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Tesla Talk 2

1697072747594

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 316 ✭✭tppytoppy


    Too many obnoxious posters.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 60,767 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    Who invested in VAG? Bloody hell that is extremely risky. The only good thing VAG have done in recent years is buy a small stake in XPEV

    "Make no mistake. The days of the internal combustion engine are definitely numbered" - Quentin Willson, 1997



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 316 ✭✭tppytoppy


    I invested in VOW3, disclosed it openly and holding it for the long term. It will be paying me dividends in May which are going in to boring euro stocks. You and I are not the same.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 60,767 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    Not sure what makes you think I am a big risk taker when it comes to investments. I am very, very careful. I only play with a bit of money that if I lost it all, won't make a real difference to my life. I quickly take small profits, I'm quite cowardly when it comes to investments. I actually did own PAH3 (Volkswagen really) and enjoyed a couple of rounds of dividends and a nice gain, but got lucky when I sold and its value halved very soon after. Not a chance I would invest in a dying car maker like them or Toyota now…

    image.png

    "Make no mistake. The days of the internal combustion engine are definitely numbered" - Quentin Willson, 1997



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 60,767 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    I sold on the steep curve on the left, obviously not quite at the top 😂 I think it was around €82

    image.png

    "Make no mistake. The days of the internal combustion engine are definitely numbered" - Quentin Willson, 1997



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 60,767 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    Best of luck pal, hope you won't lose money, but imho you're making a terrible bet buying for the long term

    image.png

    "Make no mistake. The days of the internal combustion engine are definitely numbered" - Quentin Willson, 1997



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 316 ✭✭tppytoppy


    Please note that BMW, VAG, Hyundai, KIA, Renault and even Toyota sold loads of EVs this January in Ireland. Love them or hate them Dealers shift metal and are going to play a crucial role going forward.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 60,767 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    Yeah, you need the pep talk. But seriously, I hope you are only investing with money you can lose too. It ain't looking too good for ya.

    "Make no mistake. The days of the internal combustion engine are definitely numbered" - Quentin Willson, 1997



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,145 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 10,644 ✭✭✭✭893bet


    heard from a few their orders have been cancelled to the standard,



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 60,767 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    Oh Christ. I have been away since Saturday afternoon, not watched this thread. I will need to catch up. But yeah what would @Cyrus and I know about money or investments, we are only accountants.

    "Make no mistake. The days of the internal combustion engine are definitely numbered" - Quentin Willson, 1997



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 34,904 ✭✭✭✭listermint


    I will as soon as he tries to shut down someone's discussion by bringing wagers into it.

    Sorry if thats a principle I abide by, but it is.

    I don't know what more to say. I've said it all above.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,539 ✭✭✭✭TitianGerm


    Oh really? That's fecking ****. Why leave the "original" spec up if you're just going to try pass an inferior product off?

    I don't think the saving on the price is worth the cut in spec.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 592 ✭✭✭pah


    What the **** have I just spent the last 15 minutes reading 🙄



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 60,767 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    Dear oh dear. The worst financial advice post I have seen in this forum for a long time. I honestly hope nobody will follow it. I am no Tesla fanboi and I am very careful with my money, but a new Model 3 standard with the €3500 extra trade in discount is almost certain to be the lowest depreciating car in its class

    I am quite tempted to buy one myself

    "Make no mistake. The days of the internal combustion engine are definitely numbered" - Quentin Willson, 1997



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 60,767 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    You talking about me? The wager was just to get people to stand by their opinion. Nothing else. I'll gladly reduce the terms from €1000 to €0.01. But I won't appreciate partakers to leave the forum straight after if they lose.

    "Make no mistake. The days of the internal combustion engine are definitely numbered" - Quentin Willson, 1997



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,075 ✭✭✭JOL1


    Not clear why the payment of a dividend (even if the company has to increase debt to do so) is deemed the principle characteristic to measure success. Ignoring the capital value/worth of any investment is blinkered. VAG do pay dividends, Tesla don't, preferring to retain profits to finance growth. In contrast VAG increases their debt.

    Share price of VAG over 5 years has fallen approx 45% and when adjusted for the dividends this is a fall of 16.6%. In contrast Tesla has grown over 5 years by 42.9%. A gain of 42.9% against a loss of 16.6% represents a like for like comparison (adjusting for div policy). This is factual historical and who knows that the future holds for either..but banging on about dividend alone is naive and does not stand up to scrutiny.

