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ECB cuts rate to 1.25%

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Welease wrote: »
    So what you are saying is that all the economic commentators, governments and financial educated people are wrong? and in fact trackers are not a loss making position for the banks? It is mere perspective?

    Going futher, PTSB were making even more errors by attemping to get rid of trackers at at 10% bonus? because they are in fact making money?

    Does that sum up your position?



    But that doesn't work with your scenario...

    If the liability has been cleared from the banks books... and the total sum repayed to the original lender, then what does it matter what the current cost of borrowing is? Under your belief it is completely irrelevant.. Any new loans would be taken under new higher interest rates.. therefore the banks would never make a loss on any loans?

    Maybe just maybe, as I and many others have stated again and again, your loan is not taken in isolation and the banks continue to borrow short term to fund long term loans? (essentially revolving money through the system). So while you mortgage continues to exist, then the bank have to continue to short term borrow money to fund it (as higher interbank rates than the ECB + bank rate)

    I am saying that the ongoing costs and cost of borrowing is so high that getting people to pay back their trackers gives them more liquidity and give them more leverage. Where did I say anything about a bank never making a loss on a loan? As I say people have defaulted or are in mid default..or stopped paying their mortgage..

    As for the loss making my point is that if the banks stopped dead lending after giving out the trackers and all the tracker mortgage holders paid off their loans in full with interest yes the bank would make a profit..but they dont do that they leverage this new asset (loan repayments) to get further money and as point out its kinda roled over and loaned out again...but if these loans are peforming and paid back in full then the bank makes a profit..The only time when this doesnt happen is if the loan is not paid or the asset is not worth the amount held on the balance sheet and these two points have happened over the last 4/5 years property is down and lots of neg equity and people are stopping payments to their mortgage..

    So my point is you are subsidising defaults, futher costs of borrowing and ongoing banking costs..

    No one yet has come back with how you can subsidise an asset...

    and I have not even thus far brought up the bank bailout and how that further writes down any liability that the bank has


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    SBWife wrote: »
    BECAUSE IT'S NOT TRUE.

    WHY SHOULD I ACCEPT A STATEMENT THAT IS BLATANTLY INCORRECT?

    JUDGING BY YOUR STATEMENTS ON NEGATIVE EQUITY YOU DON'T EVEN UNDERSTAND WHAT A LIABILITY IS.

    Is it not true because you say so?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,287 ✭✭✭SBWife


    fliball123 wrote: »
    Is it not true because you say so?

    NO BECAUSE OF HOW BANKS FUNCTION.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    SBWife wrote: »
    NO BECAUSE OF HOW BANKS FUNCTION.

    A banks function is to make a profit for its shareholders thats its only function...As I say what about Nama???Why was nama created.."to take liabillities off the banks books" ring a bell anyone..So the loan repayments of a mortgage that is no longer on the banks books..how the fcuk can that be a liability too...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,834 ✭✭✭Welease


    fliball123 wrote: »
    I am saying that the ongoing costs and cost of borrowing is so high that getting people to pay back their trackers gives them more liquidity and give them more leverage. Where did I say anything about a bank never making a loss on a loan? As I say people have defaulted or are in mid default..or stopped paying their mortgage..

    So you are saying that the only trackers makign a loss are defaulted trackers? Any data to back that up?
    It flies in the fact of ever article or comment produced by the industry in the last 8 months..
    fliball123 wrote: »
    As for the loss making my point is that if the banks stopped dead lending after giving out the trackers and all the tracker mortgage holders paid off their loans in full with interest yes the bank would make a profit

    Correct, but if they could pay it off immediately they probably wouldnt need a mortgage would they...
    fliball123 wrote: »
    ..but they dont do that they leverage this new asset (loan repayments) to get further money and as point out its kinda roled over and loaned out again...

