to advice or support have they got?

    The bank guarantee and its abuse by our banks has been an absolutely unprecedented event in the history of our nation, with catastrophic consequences for the country. It shouldn't be enough to just announce an investigation. This should be the largest, most single-minded and well resourced tooth-combing of evidence the country has ever seen, and anything less than that stinks of a whitewash and of collusion between corrupt, complicit people in positions of power to conceal or delay damaging revelations for them. This is contrary to the justice which the Irish people (who are footing the bill for all this) deserve, regardless of how many political or financial careers are wrecked in the process.

    I'll say it again: Governments have been toppled and presidents impeached over less than this elsewhere. Our country is ruined as a result of this systemic corruption, and its an absolute joke to me that this investigation has taken five years to get absokutely nowhere, to the point where we have to have an Irish solution to an Irish problem and leak these tapes so that the public goes bananas and demands action.

    I know that the structure of the tribunals was different, but think about the evidence book in those cases. Brown envelope payments and questionable offshore accounts of a handful of public officials, amounting to a few scores of millions at most, and it took ten years or more to follow the paper trail there and get to a conclusion. We are looking at a case involving hundreds of billions of euros, and a colossal fraud propagated by some of the most well connected and financially sharp players in institutions at the top of their game all over the world. I firmly believe that this has not only the possibility of toppling our government if it is fully and if it is fully and properly investigated (rather than by means of some bumbling toothless political enquiry with narrow terms of reference), what it would reveal about the systemic failures in our democracy has the potential to force us to re-evaluate our entire state and means of government, and could even lead to renewal of our constitution as has happened in France many times, or more recently in Iceland.

    This is what's at stake here for our political class. Without engaging in hyperbole, this has the potential to end politics as we have known it in ireland for nearly 100 years.

    Scofflaw wrote: »
    What there is in the way of skeletons isn't, I think, in Anglo's cupboards, but in the cupboards of the Department of Finance. Sure, we've had reports that describe our regulatory ineptness, but they were couched in general terms of prevailing culture, regulatory capture, process issues, groupthink problems and so on. If it becomes personal, courtesy of the tapes, then some civil servants will find themselves personally in the spotlight. In general, I'm opposed to that kind of personalisation of systemic issues, but given that there's been no apparent reaction to the systemic reports, maybe it's time to move on to the personal...

    Well said, and far more succinctly put than my attempt at making the same point was. This is the real reason we are not seeing any movement here. On a personal level, our civil service (the life blood of our government) has got far too much to lose by facilitating the details of what went on being made public.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,283 ✭✭✭✭Scofflaw


    It's all very well announcing an investigation to get headlines and seem like you're taking swift action to handle a problem, but realistically that can be used as a way of burying a story you don't want to give any air to depending on how you allow the investigation to run. There are probably hundreds of thousands of hours of recorded conversations in question here, maybe millions of files and years worth of transactions requiring very specialist knowledge. Its sn unprecedented logistical exercise in tge hostory of our state. How many officers have been assigned to this "investigation", what is their level of expertise in financial matters? What external supports and access to advice or support have they got?

    Well, the investigation kicked off back in mid 2009, with not much fanfare as far as I recall, so I don't think it was announced as a "swift action" exercise. Shatter tried to kick it up a gear in mid 2011 by offering extra manpower, and was told that it took so long for new people to be trained up to a useful level, and required so much training from experienced fraud squad members, that extra manpower would slow it down, not speed it up. The tapes have all been listened to, according the Gardai, so whatever logistical constraints exist have already played their part.

    I don't personally see that there's anything strange here - fraud investigations are long-running things, this one is four years old and near completion. That it's near completion seems to be why we now have the tapes - they're evidence that's finished with - and that the Gardai have kept their existence secret throughout argues a decent level of efficiency to me.

    cordially,
    Scofflaw


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