US/Israel conduct airstrikes on Iran again

I think they will be catching a lot of blame globally (not just usual subjects who hate them already) for what is happening right now and future consequences of it, so I would try and get used to that!

Governments of countries represent that country.

We can be pretty sure Israeli government badly wanted this US war of choice, pushed for it to happen, didn't give a flying f-ck how it would affect anyone else and is likely still pushing the Trump admin. hard for the US military to escalate things further and increase the destruction and chaos.

Netanyahu said recently it was his 40 year ambition to go to war with Iran. That's a rather large elephant in the room.

"We are in a campaign in which we are bringing the full strength of the IDF to the battle, as never before, in order to ensure our existence and our future. But we are also bringing to this campaign the assistance of the United States, my friend, US President Donald Trump, and the US military. This coalition of forces allows us to do what I have yearned to do for 40 years: smite the terror regime hip and thigh. This is what I promised – and this is what we shall do." (March 1st).

You really have to admit that Israel makes it extremely easy for even rational people to hate their actions, even if we consider Hamas and Hezbollah to part of this genocide. There are no innocent entities in this, but its the civilians who are getting killed.

How about the US should stop shitstirring in the ME ? It caused a massive issue with refugees which is something Europe cant cope with plus the US is indirect responsible for the ISIS terror attacks in europe as well

https://cpj.org/2025/09/israels-killing-of-31-yemeni-journalists-marks-deadliest-global-attack-in-16-years/

Further deterioration and indeed demolition of certain very high-end USAF capabilities seems to have occurred in the 27th March strike on Prince Sultan airbase.
There's widespread chatter that 2 of the very capable Lockheed Hercules EC130-H Compass Call aircraft have been crippled in the attack that is already confirmed to have destroyed an E3-G AWACS.
The US ability to sustain SEAD & EW in the Gulf has been severly limited by this.

The use of Compass Call aircraft allows the US to impose its will upon an enemy with a degree of electronic warfare and suppression that is unequalled in other airforces.
It limits enemy Radar, Radio, Command & Control and does so in a way that gives immediate advantage to US forces.
The ability to suppress Iran at multiple locations or to ensure continious relay cover at a single point has been severly constrained.
The US does have an alternative platform entering service in the EA37-B, but currently only 5 are in service and they are still working up.
The primary issue with using EA37-B to replace the EA130, is loiter time and ability to both dwell within the targeted systems envelopes and to do so low and slow.

Dont forget about Lebanon land grab.

What are the scenarios in which the current conflict ends?

• Iran capitulate, allows the Straits of Hormuz to open and allows the IAEA to monitor the nuclear programme. Trump declares himself the greatest human to have ever lived. Unlikely scenario. Certainly in the short term unless a massive bombing of Iranian infrastructure takes place.
• US carry out big bombing campaign but Straits of Hormuz remains closed, bombs still hitting US bases and Israel. Trump declares victory, says it is up to others to open the Straits.
• Trump puts troops on the ground, takes control of Islands but some troops die. Straits remain closed. Trump blames Obama and Biden. Creates a diversion with Cuba takeover.

It is really hard to see an easy conclusion

Greg Bagwell coincidentally wrote a great thread on this today using the Cold War RAF and the 4 german bases as an example of whats been forgotten with regards to Airfield hardening and defence.

The threat has evolved to drones and stand off strikes, but the defence and what needs to be defended is still the same as ever.
Aircraft and personnel.
In the Cold War the threat was believed to be massive Warsaw pact strikes and those 10ft tall Russian Spetsnaz sowing havoc everywhere they could.
Hardened Aircraft Shelters, huge anti-air and ground defence including bomb disposal on every base.
Thats before one takes into account that each of the RAF Germany bases held 4 squadrons, 2 of the bases held more combat power than the entire current RAF.
UK's use of the peace dividend has been catastrophic both in terms of the RAF and the current states of the British Army and the Royal Navy.
All of Europe is pretty much in the same boat but the current nadir of British military power in particular, is incredibly striking.
Especially when one considers that they have been the impetus behind so much military technique, theory and capability.

Trump (as per his threats) bombs the country back to dark ages destroying power and water infrastructure triggering a civil war (a bigger version of Syria) and a humanitarian disaster

More attacks on Arab neighbours than Israel.

I dont know why they didnt add Saudi Arabia, Oman and Iraq to this list.

I wonder will Ukraine comply.

Lebanon asks Ukraine embassy to hand over suspected Mossad agent

Lebanon has asked Ukraine’s embassy in Beirut to hand over a man taking refuge there who is suspected of working with Israel’s Mossad spy agency, a senior security official and a Hezbollah source told AFP.

The Hezbollah source said it had detained a Syrian-Palestinian national, who also holds Ukrainian citizenship, in September after he parked a motorbike on a road leading to Beirut airport through the city’s southern suburbs – where the Iran-backed fighters exercise a de facto security role.

The motorbike “was planted with an explosive device disguised as a battery”, the source said, requesting anonymity to discuss security issues.

Hezbollah held the man until its war with Israel erupted earlier this month.

On March 6, Israel’s military struck a building in the southern suburbs next to where he was being detained, enabling him to escape to the Ukrainian embassy, the source added.

Hassan Choukeir, head of Lebanon’s General Security, told AFP that “the Ukrainian embassy in Lebanon contacted us on March 10 requesting us to authorise its citizen… who was present there and had lost his passport, to leave through Beirut airport”.

“After checking his name and photograph, we became aware that he is wanted by the Lebanese judiciary and is the subject of a number of search and investigation notices from Lebanese security agencies,” he added.

Choukeir said authorities told the embassy it was obliged to hand the man over, adding he was “wanted for involvement in a cell belonging to Israel’s Mossad planning assassinations and bombings in Beirut’s southern suburbs”.

In Lebanon, people convicted of working for Israel have been sentenced to up to 25 years in prison.

Link

https://aje.news/p0huh8?update=4446967