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General Irish politics discussion thread

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Comments

  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,094 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    They are "strong" on them in the sense that they consistently say "this is a crisis". Not seen much in the way of solutions from them. I have basically zero time for any party whose policy boils down to "we will simply build more homes".

    I quite like Cairns and a few others, but unfortunately for them they have zero depth and are forced to wheel out the likes of Gibney who does them absolutely no favours. I think a lot of their support is based on what people think they are/should be rather than what they are.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,423 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    everyone is gonna say theyre gonna build more homes, but the reality is, none of them will build enough, none!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,575 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    Fianna Fail, Fine Gael and to a lesser extent the Greens and Labour have had opportunities in the last 15 years to fix housing and all have failed.

    So it's perfectly understandable that any opposition party will look promising when it comes to housing...



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,094 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Sure, it is a reasonable point to a degree. But given all the problems, their proposals are so bad they have still never been trusted sufficiently by the electorate. Which does not reflect well on them.

    From reading the Soc Dem manifesto their housing policy is basically "build more housing" followed by a bunch of proposals that we have plenty of evidence reduce housing availability.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,575 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    They're a small party, quite new and have grown election on election. They fit in a space where they will never be a major party, and that's just fine.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 568 ✭✭✭midlander12


    So, like all the other parties, they haven't a clue what to do about housing. They'll fit in perfectly.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,883 ✭✭✭pureza


    Well you’d have to assume with it being one of the number one concerns of the voting public that the government parties aren’t in the business of sabotaging house building

    Could it not just be ,to use Micheál martins phrase today re the flooding schemes,that there is no magic wand?

    You can’t magic up the builders

    You can’t magic away the nimby planning objectors

    You can’t magic in the investment and you can’t magic out the foreign investors without harming supply

    Even Mary Lou a couple of years ago at the height of her parties opinion poll popularity stated it would take at least 2 government terms to make inroads

    You can bet your bottom dollar she knew full well then as she does now that none of this can be magic’ed

    So we are left with lots of unrealistic policy waffle fodder from all sides when the solution is really simple,just keep going,keep building and do your best not to discourage the builders



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 20,712 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Well, in the 1950s and 1960s, the then Irish Gov. built a very large number of council houses in Dublin and all over the state even though the state was broke.

    It was done by the councils with direct labour. Maybe that might be an approach. All those houses were sold off for half nothing to the tenants and not replaced. [That was the mistake - not replacing them with new ones.]

    Of course the Galway tent worked in the tiger days before the crash, but we do not want that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,585 ✭✭✭Consonata


    https://bsky.app/profile/gavreilly.com/post/3me2aevllfc26

    Very good candidate, hope they do well.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,923 ✭✭✭blackwhite


    image.png

    https://www.thejournal.ie/micheal-martin-alan-shatter-and-bono-targeted-with-false-epstein-allegations-6946548-Feb2026/?utm_source=shortlink

    Gannon demonstrating the student union idiocy of the SocDems once again.


    The itinerary is from Eric Holder (Obama’s Attorney General) visiting Europe in 2011, yet Gannon is spreading the disinformation that it was Epstein.

    Brainless idiot, shouldn’t be within an ass’s roar of the Dail if this is the level of gullibility he demonstrates.

    And then he doesn’t even have the basic decency to apologise when called out on it - just deletes his post and pretends it never happened. A coward and a gullible idiot all in one.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 795 ✭✭✭JohnDoe2025


    I actually think that councils would be better auditing their existing stock. There are large numbers of people whose circumstances have changed who are still in council housing, even a TD on 120k is living in one. That is like bed blockers in hospitals, people who can well afford to rent or buy in the private sector, occupying a council house.

    That is before you look at underoccupancy. Families can't get three and four-beds because there are single people rattling around their large houses.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,094 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    The State was broke and there wasn't a hugely thriving economy for those builders to step into instead.

    The State building housing is unlikely to be significantly cheaper (if at all) and they'll be competing against the private sector for the same limited resources.

    Huge State building programs are one of a number of things that are ironically easier to do when the country is destitute.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,056 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    No, housing is a bigger issue.

    But immigration fuels the demand for housing, so to solve housing, immigration must fall.

