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⚠️ Storm Dave Sat. 4 April 2026

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,749 ✭✭✭DayInTheBog


    Are you looking at 2to5 on Saturday or Sunday?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,453 ✭✭✭BrentMused


    Really does look to have significantly shifted southernly on latest runs.

    Nowhere near the gust levels showing in the N/NW on tonight's runs compared to as recently as this afternoon.

    Counties like Cork (East), Waterford and Wexford look more likely to take a heavier brunt at this rate.

    AROME the only model that still gives the NW the same battering as had been predicted across the last few days.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,321 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    That newspaper has always boiled my p*ss so many misleading posts from them , even.the slightest bit of snow ❄️ it's saying a blizzard or beast from the east , or sun it's saying temperatures set to sizzle to 26c with drought conditions expected



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 13,383 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    80 to 90 km/h overland from the GFS in parts more so the Southern half of the country, touching around 100km/h along Southern coasts for a time ( maybe a bit more on exposed headlands ), also a lot more rain on this run as can be seen on the 24 hr predictions although other models not as much widespread away from the Western coastal areas apart from UKMO.

    ECM 12Z something similar to the GFS although not as wet, neither really develop the strongest winds along the NW, N like ARPEGE /AROME those.

    UKMO similar to ECM /GFS as is ICON, HARMONIE, and the Multi Hi Res and Global models.

    ARPEGE / AROME 18Z still the strongest but has eased off some bit on those very strong winds.

    All models have the winds going through that bit quicker too.

    modusa_20260405_0100_animation (1).gif

    modusa_20260405_0100_animation.gif

    xx_model-en-324-0_modusa_2026040318_31_949_63.png

    xx_model-en-324-0_modez_2026040312_38_949_63.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,504 ✭✭✭MrFrisp


    Jesus christ man.. They can barely predict what's going to happen on Tuesday. 2/3 weeks? Ffs

    Sit back and have a cup of tea. Let's get over this weekend first.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 625 ✭✭✭Ros4Sam24


    The southerly option seems to be gaining traction but you’d want to be brave to bet against Arome at such a short timeframe…

    IMG_1490.jpeg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 103 ✭✭Tzmaster90




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,125 ✭✭✭Robwindstorm




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,752 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Nothing major showing on the TAF's

    Knock Airport showing southerly winds veering south westerly and gusting up to 45 knots between 12pm-5pm but easing rapidly with just 12 knots forecast between 7pm-9pm

    Those in the East will have south westerly winds up to 45 knots from mid afternoon until 8pm.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 103 ✭✭Tzmaster90




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 6,127 ✭✭✭Widdensushi


    Like a good day, it's a complete non event,windy day "blown" out of proportion, another boy who cried wolf....



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,125 ✭✭✭Robwindstorm


    The GFS is showing a twin center that I mentioned earlier today as it reaches the west coast at around 8pm. This would disperse the winds to different areas due to the calmer elongated structure. It's then meant to undergo this second developmental stage to a more organised low center while tracking from Ireland to Scotland. The models are struggling with this development. Interesting to see how this evolves. Plenty of prolonged rainfall all along the west coast before the main rainband starts moving east in the afternoon.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 784 ✭✭✭PixelCrafter


    It's only a status yellow - i.e. 'your bins might blow over if they're badly positioned' and consider a mild tidy up of stuff that might blow around type weather rather than anything drastic as a warning so far.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 103 ✭✭Tzmaster90




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,772 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Not looking too bad. My app has snow in the North inland now over the course of Saturday Sunday morning



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