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Log Number 2

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  • 25-12-2012 9:40pm
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭


    Been thinking about starting another log for a while
    been doing well on the horses for the past 5/6 weeks mainly because
    it's all been singles so hopefully i can continue my good run (posted in
    the fancies for today thread)
    footie has been up and down and ufc has been good so it'll be mainly
    those three i'll be concentrating on

    For the record, my last log finished with a 60 euro loss after
    89 bets, mostly 10 euro bets (page27 here)

    Tend to be more disciplined lately after an up and down year where
    winning a little is the aim rather than multiple bets hoping to win
    a few hundred.
    Generally I try to bet equal amounts on each bet online and shop when
    I can make the shop


    I've 99 euro in my pp account at the minute so that'll be my starting balance.
    planned to wait till new year but there's too much i fancy tomorrow :D
    won't be looking for something to bet on unless I fancy it myself.
    Have about 5/6 bets for tomorrow but that amount of bets on any
    one day will be rare (i hope) but I love betting on decent racing like
    what we have tomorrow
    Will give reasoning when I can which will probably only be when im
    off work or at the weekend as it's too much like hard work typing
    out sentences on a mobile but the size of bet will say it all

    Max bet will be 20/25 euro

    Lastly, came across this on another site...sums it up Imo
    When your luck is out, you are not as bad, as they think you are.
    When your luck is in, you are not as good, as you think you are.


«13

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Bal 99 euro

    2.55 leop Arvika ligeonniere 4/5 won (9/10)


    Win
    Single: Arvika Ligeonniere @ 4/5
    1 line at €20.00 per line


    Bal 79 (20 in play)

    tired in the end but did it well


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    2.35kemp countrywide flame 15/8 (bet365)

    Love this horse and has been good to me (the ces still hurts though)
    wouldn't know how to run a bad race and was very impressive beating
    cinders and ashes by 12l last time on heavy ground at newcastle
    I've no doubt the latter is better than that but i still see cf upholding
    the form and see darlan as the main danger
    Something stopping me from having more on though...
    I've also backed cf for the ch at 12s

    [IMG][/img]365gw.jpg Uploaded with ImageShack.us


    8euro @ 15/8
    Don't know how to post a pic rather than a link but i'll find out
    Bal 71 euro


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    3.10kem junior 25/1 (365)

    One I tend to follow more than anything
    Unlikely this will be good enough to win but It could sneak
    a place and those odds are too good to ignore in a race where
    most have questions to answer
    Certain to jump around and run it's race and hopefully bring it's
    stamina into play

    junioroy.jpg

    Uploaded with ImageShack.us

    1.50 ew @ 25/1

    bal 68 euro


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Back to footie


    stoke are huge at around 5/2 but there's always the possibility
    of a draw or even a stalemate
    they are unbeaten at home and no team has scored more than
    a goal at the brittania
    how liverpool are 5/4 is beyond me and there'll be quite a few
    on the soccer forum here backing stoke or laying liverpool
    I won't be greedy and I see this as taking the "safe" option
    stoke to win and under 3 goals very big also at 5s (seen this
    on another forum here)
    Stoke 5/4 is the draw no bet option
    small bet on no goalscorer (bet365)
    stoke have had 5 stalemates so far this season


    Win
    Single: Stoke to win and 1 or 2 total goals in the match @ 5/1
    1 line at €3.00 per line
    Total stake for this bet: €3.00
    Potential returns: €18.00
    No: O/20205062/0005184
    Win
    Single: Stoke @ 5/4
    1 line at €10.00 per line
    Total stake for this bet: €10.00
    Potential returns: €22.50
    No: O/20205062/0005185

    2 euro @ 7/1 no goalscorer

    bal 53 euro


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    michu wincast @ 3/1 pp

    Reading have lost their last 7 games and can't do anything right
    and are getting all the bad luck going at the moment
    swans a big price at 6/4, can't see them losing but should they
    win then surely michu will be the man yet again and he's the
    leagues tops scorer so far


    Win
    Single: Michu Perez Cuesta to score in 90 minutes and Swansea to win the match @ 3/1
    1 line at €4.00 per line
    Total stake for this bet: €4.00
    Potential returns: €16.00
    No: O/20205062/0005186
    bal 49 euro


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  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    one last soccer bet

    westbrom 6/5 draw no bet (away to qpr) 8euro at 6/5

    Wbrom are 7th, Qpr bottom with one win in 18 matches
    that price is an insult to westbrom
    harry or no harry, it's too big a price

    brom.jpg[/URL]






    lol, i've figured it out

    bal 41 euro


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    the acca just in case to wrap things up


