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How many of us think that unification is no longer a priority and don't really want unification ?

24567

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 8,445 ✭✭✭facehugger99


    Very easy to be romantic about something when you haven’t been told how much it’s costing.

    First mention of a Unification Tax and you’ll see the romance evaporate extremely quickly.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,726 ✭✭✭Benedict XVI


    It won't be called a Unification Tax for a start.

    No main party in the south will be against unification, so there will be no big canvas for a No vote, and thus the costs and benefits will not be fully debated and understood by the general public.

    And really at the end of the day the heart will rule the head.

    We are far less pragmatic than we like to think we are.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,114 ✭✭✭✭zell12


    NI is unique in Europe, posited in UK and EU. They'd be nuts to rescind that economic luck. If only those in Stormont banged their heads together, the economy would start to fly. also NHS, good governance, the services for council tax, but importantly consumer goods - means the cost of living would skyrocket in NI



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 927 ✭✭✭littlefeet


    It will take about 100 years and be so slow no one will notice,

    Despite the performative politics.

    No one in NI would give up the NHS, the education system, the services, the cheaper housing, the UK banking and and financial systems the services.

    Although it's getting very shabby looking in comparison to here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,726 ✭✭✭Benedict XVI


    I don't understand what you mean by

    why is the ROI always 20 or 30 years behind the rest of the world

    What are you implying?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 325 ✭✭MadeInKerry


    What Ive noticed is that everyone will tell you yes they want unification, but when you actually start to talk properly with them they will say something like "I dont really want it and will vote against it, but its easier to just agree with everyone who has a strong opinion on it for the sake of not having an argument."

    When asked for reasons most will say that things are fine the way they are and they see no reason to change. Nobody is fooled into thinking it wont cost everyone in the country an arm and a leg in the long run either, no matter what way the costs are hidden.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,507 ✭✭✭✭ILoveYourVibes


    I am very passionate about it and most of my age group are.

    It will not ignite violence as it was the british state that ignited it. And who is going to fund loyalism? No one.

    If anything things will be quieter. The british state funded the violence and started it with them gone .. there is no issue.

    Who is going to kick off in a united ireland? Only hardcore loyalists right? Who will fund them? Iran ? lol libya? No one. No one likes them. The british won't fund them. They will be maybe at best low level drug dealers and it will die out.

    The British state ignited the violence. As long as the british state is present on the island of ireland there is ALWAYS a real danger the only way peace is SETTLED in fact is a united ireland. Only people dont know their history are against a united ireland.

    People who are well read on the troubles realize we were lied to all along and that the ONLY way to settle and secure the peace is the end to the british state on our island. The british will thank us too.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 462 ✭✭cgorzy


    I think a lot of people in the North will vote to give up the NHS, UK services etc. but what percentage is the question when the time comes. There is a big incentive for a party in the Dáil genuinely wanting a United Ireland to push towards a no cost health service but it is a big ask to change from the existing model of Private Insurance in hospital setting etc. without even thinking about free GP care. Health System is in very poor shape in the North so it is no better in that way.

    I don’t think there is a will on either side of NI politics to make the joint access to EU and UK work so it would not be a big factor.

    Personally I’m all for a United Ireland, I do find it is a lot more popular among people I know from outside the Dublin area to those I know from there.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,507 ✭✭✭✭ILoveYourVibes


    Here is the thing though.

    We should value ourselves enough to be giving this level of healthcare to ourselves.

    I want a united Ireland. But I dont want to take away healthcare from people in the North. So why are we not deserving of the same healthcare that british people get?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 8,445 ✭✭✭facehugger99


    If you think the costs and issues associated with unification won't be robustly debated in the run up to a vote on the issue, I can only surmise that you're completely deluded.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 927 ✭✭✭littlefeet


    Self interest is always what's it about in the end.

    There is a huge difference between supporting a United Ireland and an actual United Ireland.

