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National Development Plan Sectoral Investment for Transport: 2026-2030

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,079 ✭✭✭hans aus dtschl


    Thanks Marno,

    We had some discussion in various other threads and I think the table on page 5 kind of provides some clarity: roads funding will see a much increased budget, nearly doubling overall (good!) and active travel budget will stay the same for the next 5 years (with inflation and rapidly rising construction costs, this effectively a budget cut). Public transport should hopefully see an increase, but naturally this is also optimistically anticipating planning and technical progress on various large projects.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,003 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    Does anybody have more details on these projects?

    image.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,003 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    Maybe 5-10km of bus lanes in Galway to cost over 500m?

    image.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,003 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    How many trains are they buying!!!!!???

    image.png

    An 8-coach train is maybe 20m to buy?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 892 ✭✭✭loco_scolo


    Great to see a plan for new platforms and passing loops across the network. Low cost, high impact. Should have been doing this for years, as a first step to full double tracking of all lines.

    "Plan" is a strong word, but great to see this called out specifically.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,003 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    Yes, every station should have two platforms and two tracks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 194 ✭✭jimbob955


    Bus connects in Cork will be 2040+. If even. There will be massive NIMBY pushback on this, supported by city councillors (we are not against bus lanes but……)

    I bet a useless watered down version will be rolled out, that ultimately achieves nothing.

    I think it is a huge opportunity to properly connect the city, criss cross the city. It will cover more ground, impact more people than Luas/Train. But the entire success of the project depends on Siofra on the Rochestown Road pushing back on losing 0.45m of front garden or losing a tree planted in 1976



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,252 ✭✭✭✭murphaph


    Where are the remaining level crossings on the Dublin-Cork line?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,265 ✭✭✭KrisW1001


    Most of the problem crossings are addressed in the Cork Line Level Crossing project. There aren’t many others, but there is this fully automated and monitored level crossing in Tipperary, R497 - Google Maps, on a section of track that’s cleared for 160 km/h running. Crossings like this are not a problem, and a few of the locations in the new project are not strictly removals, but rather upgrades of older crossings to this kind of automated CCTV-controlled crossing.

    Details of the ones to be fixed are here: Iarnród Éireann Projects and Investments , and the complete railway order application materials are here: Cork Line Level Crossing RO. This RO was granted in July 2024, 310286 | An Coimisiún Pleanála

    Like a lot of the projects in this NDP, this is a project that has been waiting for funding to move forward.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,079 ✭✭✭hans aus dtschl


    Some reports coming through today from Dublin Green Party about where the funding cuts are expected to hit.

    Dart+ SW, Dart+ Maynooth, Luas Finglas, Cork Luas.
    I have no published detail but have been told Cork Pathfinder (City to Dunkettle) greenway is not being funded. Apparently all pathfinder projects are in similar jeopardy because they had Eamon Ryan championing them, so that's maybe 25 ish projects, depending on their states of progress.

    Not sure yet what else has been defunded, we'll find out in time I guess.

    It's a shame, I feel it didn't really need to be this way. The approved roads projects shouldn't have been interfered with last time, and the approved sustainable projects shouldn't be interfered with this time.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,540 ✭✭✭✭cgcsb


    Looks like a political sop to ensure a geographic spread of spending, i.e. roads, as opposed to addressing needs or priorities. It means big problems going forward. DART+ SW will have to get a new railway order because the current one will be invalid by the new funding cycle, that means 100s of millions of euros flushed down the loo. Same with DART+ North (although it's less of a problem).

    Bizzar choice to fund the WRC which is useless without double tracking Athenry and even still a very low priority for a railway system that's been in managed decline for a century.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 892 ✭✭✭loco_scolo


    It is beyond a joke if that's what happens with Dart SW or Dart North.

    Re WRC, we shouldn't underestimate the game changer Oranmore passing loop will be. Current "maximum" capacity is 1 train every 40 minutes per direction. In practice, it's one train per hour per direction on average, with a gap of 1hr 20mins leaving Galway in the morning. That will improve to one train every 20-25 minutes with the passing loop.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,502 ✭✭✭riddlinrussell


    The Oranmore example shows exactly why reopening Athenry to Claremorris is a bad idea right now, if you spent that money on some less 'sexy' passing loops/dualling along the Westport and Galway branches, Limerick to LJ, Athenry to Portarlington you'd make the rail network dramatically better for people nationwide, including Mayo

    Boards is in danger of closing very soon, if it's yer thing, go here (use your boards.ie email!)

