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Derek's new (and hopefully improved) log.

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    Sound man, it was nice to get the luck today with several late goals.
    6 x €5 doubles, all over 2.5

    1.
    Brampton United v Serbian White Eagles

    2.
    Atvidabergs FF v Landskrona BoIS

    3.
    Falkenbergs FF v GIF Sundsvall

    4.
    Jonkopings Sodra v Assyriska Foren

    If 1 and 2 win I get back €11.31
    If 1 and 3 win I get back €11.59
    If 2 and 3 win I get back €12.05
    If 1 and 4 win I get back €12.17
    If 2 and 4 win I get back €12.65
    If 3 and 4 win I get back €12.96

    If all win the return would be €72.73 (€42.73 profit)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    Bad day today -€30, I'm not to discouraged though it was nothin more than just bad pickin on my part.

    Staked:
    €634.00
    Returned:
    €565.82

    -€68.18


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    6 x €5 doubles, all over 2.5

    1.
    Turkey v Azerbaijan 18:00

    2.
    Spain v Scotland 19:45

    3.
    Germany v Belgium 18:00

    4.
    Southport v York 19:45

    If 1 and 2 win I get back €11.07
    If 1 and 3 win I get back €11.07
    If 2 and 3 win I get back €11.76
    If 1 and 4 win I get back €13.00
    If 2 and 4 win I get back €13.80
    If 3 and 4 win I get back €13.80

    If all win the return would be €74.50 (€44.50 profit)
    ________________________________________________________

    €5 aswell on the above in an accumulator.
    €5 returns €30.56


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    Crap again today, I need to get my act together!

    Staked: €664.00
    Returned: €
    577.58

    -€86.42


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    **** sake i'm so bad at maths i kept gettin a different answer to the same sum :o

    And its still wrong it should be -91.42, I forgot the €5 bet


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    Today I have decided to write out the stats behind why I'm pickin what I pick, not that it's been workin frown.gif but I hope it will help me pick better bets.

    Avai v Atletico Goianiense

    Avai have a home record of 71.42% goin over 2.5 goals this season smile.gif
    Atletico Goianiense on the other hand have an away record of 50% goin overs this season.
    That is a worry but they concede quite a lot. 2 from 3 have been overs in the H2H
    ________________________________________________________________

    America MG v Ceara

    America MG have 64.28% overs at home this season
    Ceara's record is only 50% overs away from home
    When both sides played last time it was a 4-0 home win for Ceara so hopefully there will be more goals in this one.
    ________________________________________________________________

    KuPS Kuopio v FC Honka

    KuPS Kuopio 57.14% overs at home
    FC Honka 69.23% overs away
    The last match resulted in a 3-1 win for Honka.
    Lookin at the H2H record only 3 of the last 10 between the 2 have been unders.
    All of those were 2-0 away wins for Honka.
    ________________________________________________________________

    TPS v MyPa

    TPS home record of 73.33% overs at home
    MyPa have an away record for overs of 50%
    Again lookin at the H2H record 3 from 10 have been unders including a 0-0 last time they played.
    ________________________________________________________________

    6 x €5 doubles, all over 2.5 goals

    1.
    Avai v Atletico Goianiense 20:00

    2.
    America MG v Ceara 20:00

    3.
    KuPS Kuopio v FC Honka Thursday 16:30

    4.
    TPS v MyPa Thursday 16:30

    If 1 and 2 win I get back €16.65
    If 1 and 3 win I get back €14.14
    If 2 and 3 win I get back €14.54
    If 1 and 4 win I get back €14.85
    If 2 and 4 win I get back €15.26
    If 3 and 4 win I get back €12.96

    If all win the return would be €88.40 (€58.40 profit)
    ________________________________________________________________

    And I'm goin to waste a €5 free bet on them all in a accumulator
    €5 (free bet) returns €38.17


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    Pissed off to say the least, the usual one goal away again ****! + €15.33 today though.

    Staked: €699.00
    Returned: €622.91


    -€76.09


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    Dont have the time to write out my reasonin today but the stats say I should have a decent chance :rolleyes:
    6 x €5 doubles, all over 2.5 goals

    1.
    Bochum v Eintracht Frankfurt 17:00

    2. Port Vale v Northampton 19:45

    3.
    Aberystwyth v Neath 19:30

    4.
    Man City v Aston Villa 15:00 Saturday

    If 1 and 2 win I get back €14.13
    If 1 and 3 win I get back €12.12
    If 2 and 3 win I get back €13.13
    If 1 and 4 win I get back €13.05
    If 2 and 4 win I get back €14.13
    If 3 and 4 win I get back €12.12

    If all win the return would be €78.68 (€48.68 profit)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    €10 treble, all over 2.5 goals
    Man city, Rangers and Bayern matches.
    €10 returns €38.89


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    I should have known better than to trust Rangers.
    Chelsea to win and over 2.5 goals @ evens, €10 returns €20


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    I think i'll have to re think my strategy, this aint workin out.

    Staked: €749.00
    Returned: €657.04


    -€91.96


  • Posts: 23,497 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Derek! wrote: »
    ...... this aint workin out.

    ..........

    Join the club :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    RoverJames wrote: »
    Join the club :D
    It's fairly annoyin when you get nothin back for the time ya put in.

    A treble of overs in these matches.

    Rosenborg v Aalesund 19:00
    SC Freiburg v Hamburg 14:30
    Ljungskile v IK Brage 14:00

    €15 returns €56


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    Jaysus the one I forgot to post and doesn't count towards the log wins :mad:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    Treble has just won, +€41 today.
    I think i'm probably better off doin a treble I fancy and riskin less money, cause i'd need 3 from 4 anyway the 6 doubles way just so I dont make a loss.

    Staked: €764.00
    Returned: €713.04


    -€50.96


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    I'm goin for a treble of over 2.5 goals

    IK Start v SK Brann 18:00
    Fortuna Sittard v Telstar 19:00
    Southampton v West Ham 19:45 Tuesday

    €10 returns €40


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    The first 2 overs in at HT, it's normally much more of a sweat waitin for the goals.
    I guess that's what tomorrow will be though.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    Just as I thought, -€10 for the last bet

    Staked: €774
    Returned: €713.04

    -€60.96


    A treble of overs

    Porto, Chelsea and Watford matches
    €10 returns €45


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    No goals at all in the 2nd half for 2 of the matches, things looked so good at HT :(

    Staked: €784
    Returned: €713.04

    -€70.96


    An over 1.5 treble today with the kind of odds you'd expect.
    I wouldn't be half surprised to see this one fail given the way the log is goin.
    Statistically it has a great chance :rolleyes:

    1860 Munich v Paderborn
    Fortuna Dusseldorf v Hansa Rostock
    De Graafschap v NAC

    €20 returns €35.20


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Derek! wrote: »
    Jaysus the one I forgot to post and doesn't count towards the log wins :mad:

    Nice one D,it's always that way though :pac:


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    I know :rolleyes: maybe next time who knows.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    +€15.20 today, a winner for a change

    Staked: €804
    Returned: €748.24

    -€55.76




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    €5 on Ba (Newcastle) FGS @ 4/1


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    -€5 today, the log is goin a bit **** but it's workin wonders in me keepin my discipline :)

    Staked: €809
    Returned:
    €748.24

    -€60.76
    __________________________________________________________

    An over 2.5 double

    Real and Barca games tonight

    €20 returns €42



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