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Immigration and Ireland - MEGATHREAD *Mod Note Added 02/09/25*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 116 ✭✭_Quilombero_


    Ireland is to establish a new task force inspired by I.C.E.

    It's called N.I.C.E.

    But instead of deporting or shooting illegals, it gives everyone 10 grand to voluntarily go home.

    And if they don't want the money it's grand, they can go for option number two - a house and citizenship.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 690 ✭✭✭DaithiMa


    That's funny. They must have been scaremongering when they came out with this in the summer of 2024.

    From that ESRI press release:

    "International migration is the key driver of population growth in Ireland..."

    "In a high migration scenario, the estimates range from around 41k to 53k per year."

    "In a low migration scenario, the estimates range from 35k to 47k per year."

    Seems that the ESRI thought migration was pretty important 18 months ago.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,152 ✭✭✭ShamNNspace




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 22,628 ✭✭✭✭Leg End Reject


    Mod - @InAtFullBack threadban lifted after discussion with the poster



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 770 ✭✭✭iffandonlyif


    Two Slovakian men, one of whom is homeless with ‘49 convictions for public order, theft and road traffic offences’. Like his countryman Joseph Puska, why.was.he.in.this.country?!

    Post edited by iffandonlyif on


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 22,628 ✭✭✭✭Leg End Reject


    Discussing a case after sentencing is fine but please add a link so everyone knows what you're talking about.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 770 ✭✭✭iffandonlyif


    Thanks, I’ve added one now. I wanted to be as vague as possible in case I was in breach of a rule.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 22,628 ✭✭✭✭Leg End Reject


    Cheers, I edited your post to get it to embed, you just need to hit return after a link.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 8,827 ✭✭✭plodder


    interesting claim in the journal report

    A MISPERCEPTION ABOUT the number of people immigrating to Ireland and their reasons for doing so is linked to negative attitudes towards immigration, according to a new report published today. 

    But the report itself says

    while we examine the relationship between misperceptions and attitudes, we do not assume that misperceptions cause attitudes. Though a causal relationship is plausible, identifying causality would require controlled experimental variation of perceptions, which is beyond the scope of this study.

    In fact the summary data shows that "negative attitudes" exist towards native irish people as well. And the participant guesses are generally not that far off the official estimates. It's completely ludicrous to draw any attitudinal conclusions from this.

    Screenshot 2026-01-16 at 21.40.41.png

    “The opposite of 'good' is 'good intentions'”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,590 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    I wonder what dataset they are using for social housing uptake. I thought that info was not available.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,179 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    This stuff peddled by the media really grinds my gears.

    Here is the chart presented after alot of waffle:

    image.png

    It's presented as a 'factcheck' piece the Journal are oh so fond of (yet turn the comments off for).

    If it's so factual, why the word estimate after the word 'official' in the column title?

    Now this is all put together by the ERSI - who when you delve into their Annual Financial Report you can see quite clearly they are a magnet for government funding from not just multiple department sources, but a vast range of taxpayer funded sources:

    ANNUAL REPORT 2024

    This just goes to show that government paid opposition hasn't gone away. And shame on SF and others that purport to be opposition to the government of the day. When the actual government is paying NGOs to be their 'watchdog' it says alot.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,983 ✭✭✭rgossip30


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/124154300#Comment_124154300

    46% non Irish are on the homeless list . The number of Ukrainians here is 83 k and they are approaching the 5 year eligibility to apply for social housing .We ain't seen nothing yet !!

    https://www.irishtimes.com/ireland/housing-planning/2025/11/25/non-irish-nationals-over-represented-in-homeless-services-officials-warn/

    Those who like to rely on CSO figures as gospel the non response rate on country of citizenship was 53% for homeless !!

    https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/ep/p-cpp6/censusofpopulation2022profile6-homelessness/diversityandhealth/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,062 ✭✭✭Ozymandius2011


    Its still 7 times the European average. Most of the non EEA immigration is work permits. The government decides how many of those to hand out.

    If you look at recent polls such as Ireland Thinks, the vast majority want tighter controls. That means we will need to reduce work permits. I personally favour this. I am not calling for abolition of them. But I think when it comes to low skilled labour especially, we need to recruit more of the unemployed in the sink estates.

    Historically there have always been the type of men who are not good with computers, and worked in manual trades. I think that is now harder because of competition from the Global South and Eastern Europe. We cant do anything about EU member states migration, but we can with non-EEA.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 770 ✭✭✭iffandonlyif


    Good spot. I’m sure they would insist that ‘link’ can mean non-causal.