    👇️ 👇️



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,946 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    Cmon now, there will be no railway order expiry. DART+ projects are structured in such a way as to be easily delivered in phases, and I have no doubt that there will be sufficient works undertaken within the window for the planning permission not to expire.

    There may be good reason for the DART projects to be delivered in such a mannner, and for there not to be one big bonanza of all the projects at once. There may be operational reasons for this beyond "they gave all the money to roads".

    The choice of funding the WRC is not bizarre at all. It's very easily explained. It's part of the real world nature of politics in parliamentary democracies. The same reason that senior Ministers in FF did not want to gut the roads programme from 2020-2024 but it had to be done to keep certain people happy. If we hadn't seen the weaponising of the roads programme over that time maybe we'd have had a different outcome with this transport plan.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,584 ✭✭✭Consonata


    Defunding projects which have cleared planning, to fund many projects which have not, and may never clear planning, is nonsensical no matter what way you look at it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,771 ✭✭✭spillit67


    There’s no evidence of defunding actually. The spending on public transport is going up 5x-6x per annum. The sums are huge. The original NDP allocated €2bn to fleet plus the lines out to 2027, it didn’t guarantee all funding for them. The range here is €2bn-€3.1bn, maybe more if D+ W increases beyond the tender price. Additionally money has already been spent on both the fleet and the planning stages from that original €2bn.

    The D+ cost base is 6 to 7 years ago so it’s clear they’re hedging here to a degree.

    Post edited by spillit67 on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,584 ✭✭✭Consonata


    There is evidence of defunding actually. Dart South West is now being delayed for 4 years now due to funding being reappropriated towards new projects i.e roads which aren't even out of the preliminary stages of planning. Roads which may never actually be built, and leaving Dart South West costing 100s of millions more when it eventually goes to construction.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 19,609 ✭✭✭✭LXFlyer


    There was no guarantee that DART+ South West would happen concurrently with DART+ West. The plan was always that they would follow one another.

    We don't necessarily have the resources be that workers or indeed energy to facilitate all of these happening at once.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,584 ✭✭✭Consonata


    If we haven't resources to build them concurrently, then why are we then simultaneously seeking planning for even more projects which we don't have the resources to complete.

    This logic makes no sense, and underlines that it is kiteflying for constituency gain and not material infrastructure investment.

    The Department of Transport spokesperson added: “The Department of Transport will continue to explore opportunities for additional funding, including through funding streams such as the European Union Connecting Europe Facility (CEF), to complement national Exchequer funding which may allow some projects to proceed to construction earlier than currently anticipated

    Underlining that it is a funding choice, not a resource one



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,771 ✭✭✭spillit67


    That’s not evidence of a cut in funding when the facts are laid out.

    The 2021 iteration of the NDP earmarked €2 billion in funds across the line upgrades and the fleet over 10 years. It never specifically funded all of the lines and the fleet, just to advance them. The estimated cost was €2.6 billion less VAT based on the 2019 PBC. Choices would always need to be made and full costing were made.

    Since then an additional €100m has been spent on the planning and design process for the lines along with the near €400m committed on the fleet. I’m not sure how much or the letter has actually been spent. Effectively some of the original €2 billion has been spent but we can assume a lot of it is pushed into these 5 years.Now they’ve put in an effective €2bn to €3.1bn range for these projects over 5 years. The fact of the matter is that the D+ estimates are years old now, it doesn’t have near the level of scrutiny over it cost wise as MetroLink. I think we should pay close attention to what D+ West comes out to as part of the Tender process and that will give us a clue if D+ SW can commence earlier. Even if you look at the document it suggests €1 billion plus for D+ West. They clearly don’t know yet. The old costings were €2.6 billion for fleet and the lines less VAT, now this could be even more than €4.1 billion.

