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Tesla Talk 2

1505153555694

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,647 ✭✭✭sk8board


    imagine the scale and volume of learning the FSD software would need to do on each EU country for that 2030 date to be remotely possible - it would be literal years of learning and approval.

    We can’t even ban ICE car sales by 2035 and some people here think their driverless Tesla will be dropping them home from Ballivor to Athboy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 274 ✭✭evftw


    Imagine the fleet of cars with multiple cameras and internet connection and other sensors they'd need to deploy in every EU country to get the data. That will never happen.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 19,761 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    And the problem of letting it loose, moving from 99% to 100% of situations covered, that blank cheque to cover the unexpected, is going to be very difficult. It's the pareto principle on steroids. The most difficult thing to define is always the negative space

    Currently even supposed driverless waymo do this with a call centre with remote access. And they have radar and lidar not just cameras.

    It's all very well and good having the hardware, that's not the hard part.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 5,895 ✭✭✭...Ghost...


    It's all very well and good having the hardware, that's not the hard part.

    I think what he meant was that Tesla already have tens of thousands of cars on the roads in Europe feeding back data to the mothership.

    Stay Free



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 19,761 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    I know what he meant, but it's almost irrelevant. Data gathering does almost nothing in and of itself. It's what you do with it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,512 ✭✭✭MojoMaker


    Tesla aside (clearly a trigger for some people), is nobody excited about the prospect of FSD and advances in automotive technology that pushes the frontier on?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 15,611 ✭✭✭✭josip


    Not really. I enjoy driving and I see FSD as a slippery slope to a day in the future when human driving becomes more restricted. So although the technology is interesting in itself, I don't mind if it takes its time getting traction.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,512 ✭✭✭MojoMaker


    I'm not sure I quite get the point, FSD would always be optional, no?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,145 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    i think when it gets to the point its widely available and is orders of magnitude safer than us driving insurance will get very expensive and eventually humans driving will be phased out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,145 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    its hardly irrelevant? you cant do anything with the data unless you have it first!



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,512 ✭✭✭MojoMaker


    Another way to look at it is insurance stays the same for non-FSD vehicles, but drops significantly for FSD-equipped vehicles?

    I mean, insurance prices are accident-linked, right?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,145 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,512 ✭✭✭MojoMaker


    I'm probably being a bit facetious to be honest, since when does anything drop in price etc etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 19,761 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    I'm equally excited and fearful. I love driving but also would love the convenience of essentially my own car being my 24hr taxi on demand

    I mean you can have all the data you want, terabytes of the stuff but unless you use it it doesn't serve any purpose.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 19,761 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    A car with proper FSD (ie hands off autonomy) shouldn't need insurance from the owner as they wont be driving or liable for the car's actions.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 5,895 ✭✭✭...Ghost...


    Your response seemed like you missed his point.

    Also the data gathering is what gives Tesla the advantage. Sure, they have to utilise it, but that's why they gather it first. Every journey in Tesla gives them more data to refine the HW and SW.

    I'm conflicted on this. I also love to drive, but it would be great to be able to drive, or let the car take over. Where I lean toward autonomous driving is my experience of extremely poor and dangerous driving I see every day on the road. I can't even drive to the supermarket around the corner anymore without seeing poor driving and bad/illegal parking.

    In my 4 decades in this country, I've been involved in a few incidents.

    1. Run over by a driver escaping another driver she backed into. I was almost killed crossing the road. Suffered head injury.
    2. Rear ended at traffic lights by a driver checking his pizza order. Whiplash.
    3. Side of my car backed into by careless neighbour while I sat in it. She went to drive off before I got out! No injury.
    4. Same neighbours daughter backed into a car I had sold and was due for collection that day. Driver door wrecked. No proof.
    5. Rear ended at speed as I pulled over on back road to let another car pass. Other driver speeding and tyres were bald. Car written off. I needed spinal surgery.
    6. Rear ended at lights near a roundabout. Other driver was high. No damage to my car. No injuries.
    7. Backed into by taxi driver after I parked in disabled spot (legally). He denied it until I pointed out that his van was still touching my bumper. Minor damage to license plate. No injury.
    8. Rear ended on motorway while stationary in gridlock traffic. Other driver was on phone. Whiplash and back injury.
    9. Rear ended while stopped at lights. Other driver side swiped car behind me and then crashed into me. Suspect other driver was DUI. Injured again.