    Then there is the emergence of a new NI identity which is neighter Irish nor British.

    A lot of buyers regret in the UK about Brexit for example.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 462 ✭✭cgorzy


    I suppose we have to remember that free Healthcare in itself does not make it better. Politically it sounds much better and there is a very positive attitude towards the NHS even while people see where it is failing. In terms of convincing one to vote for a United Ireland I think saying you will pay some but have better outcomes, if that is true at the time, will be a hard sell.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,726 ✭✭✭Benedict XVI


    What main political party is going to stand up and say it's too expensive?

    And without a main political party behind the case for it being too expensive you will be left with fringe elements making that case.

    And fringe elements are easy to dismiss.

    And remember, SF will be pushing very hard from the "it won't cost us a penny,we will be better off" side.

    It will be SF with the equivalent of the Brexit bus.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 50 ✭✭Migdal_Or


    No interest in it either, and I'm far from convinced that it'd pass if a border poll was held. I recall reading an article in the Irish Times a few years ago, which detailed the surprising low level of interaction between us and NI. 80% have no family relations in NI, 66% have no friends up there either. I, like many I know, have never been to NI.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 927 ✭✭✭littlefeet


    It is a bit like the Irish language debate if you have to persuade people you are already on the loosing foot.

    Either it's the right thing to do purley on it's own merits, even if it has a hefty cost or its not the right thing to do.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,677 ✭✭✭Cyclingtourist


    As a resident in the Republic and citizen of Ireland I'm in principal in favour of unification achieved peacefully supported by a majority in NI.

    I don't see a majority being pro-UI in NI in the near future and until there is it will remain a principled desire rather than a practical proposition.

    I'm also sceptical about polling in the Republic on this while it's still an aspiration rather than an imminent reality.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 462 ✭✭cgorzy


    Yeah can only see it as being unhelpful to a United Ireland vote in the North even in some cases where the voter might not be at any loss, either because they would not pay anyway or better outcomes make it worth paying. With modern campaigning it would be all about finding each voters fear and bombarding them on it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 532 ✭✭✭NiceFella


    This is exactly the energy we don't need when discussing this issue imo.

    Do you think loyalists in the north would share your view that it was only the British that caused violence?? Maybe look at the facts again.

    I'm sorry, but if your attitude is to ignore a sizeable minority on the basis that they can't do anything about it (weather getting funding for arms etc) if we force unification down their throats then you should stay far away from a sensible conversation on the topic.

    People were killed on both sides north and south and people who gloss over the hard work to get peace from all sides should be ignored.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,782 ✭✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    “Self interest is always what's it about in the end.”

    From my perspective, culturally we’re well apart from folk in Northern Ireland for the last 100 years. There are too many people there who don’t want to see a united ireland - and I for one don’t want to see those people forced to be part of a united ireland.

    But I do think more interaction between north and south would be helpful to maintain peace and stability and understanding- and that may lead to a wish for a united ireland over many decades- but right now, no- there’s way too much baggage around - it would be a disaster and the UK would be laughing their pants off at us , relieved that they’ve finally unleashed the NI burden



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 8,445 ✭✭✭facehugger99


    Remind me again how many of the main political parties called for a 'yes' vote in the two referenda held in 2024?

    I'll tell you - FF,FG, SF, Green, SD, PBP, Labour.

    About 70% of the electorate voted no in each case.

    I guess people aren't the good little sheep you think they are - they'll make decisions in their own best interests and in the interest of their kids - saddling ourselves with the financial black hole that is NI won't be something we decide to do.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,885 ✭✭✭Deagol


    I think everyone so far has overlooked the most basic of facts when it comes to how most people vote / react when change is suggested. The status quo is nearly always the default for the majority of people, unless they can see some definite positive for them personally they will tend to stick with the way things are.