    Again correct.. We are getting somewhere now.. This is at a high level how banking works.. and you seem to have moved on from your position that your loan is paid for and dealt with in isolation.
    fliball123 wrote: »
    but if these loans are peforming and paid back in full then the bank makes a profit..The only time when this doesnt happen is if the loan is not paid or the asset is not worth the amount held on the balance sheet and these two points have happened over the last 4/5 years property is down and lots of neg equity and people are stopping payments to their mortgage..

    Wrong... and this is where you continue to be wrong.. as the money has to continually revolve through the system (which as you stated above is how banking works) they are charged different rates of interest.. The current rates far exceed the ECB + bank rates, so while I continue to full pay (indeed overpay my tracker) it costs the banks 5%+ to roll that funding over while they only receive 1.75% from me.. It is a full performing LOSS making mortgage to the banks.
    fliball123 wrote: »
    So my point is you are subsidising defaults, futher costs of borrowing and ongoing banking costs..

    Wrong.. if you can show any evidence that only defaulting trackers are loss making for the banks then I'm sure you will produce it..
    And the further costs of borrowing, would be the further costs of borrowing to service YOUR (and others) mortages.

    fliball123 wrote: »
    and I have not even thus far brought up the bank bailout and how that further writes down any liability that the bank has

    Because much like bonus's etc. it's irrelevant to the mechanisms of funding mortgages?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,834 ✭✭✭Welease


    Actually you know what.. don't bother.. You have no interest in understanding the reality of the situation that every commentation, analyst, banker, journalist, educated person understands with relative ease. No amount of information or discussion is going to change that..

    At this stage this is just a waste of time.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Welease wrote: »
    So you are saying that the only trackers makign a loss are defaulted trackers? Any data to back that up?
    It flies in the fact of ever article or comment produced by the industry in the last 8 months..



    Correct, but if they could pay it off immediately they probably wouldnt need a mortgage would they...



    Again correct.. We are getting somewhere now.. This is at a high level how banking works.. and you seem to have moved on from your position that your loan is paid for and dealt with in isolation.



    Wrong... and this is where you continue to be wrong.. as the money has to continually revolve through the system (which as you stated above is how banking works) they are charged different rates of interest.. The current rates far exceed the ECB + bank rates, so while I continue to full pay (indeed overpay my tracker) it costs the banks 5%+ to roll that funding over while they only receive 1.75% from me.. It is a full performing LOSS making mortgage to the banks.



    Wrong.. if you can show any evidence that only defaulting trackers are loss making for the banks then I'm sure you will produce it..




    Because much like bonus's etc. it's irrelevant to the mechanisms of funding mortgages?

    Point 1 No tracker that is paying back their loan is NOT making a loss it is UNDERPERFORMING when compared with the cost of borrowing presently as pointed out if the ECB shoots up to 10% are we still then so called subsidising the variable rate?

    As for the 2nd point..You may have misunderstood me...I am saying in a scenario where when all tracker mortages taken in isolation paid back there full loan amount with interest and the banks stopped lending so no rolling over the trackers repayments the bank would make a profit and yes there would be a need for a mortage?

    as for the 3rd point a loan is dealt with in Isolation no one else pays my loan..what the bank chooses to do with that money when I am paying back this loan is their business..Its like putting a bet on for 5 Euros winning back 10 quid and then puting that 10 on again and losing it and then trying to say that its the fault of the original 5 Euro bet that you lost your money.

    As for point 4 This is where we differ..You think that the tracker mortgage holder should be responsible for the banks gambling and using the money they pay back in good faith for further loans. As in the analogy in 3 if you keep putting your winnings on the law of averages is that your going to lose your money..I think where we differ is that you see loans as a whole I see an individual mortgage where the money with interest is being paid back..Why do people with variable mortgages blame tracker mortgage holder for the gambling of bankers

    As for Point 5 have a look at Nama why was is set up..The liability side of most banks have been completely written down or do you deny this.

    As for point 6 so bankers bonuses, banking costs have no correlation to what your paying..Then why are banks increasing interest rates even without the ECB going up.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Welease wrote: »
    Actually you know what.. don't bother.. You have no interest in understanding the reality of the situation that every commentation, analyst, banker, journalist, educated person understands with relative ease. No amount of information or discussion is going to change that..