    LEOPARDSTOWN 14:55 NOVICES' CHASE 2m 1f
    26-12-2012 14:55
    Win or E/W
    Arvika Ligeonniere @ 4/5 (GP)
    KEMPTON 14:35 CHRISTMAS HURDLE 2m
    26-12-2012 14:35
    Win or E/W
    Countrywide Flame @ 7/4 (GP)
    Premier League Matches QPR v West Brom
    26-12-2012 15:00
    Draw No Bet
    West Brom @ 5/4
    Premier League Matches Stoke v Liverpool
    26-12-2012 19:45
    Draw No Bet
    Stoke @ 5/4
    Premier League Matches Reading v Swansea
    26-12-2012 15:00
    Draw No Bet
    Swansea @ 4/6
    Accumulator (5)
    1 line at €2.00 per line
    Total stake for this bet: €2.00
    Potential returns: €83.53
    No: O/20205062/0005187

    bal 39 euro


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    straight from the football betting thread (thanks tinodz)

    billy kay anytime (v st mirren)
    9 goals scored in last 5 games make this a great price
    he is 4/5 with skybet and ladbrokes so that's just
    too big to leave

    Win
    Single: Billy McKay @ 6/4
    1 line at €8.00 per line
    Total stake for this bet: €8.00
    Potential returns: €20.00
    No: O/20205062/0005188

    bal 31 euro


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    too much racing today, easy to get carried away

    Backed whisky and red a few days back and really has
    nothing to beat here as far as i can see
    two small ones on the other two, seymour won as it liked
    last time out when there was a huge gamble on it so on
    that run should go very close again
    Rear admiral one i backed last time out so just following it again

    DOWN ROYAL 13:25 HANDICAP CHASE 2m 4f
    26-12-2012 13:25
    Win or E/W
    Whiskey And Red @ 11/8 (GP)
    TOWCESTER 13:20 NOVICES' HANDICAP HURDLE 2m 5f
    26-12-2012 13:20
    Win or E/W
    Seymour Eric @ 11/4 (GP)
    MARKET RASEN 13:00 BEGINNERS CHASE 2m 2f
    26-12-2012 13:00
    Win or E/W
    Rear Admiral @ 5/2 (GP)

    Win
    Single: Whiskey And Red @ 11/8
    1 line at €10.00 per line
    Total stake for this bet: €10.00
    Potential returns: €23.75
    No: O/20205062/0005189
    Win
    Single: Seymour Eric @ 11/4
    1 line at €3.00 per line
    Total stake for this bet: €3.00
    Potential returns: €11.25
    No: O/20205062/0005190
    Win
    Single: Rear Admiral @ 5/2
    1 line at €3.00 per line
    Total stake for this bet: €3.00
    Potential returns: €10.50
    No: O/20205062/0005191
    Treble
    1 line at €0.50 per line
    Total stake for this bet: €0.50
    Potential returns: €15.59
    No: O/20205062/0005192

    bal 14.50


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »




    Whiskey And Red @ 11/8 (7th)
    1 line at €10.00 per line

    Seymour Eric @ 11/4 (won)
    1 line at €3.00 per line

    Rear Admiral @ 5/2 (2nd)
    1 line at €3.00 per line


    Not a great start (5.57 down after 3 bets)
    10.43 back for seymour winning easily (rule4)

    rear admiral 2nd

    whisky well beaten sadly (7th) didn't get to see that race
    maybe sundays race took its toll?


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  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    2.35kemp countrywide flame 15/8 (bet365) 4th

    8euro @ 15/8

    4th and well beaten
    lack of pace didn't suit but maybe the horse isn't as
    good as i thought but surely better than that


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    Bal 99 euro

    2.55 leop Arvika ligeonniere 4/5 won (9/10)


    Win
    Single: Arvika Ligeonniere @ 4/5
    1 line at €20.00 per line


    tired in the end but did it well


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    3.10kem junior 25/1 (365) lost



    1.50 ew @ 25/1

    not even close, one of the first beaten
    about even on horsey front in the end, expected more but I
    live to fight again


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    michu wincast @ 3/1 pp lost




    went off injured late on but no joy
    seemed an obvious one to me :(


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »

    billy kay anytime (v st mirren) lost



    bal 31 euro

    the goals came but billy drew a blank


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    one last soccer bet

    westbrom 6/5 draw no bet (away to qpr) 8euro at 6/5 wins

    brom win 2-1
    very small loss so far on the footie so it's down to stoke


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    Stoke 5/4 is the draw no bet option



    Single: Stoke to win and 1 or 2 total goals in the match @ 5/1
    1 line at €3.00 per line lost

    Single: Stoke @ 5/4
    1 line at €10.00 per line win

    2 euro @ 7/1 no goalscorer lost

    again pool underpriced, stoke win 3-1
    can't understand how i got 13/8 for stoke dnb in pp shop
    though this morning, dont understand the drift on that one.

    balance 103.03
    profit 4.03

    better than a loss I guess
    might be better to stick to one bet in a match rather than
    trying to guess the amount of goals as well
    Was sure I'd make 40/50 profit today but it's often when you expect you
    are left disappointed


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    5.30 wolv rose garnet 6/4

    this one was very very unlucky last time out over c&d when
    just failing to catch monumental man
    there doesn't look to be much in the line of dangers in this race
    so a repeat of that will surely do.