    In reality it was always nonsense to think all these projects would start within 5 years. Both from constraints on labour and also cost. The overall funding for Public Transport was €12 billion over 10 years, the new effective amount is nearly €500 million more, except over 5 years.

    To me getting the supposedly “cut” lines all done within a decade would be doing very well.

    I’d also remind you that elements of D+ SW fall within MetroLink like Cross Guns station and Spencer Dock.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,771 ✭✭✭spillit67


    The approach was a big bang one, in line with Ireland 2040. The NTA in particular will need to reflect an admit this was a failed approach. Yes the planning system fell over but they also got the consultation and the pre planning stages wrong. They were too slow. They clearly dropped the ball during Covid as well. They can blame overall government focus but as with much of the public sector, when the national focus shifted they went slowly themselves.

    Having a pipeline of projects is good now though, the key is to just start building the stuff. It was never going to be the case that all these projects would be started within 5 years. There is a lot of money there now, despite this narrative that is being pushed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,584 ✭✭✭Consonata


    As of now, the only project that will be progressed with is Dart West?

    I think we should pay close attention to what D+ West comes out to as part of the Tender process and that will give us a clue if D+ SW can commence earlier.

    What does this even mean. Dart West and Southwest are entirely different projects, with different costs and different infrastructure required of both? The cheapest time to build D SW is now, the next cheapest is tomorrow etc. If we collectively agree that it that it will need to be built then it should be. Now, whilst we still have cash to do so. Our reputation cannot handle yet more cancelled projects, driving up the cost of future tenders further as companies take us less and less serioussly about what we mean to achieve.

    I’d also remind you that elements of D+ SW fall within MetroLink like Cross Guns station and Spencer Dock.

    Metrolink has nothing to do with Spencer Dock. It is also specifically seperately designed to Metrolink on purpose, so that it proceed regardless of the outcome of Metrolink. It is designed that way knowing our reputation when it comes to these things.

    Post edited by Consonata on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,252 ✭✭✭✭murphaph


    Yeah there is no use crying over spilled milk as they say. We need to establish a pipeline and government needs to convince bidders that these projects won't be cancelled at the drop of a hat later.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,771 ✭✭✭spillit67


    Not true. Read the NDP. DART W, N and S have potential commencements in that time.

    Maybe read the report before stating things with such confidence?!

    What are you on about? There is a real world things called constraints. You were WRONG on the defunding pointing and don’t seem to get this. My point is that the funding has increased, but there is absolutely a lack of clarity on the final pricing for D+ W (see the €1 billion plus tag). When we see the tender we might be surprised on the actual price is and what might he moved forward in advance. At the moment they quite clearly have bolted on some more inflation to that project.

    In terms of what I mentioned, those two stations can handle D+ SW trains. So my point is that it’s not like this project will have a standing start. It’s not like AtkinsRéalis and others won’t be doing nothing as one of the already appointed teams on the project either.

    The ending on “our reputation” - snore, you didn’t even read the report and are here acting all high and mighty?! Get off the stage.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,771 ✭✭✭spillit67


    Exactly. It’s rather funny to read this. The PT spend over the last few years hasn’t topped €500 million, yet we are supposed to be disappointed with €2.4 billion annually?! That is a material shift for the country.

    The Greens are playing politics and that’s fine but they sat in Government whilst these projects went like a snail through the system as a whole. They made spending commitments , that’s great, but they didn’t get close to delivery. I don’t care that the ratio has slightly shifted from 2 to 1 to 55-45 or whatever. What I care about is actually getting the shovel in the ground at this stage and delivering the pipeline that is there.

    Seeing how this Fejin tweet landed so successfully is interesting. It’s the same as the Greens complaining about housing commencements falling, when the know well that they fell because during their last year in Government there was a massive increase in commencements in commencements because of levy waivers, with a fall inevitable this year. To see this stuff so successfully land goes to show how politics works. Just get on with it- will the Greens support the plans by the Government to take on more power over infrastructure projects getting through the planning system or will that offend their other sensibilities?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,584 ✭✭✭Consonata


    Maybe read the report before stating things with such confidence?!

    North has only now recieved a railway order and will likely be tied up with its own JR for the next several months at least before it can proceed and go to tender.