    By people stating that housing is a big issue, they are implying that immigration is too high.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,575 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    Hey, I can play this game. Watch.

    No, housing is a bigger issue.

    But the money the government spends on the horse and greyhound fund is money they could be using to solve housing. So to solve housing the horse and greyhound fund must fall.

    By people stating that housing is a big issue, they are implying that the horse and greyhound fund is too high.

    Or:

    By people stating that housing is a big issue they are implying that the birth rate in Ireland is too high.

    Or:

    By people stating that housing is a big issue they are implying that taxes are too low.

    Or:

    By people stating that housing is a big issue they are implying that health spending is too high.

    Pick the government policy you don't like and you can turn it back to housing. Choosing immigration as the policy to pick just reflects on your beliefs on immigration, not housing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,638 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    My point is that the idea that Irish people will base their vote in general elections on where the parties stand on immigration clearly doesn't hold up. Anti-immigration parties and candidates were annihilated at the recent general election and European elections, so there is little evidence that this is a dominant factor when people come to vote. Voters are unlikely to be directly linking bread and butter issues like cost of living, housing and healthcare to immigration, hence parties like the Social Democrats doing quite okay in the polls.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,166 ✭✭✭For Petes Sake


    The dynamic of this coalition is very interesting.

    Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil look like they're actually sniping with each other. Malcolm Byrne on Morning Ireland last week giving out about Hildegarde Naughton on school refurbishment works was just the latest thorn between them.

    There's such a lack of ideology among the pair of them that they're struggling with delivering anything and they're all afraid to piss people off. In the last government, the policy was very much driven and led by the Greens, whether you agreed with them or not. It was an ideological slant driven by them and the big 2 were happy to go along with it and, when it was unpopular, blame the Greens for it.

    Now the Greens aren't there, they have no real policy direction and they've nobody else to blame but themselves.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,638 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    You'd have to assume though that FF-FG will remain bedfellows for a very long time, even if they end up in opposition together. The only thing that would shake things up would be the emergence of a major new party in Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 41,282 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    Yes, they did it with large numbers of poorly paid labourers whose only other career option was the boat

    Who probably lived in tenements themselves.

    But that's not today's labour market

    I'm partial to your abracadabra
    I'm raptured by the joy of it all



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,447 ✭✭✭deirdremf


    The issue is a lot more complex than that.

    Various things create a need for housing, and the main one is population growth.

    Several factors are involved in population growth, IMO the 3 main ones are a) people living longer b) births and c) immigration.

    a) means that the turnover in the housing stock slows; but this is not new - longevity has been increasing for many decades, so as a factor it is not new.

    b) the fertility rate has been below replacement for over 3 decades now, so this is not a major factor in the requirement for housing - although the part of the country where those births take place may be a factor. Against that, the very large cohorts of the late noughties and early teens are now beginning to look for homes, whether as students or as members of the workforce.

    c) immigration - since the crash, we have added over a million to the population, and around half of that has come from immigration.

    This is not an anti-immigration diatribe, but if we want to resolve the issue, we need to study it to find out what is happening. There is no point in hiding our heads in the sand and ignoring it. We need to ask some fairly basic questions, and mine are as follows:

    What model of society do we want?
    Is it to be one based on US companies (in the main) setting up here, and importing labour (directly or indirectly) to sustain them?
    Is it acceptable to have a society where our young people have to leave to find a decent standard of life while importing cheap labour to replace them?
    Who benefits from this model?

    Clearly it is a good deal for MNCs, they get to pay low tax, and to choose who they want to employ regardless of origin: initially - in the 1950s to 1980s say - US companies were enticed here in order to provide Irish people with a livelihood. There was a clear benefit to us in terms of reduced emigration. That has now gone - we have a huge number of MNCs, mostly US, here now - but the model is broken in that we have both (Irish) emigration and (foreign) immigration at the same time. We are told that this is good for the "economy" - but is it good for society to see our children leave when there are clearly plenty of jobs available?