    Win
    Single: Rose Garnet @ 6/4
    1 line at €8.00 per line
    Total stake for this bet: €8.00
    Potential returns: €20.00
    No: O/20205062/0005193

    3.25 weth seymour eric 5 @ 9/4 (bet365)
    This one hacked up yesterday for me at hereford and such was the
    manner of victory I don't that a penalty is going to stop a repeat.

    3.10leop thegreatjohnbrowne 1.50ew @ 25/1 (4places bet365)

    Hasn't run in a very long time but was top class and one I followed
    when it ran before
    I'm just slightly encouraged by the fact pp were 25s last nite and
    only 18s now but i'm really looking forward to seeing if this horse
    is fit and ready for this very competitive race and just can't let
    it go at this price.


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    one last one
    it's been a case of will I won't I for this one for the past hour but
    the last run swayed me and i think drumshambo could shrug off
    a 7lb penalty and go in again

    WETHERBY 14:20 HANDICAP CHASE 2m 1f
    27-12-2012 14:20
    Win or E/W
    Drumshambo @ 6/5 (GP)

    Win
    Single: Drumshambo @ 6/5
    1 line at €4.00 per line
    Total stake for this bet: €4.00
    Potential returns: €8.80

    small treble with drum, rose and seymour to finish off
    for the day

    1 line at €1.00 per line
    Total stake for this bet: €1.00
    Potential returns: €15.68
    No: O/20205062/0005195


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »


    Single: Drumshambo @ 6/5 Won
    1 line at €4.00 per line
    Total stake for this bet: €4.00
    Potential returns: €8.80


    No: O/20205062/0005195

    Good start to the day

    seymour a non runner
    im torn between replacing it with wishful thinking or leaving it


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  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    2.40ke wishful thinking 7/4

    Really feel sanctuaire is worth taking on here with
    this one
    hopefully kumbeshwar won't spoil it for me late on

    Win
    Single: Wishfull Thinking @ 7/4
    1 line at €5.00 per line
    Total stake for this bet: €5.00
    Potential returns: €13.75
    No: O/20205062/0005196


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    2.40ke wishful thinking 7/4 Lost

    shouldnt have bothered
    thought i was sorted when he took it up three out but sactuaire
    had other ideas and wishfuls attempt petered out to finish 4th


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    5.30 wolv rose garnet 6/4

    money came for this all day but was caught close home beaten 1/2L

    3.25 weth seymour eric 5 @ 9/4 (bet365) non runner


    3.10leop thegreatjohnbrowne 1.50ew @ 25/1 Lost
    knew my fate here very early on, lol

    Not great overall
    -11.20 today
    bal 91.83


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    3.00 leop Flemenstar @ 11/8


    Single: Flemenstar @ 11/8
    1 line at €25.00 per line
    Total stake for this bet: €25.00
    Potential returns: €59.38
    No: O/20205062/0005197

    Think the world of this horse and I have no doubts about
    him staying the extra half mile
    I'm very confident of finishing ahead of sir des champs again
    and would be more worried about tidal bay but I still can't see
    past flemenstar


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    1.35lim pride of the parish 4/6
    2.25 le back in focus 11/8
    5 eu double (pp)


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    1.35lim pride of the parish 4/6 2nd
    2.25 le back in focus 11/8
    5 eu double (pp)

    pride of the parish goes down by a short head

    thought this one would be shorter
    Win
    Single: Back In Focus @ 11/8
    1 line at €5.00 per line
    Total stake for this bet: €5.00
    Potential returns: €11.88
    No: O/20205062/0005199


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »


    Single: Back In Focus @ 11/8 Won

    wins by a neck or so
    that makes up for the last one
    great ride to get back up


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    3.00 leop Flemenstar @ 11/8 (3rd)
    Single: Flemenstar @ 11/8
    1 line at €25.00 per line

    absolutely gutted
    didn't quite see it out sadly
    thought I had it before it jumped the last

    great race

    bal 69.33


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    one for the road

    LINGFIELD 15:30 HANDICAP (0-65) 7f
    28-12-2012 15:30
    Win or E/W
    Glastonberry @ 7/4 (GP)
    Your Bets
    Win
    Single: Glastonberry @ 7/4
    1 line at €5.00 per line
    Total stake for this bet: €5.00
    Potential returns: €13.75
    No: O/20205062/0005200


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  • Registered Users Posts: 23,846 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    one for the road

    LINGFIELD 15:30

    Single: Glastonberry @ 7/4 Won
    1 line at €5.00 per line

    Did that well

    bal 78.08


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