    South - if you think Dart South will go to tender in the next 5 years before South West does, I don't even know what to say to you. I don't think you have been paying much attention to the progress of these projects if that is the case.

    West will proceed as planned. South West will be next on the list as it has cleared planning with no JR's obstructing it from proceeding. The barrier to it proceeding is funding, as the minister has said himself.

    When we see the tender we might be surprised on the actual price is and what might he moved forward in advance.

    Do you think that South West will ever get cheaper to build than it is now?

    The Minister has said that obstruction to proceeding is financial allocation, not workforce, not anything else. This is why he is couching it in "may proceed prior to 2030 should funding be achieved"

    There is a real world things called constraints. You were WRONG on the defunding pointing and don’t seem to get this.

    We have moved from 2:1 Public transport funding to Roads, to 1:1. This is defunding as we are reapportioning funding which was otherwise going to go to public transport, back to roads. Sure, this means that we have more and more kiteflying that we can send more bypasses being planned and going to the planning boards. The cost of this is delays like Dart+ SW to being delayed beyond 2030. Projects which have cleared supposedly the biggest obstacle to getting infrastructure built in Ireland.

    I have no problem with sending more money towards road infrastructure to a point. But if the cost is withdrawing funding/delaying projects which have already recieved planning permission, that I cannot abide by whatsoever.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,584 ✭✭✭Consonata


    I don’t care that the ratio has slightly shifted from 2 to 1 to 55-45 or whatever. What I care about is actually getting the shovel in the ground at this stage and delivering the pipeline that is there.

    So then why are you defending the government not doing that and instead sending funding toward projects which aren't shovel ready and aren't in the pipeline



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,946 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    This 2:1 ratio stuff is the greatest load of nonsense and it is galling that it continues to get airtime.

    Was the 2:1 ratio followed rigidly during the Eamon Ryan years?

    What exactly does the 2:1 ratio include? Capital investment in road maintenance (resurfacing) is included, which is essentially refurbishment of existing roads. Should all operational costings of public transport be included in the 2:1?

    If this is purely a ratio of capital spend on new public transport projects to capital spend on new roads projects the new PT costs will heavily outweigh the new roads spending for the next 10 years or so. Metrolink and DART+ alone will massively outweigh the roads programme, as the only 10 figure projects in there right now are the M20 and the Galway ring road.

    Here is a quote from the Assistant Sec Gen responsible for this stuff at the Oireachtas commitee. Someone who knows what they're talking about

    https://www.oireachtas.ie/ga/debates/debate/joint_committee_on_infrastructure_and_national_development_plan_delivery/2025-06-11/3/

    Search for Conor Sheehan's questions on the page.

    Essentially, the lack of a stated 2:1 ratio in the Programme for Government does not impact on the delivery of major public transport projects.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,584 ✭✭✭Consonata


    Essentially, the lack of a stated 2:1 ratio in the Programme for Government does not impact on the delivery of major public transport projects.

    It factually does ? See Dart+ SW which is not proceeding on schedule due to a lack of funding



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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,946 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    Between now and 2029, construction is to commence on BusConnects Cork, BusConnects Dublin, BusConnects Galway, BusConnects Limerick, BusConnects Waterford, Cork Area Commuter Rail, DART+ West, DART+ North, DART+ South, DART+ Wicklow Town, Luas Finglas, MetroLink and the Athnery-Claremorris railway. Along with DART fleet upgrades and many operational upgrades. A total of 13 projects, several of which are 1bn+ price tag projects, and 4 of which are DART upgrades.

    In that time roads construction is Donegal TEN-T, Virginia bypasss, Slane bypass, Carrick on Shannon bypass, Galway ring road, Newcastlewest relief road and finishing Limerick-Foynes, Ballaghaderreen-Scramoge and Cork-Ringaskiddy. Only 1 of those projects is a 1bn+ project and it's fighting for its life in the courts.

    It would appear that the DART+ South West delay has nothing to do with roads and all to do with:

    1. Many other PT projects commencing/being funded at the same time.
    2. Potential operational reasons within the DART system
    3. Potentially not advancing every single DART expansion project at the same time and overextending resources

    I can see no reason why the ideological obsession with spending ratios has anything to do with the DART+ South West delay.



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