US/Israel conduct airstrikes on Iran again

Unfortunately looks like the regime has gotten control of the situation.

Usual twitter reads (usually reliable, but not infallible). Claim of mass executions planned by the regime and seizure of assets.

From what I can see, the main issue is that it looks like the army (not the IRGC) has come down on the side of the government. Not clear if the Supreme Leader will survive though.

The supposed opposition son of the Shah does not appear to have that much support from what I've seeing online.

I remember the army withdrawing its support for the Shah's last PM was the final straw in 1979, but I suppose after nearly 50 years no one gets to a senior officer role without being a true believer.

I have been concerned about the prominence of Pahlavi of late. I can't imagine many Iranians really want to replace the current autocracy with the descendants of the previous one.

It's very depressing if true. For once I'm left hoping Trump and Netanyahu actually don't exercise caution.

I'm assuming the Juan Carlos role is what's envisaged. I don't know if he realises that himself.

Sounds like taking the internet down enabled the authorities to track down where the terminals were located using this new type of jamming system.

Big turnout in support today with almost every town and city taking part. Must be in the millions, nothing on BBC mind you.

’Support for the regime’ is a broad church, just like opposition to it. Most people aren’t prepared to die either way. Democracy would be ‘nice to have’. If the mullahs were a party in an Iranian democracy they’d get some support - maybe 10-20%? - but a lot more people are willing to put up with them if they could turn around the economy. The Internet is a double-edged sword. So far it has empowered dissent in many countries but states are becoming more adept at controlling it. China is the best, ie worst, example and India is moving in that direction.

This isnt the Gaza thread.

You talking about Israel or who?

 But they also indicate that this time Iran will strike preemptively if they are certain of an attack.

We had folks on here spouting nonsense about how Iran won that war against Israel, on how Israel were on the back foot, and how Iran was now in a stronger position.

Those folks are not here anymore, because it's evident that the Iranian regime is at its weakest position its been in since 1979, and it has little to no friends in the world.

Iran is a paper tiger.
It has no air force worth talking about.
It has no capability to defend itself or its airspace from its enemies.
The best it can do is launch some missiles into Israel with the hope that it will hit something, anything.
According to independent estimates, Iran has lost up to 50% of its missile capabilities in that war, with the US coming to give its nuclear ambitions a serious setback.

This is the pinned post of that user's Twitter account. Interesting.

Also, that account is definitely a bot account, as I count no less than 10 times that graph has been posted in the past 9 days.

As per the study, not worth the paper its printed on. Flawed on numerous accounts, and not peer reviewed.

Pentagon pizza party.

Someones getting bombed later

Directly? Zero