Wicklow

murpho999 · 01-03-2011 02:19AM

worsel wrote: »

It not just 240 Papers they have to Look At
I think they have to Look at all of Doyles 10035 First Pref .. Votes --and see what the Next or next or next Pref is --is that Correct ???
How does PR Work

AFAIK, they won't look at all of Doyle's votes but a random sample of them and then apportion the percentages out from them and distribute votes.

In interests of fairness they should look at every vote and record the preferences but that takes too long, so random samples is what they use.

18th count now in

Brady +42
Donnelly +37

Mothman · 01-03-2011 02:21AM

Brady 9839
Donnelly 9946

Timmons surplus to be distributed

d'Oracle · 01-03-2011 02:23AM

This should only take 15min, right?

murpho999 · 01-03-2011 02:23AM

Is this all we are waiting on now?

Have Fitzgerald's votes, who was the last eliminated candidate been transferred?

worsel · 01-03-2011 02:24AM

Dont think its looking too good for J Brady -- although he picked up 10.1& FP votes and with Donnely on 9.3% FP... cant see Brady picking up !! - Unlickely that a FG vote will go to SF ?

DeVore · 01-03-2011 02:25AM

From what I can tell we are only distributing the surpluses of the FG candidates who are exceeding the quota. FitzG's have already been distributed.

DeV.

DeVore · 01-03-2011 02:25AM

In short, and without jinxing anything.... this is looking good for Stevoooooo!

DeV.

murpho999 · 01-03-2011 02:26AM

Have to laugh at music on East Coast FM while they are waiting on results

So far I have heard.

Against All Odds Phil Collins

One -U2

No Promises Shayne Ward

Very middle of the road but funny election songs!

ergo · 01-03-2011 02:26AM

After count 18

John Brady (SF) 9839 (+42)
Stephen Donnelly (Ind) 9946 (+37)
Anne Ferris (Lab) 11042 (+94)
Simon Harris (FG) 11459 (+67)

Billy Timmins' surplus of 116 votes now being distributed

so nobody (by my reckoning) can reach quota even if they get all the surplus votes..so will she call it then?

murpho999 · 01-03-2011 02:30AM

ergo wrote: »

After count 18

John Brady (SF) 9839 (+42)
Stephen Donnelly (Ind) 9946 (+37)
Anne Ferris (Lab) 11042 (+94)
Simon Harris (FG) 11459 (+67)

Billy Timmins' surplus of 116 votes now being distributed

so nobody (by my reckoning) can reach quota even if they get all the surplus votes..so will she call it then?

Yep, defo, Harris and Ferris will be elected without reaching quota as will one from Brady and Donnelly, then tomorrow will be a recount from 13th count and then there will be Dick Roche's court challenge when he arrives tomorrow with George Bush's lawyers!

worsel · 01-03-2011 02:31AM

redistributing Timmins surplus of 116
9946-9839=107 !!!

murpho999 · 01-03-2011 02:36AM

worsel wrote: »

redistributing Timmins surplus of 116
9946-9839=107 !!!

Yea, think we can take it Donnelly has it as there is no way that Brady has gotten over 108 votes from Timmons surplus as most will go to Harris.

So all just depends now on Brady asking for a recount, which I will assume will be tomorrow and not tonight.

Either way, recount is only from 13th count not 1st so won't take that long.

worsel · 01-03-2011 02:36AM

I'm Confused !!!
Have a look at the two links under.
In longford after the First Count they got rid of 5 candidates and re-distributed there votes ...
While in Wicklow after the first Count they eliminated only one candidate ...while ( to me anyway) they could have eliminated the Bottom 12 ??

http://www.rte.ie/news/election2011/results/wicklow.html
V
http://www.rte.ie/news/election2011/results/longford-westmeath.html

Does Anybody yknow of any Internet Site --that explains PR ??..

murpho999 · 01-03-2011 02:43AM

worsel wrote: »

I'm Confused !!!
Have a look at the two links under.
In longford after the First Count they got rid of 5 candidates and re-distributed there votes ...
While in Wicklow after the first Count they eliminated only one candidate ...while ( to me anyway) they could have eliminated the Bottom 12 ??

http://www.rte.ie/news/election2011/results/wicklow.html
V
http://www.rte.ie/news/election2011/results/longford-westmeath.html

Does Anybody yknow of any Internet Site --that explains PR ??..

In Longford-Westmeath they eliminated the 5 candidates because the total of their votes together was 1,029 which was less than Mary O'Rourke's 3,046 votes in 6th place so the bottom 5 had no chance of surpassing her.

In Wicklow as there were so many candidates with small amounts of votes the gaps weren't big enough so they had to be eliminated one at a time.

Hope this helps.

Here's a Wiki to help explain

d'Oracle · 01-03-2011 02:54AM

5 min and I'm gone.

worsel · 01-03-2011 02:56AM

Thanks Murfo999... Head is Gone .. Will haveto Look at that Link in the Morning ..... After the News at 1:00pm !!!!

murpho999 · 01-03-2011 02:56AM

d'Oracle wrote: »

5 min and I'm gone.

I know what you mean......it was a different month when I started following this count!:D

ergo · 01-03-2011 02:57AM

d'Oracle wrote: »

5 min and I'm gone.

me too

getting up in the morning not gonna be much fun :eek:

Capt'n Midnight · 01-03-2011 02:58AM

0254 Big huddle under way involving John Brady's Sinn Féin team and the returning officer. Will there be a request for a recount?

ergo · 01-03-2011 03:08AM

from twitter

seems certain to be a recount with projected difference of 100

ergo · 01-03-2011 03:11AM

here we go now

Mountain_Surfer · 01-03-2011 03:12AM

Uuuuugh hurry up want to go to bed already

murpho999 · 01-03-2011 03:12AM

Result

Harris +53 11512
Ferris+28 11070
Donnelly+20 9966
Brady+15 9854

Harris, Ferris, Donnelly Elected.

Recount?

Ron DMC · 01-03-2011 03:13AM

Confirmation: Stephen Donnelly has it. Wahey.

Some cheers to be heard on East Coast FM.

Delighted!!

01-03-2011 03:13AM

Donnelly in? No recount!

Mountain_Surfer · 01-03-2011 03:14AM

Yeah buddy:D

murpho999 · 01-03-2011 03:15AM

Recount confirmed from Count 14 begins tomorrow at 3pm. Could be back here again tomorrow night!

Ron DMC · 01-03-2011 03:15AM

Counts 14 to 19 to be recounted tomorrow from 3pm.

Result won't change in my opinion.

Andrew76 · 01-03-2011 03:16AM

Ron DMC wrote: »

Counts 14 to 19 to be recounted tomorrow from 3pm.

Result won't change in my opinion.

Recount from Brady withdrawn. Donnelly in.

01-03-2011 03:17AM

It's over! Donnelly in...

Wicklow

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