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US/Israel conduct airstrikes on Iran again

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,612 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    A diplomat on CNN saying that Trump is all over the place in his stated objectives for the attack and keeps contradicting himself: a 2 day war, a one month war, disarm the nukes, regime change, 'we can do business with this regime' etc. Seems he was goaded into the attack by Bibi plus the Neocon nutjobs and doesn't even know what outcome he wants.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,202 ✭✭✭Ardillaun


    Some Republicans politicians are even disputing whether this is a war or not!

    “I don’t know if this is technically a war,” Graham told NBC’s Meet the Press. “The leader of the largest state sponsor of terrorism and his inner team are dead. The mother ship that fuels the proxies is in sinking mode.” He added: “The goal of this operation is to change the threat, not the regime.”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,826 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,053 ✭✭✭Ozymandius2011


    Oil prices have already jumped sharply following the strikes, as markets price in the risk of regional conflict and supply disruption. Brent crude surged roughly 10% to around ~$80 per barrel in over-the-counter trade amid concerns about Middle Eastern supply volatility.

    • U.S. West Texas Intermediate and Brent both climbed around 7–8% in early trading.

    Prices are being driven by fear of disruptions to supply routes, especially the Strait of Hormuz, which channels about one-fifth of global oil exports.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,053 ✭✭✭Ozymandius2011


    George II did appear on the battlefield but not George III.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,202 ✭✭✭Ardillaun


    What’s needed is a major crack in the regime, with significant armed forces turning on the state. Another scenario would be separatist movements in the north among the Azeris and Kurds.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 589 ✭✭✭B2021M


    Do you believe in democracy or should only people with degrees get to vote? Also it depends what subject the degree is in



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,053 ✭✭✭Ozymandius2011


    The Kurds were key to helping Trump defeat ISIS in Iraq and Syria in his first term, a rare example of his administration doing something I agree with and fairly quickly. But I think supporting separatists in Iran would risk playing into the hands of the regime by allowing them to play the nationalist card. There are also Baloch separatists on the border with Pakistan, and within Pakistan itself. Both iran and Pakistan have cooperated against the Baloch separatists. The Baloch are also largely Sunni Muslims, whereas about 90% of the population of Iran are Shia.

    The former Shah alienated these minorities with pressure on their languages.

    Reports of a shooting in a Texas bar, possibly linked to the conflict. 2 dead and 14 injured.

    Also reports that the Pentagon has told Congress Iranian missiles were not an imminent threat to the US in the days before the war.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 375 ✭✭JayBee66


    A World without Iranian, Hezbollah and Hamas terrorists would be a safer place.

    The IDF (which also has Arab/Muslim soldiers - yes, it does!) can then go home and live in peace.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 440 ✭✭Ultimate Gowlbag


    The IDF can all die screaming - yes, they can!



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,053 ✭✭✭Ozymandius2011


    Everyone should be allowed to vote but I think history has shown that anti-intellectual governments have a tendency to turn authoritarian. During Mao's Cultural Revolution in the 1960s, the professors were a major target. Anti-intellectualism is in part an attack on inconvenient expert opinion. The Trump administration has slashed funding for medical research at universities like Harvard. Also, the Brexit campaigers like Gove said "we've had enough of experts", and look how that turned out.

    Experts are a problem for authoritarians (I don't think Gove is one but some in the Brexit movement in Reform UK in my opinion are) in that the advice may be unwelcome.

    Also remember this?

    image.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,053 ✭✭✭Ozymandius2011


    Trump saying the US troops death toll may be higher.

    Reports some Democrats will not support a Democrat move to use the WPA to limit Trumps power to wage war on Iran, including some of those who have in the past warned Ireland not to pass the Occupied Territories Bill e.g. Josh Gottheimer.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 589 ✭✭✭B2021M


    Thanks for the comprehensive answer. I understand the point you are making but I think it is dangerous for democracy to think that some voters are better than others. Be far better to have a system that openly recognises that if that's what you think.

    Im not getting into an argument about Brexit but I'd be highly skeptical that we can decide after such a short time whether it was right or wrong. Major changes like that need to be judged over decades.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,322 ✭✭✭✭LambshankRedemption


    Churchill said that Democracy was the worst form of government, apart from all the others. He also said the worst argument against Democracy was 5 minutes with the average voter.

    After voting in Obama in 2008, the country voted the Republicans back into the House in 2010. Doing that very much stymied many of Obama's plans for his final 2 years in power(of his first term). The swing voters than swung back again so he got a second term,

    Most Republican voters are the people who voted for Republicans regardless of their candidate. But there is a shift in national elections. People with third level degrees voted for Harris 57-43. They voted for Reagan 60-40, and Romney by 12%. Among Whites with third level degrees most voted for Harris but its closer, with women supporting her and men supporting Trump narrowly. I think 63% of women with third level degrees voted for Harris.

    I dont have a 3rd level degree(yet!). I know several Republicans who do have 3rd level degrees though.

    It's very easy to say republicans are dumb and democrats are smart. Or republicans are Red Necks, and Democrats are city dwellers. Republicans want less taxes and Democrats want more regulations.