    There’s a striking lack of interest in Irish journalism in pulling apart statistical claims. That might be explained by the fact that vanishingly few journalists have a scientific background. If the Journal fact-checking team had any integrity they would fact-check articles of their own like that one.

    Your point about the estimates of Irish employment and homelessness is a good one. It shows that the nature of these things is to overestimate. And part of the reason is surely that these figures have either not been released or are not promoted by politicians. There is a Reddit thread about this story, and the top comment is, ‘Wait, it’s 22%? I’d have guessed 15.’ There is clearly widespread ignorance in both directions, which will inevitably lead to inaccurate estimates.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,179 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    If the Journal fact-checking team had any integrity they would fact-check articles of their own like that one.

    The Journal like most of the Irish Media is ideologically driven. The types of people that write articles for these outlets are very left-leaning and that causes them to write articles that are more like activist hit pieces than anything that resembles a news article.

    As bad as things in the USA are, at least the media there have no qualms about letting their audience know where they lean on the political spectrum. In Ireland, the media says of itself that it's unbiased, but it's anything but. Go on to the Journal for example and do a search for "far left"

    Far Left · TheJournal.ie

    Three results. In all the years they are operating, they managed three times to report on far-left activities.

    Now do a search for "far right"

    Far Right · TheJournal.ie

    Over 200 articles.

    Says it all really.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,628 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    I wonder though if the media are getting confused and using "far right" way too frequently and lazily instead of "populist right" or "right wing populism" (i.e. Trump, Farage etc for the latter category).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,746 ✭✭✭enricoh


    70% of people housed by a homeless charity had previously been in ipas centres. When EU citizens, Roma, Ukrainians etc are added was even 10% of those housed by this charity Irish?

    The refugee industry is the lifeblood of the homeless industry.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,152 ✭✭✭ShamNNspace


    Cosy chat on news at one where the esri report that immigration was overestimated was discussed ,it was all there "dog whistling".."bad actors".."far right"..the whistling past the graveyard continues and its full steam ahead with "the project" telling the people not to believe what they are seeing with their own eyes while completely avoiding any real grown-up discussion on immigration and its effects on housing and services and what will be the long term benefits if any to the citizens of this country? what sort of country will we have in 20 years or so?Will the end result be different here to any other European country ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,055 ✭✭✭Stephen_Maturin


    Heard it too

    Emer Higgins giving out that we only ever hear about the negative aspects of immigration and never the positives. Strange she must not see the almost daily “New to the Parish” puff pieces in the IT, or the continuous chat of the benefits to our health service from migrants.

    She then went on to talk about how migrants prop up our health service (valid point), our tourism industry (a new one to me, is this in waiting jobs etc? Hardly “essential labour”, not to mention the effects commandeering our hotels for migrant accommodation has had) and in “building houses”

    I’ve heard that last one trotted out a few times and genuinely that is a dishonest misrepresentation. Sure though I am that there are migrants involved in housing construction, they are in no way a key factor in it, far from propping the whole sector up.

    In fact, of all the work permits granted last year, only 1% were for construction jobs, and not all of them would be purely for housing construction jobs either.

    Of course she was not challenged whatsoever on any of it



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 770 ✭✭✭iffandonlyif


    She then went on to talk about how migrants prop up our health service (valid point)

    I’m by no means criticising you here, but I find the health sector argument extremely frustrating.

    According to OECD data from 2021, Ireland had the second highest percentage of foreign-trained doctors in Europe at 41%. The average is 15%. Over half of our nurses are also trained abroad.

    That’s not the inevitable way of the world, that’s a policy failure. Our government has allowed a dependency on imported doctors and nurses to develop over decades and then shamelessly uses that very failure as the reason we can’t control immigration.

    At the very least, we should be saying, ‘Fine, health sector immigration is ring-fenced - now stop talking about it‘. We have to stop them muddying the water, which I think is your point.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,179 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    You're being far too kind to the media, they know exactly what they are doing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,397 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Emer Higgins giving out that we only ever hear about the negative aspects of immigration and never the positives. Strange she must not see the almost daily “New to the Parish” puff pieces in the IT, or the continuous chat of the benefits to our health service from migrants.

    Articles that even question the narrative of unrestricted migration are as rare as hen's teeth. I remember McWilliams had one a few months back where he danced around the issue and in a very oblique way asked the question should we allow so many people into the country when the housing output isn't even matching immigration.

    Emer Higgins and the rest of them in FG know this full well, but they are so blinded by their fanatism to their open-borders project. The only way they will learn is at the ballot box. No votes for Emer, or the college dropout teaboy, or any of them - don't even give them a preference.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,179 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    I have never heard of Fold Housing until mentioned here. So it seems we have 'charities' funded by the taxpayer in the property game. I notice that €2m of their €12m per annum is going on wages, etc…

    Now, back when I was a nipper, the County Councils were well able to operate in the property game and build houses and even whole estates.