    There are more instances, but what I have learned is that you absolutely cannot trust for a moment the abilities, or willingness of other road users to be safe on our roads. As much as I love driving, I would give it up for autonomous vehicles if it meant the above was prevented.

    Stay Free



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,451 ✭✭✭KCross


    Thats a horrendous list, even for 4 decades. I've not been in any accidents and I do high mileage all over the country. I wonder is it the general area(s) where you have lived or something?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 19,761 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    That's a long list of accidents. I do 40-50k km a year (60k+annually at one point) in the GDA predominantly. I've been in 3 accidents in my ~16 years driving, two serious ones not my fault (rear ended on M50, bus turned in on me on M7) and one minor that was very much my fault (reversed into a taxi in blanch because it was christmas and I was distracted).

    A proper FSD setup would have avoided the taxi one but (IMO) neither of the serious ones. But… how many others would it have had.

    I am an avid viewer periodically (if that makes sense!) of US based tesla FSD videos on the yootuuubs. I do want it to work but I want it to work right. I've had enough of tesla crappy driver aids marketed as "AP" "EAP" "FSD" etc just make the thing work. PS: nothing has been as good at autopiloting the car as AP2.5 navigate on autopilot before they nerfed it with the regulations governing sharpness of turning.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 5,895 ✭✭✭...Ghost...


    I've lived in the north Dub outer subs my whole life.

    1. Local on main road with clear views well ahead. I was wearing bright clothing.
    2. The lights beside the FB station in D5. Bright evening. I was in a sports coupe. Stationary about 30 seconds several cars in front.
    3. Outside my house. Cul-de-sac. Neighbour reversing (yeah…I know) out of driveway. Had been working in the car a good hour.
    4. Same as 3. Car was left outside garden overnight.
    5. Rural road in Laois. I had pulled in and was stopped a couple of seconds only before the other driver lost control.
    6. Roundabout in D5 just off the Malahide road. quiet time of the evening too. I was at the lights maybe 10 or 15 seconds. Road was empty and I was in a big blue Merc.
    7. Jervis street. Early afternoon. Dry day. I was parked about 5 minutes, taking a call.
    8. Early morning. Good weather…overcast. I saw driver was texting on phone as I pulled into the left lane in slowing traffic and came to meet traffic a few hundred meters ahead. I was stopped a good 20 or so seconds waiting for movement.
    9. Late afternoon. Perfect driving weather. Excellent visibility, but busy Sutton coast road area. Again. stopped a good few seconds stuck behind another car at the lights.

    It doesn't matter whether I am in a sports car, or a van. The standard of driving is horrific. I reported a motorist who tried to cut me off for no real world reason and ended up clipping my side mirror. I beckoned her to pull over and she actively evaded me and dangerously cut through traffic to escape. I left her to it and gave the footage to the Gards who are doing her for dangerous driving and leaving the scene of an accident. There was no damage, but I didn't know that at the time. It was one of the worst examples I have seen on the roads and I had my daughter in the car at the time, so I was pretty peed off by it.

    I sent that one to Wham Baam 😂. Number 10 to finish my list 🏎️. That one was in Blanchardstown area.

    Stay Free



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 234 ✭✭khamilton


    That's a horrendous list, and a lot of really unpleasant and traumatising incidents to have suffered through just while trying to go about your normal daily business.