    It's not as clear cut as that. Both parties lean into their ideals come election time, but pander to the masses to get more votes even when what they are teasing is the opposite of what they believe.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,053 ✭✭✭Ozymandius2011


    7 Prime Ministers in 10 years makes 1990's Italy look stable.

    Donald Trump was warned that America's stockpile of missiles and interceptors could run dry if his war in Iran is prolonged, sources say. 

    Military insiders said Trump was cautioned that an extensive, resource-draining war in Iran could put US targets at risk if Iranian missile and drone capabilities are not destroyed quickly, per the Wall Street Journal

    The outlet cited current and former military officials who said the US missile stockpile - including air defense interceptors and Tomahawk cruise missiles - has been eaten away by conflicts with Iran and its proxies in the Middle East.

    The strikes launched on Saturday started a race against time to destroy Iran's missile force before the US runs out of interceptors to fend off retaliatory strikes, insiders warned. 

    The precise size of the US missile and interceptors stockpile is classified, however the warnings over their numbers comes after the US launched a huge barrage of strikes on targets in Tehran and other Iranian cities. 

    A senior official reportedly said Trump's decision to launch strikes first was because he hoped to debilitate Iran's ability to use its missiles and drones to hit back

    Trump indicated in a call with the Daily Mail on Sunday that he believes the conflict could last as long as a month, and said on Truth Social on Saturday that it will 'continue, uninterrupted throughout the week or, as long as necessary to achieve our objective of PEACE THROUGHOUT THE MIDDLE EAST AND, INDEED, THE WORLD.' 

    Post edited by Ozymandius2011 on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 597 ✭✭✭Piskin




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,053 ✭✭✭Ozymandius2011


    Studies in the US have shown that education, not income, is the highest predictor of voting intentions in the US since Trumps first Presidency. In the US many Republicans are Evangelical Protestants. They tend to see "Gods" hand in earthly events like war, and also poverty and wealth. It can tend towards the idea that the poor deserve to be poor because they lack 'Gods favour' while the rich have it. They hear this nonsense in some megachurches and it caused them to vote against their economic interest. Paula Whites "Prosperity Gospel" church preaches that wealth is a sign of 'Gods favour'. This sort of thing can become a justification for the DOGE cuts to the starving in Africa and SNAP funds to feed schoolchildren. Paula White has called Trump "Gods chosen" leader.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,379 ✭✭✭Spudmonkey


    Does that constitute using German civilians as human shields?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,053 ✭✭✭Ozymandius2011


    Telegraph says ex President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad killed in strike. His election around 2009 is widely regarded as rigged. Mir Hossein Mousavi was believed to have actually won. Mousavi and another candidate Mehdi Karoobi were under House arrest for years. In 2023 Mousavi announced his opposition to the Islamic Republic.

    Reports that Mousavis house has been damaged in an airstrike but he and his wife are safe and well.

    Are the US and Israel also targeting the reformists like Mousavi? Like in Hamas in Gaza, hardline leadership on the other side benefits Israeli war propaganda. I also think the US wants the oil.

    But I also hope one thing that comes out of this war is an end to Iranian military help to Russia regarding drones. But it didnt after the previous strikes in April.

    Also that a RAF base in Cyprus was hit by drones.

    Post edited by Ozymandius2011 on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,438 ✭✭✭brickster69


    US F16 crashed in Kuwait, both pilots were filmed parachuting to safety and have been recovered. Possible that it was shot down by the Kuwaiti's by mistake. Bad enough all these Iranian missiles draining the air defence missiles never mind your allies using them against you.

    The old world is dying, and the new world struggles to be born: now is the time of monsters. — Antonio Gramsci



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,260 ✭✭✭Exiled Rebel


    More than likely. I also see there's been an attack in the vicinity of the US embassy in Kuwait.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,600 ✭✭✭Dr Robert


    Lol

    Ridiculous stuff.

    It's ok, Trump has everything under control 🤣🤣🤣



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,202 ✭✭✭Ardillaun


    Do you honestly think they’ll stop stealing land in the West Bank?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,379 ✭✭✭Spudmonkey


    Maybe what he meant is that when Iran is destroyed they can go back to defending settler violence on the WB? 🤔



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,530 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    The doctors in Gaza told us that Israeli snipers were shooting children for kicks and giggles

    And some on here are more than delighted to see those dead Gazan and Iranian children.

    You know who they are.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,530 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    The same people his military are currently blowing to pieces?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,053 ✭✭✭Ozymandius2011


    Edit: No casualties of the strike on the Akrotiri RAF base in Cyprus but staff being moved.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,253 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    Saudi oil refinery hit by Iranian drones. Will Saudi declare war on Iran?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,036 ✭✭✭rogber


    The very best I'd expect of Israel is that they knew there was at least a reasonable chance the school would be occupied and really couldn't care less if a missile went astray and hit it. Deliberate targeting would not surprise me either. After all, when it comes to taking out individual enemies they are capable of striking with the most extreme precision and have incredibly accurate intelligence.

    So it's reasonable to assume the school hit was either deliberate or result of gross negligence.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 978 ✭✭✭batman75


    As long as a militarised Israel exists their will never be peace. A solution might be a demilitarised Palestine from the med to the dead sea where Jews and Arabs are equal before the law.



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