    But now we have the County Councils who are taxpayer funded, using more taxpayer funds to pay a charity who are taxpayer funded to build / acquire houses for social housing provision.

    Like seriously, how many times do we have to pay people to do a job? No wonder the system is a mess. So much taxpayers money going towards 'jobs' that very few seem capable of actually doing. And it seems these 'jobs' are just there so money can be spent for the sakes of spending it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 8,827 ✭✭✭plodder


    I heard that as well. O'Headhra introduced the piece by saying "there's a misperception about the number of migrants we have …. and that is leading to negative attitudes". He obviously didn't even read the executive summary of the report which I quoted above, and I'll repeat here:

    while we examine the relationship between misperceptions and attitudes, we do not assume that misperceptions cause attitudes. Though a causal relationship is plausible, identifying causality would require controlled experimental variation of perceptions, which is beyond the scope of this study.

    Causality implies that just educating people about the true numbers will improve attitiudes towards immigration, which sounds pretty unlikely to me. The report goes into some of the much more likely reasons in the background material, such as competition for jobs and financial insecurity generally.

    “The opposite of 'good' is 'good intentions'”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,052 ✭✭✭✭Galwayguy35


    It's a nightmare scenario for a government that's already unable to meet its housing targets.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,590 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    The basic philosophy has to has to move from the current "we need to build more houses so we can have higher inward migration" to "we need to curb inward migration so we can have more houses for the people".



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,544 ✭✭✭✭Varik


    https://www.longfordleader.ie/news/local-news/1966440/gardai-detected-drunk-driver-when-he-released-handbrake-causing-the-vehicle-to-roll-back.html

    Assault was in 2023, taken into custody in August 25 (charged before that)

    In March 25 got caught drunk driving and arrested for that, and when he was convicted of that in December 25 it had him at 37 previous convictions. So after those he's up to the 49 before he was convicted of the assault assuming he'd didn'#t get convicted of something else between the last month and this month.

    For the drunk driving case

    "In August, Judge Bernadette Owens had requested a community service assessment report on the defendant, however, last week she heard he was no longer in a position to complete that work."

    Last week, solicitor Frank Gearty described Mr Peci as a family man who had been doing his best to provide for his family and regretfully he committed these road traffic offences.”

    No longer in a position to complete that work as he was in custody for the assault.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 770 ✭✭✭iffandonlyif


    Brendan O’Connor programme today.

    Brid Smtih: Simon Harris has leaned into the idea that immigration is a cause of the housing crisis.

    Brendan O’Connor: He said that it is one of the reasons.

    Smith: But it isn’t one of the reasons. It isn’t. There are 160k vacant properties.

    O’Connor: Okay, that’s another reason, but it’s basic maths, isn’t it, that if there are a lot of people coming to this country, that’s going to put pressure on housing.

    Smith: But if they weren’t coming we wouldn’t be able to keep hospitals open and build houses. Migration is a positive.

    They’re so, so slippery. Denies, denies, and then when he makes an unanswerable argument, she pivots and says, ‘But we need them here.’ It could not be clearer that these people have an ideological commitment to immigration and will throw anything at the wall until it sticks.

    Oisin Coughlan, a public policy advisor, says that because the public estimate for ‘share of residence applications’ for Ukrainians was bang on the official figure, it proves that government messaging works and therefore that politicians have a ‘real duty’ to make it less abstract so that people aren’t misinformed. Well, I don’t know about anyone else, but I would have had no idea what the figure for Ukrainian residence applications is. I assume the accuracy was a matter of chance, and I don’t like his paternalistic belief that the public should be educated out of their wrong-think.

    He also repeats the tiresome left-wing claim that Harris is ‘conflating’ IPAS and visa migration, when to me it seems he is trying to do the exact opposite.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,071 ✭✭✭crusd


    This thread seems to be a complete circle jerk. Any facts are met with "mainstream media" and discussions around who presented the data and justifying for themselves why they should ignore it.

    Somehow multipple people have used a table that clear showss immigrants have higher rates of employmnet, higher levels of education, lower use of social housing and lower rates incarceration yet somehowe seem to have turned it around completly based solely on non-sequiters and piffy comments.

    If you plan to be taken seriously at leasdt attempt to base your opiions of some sort of thought, if facts are too much for you.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,590 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    In fairness, people are entitled to critique figures. For example, where is the dataset from which there is a lower rate of take up of social housing among immigrants. Why are you believing this stuff without question?



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