    Screenshot 2026-02-05 at 01.17.27.png Screenshot 2026-02-05 at 01.18.38.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 6,912 ✭✭✭Buddy Bubs


    Depreciation on EVs in the 30/40k range is unlikely to be too excessive over 3 or 4 years, market is showing that to be true.

    I have a 19k offer on the table against a base spec cupra born 2022 at the moment from a number of dealers of different brands, that car is mid 30s new.

    Depreciation on 70/80k and beyond cars always has been, and still is, very steep

    Same true for tesla, might be steep on the AWD performance models as they are expensive when new but the mainstream models will fare out just fine.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 19,761 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    Agree. The steep depreciation on the base models especially the 3 has already happened and is unlikely to happen again.

    Those of us (myself included) who bought €54k RWD model 3s in 2022 or before know all about that!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 5,895 ✭✭✭...Ghost...


    Here, here. Sep 2022 when no other EV manufacturer had stock they could get to me within 6 months, Tesla had one in a few weeks for me. Soon after, prices slashed and overnight, the guts of 10 grand depreciation hit the car 🤣.

    Stay Free



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 34,904 ✭✭✭✭listermint


    tbf these blanket statements cannot be assessed on the basis of what's going on in Tesla core business. It's currently unclear if the deck chairs are being moved around on a sinking ship or if they are purposefully moving towards and out of manufacturing.

    No one on this forum can guarantee your depreciation values in this uncertain space. The messaging from the business is anything but good on it's core business. Building EVs for the masses.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,145 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    Tell me, did you spend as much time fretting about BYDs future when buying the Seal? by all accounts all is not rosy there either, real debt levels are multiples of whats being reported, share price dropping, market share in china dropping etc etc

    My advice to anyone buying an EV from any manufacturer is take whatever 0-1% PCP is going, put down the min deposit and protect your downside risk, any of them could disappear in the next 4-5 years.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 316 ✭✭tppytoppy


    Open questions as to whether if one buys FSD before 14th February that they really own it and can resell it with sale of car on second hand market.

    https://electrek.co/2026/02/04/teslas-new-fsd-push-looks-like-a-gross-money-grab-they-have-questions-to-anwser/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 316 ✭✭tppytoppy


    Nice that we can agree at least on using lease/PCP if nothing else.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,145 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    its just sensible risk mitigation, its not tesla specific advice, i would suggest that for any EV give what we have seen in depreciation, market disruptions, technology changes etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 19,761 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    That 14th feb is only for US and areas where it is actually FSD.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 34,904 ✭✭✭✭listermint


    Cyrus, byd aren't talking about cutting models manufacturing, closing factories and diverging into robots. Neither are they handing over 2 billion dollars out of the business to a sister company.

    These should be serious concerns for anyone buying a vehicle and wanting to sell said vehicle on 3 to 5 years.

    So no I didn't because byd aren't doing any of it. In fact theyve built and bought some of the largest car transporters in the world to ship their vehicles with. That's intention .

    Now address the point and enough with the whatabouttery it silly.

    Elon has made an absolute hames of Tesla over the last five years. He should have been ousted and they'd be killing it right now. That's the problem. I don't hate Tesla as you will know. I despise the owner and how he's run an extremely viable business into a downfall.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,145 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    What is the point to address? that no one can assess depreciation? id agree but i wouldn't make that specific to tesla, in fact if i had owned tesla evs instead of VAG group ones id have fared better depreciation wise.

    As to the future of tesla i havent got a scooby to be honest, but again as my advice is to use low interest PCP to give yourself downside protection i personally wouldnt worry too much about it.

    I would agree with you that his running of tesla as a car company is strange, there was an opportunity to really progress and they appear not to have taken it, no as to whether he will be proven correct in that strategy i really dont know, but its fair to say he has been relatively successful so far.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 316 ✭✭tppytoppy


    For previous EVs I have had as company cars I see those models reaching mid life and encountering issues like HVAC issues, onboard chargers, motor bearings and battery cooling which along with rapid depreciation are almost enough to scrap the cars. I didn't encounter those problems fortunately and as they were company cars I just handed the cars back without worries about depreciation, extended warranty or being stranded on the side of road. PCP, lease or even HP on half rule is best way to get in to an EV so that you aren't left with a brick on your driveway.



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  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 42,155 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gumbo


    As other posters have said, enough with the whatabouttery, it’s silly.



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