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  • Posts: 0 ✭✭ [Deleted User]


    None of those accidents would be prevented by you having an autonomous car. We have to wait for the majority of other people to have one. It's decades away, especially if it continues to be an add on. And it will probably take a generation before the people who opt to drive themselves because they prefer it to be phased out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 5,895 ✭✭✭...Ghost...


    Most, if not all those accidents would have been prevented if the "other vehicles" were autonomous. Autonomy doesn't do jacksh!t if the car is stationary. But, yeah, it's many years away before autonomous vehicles are in the majority and we will still have plenty of idiots driving around crashing into the autonomous cars.

    Stay Free



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,647 ✭✭✭sk8board


    FSD can’t be optional in the case of level 3/4 insurance liability. Your car won’t have a steering wheel so you won’t have any control and therefore liability.

    Everything else is a level 2 driver assistant.

    as for data collection, Tesla only send data on FSD disengagements+video snippets, and only in the case of drivers who opt-in.

    as other have said, it’s doubtful what if any reviewing is done, and the scale of data collection isn’t very wide. In a European context, the fleet of millions of vehicles sending data to “the mothership” is nigh on meaningless



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 60,766 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    And so I went on the FSD demo yesterday in France. It's 14.1.7, a special version tuned for the EU, so well behind the curve. It seems a software version solely made to please the regulators here.

    And they should be pleased. The car is cautious and very courteous. Zero interventions were needed in the 1 hour test drive, but it wasn't perfect. This EU pleasing software has only one driving style. No "Mad Max" mode. And even if you set the system to go up to 50% above the speed limit, it doesn't seem to to that. Not sure of what opportunities it had and traffic was fairly busy, but it did do 55 in a 50 zone

    A few times during self parking and on turning a tiny hairpin, the car could have done with a turn less. It was funny that several pedestrians thanked the robot. It was far more courteous than the typical human around here!

    Obviously this was only a 1h testdrive. It would take a million times that to determine if it is safe / safer than humans. Would it come across situations it can not handle?

    Very convincing none the less. Musk always said FSD should work anywhere. We saw that before with those vids from Prague and Paris

    I would say almost anyone who has taken this test drive, would agree with my observations

    "Make no mistake. The days of the internal combustion engine are definitely numbered" - Quentin Willson, 1997



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 60,766 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    Jim Fan - director of AI at NVIDIA and arguably one of the world's top 10 most prominent AI experts:

    "I was very late to own a Tesla but among the earliest to try out FSD v14. It's perhaps the first time I experience an AI that passes the Physical Turing Test: after a long day at work, you press a button, lay back, and couldn't tell if a neural net or a human drove you home.Despite knowing exactly how robot learning works, I still find it magical watching the steering wheel turn by itself."

    "Make no mistake. The days of the internal combustion engine are definitely numbered" - Quentin Willson, 1997



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,205 ✭✭✭joe1303l




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 316 ✭✭tppytoppy


    https://electrek.co/2025/12/29/tesla-tsla-does-something-unsual-q4-delivery-results/

    Another disappointing quarter for Tesla in Q4. Grünheide factory should be mothballed as model Y and 3 can be imported tariff free from U.S.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 60,766 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    Be very aware of anything that Electrek says about Tesla. Your man Fred Lambert used to be a Tesla fanboi but then he bought a knackered high mileage Model X that gave him a lot of trouble. Ever since, he has been a Tesla hater 😂

    "Make no mistake. The days of the internal combustion engine are definitely numbered" - Quentin Willson, 1997



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,512 ✭✭✭MojoMaker


    Agreed, it was quite the flip over actually.

    Welcome to the EV forum @tppytoppy



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 5,895 ✭✭✭...Ghost...


    Oh, that's what it was? I thought it was something to do with him not getting a roadster from referrals he earned and then having a bit of a falling out with Musk. I can't listen to, or read his stuff anymore, as he has lost all credibility in my eyes.

    Stay Free



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