    To return to housing, immigration - and let's not forget - airbnb - are huge drivers of our housing crisis. Banning airbnb & its clones would release a large number of properties onto the housing market. In other words, that thing abhorred by the Irish establishment - regulation - in this case, of the tourism sector. This is visible all over Europe, it's not just an Irish problem, but we must get past our phobia about discussing not so much immigration, but more so, the drivers of immigration as opposed to the immigrants who after all are people like all of us Irish who have spent part of our lives abroad.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 33,094 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    The chances of them going into opposition together are fairly tiny at the moment. The electoral maths simply don't add up at the moment to go into government without 2 of FF/FG/SF.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,993 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    AirBnB is already de-facto banned. The problem is enforcement is nonexistent.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 795 ✭✭✭JohnDoe2025


    Demand for housing is directly related to population.

    Population is determined by birth rates and immigration, discussion of those issues in the context of solving the housing problem is legitimate.

    If the solution is agreed upon that the State paying for more houses is the right one, the amount of tax becomes directly relevant to the discussion, but only if the solution is agreed.

    Horses and greyhounds and healthcare have nothing to do with the housing problem.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 795 ✭✭✭JohnDoe2025


    Wow, that is such a messed up vision of the Irish economy that I don't know where to start.

    The vast majority of IRISH citizens depend on US MNCs for their wellbeing. Whether it is bars and restaurants, shops and cafes, hospitals and schools, these are all funded in different ways by the US MNCs and their corporation tax and income tax.

    There were 31,000 employment permits issues in 2025, the vast majority going to US MNCs for high-paying jobs.

    There were around 128,000 students in English language schools in 2024. They end up working in the local newsagent or sweatshop in low-paying jobs.

    The issue is far far different to the picture you paint.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 41,282 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    In other words, that thing abhorred by the Irish establishment - regulation

    Excessive regulation is precisely what is driving a lot of small landlords to sell up.

    I'm partial to your abracadabra
    I'm raptured by the joy of it all



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 795 ✭✭✭JohnDoe2025


    You are correct.

    With the rise of Aontu and Independent Ireland, you have two new parties who will not touch the likes of PBP and the Social Democrats.

    That arithmetic means that it is close to impossible to see how a government could be formed without either FG or FF.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,056 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    Yes, you are correct.

    Why is it that people can't see that massive demand for accomm is inflating rents and house prices?

    Here's part of the answer: a large amount of people are unaffected by the housing crisis.

    Dan O'Brien made a good point:

    Ireland has one of the lowest shares of the population with excessive housing costs in Europe. The reason is because the share in the private rental sector, where cost overburden is widespread, is so small. Owner occupiers with no mortgage (34%) and those living in subsidised rentals (17%) make up half the population. As Irish social housing rents are among the lowest in Europe, neither of these groups have housing cost issues.

    https://x.com/danobrien20/status/2019384901074608634

    Loads of people are not affected:

    (1) bought houses years ago

    (2) rent from LA at low rents

    But the minority of people affected, are really negatively affected.

    Personally, my wealth is increasing due to the housing crisis, but as a selfless person, I am more worried about younger people's life chances than my own wealth.

    So I would vote for parties that reduce demand for housing by stopping the flow of student visas, remove UKR refugees, etc.

    Yet I am in a minority, even though I want policies to solve the crisis, reduce my wealth, and improve the life chances of people in their 20s.

    So I can't understand the support for the SocDems, who would make things worse, not better, by increasing the demand for housing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 795 ✭✭✭JohnDoe2025


    What is strangest of all is that the group most affected by the housing problems - those between 20 and 35 - are the group most inclined to vote for the Social Democrats, the party that will do least to help them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 41,282 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    The rise of Aontu, seriously?

    somebody played a Spice Girls single backwards, and 1 became 2

    I'm partial to your abracadabra
    I'm raptured by the joy of it all



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 41,282 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    That's incorrect.

    Sinn "local planning objection" Fein are the party that will do least to help them.

    I'm partial to your abracadabra
    I'm raptured by the joy of it all



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,056 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    To be fair to SF, and I am no fan of theirs overall, they do have a plan to build affordable housing on public lands.

    The plan might not be perfect, and has been criticised, but at least they are actually trying to build more houses at affordable prices rather than FF and FG who are trying to get more houses built, but don't really care about the selling prices.



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