    At this stage this is just a waste of time.

    Go on take your ball and go home then..

    No commentator , Analyst , banker, Jounalist or any other person is paying back my loan..I will pay back the full amount with interest..This is a point of view thing...My point of view is how can anyone else be subsidising my mortgage when I am paying back in full with interest..You can go on about the internal workings of banking practises all you want...But you are putting the blame squarely at the wong people..Is it my fault the banks choose to take the money I pay back and pay it out in further loans??No as I say people on variable rates are paying back Bankers gambling, bonuses, cost of business and the increasing cost of borrowing not to mentions defaults...Take your pick out of that list they should be where your anger is directed not at me

    And if you want to continue the discussion at an adult level answer 3 things

    1: Nama - why was it created
    2: Can you prove that an Asset can be subsidised - by its very nature it cant be...prove me wrong.
    3: Are tracker mortgages still subsidising variable rate mortgage holders if the ECB shoots up to 10%

    Answer those 3 questions and I will bow to your superior knowledge?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,218 ✭✭✭✭Bannasidhe


    Variable rate mortgage holders Vs Tracker mortgage holders.

    Private sector workers Vs Public sector workers.

    All tearing strips off each other.

    Seanie Fitz, Fingers and Biffo must be loving this. Not only does Divide and Rule work - but Divide and Slink away to enjoy big fat pension while everyone is distracted knocking lumps out of each other works too!

    Bertie waved shiny things at us to get our attention. It worked.

    Now the powers that be shout -'look, that other guy (on the dole/ in the PS/with a Tracker) is getting a better deal then you!!' It's working.

    Mature nation my hole :mad:.


  • Posts: 23,497 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    Ok lets do it using Kippy's figures


    2003-2006
    * Person A and Person B both graduate in 2003
    * with lets say engineering degree
    * and get a stable job (obvously not PS so no promotions, increments etc :P) with a steady pay of 36,000 a year > 28,000 after tax for next 30 years

    * both continue to rent for 3 years with a yearly rent spend of 9,000 or 750 a month (a bit on high side but hey lets flow with it)
    * both save 11,000 a year for 3 years leaving 8,000 euro a year to spend on bills, cars ,entertainment etc etc


    3 years since graduation
    2006
    The paths of Person A and Person B here diverge

    * Person A buys a house for 400,000 using up the 33,000 he/she saved and getting a tracker mortgage of 368,000 at 2.25% for 30 years, thats 1,400 a month, 17,000 a year every year for 30 years :eek: this person also continues to put aside 3K a year into savings (for the sake of comparison with Persons B 9K rent + 11K savings == 17K mortgage + 3K savings )...........................


    Mortgage of €368,000 on a gross salary of €36,000 :eek:


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,904 ✭✭✭✭average_runner


    RoverJames wrote: »
    Mortgage of €368,000 on a gross salary of €36,000 :eek:



    If someone took out a mortage that high on that level of salary, they were asking for trouble and deserve no help as they knew it was unmaintainable!!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,364 ✭✭✭ei.sdraob


    RoverJames wrote: »
    Mortgage of €368,000 on a gross salary of €36,000 :eek:

    I know i know if 10x earnings didnt send any alarm bells ringing with the borrower or bank...
    stranger things did happen around then unfortunately :(
    like people taking out 30-35 year loans and now will have to be repaying way into their 70s? like that guy on recently on Frontline

    Could adjust the salary of A and B to lets say 50K to give more disposable income, but the end result would be the same provided the savings rate, rental and mortgage rates remain the same



    as per disclaimer in post inflation is not accounted for (would hurt saver and go in favour of indebted one), neither is any interest on earnings, tax rates remain same and so on, since these variables would affect both more or less the same in long term could exclude em


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 942 ✭✭✭bbsrs





    I'll have no problem spending it, I'll be very happy with the value I will get for it. You seem to be implying I would have been happier spending even more for the same thing a few years ago, I don't think so

    implied nothing , I meant what I said genuinely.


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