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The Week in Politics 'election more likley than spring by-elections'

  • 07-11-2010 11:53PM
    #1
    ArtSmart
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,610 ✭✭✭


    whathis face from the IT said he reckoned an election was more likely than the spring by-elections.

    Reckon he's right?

    (dont know if this deserves a thread as i have one similar, but i'll let the mods decide that.:))


Comments

  • #2
    RedDawn
    Closed Accounts Posts: 28 ✭RedDawn


    Most definitely.

    Independents and FF backbenchers will be looking for a good time to revolt to save their own skins.

    The FFers will probably rejoin FF or join FG after they win elections as independents..


  • #3
    The Volt
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,957 ✭✭✭The Volt


    Definitely.

    If this budget falls then they'll call it I reckon. Can't see FF wanting to put themselves through the humiliation of bye elections.


  • #4
    RedDawn
    Closed Accounts Posts: 28 ✭RedDawn


    Voltwad wrote: »
    Definitely.

    If this budget falls then they'll call it I reckon. Can't see FF wanting to put themselves through the humiliation of bye elections.

    Not to mention that if they lose the bye elections, they'll lose a majority anyway.


  • #5
    gandalf
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,457 ✭✭✭✭gandalf


    I expect the budget to pass as FG and Labour abstain using the cloak of placating the markets. Then when the 3 other by-elections happen in the new year and FF lose them all I expect the Government to fall and a General Election to be called. I would expect that to happen before the end of March.


  • #6
    ArtSmart
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,610 ✭✭✭ArtSmart


    gandalf wrote: »
    I expect the budget to pass as FG and Labour abstain using the cloak of placating the markets. Then when the 3 other by-elections happen in the new year and FF lose them all I expect the Government to fall and a General Election to be called. I would expect that to happen before the end of March.

    well that's a certainty - one that FF is all too aware of. question is, will FF backbenchers say **** this, better to go to the electorate before the budget, than after it - you know, selfish 'save my seat' sentiments. don't think they follow the party elite's 'country first' mentality - in as much as it exists (debatable)


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  • #7
    RedDawn
    Closed Accounts Posts: 28 ✭RedDawn


    gandalf wrote: »
    I expect the budget to pass as FG and Labour abstain using the cloak of placating the markets. Then when the 3 other by-elections happen in the new year and FF lose them all I expect the Government to fall and a General Election to be called. I would expect that to happen before the end of March.

    I highly doubt Labour will abstain, it would ruin their popularity whereas it wouldn't ruin Fine Gael's. Their base support is in different ideological areas at this point..


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