⚠️ Storm Dave Sat. 4 April 2026

Really does look to have significantly shifted southernly on latest runs.

Nowhere near the gust levels showing in the N/NW on tonight's runs compared to as recently as this afternoon.

Counties like Cork (East), Waterford and Wexford look more likely to take a heavier brunt at this rate.

AROME the only model that still gives the NW the same battering as had been predicted across the last few days.

The southerly option seems to be gaining traction but you’d want to be brave to bet against Arome at such a short timeframe…

It's for Saturday

How is it looking in clare?

The GFS is showing a twin center that I mentioned earlier today as it reaches the west coast at around 8pm. This would disperse the winds to different areas due to the calmer elongated structure. It's then meant to undergo this second developmental stage to a more organised low center while tracking from Ireland to Scotland. The models are struggling with this development. Interesting to see how this evolves. Plenty of prolonged rainfall all along the west coast before the main rainband starts moving east in the afternoon.

Wait is it too late to cry wolf DAMN.

Was just looking at met.ie and they have this. So it seems to me they should only name storms if they are orange or higher. So was this going to be much worse, and it's been downgraded, or is there another reason it got named?

WHY AND HOW ARE STORMS NAMED?

Storms are named when they could cause ‘medium’ or ‘high’ impacts in one of the three partner countries. This enables consistent, authoritative messaging to the public and other stakeholders to help them to prepare for and stay safe during potentially severe weather events.

I think the UK Met office named this storm.

Seaguls must be going by Arome. They woke me up at 5am.

Freezing down here in wexford and wet, very wet but nothing on the radar

That's yet another storm system that ends up pushing further and further south with each model run, especially in the last day or two before the event.

Dave looked like impacting N/NW counties the most and is now primarily a S/SE event.

Think we're seeing a good trend in this happening now with several recent storms following this trajectory.

Just something to note for future analysis.

The HARMONIE model showing gusts of 130km/h on the Waterford/Wexford coast at 7pm/8pm tonight, around that Dunmore East and Fethard area.

Despite the warnings, I'm sure there will inevitably be campers down at Hook Head given the weekend that's in it, but given it's "only a yellow" some people may not realise the seriousness of what's ahead, so flagging it here just in case people that way inclined see it in advance.

We are close to curracloe in wexford in the mobile, very exposed here so should be fun

Wind and rain building up in North Donegal.

I have to admit I do enjoy a good storm .