    And I think unification is a very, very hard sell on that front. I can't really think of any positives that I could sell to the voters if I was a politician beyond the romantiscm mentioned in another post. My suspicion is even a fair number of "nationalist" voters in the north will have second thoughts about it when it comes to an actual vote and they've had to time to see the arguments and digest them. Polls are misleading in my view on this as they are often not considered arguments but simply a yes or no question in isolation.

    People mostly are resistant to change, especially if they're 'ok' as it is. The polls I can find all are suggesting at least a NO vote would win in NI by 8% which is a big number in voting terms. And that's before the politicians against it start pointing out all the negatives (real or imagined) whereas the politicians in favour = what can they point to as positives?

    For me anyway personally, until NI is a functioning 'state' with 'normal' levels of civil service employment (currently it has 40% more than England) and doesn't need subventing to the tune of ~£10b (25% of it's GDP) a year, my vote would be a very quick NO.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,726 ✭✭✭Benedict XVI


    You cannot compare a referendum on changes to text in the constitution to a referendum on unification of Ireland.

    One is just another referendum which had a 44% turnout, the other is about something that has dominated the narrative of the island for over 100 years if not for over 800 years.

    People will vote with their hearts in a unification referendum and it will pass with flying colours in the south.

    I guarantee it.

    This will not be a referendum to give the government of the day a kicking.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 8,445 ✭✭✭facehugger99


    Maybe it's something that's 'dominating the narrative' in your head but I assure you the vast majority of people give it very little thought, if any at all.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39 shinnerbot09


    Hopefully its the only way "the party" will get control of the country

    diesel washing plants and smuggled smokes everywhere , throwing up buildings planning or not . O so much cash to be creamed off for Bulgarian holiday homes and slow racehorses

    A glorious time for the organisation

    The army council told me to say yes but free state SF would lose big time



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,726 ✭✭✭Benedict XVI


    Then there is the emergence of a new NI identity which is neighter Irish nor British.

    In reality there's not.

    Look at the census from 2011 and 2021.

    In the national identity question the % that said "Northern Irish Only" roughly stayed the same.

    20.9% in 2011, 19.8% in 2021.

    Meanwhile "British Only" fell from 39.9% to 31.9% and "Irish Only" rose from 25.3% to 29.1%

    By 2031 "Irish Only" will be the largest identity.

    There is some small movement towards "British and Northern Irish", it went from 6.2% to 8.0%

    All things being equal, give it a few more decades and that "Irish Only" number will be a major factor in convincing the UK government that a unification referendum will pass in NI.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,726 ✭✭✭Benedict XVI


    You're trying to tell me the border and everything that has come with it has not been the main political narrative of this island for over 100 years.

    If it hasn't been tell me what has ?

    Don't get me wrong, I'm not a nationalist or a republican, if the border stayed there for the rest of my life it would not bother me, but you cannot ignore that it hasn't been a huge part of our history and remains so.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 50 ✭✭Migdal_Or


    No, some people would vote with their hearts, but the vast majority would vote with their heads. If you think the average person in Dublin is going to vote for a UI that makes their lives worse financially or otherwise, then think again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39 shinnerbot09


    Not for the last 20 years or more .

    hate to break it to you but most normal people in Ireland are glad we dont have to deal with the feral childish notions that persist in NI , not to mention the hoards of tattooed football jersey wearing goons who claim to hate thier governments while at the same time leaching and scrounging off the same state as generational social parasites

    ya we can do with out them thanks

    Fact is N! is about 50 years less civilised that the rest of Europe.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 909 ✭✭✭GSBellew


    I honestly believe you are incorrect.

    The vast majority on the island will vote to keep things as they are, imperfectly perfect, it works, there is peace, there is no reason to rock that boat and upset the normality we have become accustomed to.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 19,761 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    If I were NI resident, I would not want unity. I'm "catholic" (in the NI context) and notionally nationalist too. However the benefit of keeping the status quo far outweighs any unification dreams.

    The best bet for unification would actually be a break up of the UK because of a scottish referendum rather than one in NI passing first.



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